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College Football Week 5 Misleading Final Scores

  • Florida State out-gained Virginia 514 to 440 yet lost in OT 46-38.  Equal turnovers at 3, but poor red zone defense and field position got the Semis.  
  • ASU out-gained TCU 498 to 269 yet only won 27-24.   They won the turnover battle 3-1 but a terrible start to the game with poor special teams hurt them.
  • Navy outgained Rice 455 to 234 yet only won 21-13.  A 1-0 turnover ratio and field position got them from covering.
  • Texas A&M out-gained Auburn 414 to 177 yet only won 16-10.  A 1-0 pick 6 turnover ratio did them in.
  • Jacksonville State out-gained Southern Miss 390 to 377 yet lost 42-25.  A nasty 4-1 turnover ratio smoked em.
  • Marshall out-gained Louisiana 501 to 461 yet lost 54-51 in overtime.   They won the turnover battle 2-1, but poor special teams and red zone defense got the herd.
  • UTEP’s yards were mainly garbage time so no adjustement.

2025 Sanderson Farms Championship Preview & Picks

The Sanderson Farms Championship is the second event of the FedExCup Fall, where players are competing to secure a spot in the top 100 of the FedExCup standings. Those who finish in the top 100 will earn full PGA TOUR status for the upcoming season, while players ranked 101-125 will receive conditional status for 2026.

Ryder Cup Connections in the Field

Fresh off Europe’s 15-13 victory over the United States at Bethpage Black, only one Ryder Cup player is heading straight to Mississippi for the Sanderson Farms Championship. Rasmus Højgaard, who went 0-2 at Bethpage and is 87th in the FedExCup standings, will compete alongside his brother Nicolai (74th), who is also in the field. Nicolai played for Team Europe in the 2023 Ryder Cup but did not make the team this year. Other participants with Ryder Cup ties include Europe Vice Captain Francesco Molinari and American assistant Brandt Snedeker.

Tournament Storylines:

Kevin Yu Looks to Repeat

Kevin Yu returns to defend his title after claiming his first PGA TOUR victory at the 2024 Sanderson Farms Championship, defeating Beau Hossler in a playoff. Yu is attempting to become the first player in more than 50 years to win the event in consecutive seasons.

Yu has had strong results in 2025, including a third-place finish at the RBC Canadian Open and fourth at the ONEFlight Myrtle Beach Classic, narrowly missing playoffs both times. He also made the FedExCup Playoffs for the first time in his career, finishing T32 at the FedEx St. Jude Championship. Currently 65th in the FedExCup standings, Yu is on track to stay inside the top 100 and retain his PGA TOUR card for next season.

Last PGA TOUR event in Mississippi?

This is the final year for Sanderson Farms as the tournament’s title sponsor. The company has supported the event since 2013 and had originally planned to step down after last year, but they had a last-minute change of heart and agreed to sponsor the tournament. Following this year’s event, the 13-year partnership will come to an end, despite their original contract running through 2026. Tournament director Steve Jent now faces the task of finding a new sponsor for 2026 and beyond, making the coming months crucial for the long-term future of the Sanderson Farms Championship.

Tournament Information:

  • Dates: October 2nd – October 5th, 2025
  • Location: Jackson, Mississippi, United States
  • Course: The Country Club of Jackson
  • Course Type: Resort
  • Par: 72 (4x 3’s / 10x 4’s / 4x 5’s)
  • Length: 7,461 Yards
  • Format: 72-hole stroke play
  • Greens: Champion bermudagrass .110”
  • Fairways: 419 bermudagrass .450”
  • Rough: 419 bermudagrass / Zeon zoysiagrass 2.5”
  • Bunkers: 56
  • Water Hazard(s): 7 (In-Play on 5 Holes)
  • Average Green Size: 6,200 sq. ft.
  • Stimpmeter: 12.0 ft.
  • Purse/ Winner: $6,000,000 /$1,080,000
  • FedEx Cup Points: 500
  • Field: 132 Players
  • Cut: Top 70 and Ties – 36 Holes
  • Playoff Format: Sudden Death | Holes 18, 18, 10, 10
  • Course Scoring Average:
    • 2024: 69.42 (-2.58), Difficulty Rank 46 of 51
    • 2023: 70.25 (-1.75), Difficulty Rank 45 of 58
    • 2022: 71.15 (-0.85), Difficulty Rank 29 of 50
  • Historic Cut Line:
  • 2024: -6
  • 2023: -5
  • 2022: -2

Social Media:

Course Information:

Course Architect:

  • Course Architect: Dick Wilson (1962)
  • Renovations: John Fought with Mike Gogel (2008)

Comparable Courses:

  • Detroit Golf Club – Rocket Mortgage Classic – RESULTS
  • Silverado Resort & Spa – Procore Championship – RESULTS
  • Memorial Park Golf Course – Texas Children’s Houston Open – RESULTS

Comparable Location (Jackson, Mississippi):

  • TPC Southwind – Memphis, Tennessee – FedEx St. Jude Championship
  • TPC Louisiana – Avondale, Louisiana – Zurich Classic of New Orleans

Designer Link (Dick Wilson (1962)):

  • Arnold Palmer’s Bay Hill Club & Lodge – Dick Wilson (1961) – Arnold Palmer Invitational

Comparable Yardage (7,461 Yards):

  • El Cardonal at Diamante – 7,452 Yards – World Wide Technology Championship
  • Arnold Palmer’s Bay Hill Club & Lodge – 7,466 Yards – Arnold Palmer Invitational
  • Memorial Park Golf Course – 7,475 Yards – Texas Children’s Houston Open

Comparable Greens (Champion bermudagrass .110”):

  • Dunes Golf and Beach Club – Champion ultradwarf bermudagrass .100” – ONEflight Myrtle Beach Classic
  • Sedgefield Country Club – Champion bermudagrass .120” – Wyndham Championship
  • Kapalua Resort (Plantation) – TifEagle bermudagrass .110” – The Sentry
  • Waialae Country Club – Bermudagrass – Sony Open in Hawaii
  • PGA National Resort (The Champion Course) – TifEagle bermudagrass .080” – Cognizant Classic
  • Arnold Palmer’s Bay Hill Club & Lodge – TifEagle bermudagrass .110” – Arnold Palmer Invitational
  • TPC Southwind – TifEagle bermudagrass .090” – FedEx St. Jude Championship
  • East Lake Golf Club – TifEagle bermudagrass .115” – TOUR Championship
  • Port Royal Golf Course – Tif Eagle bermudagrass .125” – Butterfield Bermuda Championship
  • Sea Island Golf Club – TifEagle bermudagrass – The RSM Classic

Comparable Average Green Size (6,200 sq. ft.):

  • East Lake Golf Club – 6,238 sq. ft. – TOUR Championship
  • Sea Island Golf Club (Plantation Course) – 6,100 sq. ft. – The RSM Classic

