2024 Shriners Children’s Open Preview & Picks

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Last week at the Black Desert Championship, Lucas Glover came close to an outright win, finishing T3. We hit one of our two Top 20 bets with Beau Hossler (+130), while our other T20 pick, Harry Hall (+200), struggled during the back nine in the final round. Hall was in great shape until a five-over stretch from Holes 10-13 knocked him out of contention.

Pre-Tournament Storylines:

Matt McCarty Claims First Victory in Inaugural Event

In just his second start as a PGA TOUR member, Matt McCarty secured his first victory at the inaugural Black Desert Championship on Sunday. This marks only the third career start for McCarty, and with the win, he earns exemptions into prestigious 2025 tournaments, including The Sentry, the Masters, and the PGA Championship. Having led the 2024 Korn Ferry Tour points list, McCarty had already locked in spots at THE PLAYERS Championship and the U.S. Open.

Tom Kim Aims for Historic Three-Peat

Tom Kim has his sights set on becoming just the seventh golfer in PGA TOUR history to win the same tournament three consecutive years. The last to achieve this feat was Steve Stricker from 2009-2011. Although Kim initially planned to take a break during the fall events after a grueling regular season, he’s making an exception for this week’s Shriners Children’s Open—a promise he made after his 2023 victory.

Viva Las Vegas

The Shriners Children’s Open, hosted at TPC Summerlin in Las Vegas, Nevada, is the fourth event in the FedExCup Fall series. This series of eight tournaments, held after the TOUR Championship, plays a crucial role in shaping player eligibility for the 2025 PGA TOUR season.

At the end of the FedExCup Fall, those that rank from 126-150 on the final FedExCup Fall Points List will have conditional status for the 2024 PGA TOUR Season.

All players outside the top 125 can improve or regain TOUR status via PGA TOUR Q-School presented by Korn Ferry.

Tournament Information:

  • Dates: October 17th – October 20th, 2024
  • Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
  • Course: TPC Summerlin
  • Course Type: Resort
  • Par: 71 (4x 3’s / 11x 4’s / 3x 5’s)
  • Length: 7,255 yards
  • Format: 72-hole stroke play
  • Greens: Dominator bentgrass .100”
  • Fairways: Bandera bermudagrass .425”
  • Rough: 419 bermudagrass 2.25”
  • Bunkers: 92
  • Water Hazard(s): 4 (In-Play on 4 Holes)
  • Average Green Size: 7,400 sq. ft.
  • Stimpmeter: 11.5 ft.
  • Purse/ Winner: $7,000,000 /$1,260,000
  • FedEx Cup Points: 500
  • Field: 132 Players
  • Cut: Top 65 and Ties – 36 Holes
  • Playoff Format: Sudden Death | Hole 18 (repeat)
  • Course Scoring Average:
    • 2023: 69.30 (-1.70), Rank 44 of 58
    • 2022: 69.01 (-1.99), Rank 42 of 50
    • 2021: 68.93 (-2.07), Rank 42 of 50
  • Historic Cut Line:
    • 2023: -3
    • 2022: -4
    • 2021: -5

Social Media:

Course Architect:

  • Course Architect: Bobby Weed and Fuzzy Zoeller (1991)
  • Renovations: PGA Tour (2021)

Comparable Courses & Greens:

  • Comparable Courses:
    • TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course) – WM Phoenix Open – RESULTS
    • TPC Sawgrass (Stadium Course) – THE PLAYERS Championship – RESULTS
    • Summit Club – CJ CUP @ SUMMIT – RESULTS
  • Designer Link (Bobby Weed):
    • TPC River Highlands – Renovation 1989, 2016  – Travelers Championship
    • TPC Sawgrass (Stadium Course) – Renovation 1987 – THE PLAYERS Championship

