Topsy-Turvy start to this college basketball season. Currently sitting at 42-38-1 +8.91 units. A big chunk of that last night going 3-1 +4.67 Units. I’ve had 5-0 days and 0-5 days. Hoping to build on last night into a some level of consistency. Not having CFB to look at every night means more CBB plays coming and today is the most action for me all year as I’ve got 6 games I like today and 10 total bets with some ML sprinkling. Get all my plays available here https://theoddsbreakers.com/membership-account/membership-levels/
Here we go!
Utah Valley State visits Southern Utah (-6.5) O/U 142.5. Utah Valley comes in at 7-1 while Southern Utah holds a record of 5-3. This is the 9th meeting between the schools with the series tied at 4 wins a piece. Southern Utah has won the last three meetings. Southern Utah will join UVU in the WAC next year so this is essentially a rivalry game of the future. Southern Utah is 4-1 straight up in last 5 games and is 4-1 ATS in those 5. UVU is 5-0 in their last 5 games and also 4-1 ATS.
Utah Valley pulled one of the bigger upsets of the season their last time out knocking off BYU at home in OT 72-65. BYU had no answer for UVU 6’11” big man Fardaws Aimaq. He thrashed them for 24 points and 22 rebounds. (He’s averaging 21ppg and 15 rpg) 6th man Justin Harmon also put up 24 points against BYU. They need the rest of their lineup to be more consistent and knock down open shots. When they do that they are tough to beat.
Southern Utah has much more depth and experience especially in the backcourt as they feature 4 different players in averging in double figures on the year. Senior guard John Knight III leads the way at 18.3 ppg, and he has two other senior guards starting along side him in Tevian Jones and Dre Marin.
Both these teams like to push the ball as SUU is 11th in the country in possessions per game and UVU is 44th.
For me this game comes down to taking care of the ball and efficiency. Southern Utah has the edge in ball security, but UVU has a slight edge in Offensive Efficiency and a big one the defensive side of the ball. Southern Utah Sophomore Center Jason Spurgin will be tasked with containing Aimaq, and in their three losses he has struggled mightily against the big men from Cal, St Mary’s and Dixie State. I see much of the same happening tonight.
I like the Utah Valley Wolverines to cover in this one. Gimme UVU +6.5 for 2.5 Units and sprinkle. Also throwing 1 unit at the Over.