TV Information (all times ET):

  • Round 1: Thursday, October 2nd, 2025
    • ESPN + (PGA TOUR Live) – 8:00 AM – 4:00 PM
    • Golf Channel – 4:00 PM – 7:00 PM
  • Round 2: Friday, October 3rd, 2025
    • ESPN + (PGA TOUR Live) – 8:00 AM – 4:00 PM
    • Golf Channel – 4:00 PM – 7:00 PM
  • Round 3: Saturday, October 4th, 2025
    • Golf Channel – 4:00 PM – 7:00 PM
  • Round 4: Sunday, October 5th, 2025
    • Golf Channel – 3:30 PM – 6:30 PM

Weather:

Course/ Tournament History:

The Sanderson Farms Championship began in 1968 as the Magnolia Classic and has since become a staple on the PGA Tour. Initially, the event was considered an “alternate” or “opposite-field” tournament, held alongside major competitions like the Ryder Cup or larger tournaments. Because of this, it typically attracted players who were not in the elite field at those marquee events. Despite its status, the tournament remained a crucial part of the PGA Tour calendar, offering players an opportunity to secure important FedExCup points and establish themselves on the tour. Throughout its early history, the event was hosted at various locations, including Hattiesburg Country Club, Annandale Golf Club, and later its current home, the Country Club of Jackson, in Jackson, Mississippi.

In 2013, the tournament secured its title sponsor, Sanderson Farms, a poultry company based in Mississippi, which helped solidify its future on the PGA Tour. This partnership significantly raised the profile of the event, and in 2019, the Sanderson Farms Championship was elevated to a full FedExCup points event and also rescheduled to September, as the second tournament of the PGA Tour season. This upgrade meant the winner would receive a Masters Tournament invitation, which further boosted the tournament’s prestige and drew a stronger field of competitors. The event has also become known for its philanthropic efforts, with proceeds benefiting the Friends of Children’s Hospital, a non-profit supporting pediatric care in Mississippi.

The Country Club of Jackson has a rich history dating back to its founding in 1914. Located in the capital city of Mississippi, the club was established to provide a premier recreational and social venue for the community. Originally, the club featured a nine-hole golf course, which was later expanded as the club grew in size and reputation. Over the years, the Country Club of Jackson has undergone several renovations and enhancements to maintain its status as one of the top golf and country clubs in the region. In the mid-1960s, the course was completely redesigned by prominent golf course architect Dick Wilson, whose work brought a modern flair to the club’s layout.

The club gained national recognition when it became the host venue for the Sanderson Farms Championship in 2014, a prestigious event on the PGA Tour. This marked a significant moment in the club’s history, as it became home to one of Mississippi’s premier sporting events. The Country Club of Jackson’s 27-hole layout, which includes the Azalea, Dogwood, and Cypress nines, provides a scenic and challenging setting for the tournament, showcasing the course’s undulating fairways, water hazards, and strategic bunkering.

Previous Tournament Venues:

DurationCourseLocation:
2014 – PresentCountry Club of JacksonJackson, Mississippi
1994-2013Annandale Golf ClubMadison, Mississippi
1968-1993Hattiesburg Country ClubHattiesburg, Mississippi

Previous Tournament Names:

DurationTournament Name
2013 – PresentSanderson Farms Championship
2012True South Classic
2007-2011Viking Classic
1999-2006Southern Farm Bureau Classic
1986-1998Deposit Guaranty Golf Classic
1968-1985Magnolia Classic

Tournament Records:

  • Most Wins at Event:
    • 2 – Fred Funk (1998, 2004), Brian Henninger (1994, 1999), Dwight Nevil (1973, 1974)
  • 72-Hole Record:
    • 263, Dan Halldorson (1986 at Hattiesburg GC)

  • 18-Hole Record:
    • 61, Keith Clearwater (second round, 1996 at Annandale GC)

Course Records:

  • 72-Hole Record:
    • 266, Sam Burns (2021)

  • 18-Hole Record:
    • 62, Roberto Castro (first round, 2015)

Course Guide/ Scorecard:

The Country Club of Jackson, designed by Dick Wilson, is a par-72 that presents a balanced test with four par 3s, ten par 4s, and four par 5s. The Dogwood-Azalea course at the Country Club of Jackson was designed by John Fought and Mike Gogel. “Dogwood” refers to the front nine and “Azalea” refers to the back nine.

The Country Club of Jackson measures 7,461 yards, making it the 15th longest course on the PGA TOUR this season but doesn’t play it’s true distance as longer hitters can cut corners and take more agressive lines on certain dog-legs. The fairways are narrow, averaging 29 yards wide, ranking among the 7th narrowest on TOUR, but accuracy off the tee is essential as the rough isn’t all that penal. The greens are smaller than the PGA TOUR average at around 6,200 square feet, putting a premium on precise approach shots. With only 56 bunkers—the 9th fewest on TOUR— and water only coming into play on 5 holes – the 7th fewest on TOUR – hazards are less of a factor here.


The four par 3s at The Country Club of Jackson range from 168 to 223 yards, placing a premium on precision and smart club selection. In last year’s Sanderson Farms Championship, only one hole, No. 10, played over par. on average.

Hole 7 | Par 3 | 214 Yards | 2024 Stroke Average: 2.993 (Difficulty Rank – 5)

Players have a fairly straightforward long iron into this green. However, a miss long or right can make for a difficult up and down. A par on this hole is a good score, and it had a scoring average over par last year.

Hole 13 | Par 3 | 168 Yards | 2024 Stroke Average: 2.924 (Difficulty Rank – 8)

While this is the shortest hole on the course, swirling winds come into play and can knock a high iron down. The green is protected by two front bunkers and one hidden over the left side.


The Country Club of Jackson features ten par 4s, most of which fall between 400 and 450 yards. Strategy plays a major role, particularly on holes that offer tempting risk-reward opportunities. In 2024, the two toughest par 4s were No, 16, No. 6, and No. 18, the only Par 4’s to play over par.

Hole 8 | Par 4 | 403 Yards | 2024 Stroke Average: 3.889 (Difficulty Rank – 11)

Is a dog-leg left where an accurate tee shot is crucial. Since it’s only 400 yards, most players will club down here and try to avoid the creek runs along the hole on the left side. On a player’s approach shot, they’ll have to navigate the two bunkers that protect the green in the front.

Hole 16 | Par 4 | 479 Yards | 2024 Stroke Average: 4.104 (Difficulty Rank – 1)

This is the signature hole on the course and will require two demanding shots. A swamp runs along the entire left side of the hole and crosses the fairway approximately 80 yards from the hole. If players choose the “bailout” option trees come into play and are forced to hit towards the water on their approach. In addition to the swamp on the left, the green is protected by a large bunker on the right.