  • Comparable Location (Las Vegas, Nevada):
    • Summit Club – Las Vegas, Nevada – CJ CUP @ SUMMIT
    • TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course) – Scottsdale, Arizona – WM Phoenix Open
    • Black Desert ResortIvins, Utah – Black Desert Championship
    • Castle Pines Golf Club – Castle Rock, Colorado – BMW Championship

  • Comparable Yardage (7,255 Yards):
    • Torrey Pines Golf Course (North Course) – 7,258 Yards – Farmers Insurance Open
    • TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course) – 7,261 Yards – WM Phoenix Open

  • Comparable Greens (Dominator bentgrass .100”):
    • No other greens have dominator bentgrass greens. They installed new greens and fairways last year. Previously, they had A1/A4 bentgrass greens and 419 bermudagrass fairways.
    • Accordia Golf Narashino Country Club – Bentgrass – ZOZO Championship
    • Torrey Pines Golf Course (North Course) – Bentgrass .100” – Farmers Insurance Open
    • Augusta National Golf Club – Bentgrass .125” – Masters Tournament
    • TPC Craig Ranch – Bentgrass .100” – THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson
    • Muirfield Village Golf Club – Bentgrass .090” – the Memorial Tournament
    • TPC Twin Cities – Bentgrass .110” – 3M Open
    • Black Desert Resort007XL bentgrass .120” – Black Desert Championship
    • TPC Deere Run – L-93 bentgrass .100” – John Deere Classic

  • Comparable Average Green Size (7,400 sq. ft.):
    • Arnold Palmer’s Bay Hill Club & Lodge – 7,500 sq. ft. – Arnold Palmer Invitational
    • Riviera Country Club – 7,500 sq. ft. – The Genesis Invitational

TV Information (all times ET):

  • Round 1: Thursday, October 17th, 2024
    • ESPN+ – 9:30 AM -5:00 PM
    • Golf Channel – 5:00 PM – 8:00 PM
  • Round 2: Friday, October 18th, 2024
    • ESPN+ – 9:30 AM -5:00 PM
    • Golf Channel – 5:00 PM – 8:00 PM
  • Round 3: Saturday, October 19th, 2024
    • Golf Channel – 5:00 PM – 8:00 PM
  • Round 4: Sunday, October 20th, 2024
    • Golf Channel – 5:00 PM – 8:00 PM

Weather:

Course/ Tournament History:

The Shriners Children’s Open, held annually at TPC Summerlin in Las Vegas, is one of the most storied events on the PGA TOUR, with roots dating back to 1983. Originally known as the Las Vegas Invitational, it has evolved into a pivotal part of the TOUR’s fall schedule. It was one of the first tournaments to offer a million-dollar purse and has crowned many notable champions, including Tiger Woods, who earned his first professional win here in 1996. In 2010, the event adopted its current name when Shriners Hospitals for Children became the title sponsor, solidifying the tournament’s charitable mission. That same year, TPC Summerlin became the permanent host, though the event has always remained in the Las Vegas area.

TPC Summerlin opened in 1991 and was originally designed by Booby Wood Throughout the years it’s undergone several minor renovations and in 2021, the greens and fairways were completely replaced. The previous greens were A1/A4 bentgrass and the fairways were 419 bermudagrass. Two years ago, the greens were changed to Dominator bentgrass, and the fairways were changed to Bandera bermudagrass. Looking at the upcoming PGA Tour schedule, this is the only course that features this unique type of putting surface. Other courses have pure bentgrass greens but none that feature this specific seed of bentgrass.

