Kentucky vs Vanderbilt +9.5 O/U 137.5
Make sure that you cover your eyes because this one is UUUUUUGLY! Kentucky has been straight up balling as we have seen this year stepping up to the plate and beating big teams like Auburn, Louisville, North Carolina and now Kansas this past Saturday. Well here comes the let down spot. Kansas is a very good team but as we all know, they were missing their best player to injury. These 2 teams have already squared off in Lexington with Kentucky beating them by 9 points. Now Kentucky likes to play a slow game as we know and they try and suffocate their opponents down low in the paint. They pretty much have to because they shoot at a pretty low 35% from 3 point land but even worst 30% on the road. Vanderbilt on the other hand shoots a pretty bad three themselves at 33% except when they are at home they average a better 37%. I also like they way that that matched up against Tennessee. A key here to me is Vanderbilt has the height ranking 15th tallest team in the nation to match up with Kentucky big guys inside the paint. The Wildcat’s best weapons are down low and if Vanderbilt can do enough to frustrate them or get them in foul trouble then this could be anyone’s game. Vandy has had a brutal SEC schedule already playing many of the best teams but they are looking for that first big win and no better place then at home and no better time than now vs a let down spot. As of right now only 44% of the ticket counts are on Vandy but 66% of the money is on Vandy. Told you this one was ugly!
Vanderbilt +9.5 and ML small
Trend play: Taking NIU – 5 vs Ohio. The Huskies are 6-1 ATS at home while Ohio is 1-5 ATS on the road. The Bobcats are a terrible shooting team ranking 253rd in effective FG percentage while the Huskies rank 22nd! Ohio is even worse on the road and the fact that they are coming off of a close win vs Ball State and NIU is coming off of a loss makes me like this even more.