There are four Par 5’s on the course: No. 3, No. 5, No. 11, and No. 14. All of these holes had a scoring average under par in 2024. No. 3 was the easiest Par 5 on the course last year with a scoring average of 0.453 below par.

Hole 5 | Par 5 | 612 Yards | 2024 Stroke Average: 4.587 (Difficulty Rank – 16)

This is the longest hole on the course and the toughest of the Par 5’s. Off the tee, players will try to navigate their ball between two fairway bunkers, putting them in position to try and go for it in two. If they do try and reach the green in two, they cannot miss short-left as a pond comes into play. The green itself is surrounded by multiple bunkers as well.

Hole 14 | Par 5 | 584 Yards | 2024 Stroke Average: 4.681 (Difficulty Rank – 15)

Players will need an accurate tee shot off the tee. The left side is woodlands, while on the right side, trees can come into play. Even if they do find the fairway, they can end up in one of the fairway bunkers. On their approach shot, they’ll have to avoid the two front bunkers.

Featured/ Signature Hole(s): 16

Key Statistics:

As the Sanderson Farms Championship returns to The Country Club of Jackson, understanding how the course compares to PGA TOUR averages can help identify which players are best suited for success. Here’s how The Country Club of Jackson stacks up statistically:

StatisticsPGA Tour AverageThe Country Club of Jackson
Driving Distance (Yards)283.99286.94
Driving Accuracy62%54%
GIR Percentage66%66%
Avg GIR Prox. to Hole (Feet)29.1730.67
Scrambling Percentage57%63%
Avg 3 Putts / Round0.550.51

According to DataGolf, players who thrive at The Country Club of Jackson typically combine length off the tee with strong approach play and a reliable putter.

Strokes Gained: Approach

  • Approach play remains one of the most predictive stats at The Country Club of Jackson. With smaller greens than the PGA TOUR average and plenty of scorable pin locations, players who can hit their irons close give themselves the best chance to go low. Four of the last five winners ranked inside the top 25 in SG: Approach for the week, with three of them 6th or better.
    • Leaders in SG: Approach (Last 24 Rounds):
      • Ben Kohles
      • Akshay Bhatia
      • Rico Hoey
      • Victor Perez
      • Lee Hodges
      • Doug Ghim
      • Antoine Rozner
      • Mac Meissner
      • David Skinns
      • Nicolai Hojgaard

Strokes Gained: Putting (Bermudagrass)

  • The Country Club of Jackson features Champion bermudagrass greens, where putting has been a consistent differentiator. Each of the last three winners ranked 14th or better in SG: Putting.
    • Leaders in SG: Putting (Bermudagrass) (Last 24 Rounds):
      • Taylor Montgomery
      • Braden Thornberry
      • Min Woo Lee
      • Brandt Snedeker
      • Andrew Putnam
      • Jackson Suber
      • Sam Ryder
      • Christiaan Bezuidenhout
      • Matti Schmid
      • J.T. Poston

Driving Distance Gained

  • Length helps set up shorter approaches on the par 4s and par 5s, giving bombers a natural edge.
    • Leaders in Driving Distance Gained (Last 24 Rounds):
      • Gordon Sargent
      • Jesper Svensson
      • Niklas Norgaard Moller
      • Cameron Champ
      • Nicolai Hojgaard
      • Michael Thorbjornsen
      • Tim Widing
      • Trevor Cone
      • Rasmus Hojgaard
      • Matti Schmid

Par 3 Scoring: 200-225 Yards

  • Two of the four par 3s at Jackson stretch into this range and demand precise long-iron play. Success here can swing momentum over four rounds.
    • Leaders in Par 3 Scoring: 200-225 Yards (Last 24 Rounds):
      • Matti Schmid
      • Lee Hodges
      • Brandt Snedeker
      • Garrick Higgo
      • William Mouw
      • Sami Valimaki
      • Antoine Rozner
      • David Skinns
      • Joel Dahmen
      • Mackenzie Hughes

Par 4 Scoring: 400-450 Yards

  • The Country Club of Jackson features ten par 4s with the majority (six) falling between 400 and 450 yards, making this yardage range a key battleground throughout the week. These holes require smart strategy, solid tee shots, and precise iron play to generate scoring chances.
    • Leaders in Par 4 Scoring: 400-450 Yards (Last 24 Rounds):
      • Patrick Fishburn
      • Taylor Montgomery
      • Akshay Bhatia
      • Victor Perez
      • Matt Wallace
      • Isaiah Salinda
      • Trey Mullinax
      • Mark Hubbard
      • Aaron Wise
      • Kevin Roy

Par 5 Scoring: 550-600 Yards

  • Two of the four par 5s at The Country Club of Jackson fall in this distance range and present prime scoring chances, especially for longer hitters. Making birdies or better on these holes is often key to keeping pace with the field.
    • Leaders in Par 5 Scoring: 550-600 Yards (Last 24 Rounds):
      • Nicolai Hojgaard
      • Thorbjorn Olesen
      • Akshay Bhatia
      • Pierceson Coody
      • William Mouw
      • Hayden Springer
      • Quade Cummins
      • Chan Kim
      • Taylor Montgomery
      • Garrick Higgo

Opportunities Gained

  • This metric tracks how frequently players create quality birdie looks inside 15 feet—crucial on a course like The Country Club of Jackson, where low scores are required to contend. With the Sanderson Farms Championship often turning into a birdie-fest, Opportunities Gained is a strong predictor of who’s in form and ready to capitalize.
    • Leaders in Opportunities Gained (Last 24 Rounds):
      • Keith Mitchell
      • Davis Thompson
      • Thorbjorn Olesen
      • Adam Schenk
      • Lee Hodges
      • Michael Thorbjornsen
      • Ricky Castillo
      • Emiliano Grillo
      • Mac Meissner
      • Akshay Bhatia

Birdies or Better Gained

  • This stat is a key measure of scoring potential, especially at The Country Club of Jackson where winning totals often fall between 18 and 23 under par. Contenders must consistently capitalize on scoring chances and pile up birdies.
    • Leaders in Birdies or Better Gained (Last 24 Rounds):
      • Keith Mitchell
      • Michael Thorbjornsen
      • Nicolai Hojgaard
      • Sami Valimaki
      • Matti Schmid
      • Luke Clanton
      • Mark Hubbard
      • Kevin Yu
      • Emiliano Grillo
      • Hayden Springer

