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Key Players to Watch:
Team Stats:
Recent Form:
The total should go under 139 points because both teams have shown a tendency to play at a slower pace and struggle offensively. Fresno State has been allowing 81.7 points per game, which is one of the highest in the conference, but they also score just 72.0 points per game themselves. On the other hand, San Diego State has a solid defense, allowing only 62.6 points per game, but their offense averages just 70.8 points per game. If you look at the trend line on game pace as seen below from Bart Torvik, Fresno State has slowed down their play to tempo in the 60s.

A potential reason that Fresno State has slowed down their pace is for the reason that they might be getting sick of being blown out. The Bulldogs have lost every conference game this year except one against Air Force. Sa Diego State themselves play slow ranking 238th in Tempo. Their defense is amazing ranking 2nd in the nation in opponent adjusted effective FG%.
For all of these reasons I will take the under.
Under 141.5
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Venue: The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss
Time: 5:00 PM CT
Location: Oxford, Mississippi
Matchup: Ole Miss Rebels vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs
Today’s matchup between the Bulldogs and the Rebels is shaping up to be a heater! Both teams have shown they can compete at a high level, and their recent performances indicate a close game is on the horizon. Mississippi State, ranked 22nd, has a strong defensive rebounding presence with KeShawn Murphy averaging 5.3 per game, while Ole Miss, ranked 19th, boasts a high-scoring offense averaging 78.1 points per game. The Bulldogs have been efficient shooters, hitting 45.8% from the field, but the Rebels have been solid defensively, allowing only 71.8 points per game.

Looking at the matchup, Ole Miss will have a three point shooting advantage ranking 33rd in adjusted three point shots on Haslmatrics, to Mississippi State only ranking 272nd in defending them, but what I like about the Bulldogs and they are much stronger inside. They will have a big second chance points advantage due to their offensive rebounding, and they will be able to score down lot. Given their recent close games and evenly matched stats, this game could very well be a one possession game at the end. Take the points.
Mississippi State +4.5 – 2.5 stars
Bonus Play – Boise State vs San Diego State under 136.5 – 2 stars – Neither of these teams will have offensive advantages as both teams are defensive oriented. Boise is a terrible road team when shooting the ball at only 51.5% effective FG% on the road. San Diego State doesn’t score well themselves and they play a very slow pace.
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Date and Time: Wednesday, February 12, 2025, at 8:00 PM CT
Venue: Bud Walton Arena, Fayetteville, Arkansas
Broadcast: The game will be broadcast on ESPN2 and can also be streamed on FUBO and ESPN+.
Previous Matchup: LSU won the last game against Arkansas 78-74 on January 14, 2025. LSU’s efficiency at the free-throw line, shooting 26-of-28, played a crucial role in their victory.,
Team Stats:
Key Players:
I think that there is opportunity here for LSU to keep this game close. They are very hungry for a win after dropping six in a row. Their last win believe it or not was against the Hogs meaning that they should have some confidence. LSU has been in several close games this season, which means they are accustomed to the pressure of a tight contest. This experience can be invaluable in keeping the game within reach. According to Haslametrics, LSU will have some advantages on defense defending the three and near proximity shots. I think that LSU has gained some confidence keeping up with teams like Alabama and Ole Miss over the last two weeks. I will take the points.
LSU +10.5 – 2 stars
The Genesis Invitational is the seventh event of the 2025 PGA TOUR season and the third of eight Signature Events on the schedule.
Thomas Detry made history at the 2025 WM Phoenix Open, becoming the first Belgian player to win a PGA Tour event. Detry dominated the tournament, finishing at 24-under par, seven strokes ahead of the nearest competitors, Daniel Berger and Michael Kim. His final-round score of 65 included an impressive birdie on the famous par-3 16th hole, where his shot landed just 16 inches from the cup.
Hideki Matsuyama delivered a stunning performance at the Genesis Invitational in 2024, rallying from six shots back in the final round to secure victory with a remarkable 9-under 62. This win marked his ninth career PGA Tour title, breaking the record for most wins by an Asian-born player. Matsuyama has won twice since capturing last season’s event the 2024 FedEx St. Jude Championship and the 2025 Sentry.
The 2025 Genesis Invitational will be held at the South Course at Torrey Pines Golf Course in San Diego after wildfires in Los Angeles caused significant damage to the event’s original venue, Riviera Country Club. This relocation is a one-time adjustment, with the tournament expected to return to Riviera in 2026.
Torrey Pines, a familiar PGA TOUR stop, is best known for hosting the Farmers Insurance Open as well as the 2008 and 2021 U.S. Opens. This marks the first time since 2020 that two different PGA TOUR events will be played at the same venue in the same season—when Muirfield Village Golf Club hosted both the Workday Charity Open and the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday in back-to-back weeks.
Tiger Woods has announced his withdrawal from the 2025 Genesis Invitational at Torrey Pines, citing the need to process the recent passing of his mother, Kultida Woods. In a heartfelt statement, Woods shared that while he had done his best to prepare, he ultimately did not feel ready to compete. He expressed gratitude for the support and kindness from fans and the golf community and mentioned that he hopes to attend the event later in the week.
Woods’ last competitive appearance on the PGA TOUR was at The 2024 Open Championship at Royal Troon Golf Club, where he missed the cut.