Tournament Records:

  • 72-Hole Record (Shriners Children’s Open):
    • 260, Ryan Moore (2012), Webb Simpson (2013), Sungjae Im (2021), Tom Kim (2022)
  • 18-Hole Record (Shriners Children’s Open):
    • 59, Chip Beck (Round 3, 1991 at Sunrise GC)
  • Most Wins:
    • 3, Jim Furyk (1995, 1998, 1999)
  • Largest Margin of Victory:
    • 8 Strokes – Davis Love III (1993)

Course Records:

  • 72-Hole Record (TPC Summerlin):
    • 260, Ryan Moore (2012), Webb Simpson (2013), Sungjae Im (2021), Tom Kim (2022)
  • 18-Hole Record (TPC Summerlin):
    • 60, J.J. Henry (Round 1, 2013), Rod Pampling (Round 1, 2016), Patrick Cantlay (Round 3, 2022)

Course Guide/ Scorecard:

Designed by Bobby Weed with input from Fuzzy Zoeller, TPC Summerlin is a Par 71 layout that spans 7,255 yards, making it shorter than many other PGA TOUR venues. The course includes four Par 3s, eleven Par 4s, and three Par 5s, where players must capitalize on scoring opportunities to contend for the title. Its resort-style design offers a relatively open layout, enabling longer hitters to take aggressive approaches. However, past winners demonstrate that accuracy off the tee often outweighs pure distance. With a history of lower scoring averages, TPC Summerlin is considered one of the easier courses on TOUR, and we can expect another winner to finish around -20 or better.

The four Par 3’s range from 168 to 239 yards. Last year, hole No. 14 was the only par 3 to have a scoring average under par.

No. 17, 196 yards, Par 3: “A challenging and unnerving par-3 plays from 180 to 210 yards downhill, depending on the hole location, with the green guarded closely by a lake on the left and by bunkers on the right. Par is a good score and birdies are rare, should players need to make up ground.”

There are eleven Par 4’s at TPC Summerlin with the majority (seven) of those holes ranging between 400 and 450 yards. In terms of scoring average, the toughest Par 4 last year was No. 3 (+0.212).

No. 15, 341 yards, Par 4: “A short, drivable par-4 measuring 320 yards, which most players will attempt to reach with their tee shot. If the tee shot misses the green, an “up and down” birdie is possible, but not easy, due to the severely elevated and undulated green – which is surrounded by five bunkers that regularly attract stray tee shots.”

No. 18, 444 yards, Par 4: “A well-designed and strategic finishing hole measuring 450 yards which moves right to left off the tee. The green is protected on the left by a lake, with the hole protected by the water. An aggressive tee shot with the driver can leave the player just a short iron to a very deep green from front to back. An aggressive tee shot and second shot could lead to a one-putt birdie. Find the water and you will be lucky to make bogey.”

There are three Par 5’s on the course, No. 9, No. 13, and No. 16. All of these holes had a scoring average under par in 2023. No. 9 was the easiest par 5 on the course last year with a scoring average of 0.592 below par. Hole No. 13, was the toughest Par 5 last year due to it being the only Par 5 that measures over 600 yards.

No. 16, 560 yards, Par 5: “A relatively downhill par-5 that is reachable with two good shots. The green is guarded by water short of the green, and bunkers beyond. For scratch golfers and TOUR players, only a mid-iron will be necessary for the second shot, with a birdie almost a certainty. The scoring swings will come with balls in the water as well as aggressive second shots hit close to the pin.”

Featured/ Signature Hole(s):15-18

Key Statistics:

As the Shriners Children’s Open takes place at TPC Summerlin, here are the key statistics to keep an eye on for this week’s event.

StatisticsPGA Tour AverageTPC Summerlin
Driving Distance (Yards)283.67297.17
Driving Accuracy62%61%
GIR Percentage66%73%
Avg GIR Prox to Hole (Feet)29.1731.33
Scrambling Percentage58%56%
Avg 3 Putts / Round0.550.52

Per DataGolf, this is the favored skillset at TPC Summerlin.