Proximity: 100-125, 125-150 Yards

  • At The Country Club of Jackson, a high volume of approach shots land in the 100-to-150-yard range, with a smaller but still meaningful share coming from beyond 200 yards. This reflects the course’s emphasis on wedge and mid-iron precision, while also testing long-iron play on several lengthy par 4s and both par 5s.
  • Success at the Sanderson Farms Championship often comes down to who can dial it in from these key yardages and consistently give themselves realistic birdie looks.
    • Leaders in Proximity: 100-125 Yards (Last 24 Rounds):
      • Ben Kohles
      • Adam Hadwin
      • Adam Svensson
      • Quade Cummins
      • Matt Kuchar
      • Greyson Sigg
      • Seamus Power
      • Davis Thompson
      • Thomas Rosenmueller
      • Zach Johnson
    • Leaders in Proximity: 125-150 Yards (Last 24 Rounds):
      • Chandler Phillips
      • Greyson Sigg
      • Christiaan Bezuidenhout
      • Seamus Power
      • Mac Meissner
      • Francesco Molinari
      • Davis Thompson
      • Joel Dahmen
      • David Lipsky
      • David Ford
    • Leaders in Proximity: 200+ Yards (Last 24 Rounds):
      • Antoine Rozner
      • Will Gordon
      • Michael Thorbjornsen
      • Matti Schmid
      • Kevin Yu
      • Adam Schenk
      • Joel Dahmen
      • Cameron Champ
      • Norman Xiong
      • Thorbjorn Olesen

Comparable Courses and Event History

  • These are your course horses—players who’ve repeatedly performed well at the Sanderson Farms Championship. Whether it’s course fit, comfort with the setup, or success on similar layouts, this group has a proven track record at The Country Club of Jackson.
    • Leaders in SG: Total – The Country Club of Jackson (Last 5 Editions):
      • Henrik Norlander
      • Mackenzie Hughes
      • Stephan Jaeger
      • Alex Smalley
      • Luke List
      • Emiliano Grillo
      • Garrick Higgo
      • Mark Hubbard
      • Beau Hossler
      • Aaron Wise

The Field:

The 2025 Sanderson Farms Championship will showcase a full field of 132 players competing at The Country Club of Jackson, drawing a mix of longtime TOUR stalwarts and rising talents. Only four of the top 50 players in the Official World Golf Ranking are in the field: Akshay Bhatia (No. 34), Min Woo Lee (No. 43), Sam Stevens (No. 46), J.T. Poston (No. 48).

Basis of qualification for each entrant this week:

  • Tournament Winner in Past Two Seasons
  • Career Money Exemption
  • Sponsor Exemptions: DPWT / Korn Ferry Tour / Q-School Category
  • Sponsors Exemptions – PGA TOUR Member not otherwise exempt
  • Sponsors Exemptions – Unrestricted
  • PGA Section Champion\Player of the Year
  • Open Qualifying
  • Top 30 on the FedExCup Playoffs & Eligibility Points List
  • Top 70 on Prior Year FEC Playoff & Elig List through the Playoffs
  • Top 125 FedExCup Fall Point Lists
  • Major Medical Extension
  • Leading Points Winner from DP World Tour
  • PGA TOUR University Accelerated – Current Season
  • Top 10 and Ties from the Previous Event
  • DP World Tour / Korn Ferry Tour / Q-School Category – Reordered
  • Reorder Category – Cat. 37 thru 44

Previous Winners in the Field (Event):

  • Kevin Yu (2024), Luke List (2023), Mackenzie Hughes (2022), Cameron Champ (2018), Ryan Armour (2017), Peter Malnati (2015)

Debutants in the Field:

  • Antoine Rozner, Cristobal Del Solar, Danny Walker, David Ford, Francesco Molinari, Frankie Capan III, Gordon Sargent, Grant Landry, Isaiah Salinda, Jeremy Paul, Jesper Svensson, John Pak, Kaito Onishi, Kevin Velo, Kye Meeks, Luke Clanton, Mason Andersen, Matteo Manassero, Matthew Riedel, Matthieu Pavon, Michael La Sasso, Minwoo Lee, Nicolai Hojgaard, Niklas Norgaard Moller, Noah Goodwin, Paul Peterson, Rasmus Hojgaard, Ricky Castillo, Steven Fisk, Takumi Kanaya, Taylor Dickson, Thomas Rosenmueller, Thorbjorn Olesen, Thriston Lawrence, Tim Widing, Tom Kim, Victor Perez, Will Chandler, William Mouw

Players with Ties to Mississippi:

Birthplace:

  • Kye Meeks – Walnut, Mississippi
  • Chad Ramey – Fulton, Mississippi
  • Davis Riley – Hattiesburg, Mississippi

Raised:

  • Hayden Buckley – Tupelo, Mississippi

College:

  • Braden Thornberry – University of Mississippi (Ole Miss)
  • Jackson Suber – University of Mississippi (Ole Miss)
  • Michael La Sasso – University of Mississippi (Ole Miss)
  • Kye Meeks – University of Mississippi (Ole Miss)
  • Chad Ramey – Mississippi State University

Exemptions:

  • Michael La Sasso: Sponsors Exemptions – Unrestricted
  • Kye Meeks: Sponsors Exemptions – Unrestricted
  • Taylor Montgomery: Sponsors Exemptions – Unrestricted
  • Ryan Armour: Sponsors Exemptions – PGA TOUR Member not otherwise exempt
  • Ben Martin: Sponsor Exemptions: DPWT / Korn Ferry Tour / Q-School Category
  • Zac Blair: Sponsor Exemptions: DPWT / Korn Ferry Tour / Q-School Category
  • Matt NeSmith: Sponsors Exemptions – PGA TOUR Member not otherwise exempt
  • Joseph Bramlett: Sponsors Exemptions – Unrestricted
  • Ryan Palmer: Career Money Exemption
  • Brandt Snedeker: Career Money Exemption

Open Qualifying:

  • Jason Dufner
  • Cameron Huss
  • Brett Drewitt
  • Doc Redman

Notable Withdraws/ Changes:

  • N/A

The Odds:

Here’s a comprehensive breakdown of the top players in the field for this year’s Sanderson Farms Championship at The Country Club of Jackson, ranked by current betting odds (via DraftKings). The table below details each player’s five most recent finishes on the PGA TOUR and their last five results at the Sanderson Farms Championship.

GolferOpening OddsCurrent OddsLast 5 Finishes on the PGA TOUR
(Recent -> Past)
Last 5 Finishes at the Sanderson Farms Championship
(Recent -> Past)
Akshay Bhatia+2000+2000T11-T13-T26-T6-WDT43-MC
Kevin Yu+2200+2500T32-MC-MC-MC-T34WON-MC-T19
Min Woo Lee+2500+2200T68-MC-T13-T63-MC
Michael Thorbjornsen+2500+2200T13-T38-MC-T14-T21T8
Davis Thompson+2500+2200T19-T11-MC-MC-T18T16-T67-T35
Rasmus Hojgaard+2800+2500T34-T16-MC-MC-T46
J.T. Poston+3000+3500T30-T22-T11-MC-MCMC-MC-3-T11-T54
Odds via DraftKings

Tournament Props:

Playoff:

Will There Be a Playoff at the Sanderson Farms Championship? (Yes +350)

The Sanderson Farms Championship has been determined by a playoff in each of the last three editions.