The Genesis Invitational, originally known as the Los Angeles Open, is one of the PGA TOUR’s longest-running and most prestigious events. First played in 1926 at Los Angeles Country Club, the tournament rotated between Wilshire Country Club, Hillcrest Country Club, and Rancho Park Golf Course before finding a permanent home at Riviera Country Club in 1973—with the exception of this year.
Over the years, the event has seen several name and sponsorship changes, becoming the Nissan Open in 1995, the Northern Trust Open in 2008, and finally the Genesis Open in 2017. In 2020, it was elevated to Invitational status, reducing the field size and increasing the purse, further cementing its status as one of the premier stops on the PGA TOUR.
The South Course at Torrey Pines Golf Course, located along the stunning cliffs of La Jolla, California, is one of the most renowned public golf courses in the world. Originally designed by William F. Bell in 1957, it underwent a major renovation by Rees Jones in 2001 to prepare it for hosting major championships. Known for its breathtaking views of the Pacific Ocean and its challenging layout, the South Course has become a staple on the PGA Tour, serving as the primary venue for the Farmers Insurance Open. Its reputation as a demanding test of golf reached new heights when it hosted the unforgettable 2008 U.S. Open, where Tiger Woods triumphed in a dramatic playoff against Rocco Mediate, and again during the 2021 U.S. Open, where Jon Rahm claimed his first major title. With narrow fairways, deep rough, and lightning-fast greens, the South Course has earned its place as one of the toughest and most iconic layouts in professional golf.
| Duration | Course |
| 2025 | Torrey Pines Golf Course (South Course) |
| 1929–1930, 1941, 1945–1953, 1973–1982, 1984–1997, 1999–2024 | Riviera Country Club |
| 1998 | Valencia Country Club |
| 1956–1967, 1969–1972, 1983 | Rancho Park Golf Course |
| 1968 | Brookside Golf Course |
| 1955 | Inglewood Country Club |
| 1954 | Fox Hills Country Club |
| 1928, 1931, 1933, 1944 | Wilshire Country Club |
| 1932, 1942 | Hillcrest Country Club |
| 1926, 1934–1936, 1940 | Los Angeles Country Club |
| 1937–1939 | Griffith Park (Wilson & Harding course) |
| 1927 | El Caballero Country Club |
| Duration | Tournament Name |
| 2020-Present | Genesis Invitational |
| 2017-2019 | Genesis Open |
| 2008-2016 | Northern Trust Open |
| 1995-2007 | Nissan Open |
| 1989-1994 | Nissan Los Angeles Open |
| 1984-1988 | Los Angeles Open |
| 1971-1983 | Glen Campbell-Los Angeles Open |
| 1926-1942, 1944-1970 | Los Angeles Open |
The four Par 3’s range from 177 to 227 yards. Earlier this year was at the Farmers Insurance Open, all of the Par 3’s had a scoring average over par.