  • Strokes Gained: Tee to Green (7,200 to 7,400 Yards)
    • The TPC Summerlin course layout combines challenging approach shots with strategic tee placements. Excelling in this area demonstrates a player’s capacity to consistently hit greens in regulation, creating more opportunities for birdies.
    • Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Keith Mitchell
      • Jhonattan Vegas
      • Davis Thompson
      • Gary Woodland
      • Chan Kim
      • Tom Kim
      • Cam Davis
      • Ryan Moore
      • Adam Svensson
      • Doug Ghim

  • Strokes Gained: Off the Tee
    • Success this week will hinge on players’ ability to position themselves effectively off the tee. While the course’s considerable length underscores the significance of distance, precision holds equal importance.
    • Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Cameron Champ
      • Kevin Dougherty
      • Jhonattan Vegas
      • Patrick Fishburn
      • Carson Young
      • Ryan Brehm
      • Alex Smalley
      • Davis Thompson
      • Beau Hossler
      • Keith Mitchell

  • Strokes Gained: Approach
    • A strong iron game is crucial for success at TPC Summerlin, as demonstrated by recent tournament history. Each of the last four winners ranked 6th or better in Strokes Gained: Approach.
    • Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
      • J.J. Spaun
      • Doug Ghim
      • Tom Kim
      • Matt Kuchar
      • Nick Hardy
      • Tom Whitney
      • Andrew Novak
      • Ben Griffin
      • Eric Cole
      • Tom Hoge

  • Strokes Gained: Around the Green
    • Given the tightly manicured greens and challenging run-offs at TPC Summerlin, players are likely to miss some greens this week and will need to depend on their short game. Additionally, the greens have been cut this year to .100″, down from .125″ last season, making it even more challenging to hold long iron shots. Three of the last four winners ranked 19th or better in Strokes Gained: Around the Green.
    • Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Webb Simpson
      • Harry Hall
      • Cam Davis
      • Davis Thompson
      • Chan Kim
      • Adam Svensson
      • Patton Kizzire
      • C.T. Pan
      • Beau Hossler
      • Daniel Berger

  • Strokes Gained: Putting (Bentgrass)
    • The Greens at TPC Summerlin are Dominator bentgrass .100”. Four of the last five winners ranked 9th or better in Strokes Gained: Putting.
    • Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Justin Lower
      • Harry Hall
      • Ben Silverman
      • Martin Laird
      • Harris English
      • Taylor Montgomery
      • J.T. Poston
      • S.H. Kim
      • Danny Willett
      • Chandler Phillips

  • Par 3 Scoring: 175-200 Yards (x2)
    • Two of the four Par 3’s at TPC Summerlin range between 175-200 Yards.
    • Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Vince Whaley
      • Jacob Bridgeman
      • Eric Cole
      • Cameron Champ
      • David Skinns
      • Bud Cauley
      • Patrick Fishburn
      • Davis Thompson
      • Justin Suh
      • Jhonattan Vegas

  • Par 4 Scoring: 400-450 Yards (x7)
    • Seven of the eleven Par 4’s at TPC Summerlin range between 400-450 Yards.
    • Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Chan Kim
      • Roger Sloan
      • Zac Blair
      • Justin Lower
      • Brendon Todd
      • Chez Reavie
      • Sam Stevens
      • Keith Mitchell
      • Trace Crowe
      • Adam Svensson

  • Par 5 Scoring: 550-600 Yards (x2)
    • Two of the three Par 5’s at TPC Summerlin range between 550-600 Yards.
    • Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Jhonattan Vegas
      • Patrick Fishburn
      • Paul Barjon
      • Harry Hall
      • Eric Cole
      • Alex Smalley
      • Kurt Kitayama
      • Troy Merritt
      • Ben Silverman
      • Matthew NeSmith