In 2024, Kevin Yu defeated Beau Hossler.

In 2023, Luke List defeated Ludvig Aberg, Ben Griffin, Henrik Norlander, and Scott Stallings in a five-man playoff.

In 2022, Mackenzie Hughes defeated Sepp Straka.

Hole-in-One:

Will There Be a Hole-in-One at the Sanderson Farms Championship? (Yes -165/ No +120)

In 2024, there we no holes in one recorded.

In 2023, there we no holes in one recorded.

In 2022, there were two holes in one made both coming on the Hole No. 4.

Recent Horses for Courses (Sanderson Farms Championship):

Sanderson Farms ChampionshipSanderson Farms ChampionshipSanderson Farms ChampionshipSanderson Farms ChampionshipSanderson Farms Championship
Country Club
of Jackson
Country Club
of Jackson
Country Club
of Jackson
Country Club
of Jackson
Country Club
of Jackson
GolferEvents PlayedSG: Total (Event)20242023202220212020
Henrik Norlander8+42.76T28T2T24T4T4
Mackenzie Hughes5+23.75T8MCWONT35
Stephan Jaeger8+19.88T23T25T30T26
Alex Smalley4+19.13T5T16MCT31
Luke List9+18.42T42WONT73T17MC
Emiliano Grillo6+17.63T11MCT5T29T35
Kevin Yu3+12.91WONMCT19
Garrick Higgo3+15.52MCT16T3
Aaron Wise5+13.72T26T17

Recent Donkeys for Courses (Sanderson Farms Championship):

Sanderson Farms ChampionshipSanderson Farms ChampionshipSanderson Farms ChampionshipSanderson Farms ChampionshipSanderson Farms Championship
Country Club
of Jackson
Country Club
of Jackson
Country Club
of Jackson
Country Club
of Jackson
Country Club
of Jackson
GolferEvents PlayedSG: Total (Event)20242023202220212020
Zac Blair7-11.82MCMCMCMC
Max McGreevy3-8.94MCMCMC
Davis Riley6-1.75MCMCT19MCMC
Patrick Rodgers7-0.35MCT54MCMC
David Lipsky4-9.92MCT51MCMC
Adam Schenk7-5.78MCMCMCT32
Camilo Villegas6-4.32MCMCMCT23
Quade Cummins2-0.54MCMC
Byeong-Hun An3-6.31MCMC

Previous Winners Scores, Prices, and Strokes Gained (Rank at Tournament):

  • 2024: Kevin Yu (-23)
    • Price: 110-1
SG: Off the TeeSG: Tee to GreenSG: ApproachSG: Around the GreenSG: Putting
18th22nd24th50th2nd
  • 2023: Luke List (-18)
    • Price: 50-1
SG: Off the TeeSG: Tee to GreenSG: ApproachSG: Around the GreenSG: Putting
19th14th48th6th7th
  • 2022: Mackenzie Hughes (-17)
    • Price: 110-1
SG: Off the TeeSG: Tee to GreenSG: ApproachSG: Around the GreenSG: Putting
57th1st6th4th14th
  • 2021: Sam Burns (-22)
    • Price: 16-1
SG: Off the TeeSG: Tee to GreenSG: ApproachSG: Around the GreenSG: Putting
1st1st2nd34th57th
  • 2020: Sergio Garcia (-19)
    • Price: 70-1
SG: Off the TeeSG: Tee to GreenSG: ApproachSG: Around the GreenSG: Putting
1st1st3rd46th28th

Previous Winners Incoming Form (Last 5 Starts):

  • 2024: Kevin Yu
    • MC – Wyndham Championship (PGA)
    • 52 – Olympic Men’s Golf Competition (OLY)
    • T73 – 3M Open (PGA)
    • MC – Barracuda Championship (PGA)
    • MC – Genesis Scottish Open (PGA)
  • 2023: Luke List
    • T25 – Fortinent Championship (PGA)
    • T35 – Genesis Scottish Open (PGA)
    • WD- Rocket Mortgage Classic (PGA)
    • T33 – Travelers Championship (PGA)
    • MC – U.S. Open (MAJ)
  • 2022: Mackenzie Hughes
    • T25 – Fortinet Championship (PGA)
    • T58 – BMW Championship (PGA)
    • T46 – FedEx St. Jude Championship (PGA)
    • MC – Wyndham Championship (PGA)
    • MC – Rocket Mortgage Classic (PGA)

  • 2021: Sam Burns
    • T18 – TOUR Championship (PGA)
    • 8 – BMW Championship (PGA)
    • T21 – THE NORTHERN TRUST (PGA)
    • T2 – WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational (PGA)
    • T76 – The Open Championship (MAJ)

  • 2020: Sergio Garcia
    • MC – U.S. Open (MAJ)
    • MC – Safeway Open (MAJ)
    • T66 – Wyndham Championship (PGA)
    • MC – PGA Championship (PGA)
    • T35 – WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational (PGA)

Previous Winners Finishes at Event:

2024: Kevin Yu

Sanderson Farms ChampionshipSanderson Farms Championship
Country Club of JacksonCountry Club of Jackson
20232022
MCT19

2023: Luke List

Sanderson Farms ChampionshipSanderson Farms ChampionshipSanderson Farms ChampionshipSanderson Farms ChampionshipSanderson Farms ChampionshipSanderson Farms ChampionshipSanderson Farms Championship
Country Club
of Jackson
Country Club
of Jackson
Country Club
of Jackson
Country Club
of Jackson
Country Club
of Jackson
Country Club
of Jackson
2022202120202019201620152013
7317MCMCT2T28MC

2022: Mackenzie Hughes

Sanderson Farms ChampionshipSanderson Farms Championship
Country Club of JacksonCountry Club of Jackson
20212016
T35T26

2021: Sam Burns

Sanderson Farms ChampionshipSanderson Farms ChampionshipSanderson Farms ChampionshipSanderson Farms Championship
Country Club of JacksonCountry Club of JacksonCountry Club of JacksonCountry Club of Jackson
2020201920182017
MCT45T3T43

2020: Sergio Garcia

  • Tournament Debut

Outright Picks:

Michael Thorbjornsen (+2200) – DraftKings

Thorbjornsen opened the season with some struggles but has found consistency since late April. Over his last six starts, he has recorded four finishes of T21 or better, including a T4 at the Rocket Classic, a strong comp course for this week, and a T13 at the Procore Championship to start the FedExCup Fall.

He teed it up at this event last season and placed T8 despite ranking 59th in SG: Approach. Since then, his iron play has made clear progress, gaining strokes in seven of his last ten starts and in each of his last two. His distance off the tee continues to give him an edge, and the putter has come around after early-season struggles. He has gained strokes on the greens in five of his last seven starts, and at this event a year ago he ranked 7th in SG: Putting.

