Premium Plays: 80-53-1, +38.85u
*NBA(1.5u): Nuggets ML(-120) @ Spurs–7:40 PM CT
These teams played on Thursday night, with the Spurs prevailing in a 123-111 win. I love playing on the team that lost the 1st game of a double-header, especially when I power rate that team higher than the opposition. Denver has been depleted with injuries in their backcourt, but even so, I still power rate them higher than San Antonio because of their advantage down low with Nikola Jokic. The Spurs(9-15) are sporadic at best and are well aware that they aren’t a serious playoff contender this season. With a win tonight, Denver would get back to .500 and cap off a winning road trip. I think they do just that with a win tonight.
*NBA(1u): Heat ML(-115) vs Bulls–7:10 PM CT
The Bulls(17-9) have been one of the most surprising teams in the NBA this season, but they are limping into this game in Miami with Demar DeRozan, Derrick Jones Jr, Coby White, and Patrick Williams all out tonight. They looked uninspired in their last game in Cleveland and are likely looking ahead to an upcoming home stand. Miami has let me down a few times here recently, but they are coming off a massive win against the Bucks on Wednesday. With 2 days to rest up for this one, they really need to build off that win and create some momentum; with a loss tonight, that Milwaukee win means next to nothing. Jimmy Butler is out for the Heat tonight, but if you watched him earlier this week, that might not be the worst thing for this Miami team. There’s a reason the Heat are favored tonight. Rather than laying the 1 point, I’ll pay the extra 5 cents and take the Heat on the ML.