  • Proximity Gained: 100-125 Yards
    • Most approach shots at TPC Summerlin come from the 100-150 yard range at a volume much higher than the PGA Tour average.
  • Leaders in Proximity Gained: 100-125 Yards in the last 24 Rounds:
    • Cam Davis
    • Taylor Montgomery
    • Ryan Moore
    • Roger Sloan
    • Justin Lower
    • K.H. Lee
    • Doug Ghim
    • Harry Hall
    • C.T. Pan
    • J.J. Spaun
  • Leaders in Proximity Gained: 125-150 Yards in the last 24 Rounds:
    • Doug Ghim
    • Ben Kholes
    • Joel Dahmen
    • Andrew Putnam
    • Tom Kim
    • Tom Hoge
    • Emiliano Grillo
    • Zac Blair
    • Carson Young
    • Trey Mullinax
  • Birdies or Better Gained
    • To be in contention at TPC Summerlin this week, players must capitalize on every scoring opportunity. The winning score has consistently been -20 or lower in the last six tournaments.
    • Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
      • Keith Mitchell
      • Cam Davis
      • Harry Hall
      • J.J. Spaun
      • Brendon Todd
      • Beau Hossler
      • Ben Kholes
      • Michael Thorbjornsen
      • Tom Kim
      • Justin Lower

  • Comparable Courses and Event History
  • Leaders in this category (Multiple Events Played, Last 5 Editions):
    • Tom Kim
    • Adam Hadwin
    • Matthew NeSmith
    • Harry Hall
    • Eric Cole
    • Davis Thompson
    • Taylor Montgomery
    • S.H. Kim
    • Chad Ramey
    • Taylor Pendrith

The Field:

This year’s Shriners Children’s Open will feature a total of 132 competitors.

  • Here is the current basis of qualification for each entrant this week:
    • Top 125 FedExCup Fall Point Lists
    • Top 70 on Prior Year FEC Playoff & Elig List through the Playoffs
    • Tournament Winner in Past Two Seasons
    • DP World Tour / Korn Ferry Tour / Q-School Category – Reordered
    • Open Qualifying
    • Sponsors Exemptions – Unrestricted
    • PGA Section Champion\Player of the Year
    • Winner – PGA/U.S. Open Championship
    • Reorder Category – Cat. 37 thru 44
    • Career Money Exemption
    • Major Medical Extension
  • Previous Winners in the Field (Event):
    • Tom Kim (’23, ’22), M. Laird (’20, ’09), W. Simpson (’13), R. Moore (’12)
  • Debutants in the Field (Event):
    • Adrien Dumont de Chassart, Alejandro Tosti, Alexander Bjork, Ben Kohles, Blaine Hale, Jr., Caden Fioroni, Chan Kim, Chandler Phillips, Christo Lamprecht, Dan McCarthy, David Skinns, Erik Matthewson, Hayden Springer, Ian Gilligan, Jacob Bridgeman, Joe Highsmith, Matt McCarty, Max Greyserman, Michael Thorbjornsen, Norman Xiong, Patrick Fishburn, Paul Barjon, Pierceson Coody, Rafael Campos, Raul Pereda, Rico Hoey, Ryan Fox, Ryan McCormick, Sami Valimaki, Trace Crowe, Wilson Furr
  • Sponsors Exemptions:
    • Caden Fioroni, Ian Gilligan, Christo Lamprecht, Dan McCarty, Ryan Palmer, Scott Piercy
  • Players with ties to Nevada in the Field:
    • Birthplace:
  • Ian Gilligan – Reno, Nevada
  • Taylor Montgomery – Las Vegas, Nevada
  • Scott Piercy – Las Vegas, Nevada
    • College:
      • Caden Fioroni – UNLV (Senior)
      • Charley Hoffman – UNLV
      • Garrick Higgo – UNLV
      • Kurt Kitayama – UNLV
      • Taylor Montgomery – UNLV
      • Ryan Moore – UNLV
    • Other:
      • Erik Matthewson – PGA pro at Shadow Creek

  • Notable Withdraws/ Changes:
    • Max Greyserman (out) – Norman Xiong (in)
    • Matt McCarty (in, winner)
    • Henrik Norlander (in, top-10)
    • Kevin Dougherty (in, DPWT/KFT/QT exemption)

The Odds:

Here are the current favorites for this week’s event, along with a summary of their recent form and course history:

Tom Kim (+1200) is looking to defend his title at the Shriners Children’s Open after winning it in consecutive years. In his last start at the FedEx St. Jude Championship, he finished T50. Prior to that, he placed 8th at the Olympics but missed the cut at The Open Championship.