Min Woo Lee (+2200) – DraftKings

Min Woo Lee earned his first PGA TOUR victory earlier this season at Memorial Park, a course that sets up similarly to this week’s test. After that breakthrough, his form cooled, with just one top-20 finish in his next ten starts. Recently, though, he has shown signs of regaining momentum. Competing on the DP World Tour after the TOUR Championship, Lee finished T11 at the BMW PGA Championship and followed it up with a T5 at the Open de France.

Those performances were fueled by sharper approach play and improved putting, two key areas for success at the Sanderson Farms. Lee’s length off the tee remains a major weapon, and with confidence building again, he looks poised for a strong debut at this event. The fact that he won the Texas Children’s Houston Open in his first appearance there also adds another layer of optimism.

Max Homa (+4000) – DraftKings

Max Homa will want to put the 2025 season behind him after managing only two top 20 finishes. Still, there are signs his game is starting to turn. At the first event of the FedExCup Fall, he finished T19 while gaining strokes in nearly every category.

Iron play has been the biggest concern for Homa this year, but he has gained on approach in each of his last six starts. Off the tee, he has also shown progress, gaining in four straight events thanks to improved accuracy. The putter has been steady overall, and when it spikes he tends to post strong results, as seen at both the Masters and the Procore Championship.

With his ball striking trending in the right direction and facing a weaker field this week, Homa has the potential to contend.

Patrick Fishburn (+6000) – FanDuel

Patrick Fishburn missed out on the FedExCup Playoffs, largely because of a slow start to the year, but he closed the season with encouraging form. He posted three top-20 finishes in his final six starts and added a T38 at the Procore Championship to open the FedExCup Fall.

His irons have been inconsistent overall but have shown improvement in recent weeks, and his putting has followed the same trend in a positive direction. While his accuracy off the tee has dipped, the raw distance he possesses is a key asset on this course.

If Fishburn can keep the putter rolling and continue the recent progress with his approach play, he has the upside to contend at a number like this.

Matti Schmid (+8000) – BetMGM

Matti Schmid has missed the cut in each of his last two DP World Tour starts, but he still rates well in the key areas of my model this week. His overall form is not as poor as those results suggest, though his iron play has lacked consistency and will be the main factor in determining his ceiling.

On the positive side, Schmid’s putting has been steady, and his distance off the tee gives him the ability to keep up on this course. He has also shown he can find success here before, finishing T16 at the Country Club of Jackson last year.

If he can dial in the irons, Schmid has the tools to outperform his odds.

Top 20 (Including Ties):

Nicolai Hojgaard (+160) – BetMGM

Emiliano Grillo (+160) – BetMGM

Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting. Any feedback whether positive or negative is always encouraged.

Fantasy Football Week 5

Bye Weeks:  Bears, Packers, Falcons, and Steelers

Key Injuries:

  • WR Darnell Mooney had a hammy and was ruled out.
  • QB Lamar Jackson had a hammy and is day to day.
  • WR David Moore was ruled out with an elbow.
  • WR Cedrick Tillman came out with a hammy.
  • WR DeAndre Carter also hurt for the Browns.
  • WR Malik Nabers tore his ACL.
  • WR Ricky Pearsall came out with a banged up knee.
  • WR Tyreke Hill blew up his knee.  Out probably 2 years or more.
  • RB Braelon Allen

Waiver Wire:

  • WR Wan’Dale Robinson will be the main WR in NY for the Giants.
  • WR Darius Slayton for the Nabers injury as well.
  • WR Malik Washington for Hill injury.
  • WR Nick Westbrook-Ikhine for the Hill injury in deeper leagues.
  • WR Hunter Renfrow a nice speculative add for the Panthers.
  • WR Isaiah Bond will be number two for Cleveland for as least next week.
  • WR Kendrick Bourne has been born again for the 49ers.
  • RB Woody Mark’s has been huge for the Texans and may take over RB 1.
  • RB Justice Hill went off with 5 rec, 3 carries and a TD.
  • RB Woody Mark’s with 17 carries and a TD is massive.
  • RB Kendre Miller had 11 carries and a TD for New Orleans.
  • RB Tyler Algeier had 16 carries and a TD.

Sleepers/Non-starters trending up for week 5.

  • RB Woody Marks is huge especially if Roquan Smith is out.
  • WR Isaiah Bond is a streamer vs the Vikings.
  • CJ Stroud could do well vs the Ravens bad D.
  • WR Keenan Allen against the Commies D is good.
  • WR Keon Coleman against the Patriots may be big.
  • WR Jameson Williams against the Bengals is huge.
  • WR Garrett Wilson against the Cowboys is huge.
  • WR Marvin Harrison Jr against the Titans is massive.
  • QB Jackson Dart against the Saint’s is nice.
  • WR Chris Olave against the Giants.
  • WR Wan’Dale Robinson against the Saints is big.
  • TE David N’Joku vs the Lions is good.
  • WR Jalen Waddle will be the man in Miami.

Busts:

  • RB Derek Henry against Denver’s stingy D.
  • RB Quinshon Judkins against Minnesota’s run D is rough.
  • RB Travis Etienne against the Chiefs.
  • RB Kenneth Walker against the Bucs run D.
  • WR Trey Flowers against the Texans is rough.
  • WR DeAndre Hopkins against the Texans.
  • TE Mark Andrews against the Texans.
  • WR Jordan Addison against the Browns is suspect.
  • QB Sam Darnold against the Buccaneers could be bad.
  • WR Jaxson Smith Njigba against the Bucs is rough.
  • QB Brock Purdy against the Rams is rough.

Nasty Sleeper:  TE Juwan Johnson against the Giants is massive.

Podcast 738 – 74 – 25 – NFL & College Football Recap & Play – Fantasy Football Week 5 – Sports Betting

We have a GREAT show for you today!  Another weekend of NFL & College Football in the books, and now it’s time to recap and do some analysis! First, Kiev recaps the weekend with the good, the bad, and the ugly.  Next, we talk some final scores with brief box score analysis.  Then, Kiev talks about NFL & College Football misleading final scores & betting spots for next week.  Who could let down?  Who could bet flat?  Who has long or short rest?  After that, we give out a Free Play for the upcoming weekend. Finally, D-Nasty comes on to talk some fantasy football injuries, waivers, sleepers & busts.  Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com. Have a wonderful week!   

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NHL Future Picks – Metropolitan Division

The Metropolitan Division should be one of the most compelling in the 2025-26 NHL season. Between Stanley Cup contenders like Carolina, rising playoff hopefuls, and teams still finding their identity, the division sets up plenty of intriguing betting opportunities.

In this article, I’ll share my favorite futures bets for the Metropolitan Division.