No. 3, 201 yards, Par 3: Overlooking La Jolla, South Course’s signature Par 3, is the most picturesque of all the Par 3’s on the course. Club selection is of utmost importance as the hole can play as short as a 9 iron, and as long as a hybrid. Playing downhill, a good tee shot will leave you middle of green. Avoid going long here as it will leave you a very difficult pitch to get up and down.

No. 16, 227 yards, Par 3: Two teeing grounds will have a dramatic effect on how this hole is played. The shorter tee, to the left, brings two greenside bunkers into play, but players can aim right and ride the prevailing breeze. The front of the green is open from the longer tee, but the wind can complicate the angle.
There are ten Par 4’s on the South Course at Torrey Pines with the majority of those holes ranging between 450 and 500 yards. In terms of scoring average, the toughest Par 4 on the course earlier this year was at the Farmers Insurance Open was No. 12.

No. 4, 490 yards, Par 4: The second longest of the daunting Par 4’s at Torrey Pines, hole #4 requires a good tee shot that will leave you a long iron or fairway metal into a green protected by a bunker on the left. Play approach to the right of the green to allow the contours of the green complex to feed the ball to the middle of the green. A par here is a good score.

No. 14, 437 yards, Par 4: With the canyon running all along the left of the fairway, players will be sure to play the ball safely out to the right, probably with a fairway wood. The most difficult hole location will be back right, but any shots missed long could result in bogey or worse, as there are hazards just off the back of the green.
There are four Par 5s on the course, No. 6, No. 9, No. 13, and No. 18. All of these holes had a scoring average under par in earlier this year was at the Farmers Insurance Open except for No. 13.

No. 13, 621 yards, Par 5: A new tee has been added, back and to the left, calling for a drive of at least 240 yards to carry the canyon. Should players choose to go for the green in two, they will need to carry the second shot some 260 yards as the green is elevated and protected by bunkers and rough in front.

No. 18, 570 yards, Par 5: The closing hole is a great par 5 – basically straight but with a twist in the drive zone – on which anything can happen. Just ask Bruce Devlin. In contention for the 1975 Andy Williams San Diego Open, the Australian took six hacks to get his ball out of the water in front of the green on his way to making a 10. The pond is now called “Devlin’s Billabong”.

Featured/ Signature Hole(s): 3
The Genesis Invitational takes place on the South Course at Torrey Pines Golf Course. Here are the key statistics to keep an eye on for this week’s event.
| Statistics | PGA Tour Average | Torrey Pines Golf Course (South Course) |
| Driving Distance (Yards) | 283.77 | 287.10 |
| Driving Accuracy | 62% | 53% |
| GIR Percentage | 66% | 62% |
| Avg GIR Prox to Hole (Feet) | 29.17 | 29.67 |
| Scrambling Percentage | 58% | 52% |
| Avg 3 Putts / Round | 0.55 | 0.74 |
Per DataGolf, this is the favored skillset at Torrey Pines Golf Course (South Course).




This year’s Genesis Invitational will feature a total of 72 competitors.

Here are the current favorites for this week’s event:

| Farmers Insurance Open | Farmers Insurance Open | Farmers Insurance Open | Farmers Insurance Open | U.S. Open | Farmers Insurance Open | ||
| Torrey Pines Golf Course (South Course*) | Torrey Pines Golf Course (South Course*) | Torrey Pines Golf Course (South Course*) | Torrey Pines Golf Course (South Course*) | Torrey Pines Golf Course (South Course) | Torrey Pines Golf Course (South Course*) | ||
| Golfer | Events Played | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2021 |
| Sungjae Im | 8 | 4 | MC | 4 | 6 | 35 | 32 |
| Samuel Stevens | 3 | 2 | 43 | 13 | – | – | – |
| Hideki Matsuyama | 13 | 32 | 13 | 9 | 30 | 26 | 53 |
| Rory McIlroy | 4 | – | – | – | – | 7 | 16 |
| Collin Morikawa | 4 | – | MC | 3 | – | 4 | – |
| Adam Scott | 3 | – | – | – | – | 35 | 10 |
| Farmers Insurance Open | Farmers Insurance Open | Farmers Insurance Open | Farmers Insurance Open | U.S. Open | Farmers Insurance Open | ||
| Torrey Pines Golf Course (South Course*) | Torrey Pines Golf Course (South Course*) | Torrey Pines Golf Course (South Course*) | Torrey Pines Golf Course (South Course*) | Torrey Pines Golf Course (South Course) | Torrey Pines Golf Course (South Course*) | ||
| Golfer | Events Played | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2021 |
| Nicolas Echavarria | 2 | – | MC | MC | – | – | – |
| Seamus Power | 5 | – | MC | – | – | – | MC |
| Eric Cole | 4 | 68 | MC | MC | – | MC | – |
| Austin Eckroat | 4 | MC | 37 | MC | MC | – | – |
| Corey Conners | 4 | – | – | – | MC | MC | 37 |
| Benjamin Griffin | 3 | MC | MC | 31 | – | – | – |
| SG: Off the Tee | SG: Tee to Green | SG: Approach | SG: Around the Green | SG: Putting | |
| Hideki Matsuyama | 16th | 1st | 18th | 3rd | 3rd |
| SG: Off the Tee | SG: Tee to Green | SG: Approach | SG: Around the Green | SG: Putting | |
| Jon Rahm | 28th | 3rd | 1st | 39th | 12th |
| SG: Off the Tee | SG: Tee to Green | SG: Approach | SG: Around the Green | SG: Putting | |
| Joaquin Niemann | 17th | 1st | 1st | 2nd | 26th |
| SG: Off the Tee | SG: Tee to Green | SG: Approach | SG: Around the Green | SG: Putting | |
| Max Homa | 2nd | 3rd | 21st | 9th | 7th |
| SG: Off the Tee | SG: Tee to Green | SG: Approach | SG: Around the Green | SG: Putting | |
| Adam Scott | 17th | 3rd | 3rd | 17th | 27th |
| SG: Off the Tee | SG: Tee to Green | SG: Approach | SG: Around the Green | SG: Putting | |
| Harris English | 49th | 12th | 4th | 26th | 3rd |
| SG: Off the Tee | SG: Tee to Green | SG: Approach | SG: Around the Green | SG: Putting | |
| Matthieu Pavon | 25th | 23rd | 21st | 47th | 4th |
| SG: Off the Tee | SG: Tee to Green | SG: Approach | SG: Around the Green | SG: Putting | |
| Max Homa | 31st | 1st | 1st | 24th | 9th |
| SG: Off the Tee | SG: Tee to Green | SG: Approach | SG: Around the Green | SG: Putting | |
| Luke List | 21st | 5th | 4th | 32nd | 8th |
| SG: Off the Tee | SG: Tee to Green | SG: Approach | SG: Around the Green | SG: Putting | |
| Patrick Reed | 31st | 12th | 39th | 1st | 10th |
2024: Hideki Matsuyama
| Genesis Invitational | Genesis Invitational | Genesis Invitational | Genesis Invitational | Genesis Open | Genesis Open | Northern Trust Open | Northern Trust Open | Northern Trust Open | |
| Riviera Country Club | Riviera Country Club | Riviera Country Club | Riviera Country Club | Riviera Country Club | Riviera Country Club | Riviera Country Club | Riviera Country Club | Riviera Country Club | |
| 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | |
| Hideki Matsuyama | MC | T39 | MC | T5 | T9 | MC | T11 | T4 | T23 |
2023: Jon Rahm
| Genesis Invitational | Genesis Invitational | Genesis Invitational | Genesis Open | |
