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Oregon State vs Air Force +3.5 O/U 45.5
This is a nice under-the-radar game to bet on for Saturday. Service academies are always the same. When there isn’t much change, they are solid bet on teams after week 3 or so. When there is change, they are big fade teams for 3/4 of the season. Well, now we are past that, and it’s time to grab some value. Since losing to New Mexico back in early October, the Falcons have improved that defense only allowing 21 to Colorado State, 20 to Army, and 28 to Fresno State where they won that game. Their rush defense has improved some. Oregon State on the other hand has still been hot garbage since they lost everyone last season. This team can’t buy a win in the mountain west since early against Colorado State. They cannot stop the run ranking 119th in defensive rushing success rate and 119th in opponent rush EPA. This is a simple control the time of possession and stop the other team spot. Use the force.
Air Force +3.5 – 2 stars
