Mississippi vs South Carolina +2 O/U 148.5
Ole Miss is 7-1 ATS on the road since November 16th. Looking at these teams there is 2 obvious things that stick out to me. South Carolina will not be making the NCAA tournament at 13-12 with no top 50 non-conference wins while Ole miss is currently in but kinda on the bubble since their non-conference schedule was weak and with only 1 top 50 win against Baylor. Now the Gamecocks have had some good wins in the SEC upsetting the likes of Auburn recently and Mississippi State and Florida, but this team kinda went into a downswing when they lost a few role players hurting their bench depth. The Gamecocks run with mainly 7 guys now, and for their fast style of play, it sometimes proves to be detrimental to the end of the game when they are gassed. Looking at the numbers, you can see that Mississippi is an above average SEC Team who shoots extremely well from the free throw line and solid everywhere else. The main problem with South Carolina is that they are sloppy and turn the ball over 20% of their possessions. I do like Ole Miss here from a motivational angle but the only caveat is that South Carolina is the best 3 point shooting team in the SEC and Ole Miss has the worst 3 point defense. On the other hand the Gamecocks rank almost dead last in the SEC in 2 point percentage and free throw percentage so Mississippi should be able to cheat up a bit in defense (if I was the coach, I would do that anyways). Being that wins are so important to the Rebels here, I have to think they will step up their perimeter defense here but just in case a small play to the over may not hurt if South Carolina comes out raining 3s on fire. This is also a revenge game for the Rebels when the Gamecocks took them out of the SEC tournament last year.
Ole Miss -2 bigger and over 148.5 smaller
Ohio vs Buffalo – 18 O/U 154
If it was up to me, this game wouldn’t even make it on ESPN Plus tonight as far as quality basketball is concerned but that doesn’t mean that there isn’t any good betting angles to take advantage upon here. Buffalo had a few hick-ups in the Mac losing to Northern Illinois and Bowling green. Now at this point they are still at least an at large 5 seed being at 25th in the AP poll but that doesn’t mean they are guaranteed in if they slip up by losing another bad game or 2 and also not winning their conference tournament. Buffalo didn’t have a tough non-conference schedule and with Syracuse going down hill, that win isn’t looking as good these days. Now make no doubt about it, the Bulls are a top 25 team but they certainly need some style points to up their stats when it comes to seeding. No better time and place to pick on a team then at home tonight vs the Ohio Bobcats. The Bobcats are the worst team in their division in the Mac and when you look at their 316th ranked offense you really do not have to ask why. The Bobcats defense hasn’t been anything to write home about either ranking 9th in the MAC. After losing 5 games in a row it really doesn’t show any reason for motivation for Ohio to be playing an away game against a team that will destroy them like Buffalo and I am betting that they have given up on their season. The last time Ohio faced a top 54 team it was against Toledo with Ohio losing by 23 points. The next best team that they faced was way back in January against Bowling green who shows the 84th best team and Ohio lost by 19 points. The Bobcats now face the fastest playing team that they have seen all year in a top 25 Buffalo squad who is going to boat race them without even batting an eyelash and without Ohio giving a damn.
Buffalo -18 all the way to 23