New York Rangers

Adam Fox over 70+ Points (+165) – FanDuel

Adam Fox enters his seventh NHL season looking to bounce back after a down year in 2024-25. Despite battling injuries, he still produced 61 points (10 goals, 51 assists) in 74 games. In the three seasons prior, Fox posted 73, 72, and 74 points, proving his consistency as one of the league’s elite offensive defensemen.

This season, Fox will be paired with Vladislav Gavrikov, a steady stay-at-home blueliner who should free him up to drive the offense even more. If he can stay relatively healthy, Fox has an excellent chance to clear the 70-point mark, a milestone he’s hit in three of the past four seasons.

Philadelphia Flyers

Matvei Michkov over 70+ Points (+115) – FanDuel

Matvei Michkov enters his second NHL season after an impressive rookie year where he posted 63 points (26 goals, 37 assists) in 80 games. It wasn’t all smooth sailing, as his offensive style often clashed with former head coach John Tortorella, who was let go late in the season. After the coaching change, Michkov took off, recording 12 points in just 9 games.

This year, Michkov is projected to skate on the Flyers’ second line alongside Owen Tippett and newly acquired Trevor Zegras. Zegras brings a much-needed offensive boost to a Philadelphia team that ranked 24th in goals per game and 30th on the power play last season. His arrival should open up more scoring opportunities for Michkov at even strength and with the man advantage.

With Zegras in the mix and Rick Tocchet stepping in behind the bench, Michkov is in a strong position to build on his rookie totals and clear the 70-point mark in his sophomore campaign.

Pittsburgh Penguins

Sidney Crosby over 84.5 Points (-115) – DraftKings/ 90+ Points (+210) – FanDuel

Best of luck, and don’t forget to follow me on Twitter (@GatorBetting) and Instagram (@Gator_Sports_Betting). I always welcome feedback, good or bad, so feel free to share your thoughts.

NFL Week 4 Monday Night Football Video Prop – Bengals vs Broncos – Sports Betting

NFL Week 4 Sunday Fun-day Play – Eagles vs Buccaneers – Sports Betting

Eagles vs Buccaneers +3.5 O/U 44.5

🏟️ Game Details

  • Date & Time: Sunday, September 28, 2025, 1:00 PM ET

  • Location: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL

  • Broadcast: FOX

📊 Team Comparison

Category Eagles Buccaneers
Record 3–0 3–0
Win Probability 63.3% 36.7%
Spread -3.5 (favored) +3.5
Turnover Differential +2 +2
Offensive Rank (Total) 27th 15th
Defensive Rank (Total) 11th T-11th
Key Injuries Nolan Smith, Adoree’ Jackson Mike Evans, Luke Goedeke
 

Sources:

🔑 Player Matchups

  • Jalen Hurts (PHI): 479 pass yards, 117 rush yards, 7 total TDs

  • Baker Mayfield (TB): 615 pass yards, 116 rush yards, 6 TDs

  • Saquon Barkley (PHI): 194 rush yards, 2 TDs, 3.3 YPC

  • Emeka Egbuka (TB): 181 receiving yards, 3 TDs

  • A.J. Brown (PHI): 144 receiving yards, 1 TD

  • Chris Godwin (TB): Expected to return from ankle injury

🛡️ Defensive Spotlight

  • Eagles DL Jordan Davis: 1 sack, 16 tackles, blocked FG returned for TD

  • Buccaneers NT Vita Vea: Anchor of run defense, key to stopping “tush push”

  • Eagles CBs: Injuries to Adoree’ Jackson and Jakorian Bennett

  • Bucs DB Jamel Dean: 55-yard pick-six last week

🧠 Historical Context

  • Tampa Bay leads the all-time series 13–11

  • Bucs are 4–1 vs. Hurts since 2021, including two playoff wins

  • Eagles have won 19 of their last 20 games since losing to Tampa in Week 4 of 2024

🔥 Key Storylines

  • Super Bowl Pedigree vs. Grit: The Eagles have won 19 of their last 20 games, including Super Bowl LIX. The Bucs, meanwhile, have opened the season with three last-minute wins, showcasing resilience and clutch play.

  • Quarterback Duel: Former Oklahoma teammates Jalen Hurts and Baker Mayfield face off again. Hurts has scored a rushing TD in six straight games, tying an NFL record for QBs.

💪 Matchups to Watch

  • Eagles WR A.J. Brown vs. Bucs CB Jamel Dean: Brown is coming off a 100+ yard game; Dean had a pick-six last week.

  • Eagles OL vs. Bucs Blitz: Tampa Bay blitzes at a top-6 rate in the NFL. Hurts will need quick reads and protection to thrive.

  • Saquon Barkley vs. Bucs Run Defense: Tampa hasn’t allowed 100+ rushing yards in 11 straight games. Barkley hasn’t hit that mark in four games.

🚑 Injury Watch

  • Buccaneers WR Corps: Mike Evans and Jalen McMillan are out. Chris Godwin and rookie Emeka Egbuka are banged up but may play.

  • Eagles Defense: CBs Adoree’ Jackson and Jakorian Bennett are dealing with injuries, and edge rusher Nolan Smith is out.

📊 By the Numbers

  • Red Zone Efficiency: Eagles are 8-for-8 scoring TDs in the red zone—best in the NFL.

  • Turnover Battle: Bucs have committed zero turnovers this season; Eagles have forced three.

🧠 Prediction

Prediction:

This should be a great game of undefeated teams, but the numbers do not seem to be adding up.  I can’t understand why the Eagles are laying this road chalk.  I know that they are the super bowl champs, but their numbers have been very average thus far.  Philadelphia has gotten by with some close wins.  They only ranks 12th in offensive EPA, and 16th on defense.   The Buccaneers rank 5th and 12th respectively.   Now we know of the Mike Evans injury, and it could affect the home pirates, but this team should be getting Chris Godwin back, and combined with Emeka Egbuka, I believe that they will be able to move the ball deep.   I also like the fact that left tackle Tristan Wirfs should be back and ready to play.  The Eagles have a few injury issues on their own with their top CB Adorree Jackson being out.   There is still no LB Nakobe Dean to anchor in the middle of this defense.   The Eagles do not care to win by Margin, and I think the Bucs are live here.  Super Bowl hangover says bet the Buccaneers.

Buccaneers +3.5

College Football Week 5 Free plays – Ohio State vs Washington – USC vs Illinois – Sports Betting

 

Ohio State vs Washington -8.5 O/U 52.5

🏈 Ohio State vs. Washington Game Preview – Sept. 27, 2025 🏟️

This Saturday’s clash between the No. 1 Ohio State Buckeyes and the undefeated Washington Huskies is shaping up to be a high-stakes Big Ten showdown in Seattle. Here’s what to watch for:

📍 Game Details

  • Kickoff: 3:30 PM ET

  • Location: Husky Stadium, Seattle, WA

  • Broadcast: CBS

  • Records: Ohio State (3–0), Washington (3–0)

  • Betting Line: Ohio State favored by 8 points; Over/Under set at 51.5

 

🔴 Ohio State Buckeyes

  • Quarterback Julian Sayin is completing 78.3% of his passes and leads a dynamic offense featuring standout receivers Jeremiah Smith and Carnell Tate.