Taylor Pendrith (+2200) ended the season strong, finishing inside the top 15 in four of his last five events. He also achieved his first PGA TOUR victory in May at THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson. Pendrith will compete in the Shriners Children’s Open for the fourth time, with his best finish of T3 coming last year.

Davis Thompson (+2500) will make his third appearance at TPC Summerlin, where he previously finished T35 in 2023 and T12 in 2022. He secured his fourth career PGA TOUR victory at the John Deere Classic in July but has only managed to finish inside the top 20 once in his last five starts.

Beau Hossler (+2800) has played well in his last two starts losing in a playoff to Kevin Yu at the Sanderson Farms Championship and finshing T11 last week at the Black Desert Championship. This marks his seventh appearance at the event, where he’s placed inside the top 10 twice.

Tournament Props:

Playoff:

  • Will There Be a Playoff at the Shriners Children’s Open? (Yes +350 / No -500)

A playoff has determined the Shriners Children’s Open winner in two of the last five editions. In 2020, Martin Laird defeated Austin Cook and Matthew Wolff in a three-man playoff. In the year prior, Kevin Na defeated Patrick Cantlay.

Hole-in-One:

  • Will There Be A Hole-in-One at the Shriners Children’s Open? (Yes -125 / No +100)

In 2023, there were no holes-in-one recorded at the tournament. However, in 2022, one hole-in-one was made on Hole No. 14.

Recent Horses for Courses (Event):

Shriners Children’s OpenShriners Children’s OpenShriners Children’s OpenShriners Hospitals for Children OpenShriners Hospitals for Children Open
TPC SummerlinTPC SummerlinTPC SummerlinTPC SummerlinTPC Summerlin
GolferEvents PlayedScoring Avg. (per round)20232022202120202019
Tom Kim265.50WONWON
Matthew NeSmith567.05T42T2T14T8T18
Harry Hall367.25T26T15T8
Adam Hadwin867.302T10T6T34T4
Davis Thompson267.63T35T12
Taylor Montgomery267.75T35T15

Recent Donkeys for Courses (Event):

Shriners Children’s OpenShriners Children’s OpenShriners Children’s OpenShriners Hospitals for Children OpenShriners Hospitals for Children Open
TPC SummerlinTPC SummerlinTPC SummerlinTPC SummerlinTPC Summerlin
GolferEvents PlayedScoring Avg. (per round)20232022202120202019
Carson Young271.00MCMC
Zac Blair870.9542MCMCMC
Dylan Wu270.75MCMC
Andrew Novak270.50MCMC
Ryan Brehm470.30MCMCMC
Chez Reavie1370.28MCMCMC63MC
Roger Sloan370.00MCMC
Kurt Kitayama370.00MCMC
Keith Mitchell569.83T60MCMCMC

Previous Winners Scores, Prices, and Strokes Gained (Rank at Tournament):

  • 2023: Tom Kim (-20)
    • Price: 14-1
 SG: Off the TeeSG: Tee to GreenSG: ApproachSG: Around the GreenSG: Putting
Tom Kim39th13th3rd58th4th
  • 2022: Tom Kim (-24)
    • Price: 25-1
 SG: Off the TeeSG: Tee to GreenSG: ApproachSG: Around the GreenSG: Putting
Tom Kim32nd2nd5th19th1st
  • 2021: Sungjae Im (-24)
    • Price: 33-1
 SG: Off the TeeSG: Tee to GreenSG: ApproachSG: Around the GreenSG: Putting
Sungjae Im9th1st6th13th9th
  • 2020: Martin Laird (-23)
    • Price: 225-1
 SG: Off the TeeSG: Tee to GreenSG: ApproachSG: Around the GreenSG: Putting
Martin Laird27th2nd4th15th20th
  • 2019: Kevin Na (-23)
    • Price: 70-1
 SG: Off the TeeSG: Tee to GreenSG: ApproachSG: Around the GreenSG: Putting
Kevin Na54th55th35th54th1st

