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Texas vs Oklahoma +14.5 O/U 49.5
The Red river rivalry is definitely the game of the weekend. This game is played at the Cotton Bowl in Dallas Texas, but make no mistake about it, there is no home field advantage for either team. This is a pretty massive spread here for the Longhorns and I am not sure that this is right. While Texas has a massive 3.61 net yards per play advantage, there are a few things to like about Oklahoma. First of all, both teams are coming off the bye weeks which I have to think is an advantage for Oklahoma. The Sooners won this game last year, but it remains less of a revenge spot being that Texas made the college football playoff anyways. While Oklahoma’s offense has been bad this year, they at least have had the harder schedule ranking 25th on Sagarin to Texas at 92nd. Another thing to think about is that Oklahoma still has a good defense ranking 19th in success rate and 15th in EPA. Texas great numbers on both offense and defense, but the quarterback situation here is weird. Quinn Ewers tends to choke in some big games, and he knows that over half of the fan base wants to see Arch Manning stay in as a starter. Ewers has also not played football in a month which may hurt if he is the starter. Archie Manning is a bit too inexperienced to trust in a game of this caliber. I expect Oklahoma to slow this game down and ugly it up some with their rushing attack. I think that the bye week helps the Sooners here more than Texas, and they keep it within 10 points.
Oklahoma +14.5 – 2 stars
Minnesota vs UCLA +4 O/U 40
This is quite the low total for a college football game. I know that UCLA is a bad team and all, but it’s not like the Gophers are world beaters. Statistically, UCLA is terrible, but they have at least had the number 1 hard schedule according to Jeff Sagarin. This team played four ranked teams out of the five games that they have played. Minnesota’s toughest game was last week vs USC where they were out-gained and many said that they should have lost. UCLA ranks 120th in yards per play, but the Gophers rank only 98th themselves. One thing about UCLA that I do like is that last week, Justyn Martin did ok at Penn State going 22/30 with 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions. There is a real quarterback controversy now at UCLA. I could see him possibly starting this week over Ethan Garbers. Looking at this low total and the let down spot for the Gophers, I think the Bruins can keep it close or possibly win this game outright for DeShaun Foster.
UCLA +4 – 2 stars
