Villanova vs St John’s -6.5 O/U 145.5
This should be a good matchup in the big easy. The Johnny’s have had a solid start to the season at 13-3. They play fast yet are a solid rebounding team ranking 14th in offensive rebounding. They are poor at shooting the three, but they only take 29.7% of their shots behind the arc. Defense has been big for Rick Pitino’s Red Storm as they rank 6th in adjusted defensive efficiency. Since the Maryland loss, Nova has been on a tear winning 8 of their last nine games. None more significant than their big win at home against UCONN. I must say that Nova has been tearing through their opponents with an amazing effective FG% ranking 9th in the land at 58.2%. The Cats rank 4th in three point percentage at 41.4%. Is that sustainable? I am not so sure. Nova relies on the three, and when they are away from home, their effective FG% drops down to 54.2%. Factor in that their non-conference strength of schedule ranks 321st and you have your answer. I honestly do not think that Villanova can shoot on the road against a good defense. Further more, Nova’s win against UCONN was without the Huskie’s best player in Liam McNeeley. This is a huge let down spot for the Cats. Lay the points with the Johnny’s!
St John’s -6.5 – 2.5 stars
Bonus Play – Florida/Arkansas over 156.5 – 2.5 stars – Both teams play extremely fast. Arkansas needs this game like blood and I expect a big shootout today.