SEC – Florida to win the SEC Tournament +340 – 1 star – This tournament will be played at the Bridgestone Arena in Nashville Tenn. – Florida is the best team in the SEC and the second best team in college basketball. I see value here mainly because they are being priced as the second favorite behind Auburn as the two seed. Looking at the other top teams like Auburn, Tennessee, and Alabama, I believe their focus will turn to the NCAA tournament next week while the Gators and their fans need something to feel good about. Being that this conference is so strong, I will say that it won’t shock me to see 5 other teams win it if Florida doesn’t
Big 10 – Maryland to win the Big 10 tournament +450 – .5 stars – Wisconsin ML rollover – .5 stars – I think that this Tournament is up in the air. Michigan State isn’t that strong of a 1 seed, but on the weaker side of the bracket, if anyone can give Sparty problems it is definitely Bucky who has the most efficient offense in the Big 10. I will say that this Wisconsin team needs to get hot if they want to go far in the post season. I feel that Maryland is the most complete team, yet on the harder side of the bracket with a now healthy Illinois team and last year’s champion in Purdue, with the Twin towers of Michigan.
Big 12 – Baylor to win the Big 12 tournament +5000 – .25 stars – Texas Tech ML rollover – .5 stars – Played at the T-Mobile Center in Kansas City. I think the price on Baylor is wrong here and that is the main reason for the small play. They will end up facing Texas Tech if they get far enough, and I think one of these teams will emerge from the bottom side of the bracket. Baylor has the best offensive scheme under Will Wade, and Texas Tech has the strongest team now that they are healthy. Arizona is a good team, but not a great team. Houston will have their hands full up top with Iowa State if it’s not BYU.
Mountain west – Colorado State +440 – .25 stars – The Thomas Mack Center is Las Vegas – Colorado State is the hottest team and that win at Boise on friday made some noise. All these teams tend to suck in general when they are away from home. The 1 seed in New Mexico is already in the big dance, so their total motivation is in question. I think somebody steals a bit here.
A10 – Dayton to win at +500 – 1 star – This tournament will be at Capital One Arena in Washington DC. I do not love the one seed in VCU as their offense tends to sputter, and the two seed in George Mason has a very bad offense. The Flyers just went to VCU and pimp-slapped them on the road on Friday. Guys like Malachi Smith and Zed Key are finally showing up. Dayton played well in Maui almost beating UNC and Iowa State. Then beating UCONN. Dayton has been inconsistent, but their road to the Championship game isn’t all that bad.