  • Freshman RB Bo Jackson has emerged as a breakout star, averaging over 12 yards per carry last game.

  • Defense: Led by Sonny Styles, the Buckeyes will need to contain Washington’s dual-threat QB Demond Williams.

  • Road Strength: Ohio State has won 19 straight road games against unranked opponents.

 

🟣 Washington Huskies

  • QB Demond Williams Jr. is a true dual threat, throwing for 298 yards and rushing for 88 in their last game.

  • Home Dominance: Washington boasts a 22-game home win streak dating back to 2022.

  • Injuries: Starting linebacker Buddha Al-Uqdah and top cornerback may be out, which could expose their defense.

  • Efficiency: The Huskies convert 75% of third downs and rarely turn the ball over.

 

🔍 Key Matchups

Matchup Edge
QB Play Ohio State (Sayin’s accuracy vs. Williams’ mobility)
WR Depth Ohio State (Smith & Tate are elite)
Home Field Washington (Husky Stadium is notoriously loud)
Defensive Pressure Even (Buckeyes more consistent, Huskies opportunistic)

 

🌤️ Weather Forecast for Game Day – Ohio State vs. Washington

Expect near-perfect football conditions in Seattle this Saturday:

  • Temperature at Kickoff (3:30 PM ET): 65°F and sunny

  • Afternoon High: Around 72°F, mostly cloudy

  • Chance of Rain: Just 14% — low enough not to worry

  • Wind: Light breeze at 3–6 mph, gusts up to 11 mph

Prediction:

This may be the real game of the week with apologies to the SEC.  It just depends upon how close this outcome actually is.  I am not going to lie, I am disappointed that this spread isn’t double digits right now.  I was hoping it would go back to 13 or so, but it goes to show you that this Husky team is for real.  In saying that, my number is pretty close to this.  I also do not know what I am getting from young Ohio State quarterback Julian Sayin on the road.  Same situation as all these young quarterbacks. It is usually a fade spot, but Ohio State is a powerful team. The Buckeye’s rank 6th in offensive success rate and 22nd in offensive EPA.   They also have the best defense in college football, but the schedule of offenses has been pretty week thus far.  The Huskies on the other end of things have a powerful offense themselves.  Led by quarterback Demond Williams, this Husky team ranks 6th in QBR, 3rd in offensive EPA, and 9th in yards per play at 7.92.  Another thing that we know is that Washington’s defense has been suspect.  This team has had themselves a pretty easy schedule, yet they only rank 43rd in success rate and 55th in EPA.  Looking at all of this, I like the over.  I think that both teams will be very hard to stop when the ball is moving down field.  Right now, Washington is 3-0 to the over, and I think that this trend continues.  Worst case scenario, if this is an Ohio State blowout, I think that they might be able to cover this total mostly themselves.  Take the over for now unless this spread crawls back up.

Over 52.5 – 2 stars

USC vs Illinois +7 O/U 59.5

  • The best sports bettors look for spots where the public is down on a team, and there is some perceived value in the line.  This week, there is no better game than USC vs Illinois for this type of spot.  This line was USC -1.5 only a week ago.
  • Did Illinois get their asses handed to them last week at Indiana?   Absolutely, but that doesn’t mean that USC should be playing these kind of road points.
  • No team is as good or as bad as they were the week before.  USC is coming into this game on long travel and in a much different time slot at 9:00AM pacific time.  I doubt these kids are even up for class yet.
  • The Trojans haven’t played anybody before Michigan State, and what I saw was a defense that allows yards and points.  The Trojans defensive success rate ranks 53rd in the nation, while their rushing success rate is 93rd. 
  • As bad as Illinois has looked, they at least played tougher teams against a Western Michigan team that just beat Tulane.  They had to go to Duke to bludgeon them, and they faced a top 10 team in Indiana.  USC has played Missouri State, Georgia Southern, and one of the worst big 10 teams in Purdue before Sparty at home.
  • This will be USC’s first real road test in Champaign, and I think that things can go wrong for quarterback Jayden Maiava.  This line was around +2.5 or +3 the week before.  This is a huge overreaction at 7.  Take the points.

Illinois +7 – 2 stars

Podcast 737 – 73 – 25 – College Football Rundown – NFL Bet – Sports Betting

The OddsBreakers Sports Betting Podcast
The OddsBreakers All Rights Reserved

We have a quick show for you today!  Kiev O’Neil is back from vacation and wanted to break down a few more college football games before kickoff!   We also talk about 1 NFL game for Sunday.  Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com. Have a wonderful week!

Use Promo Code Football25 TO GET $100 OFF EVERY FOOTBALL OR YEARLY PACKAGE or 50% OFF THE FIRST MONTH OF ANY MONTHLY PACKAGE for the rest of the 2025 season! Click here: https://theoddsbreakers.com/premium-plays/ Offer expires December 31st 2025

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If you want to subscribe to support us and get some very frequent winners please Click Here to become a member of The OddsBreakers and gain access to premium plays BEFORE the line moves!  Or, you can visit theoddsbreakers.com and click shop and pick one of our great handicappers including Kiev O’Neil @OBKiev at only $84 per month on a 1 year subscription!

You could also support us at Patreon.com for only $10 a month to help us out and thank us for some free plays as well as get some extra benefits like free merch and plays!

 

College Football Friday Freebie – Florida State vs Virginia – Sports Betting

Florida State vs Virginia +7 O/U 60

  • This fun friday game caught my eye.  Ok, what do we really know about Florida State?
  • Well, the beat Alabama pretty good on week 1. Then they played two tomato cans that are probably more like artichoke cans.   Tomato cans are too good to describe Kent State.
  • Look, we still haven’t seen Florida State and Tommy Castellanos on the road. That is a major concern to me when ranking this team.
  • Now I am not saying that Virginia has had a good schedule themselves, but what I do know is that they have a pretty solid offense.  
  • The Wahoos are averaging 7.7 yards per play. They should have beaten NC State on the road, and ended up choking the game away.   
  • Alabama was the big opponent against Florida State, but we also know that they dropped a ton of passes from week one, and it was Ty Simpson’s first big road start. Maybe in Alabama, this game goes differently.  
  • Virginia’s offense ranks 26th in EPA and 16th in yards per play. Their defense isn’t great, but it at least ranks 29th in EPA on an easy schedule.  My power ratings have this number at 6.5, and I think that this would be a huge win for the Wahoos if they can get it done.   

Virginia +7 – 2.5 stars