College Basketball NCAA Tournament – The Busy East Quadrant round of 32!

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Saturday

BYU vs Wisconsin -1 O/U 155.5 – Ball Arena in Denver CO

  • This game is troubling to me as both teams seem to mirror each other and both are very inconsistent.
  • These two teams play at a medium pace and love to shoot the three ball.  Both top 20 in three point attempts.
  • There is a ton of variance in this game as the team that wins is the one that will hit more 3s.
  • Wisconsin is better at defending the three while BYU is better at shooting the 3.
  • BYU is playing very close to home in Denver, but there will be Badger fans as well.
  • Wisconsin starts games off well, but they don’t always finish well.
  • Wisconsin 1st half PK -120 – 1.5 stars

Sunday

Baylor vs Duke -11.5 O/U 143.5 – Lenovo Center Raleigh NC

  • This is essentially a home game for Duke.
  • The Blue Devils are playing like an NBA team right now.  Baylor is feisty, but they have no matchup advantages on offense and very few on defense.
  • Baylor might be able to hang around for a little while, but this game could get ugly quick.
  • Lean Baylor 1st half +6

St Mary’s vs Alabama -5.5 O/U 148.5 – Rocket Arena Cleveland OH

  • This is an interesting pace war as Alabama is the fastest team while St Mary’s is the 4th slowest team in the country.
  • The Total insinuates that Alabama sets more of the pace which tells your that the spread may be live here.
  •  The only matchup advantage that the Crimson tide have here is from the mid range.  If Alabama isn’t hitting threes, then this game could get ugly for them.
  • Alabama plays some pretty solid defense themselves.   This is a perfect spread, but I lean St Mary’s in the first half.
  • Lean St Mary’s 1st half +3

Oregon vs Arizona -3.5 O/U 152.5 – Climate Pledge Arena Seattle WA

  • This is a home game for Oregon playing in Seattle.
  • Both of these teams destroyed their competition in the first round, but I expect ths game to be a little tighter.
  • Arizona is a fast paced team, but they are also very inconsistent.
  • The only real matchup advantage that Arizona has is mid range shots, and they are the better rebounding team.
  • Oregon has played some very good basketball down the stretch winning 9 of their last 10 games.
  • These coaches know each other very well from their PAC12 days.
  • Factoring in home court, this game should be closer to pickem.
  • Oregon +3.5 – 2 stars 


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