| Riviera Country Club | Riviera Country Club | Riviera Country Club | Riviera Country Club | |
| 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | |
| Jon Rahm | T21 | T5 | T17 | T9 |
2022: Joaquin Niemann
| Genesis Invitational | Genesis Invitational | Genesis Open | |
| Riviera Country Club | Riviera Country Club | Riviera Country Club | |
| 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | |
| Joaquin Niemann | T43 | MC | T44 |
2021: Max Homa
| Genesis Invitational | Genesis Open | Northern Trust Open | Northern Trust Open | |
| 2020 | 2019 | 2015 | 2014 | |
| Max Homa | T5 | T37 | MC | MC |
2020: Adam Scott
| Genesis Open | Genesis Open | Genesis Open | Northern Trust Open | Northern Trust Open | Northern Trust Open | Northern Trust Open | Northern Trust Open | Northern Trust Open | Northern Trust Open | Northern Trust Open | |
| Riviera Country Club | Riviera Country Club | Riviera Country Club | Riviera Country Club | Riviera Country Club | Riviera Country Club | Riviera Country Club | Riviera Country Club | Riviera Country Club | Riviera Country Club | Riviera Country Club | |
| 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2013 | 2012 | 2010 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | |
| Adam Scott | T7 | T53 | T11 | T2 | T10 | T17 | MC | T14 | T69 | 2 | WON |
2025: Harris English
| Farmers Insurance Open | Farmers Insurance Open | Farmers Insurance Open | Farmers Insurance Open | Farmers Insurance Open | Farmers Insurance Open | Farmers Insurance Open | Farmers Insurance Open | Farmers Insurance Open | Farmers Insurance Open | Farmers Insurance Open | |
| Torrey Pines Golf Course | Torrey Pines Golf Course | Torrey Pines Golf Course | Torrey Pines Golf Course | Torrey Pines Golf Course | Torrey Pines Golf Course | Torrey Pines Golf Course | Torrey Pines Golf Course | Torrey Pines Golf Course | Torrey Pines Golf Course | Torrey Pines Golf Course | |
| 2024 | 2023 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2013 | 2012 | |
| Harris English | T64 | MC | MC | T71 | MC | T8 | T14 | T31 | T2 | T73 | T43 |
2024: Matthieu Pavon
2023: Max Homa
| Farmers Insurance Open | Farmers Insurance Open | Farmers Insurance Open | Farmers Insurance Open | Farmers Insurance Open | Farmers Insurance Open | |
| Torrey Pines Golf Course | Torrey Pines Golf Course | Torrey Pines Golf Course | Torrey Pines Golf Course | Torrey Pines Golf Course | Torrey Pines Golf Course | |
| 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2017 | 2015 | 2014 | |
| Max Homa | MC | T18 | T9 | MC | MC | MC |
2022: Luke List
| Farmers Insurance Open | Farmers Insurance Open | Farmers Insurance Open | Farmers Insurance Open | Farmers Insurance Open | Farmers Insurance Open | Farmers Insurance Open | |
| Torrey Pines Golf Course | Torrey Pines Golf Course | Torrey Pines Golf Course | Torrey Pines Golf Course | Torrey Pines Golf Course | Torrey Pines Golf Course | Torrey Pines Golf Course | |
| 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2013 | |
| Luke List | T10 | T36 | T40 | T12 | MC | MC | T68 |
2021: Patrick Reed
| Farmers Insurance Open | Farmers Insurance Open | Farmers Insurance Open | Farmers Insurance Open | Farmers Insurance Open | |
| Torrey Pines Golf Course | Torrey Pines Golf Course | Torrey Pines Golf Course | Torrey Pines Golf Course | Torrey Pines Golf Course | |
| 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2016 | 2013 | |
| Patrick Reed | T6 | T13 | T23 | WD | T39 |
Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting. Any feedback whether positive or negative is always encouraged.