Previous Winners Incoming Form (Last 5 Starts):

  • 2023: Tom Kim
    • T6 – Cazoo Open de France (DPWT)
    • T18 – BMW PGA Championship (DPWT)
    • T20 – TOUR Championship (PGA)
    • T10 – BMW Championship (PGA)
    • T24 – FedEx St. Jude Championship (PGA)
  • 2022: Tom Kim
    • T4 – Dunlop Phoenix Tournament (JPN)
    • T54 – BMW Championship (PGA)
    • T13 – FedEx St. Jude Championship (PGA)
    • 1 – Wyndham Championship (PGA)
    • 7 – Rocket Mortgage Classic (PGA)

  • 2021: Sungjae Im
    • T31 – Sanderson Farms Championship (PGA)
    • T20 – TOUR Championship (PGA)
    • 3 – BMW Championship (PGA)
    • T16 – THE NORTHERN TRUST (PGA)
    • T24 – Wyndham Championship (PGA)

  • 2020: Martin Laird
    • T28 – Sanderson Farms Championship (PGA)
    • T65 – Corales Puntacana Resort & Club Championship (PGA)
    • MC – Safeway Open (PGA)
    • 65 – Lincoln Land Championship (KFT)
    • T6 – Puerto Rico Open (PGA)

  • 2019: Kevin Na
    • MC – Safeway Open (PGA)
    • T14 – A Military Tribute (PGA)
    • T77 – THE NORTHERN TRUST (PGA)
    • T43 – WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational (PGA)
    • WD – 3M Open (PGA)

Previous Winners Finishes at Event:

2023: Tom Kim

2022
Tom KimWON

2022: Tom Kim

  • Tournament Debut

2021: Sungjae Im

20202018
Sungjae ImT13T15

2020: Martin Laird

20192018201720162015201420132011201020092008
Martin LairdT48T28MCT27T43T18MCT40T2WONT47

2019: Kevin Na

20182016201520142012201120102008200720062004
Kevin NaMCMCT2MCT22WONT45T15T19T24DQ

Picks:

Outrights:

  • Taylor Pendrith (+2200) – DraftKings
    • Risk 0.37 to win 8.14 Units

Pendrith has been fantastic lately, finishing inside the top 15 in four of his last five PGA TOUR starts. The only outlier was a T22 finish at the FedEx St. Jude Championship. After early-season struggles with his iron play, he’s turned it around, gaining strokes on approach in his last five starts.

This will be his sixth appearance in this tournament with his best finish coming last year where he finished T3, two shots behind the winner Tom Kim.

Amongst the field in the last 24 rounds he ranks 50th in SG: Off the Tee, 21st in SG: Approach, 35th in SG: Tee to Green, 12th in Birdies or Better Gained, and 21st in SG: Putting (Bentgrass). His lone win this season at TPC Craig Ranch which also featured Bentgrass greens.

  • Davis Thompson (+2500) – DraftKings
    • Risk 0.32 to win 8.00 Units

Thompson captured his first PGA TOUR victory earlier this year at the John Deere Classic, with runner-up finishes at the Rocket Mortgage Classic and Myrtle Beach Classic. He has yet to play in the FedExCup Fall Swing with his last start on the PGA TOUR coming at the BMW Championship where he placed T41.

This will be his third appearance at TPC Summerlin, where he previously finished T35 in 2023 and T12 in 2022. Thompson also played well at TPC Scottsdale earlier in the season placing T15, a comp course for this week’s venue.

