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NFL Week 11

NFL Week 11!

Pittsburgh vs Jacksonville +6 – This game really looks like a huge revenge spot for Pittsburgh.  I  mean they lost at home to the Jaguars twice last year and were boosted right out of the playoffs.   So most people are licking their chops on this one right?   WROOOOOONG.   How does this whole revenge theory work when Pittsburgh plays New England?   Mike Tomlin isn’t a revenge type coach and I think now that the Laveon bell thing is settled, Pittsburgh doesn’t have to prove that they can win without him.   On the other hand Doug Marone knows how to play this Pittsburgh team.   Pound the ball with Fournette and control the clock.   Jacksonville is staring to get healthier and they really are not that bad of a team.   They rank 18th in total efficiency while the Steelers rank 11th.   I have this game in my algorithm Pittsburgh wining by 3.5 points.  I’ll grab the 6.

Jacksonville +6

Houston vs Washington +3

This is also the story of 2 teams.   One is trending up and one is trending down.   Washington really had a great start this season and surprisingly beat a few big teams like the Panthers and the Packers but what we didn’t see is that both of those teams were pretty banged up when they played the skins and maybe we over valued them.   The redskins have been running the football very well until that Falcons game where they lost both of their starting guards and run blockers.   Now last week they injured 3 Tackles and their great rookie Geron Christian tore his MCL.   Their star tackle Trent Williams may miss another game with a thumb injury.   The Redskins may not even have an offensive line this game!    The Redskins are coming off a misleading score against the Bucs winning 16-3 but being outgained by over 200 yards.   I really like that Keke Coutee should be back and get some target while Josh Norman covers De’Ondre Hopkins

Houston -3   – Take total sacks over for the game as well

Oakland vs Arizona -4

So there are 2 personalities with this Raiders team.   The one who wants to play well at home for the Oakland fans that will lose their team in a few years, and the one who gave up on the season when they travel.   The Raiders are 1-3 ATS when on the road while Arizona is 3-2 at home.   As you saw last game this Cardinals team is improving with their new QB Josh Rosen and they do still have some talent there.   Now with Bryan Leftwitch as their offensive coordinator they played pretty well against the Chiefs and came back against the 49ers at home a few weeks back.   The simple handicap here is that Oakland is the number 3 worst team against the run and 12th worst against the pass.   The Cardinals are actually 4th Best against the pass due to guys like Patrick Peterson and Antoine Bethea.   Lastly Oakland ranks dead last in sacks per game at .9 while Arizona ranks 5th at 3.2.   Expect Arizona to get things right on Sunday.

Arizona -4

Dallas vs Atlanta -3 is a premium

Teaser – Chiefs to + 9.5 and Carolina vs Detroit Under to 57 – If any team can back door its the Kansas City Chiefs.   The Carolina Defense deserves more respect that this high total.   I also think the Lions will run the ball more to protect Stafford.  Matt Patricia is defensive minded and should be able to fix a few things this week.   

 

First Big Play

Big West Action:

 

Cal State Fullerton + 4

Podcast 57-18 College Football Week 12 – NFL Week 11 Picks – Sharp Line Movement – Sports Betting

Sports Betting
Sports Betting and Wagering

12-6 Last week in NCAA.   We have a great show for you today!    Then we get into our college football week 12 free picks, sharp movements and then @cubfandanny comes in to help break down NFL week 11.

College: Arizona vs Washington State, Nebraska vs Michigan State, Kansas vs Oklahoma, Oregon State vs Washington, Virginia vs Georgia Tech and More!

NFL: Minnesota vs Chicago –  Oakland vs Arizona – Philadelphia vs New Orleans, Houston vs Washington and more!