Amongst the field in the last 24 rounds he ranks 8th in SG: Off the Tee, 59th in SG: Approach, 3rd in SG: Tee to Green, 29th in Birdies or Better Gained, and 4th in SG: Around the Green. Thompson hasn’t been super consistent with the flat stick but his lone win this season came at TPC Deere Run which also features Bentgrass greens where he ranked 5th in SG: Putting.

  • Eric Cole (+3500) – DraftKings
    • Risk 0.23 to win 8.05 Units

Eric Cole has yet to win his first PGA Tour event but based on his recent form, he’s right around the corner. In his last five started, Cole has finished inside the top 20 three times. Two weeks ago at the Sanderson Farms Championship, he finished T16 ranking 1st amongst the field in SG: Approach.

This will be his third appearance at TPC Summerlin, where he previously finished T3 in 2023 and missed the cut in 2022. In the last editon of this event Cole struggled in the first round but manged to finsh strong posting a final round of 62. In that event he ranked 2nd in SG: Around the Green, 4th in SG: Approach, 1st in SG: Tee to Green. The only downside was his putting where he ranked 52nd amongst the field. However, Cole has been much better on the green as of late gaining strokes putting in eight of his last ten starts.

Amongst the field in the last 24 rounds he ranks 9th in SG: Approach, 13th in SG: Tee to Green, 20th in SG: Putting (Bentgrass), and 29th in SG: Around the Green.

  • Cameron Davis (+4000) – DraftKings
    • Risk 0.20 to win 8.00 Units

Cameron Davis will make his first start since August where he finished T5 at the BMW Championship. He won his second PGA TOUR event earleir this year at the Rocket Mortgage Classic.

This will be his sixth appearance in this tournament with his best finish coming last year where he finished T7. Despite only having one finish inside the top 10 at this event, Davis has never missed the cut at TPC Summerlin.

Amongst the field in the last 24 rounds he ranks 55th in SG: Approach, 7th in SG: Tee to Green, 3rd in SG: Around the Green, and 2nd in Birdies or Better.

Total Risk on Outrights: 1.12 Units

Top 20 (including ties):

  • Seamus Power (+135) – DraftKings
    • Risk 1.00 to win 1.35 Units

Seamus Power has yet to miss a cut in his last nine professional starts. He comes into the Shriners in great formhaving finished T11 (Black Desert Championship), T11 (Sanderson Farms Championship), and T10 (FedEx St. Jude Championship) in his last three starts on the PGA TOUR.

This will be his sixth appearance in this tournament with his best finish coming back in 2021 where he placed T21. Despite only not having placed in the top 20 before at this event, this is the best he’s played heading into the tournament compared to his previous appearances at TPC Summerlin.

Amongst the field in the last 24 rounds he ranks 22nd in SG: Off the Tee, 39th in SG: Approach, 21st in SG: Tee to Green, and 38th in Birdies or Better Gained.

  • Harry Hall (+175) – DraftKings
    • Risk 1.00 to win 1.75 Units

Harry Hall won his first PGA TOUR event earleir this year at the ISCO Championship. Last week at the Black Desert Championship he finished T35. Prior to that, he played over in Europe on the DPWT for three events where he registered two top 20 finishes.

This will be his fourth appearance in this tournament having finished T26 in 2023, T15 in 2022, and T8 in 2021.

Amongst the field in the last 24 rounds he ranks 31st in SG: Approach, 12th in SG: Tee to Green, 2nd in SG: Around the Green, 2nd in SG: Putting (Bentgrass) and 3rd in Birdies or Better Gained. His lone win this season came at Keene Trace Golf Club which also features Bentgrass greens.

Total Risk on Top 20s: 2.00 Units

Total Risk on the Shriners Children’s Open: 3.19 Units 

Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting. Any feedback whether positive or negative is always encouraged.

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