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Finding Value in the Big West

Well as the headline reads, and what everyone expects from this non power five conference, the Big West is not just another mid-major of the Division I landscape that we call college basketball. The Big West is a special conference that has its own stand out stars, its amazing finishes and even upsetting wins of major conference teams.  The Big West Conference consists of 9 teams based mostly in California with the exception of the University of Hawaii.  The other 8 California teams consist of Cal State Fullerton, Cal State Northridge, Cal Poly San Luis Obispo, Long Beach State, University California Davis, University California Irvine, University California Riverside, and University California Santa Barbara.  As the season progresses, finding value in this league will be a unique skill compared to the other mid-major conferences.   Here are my picks for the BIG WEST standings at the end of the year:

  1. Cal State Fullerton
  2. University California Irvine
  3. Long Beach State
  4. University of Hawaii
  5. Cal Poly San Luis Obispo
  6. University California Santa Barbara
  7. University California Davis
  8. Cal State Northridge
  9. University California Riverside

College Football Betting Spots Week 12

Let Down Spots:

Wake Forest hosting Pittsburgh

Oklahoma hosting Kansas

Boise State vs New Mexico

Georgia tech hosting Virginia

Northwestern at Minnesota is a big one

Get Up Spots:

Oklahoma State vs TCU to make a bowl game

Texas Tech and Baylor

Miami hosting Virginia tech to make a bowl game

South Carolina at Clemson to make a bowl game

Houston hosting Tulane

Look Ahead Spots

West Virginia looking past Oklahoma State to Oklahoma

Oklahoma looking past Kansas to West Virginia

Washington looking past Oregon State to Washington State

Washington State looking past Arizona to Washington

Ohio State looking past Maryland to Michigan

Michigan looking past Indiana to Ohio State

Auburn looking past Liberty to Alabama is highly possible

Alabama resting during the Citadel to Auburn

UCF looking past Cincinnati to USF is possible

South Florida looking past Temple to UCF

 

 

 

Podcast 55-18 – NCAA Mens Basketball Preview – Top Teams – Sleepers – Big 10 and Big 12 – Sports Betting

Sports Betting
Sports Betting and Wagering

Today @thepublicdog and @eddiehaswinners preview College Basketball 2018/19!   Future Bets – Returning Production – Sleeper Teams – Big 10 and Big 12 Previews!  Where is the value?   Well I think we may have found some!  #NCAA #Collegehoops #Sportsbetting

Should you need a sports book please visit www.mybookie.ag for a 50% signup bonus for first time users by using the promo code “theoddsbreakers”  terms and conditions apply.

www.theoddsbreakers.com

For only 12.99 a month become an ODDSBREAKER’S MEMBER and gain access to all premium picks BEFORE the line moves please visit:  https://www.patreon.com/bePatron?c=1872377

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Sports Betting & Wagering

Fantasy Football Week 11

NFL Byes:   

Buffalo Bills – Cleveland Browns – Miami Dolphins – San Franciso 49ers – New York Jets – New England Patriots

Key Injuries:

Cooper Kupp – Knee looks bad.   Torn ACL

Julian Edelman – Ankle day to day

Marvin Jones – Knee

Martavis Bryant – PCL tear

Duane Allen – Knee injury

Jakeem Grant – Achilles and out for season most likely

Devante Parker – Shoulder

Waiver Wire:

Matt Barkley – Huge game vs the Jets

Tyrell Williams – Chargers

Donte Moncrief – Jaguars

Josh Reynolds – Rams

Tyler Higbee – Rams

Blake Bortles vs Pittsburgh may have a big game

Anthony Miller – Chicago seems to pass most of the time now

Zay Jones – May be better with Matt Barkley

Theo Riddick – PPR plus Karion Johnson looks kinda banged up

Brandon Marshall – Picked up by the Saints.   Let’s see if he can hold up in practice

Levine Toilolo TE for the Lions

Adam Humphries

Breakout Players:

Josh Adams – Will get more carries

Anthony Miller vs Vikings are weak at CB right now

Corey Davis vs the Colts

Sterling Shepard WR vs the Terrible Tampa Bay Defense

Evan Engram vs Tampa

Adam Humphries –

Levine Toilolo – 5 targets vs the bears and Carolina bad against Tight ends

John Brown vs Cincinnati

David Johnson vs Oakland’s bad run D

Alshawn Jeffrey vs the Saints

Nasty Sleeper – Levine Toilolo – I think Matt Patricia needs to get the ball to more players 

Podcast 56-18 – College football Week 11 Recap – Betting Spots – Fantasy Football Week 11

Another great week in the books for college football.  The Oddsbreakers went 11-5 bringing us to 54.5% for the season!  Today we break down last weeks games as well as some great betting spots for week 11!   Next we bring in a special guest all the way from New York to discuss life as a Bills fan.   D-Nasty then comes in to break down Fantasy Football week 11.   Bye weeks, injuries, waivers and break out players.

Should you need a sports book please visit www.youwager.eu for a 50% signup bonus for first time users by using the promo code “theoddsbreakers”  terms and conditions apply.

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For only 12.99 a month become an ODDSBREAKER’S MEMBER and gain access to all premium picks BEFORE the line moves please visit:  https://www.patreon.com/bePatron?c=1872377

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Sports Betting & Wagering

Veterans Day NBA free play

Happy Veteran’s day, we’d like to say thank you to all our veterans and active military here at The Oddsbreakers. We were able to bring home 4 units last night with our 2 free plays Hawks +11.5 (1 unit) & Under 238 (3 units). So lets keep this rolling into a fresh week. Lets turn our focus to DC, where the Wizards host the Magic as they face off for the 2nd time in 3 days. Both teams played this weekend after their matchup Friday. The line is Wizards -7.5, and I think this is mostly because of them having sunday off while the Magic were playing in Madison Square garden. I like the Magic and the points, Steve Clifford in his 1st year as the Magic coach has got this team playing well after a slow start. Clifford is very familiar with this division as he served as the Charlotte Hornets HC the last 5 seasons. Friday night the Magic jumped out to an early lead and never looked back winning by 9 Friday night, and although they will have no rest and back-to-back road games, I really like them to cover the number. Wizards are 2-6 on 1 day rest and 1-3 as a home favorite. Clifford has been in the divison for over 10 years now and has the gameplan and team to get the W. Wizards have struggled offensively where it matters 18th in FT % and 28th in Offensive rating and True shooting %. 7.5 is too much to cover although I think they probably come away with the Victory.

NBA Free play 11/12: Orlando Magic +7.5

Twitter: @BobbybetsATS 

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Sunday 11/11/2018 NBA free play

Sunday night the Hawks start their 4 game road trip in Los Angeles at the Staples Center, they come in on a 3 game losing skid. The Lakers have seemed to figure things out winning 4 of their last 5 after starting 2-5, that includes last nights 101-86 victory in Sacramento. The lines for tonight are Lakers -11.5 o/u 238. Although the Lakers look better every night, I dont think they can cover the number here. Typically teams play their best in their first road game of a trip, I think ATL will have a lot of energy and effort on both ends of the floor. Lakers will have a real possibility of coming out flat, they played in Sacramento last night and tonight will be their 5th game in 8 days. The Lakers are 0-4 ATS as a home favorite so far and I don’t see a number like 11.5 being the 1st one they cover. I also really like the under here, ATL and LA are both fast paced teams (1st, 3rd in NBA) couple that with two of the lower rated defenses (29th, 28th) I believe thats why were seeing a number like 241 be the opening number. But the Lakers are on no days rest and ATL will be playing a little later than usual so I look for a slow start from both offensively. Trae young averaging 18.4 points a game will be the key to ATL covering and possibly winning, if they can get some production from Jeremy Lin this will be an easy cover. I like the under as a better play, but I also like ATL +11.5

Free play of the day: Lakers/Hawks Under 238 (3u) & Hawks +11.5 (1u) 

Twitter: @BobbybetsATS 

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