*CBB(1.5u): Marquette -7.5(-110) vs Butler–Noon PM CT
Marquette seemed to be getting a lot more buzz a few weeks ago, but you haven’t heard as much about them lately. They enter today’s game having lost 3 of their last 4, but all 3 of those losses came on the road. This is a team that’s set up very well metrics-wise; they rank in the top 50 in both offensive and defensive efficiency and also run at a fast enough pace to really pummel teams that lack offensive firepower. Not only does Butler rank 185th in offensive efficiency, but they run at one of the slowest paces in the country. This is also Butler’s 2nd straight road game; they’ve been in this situation 3 times this year, and they’ve lost all 3 games by an average of 33 PPG. Marquette is the best bet for today. At 9 or above, this would still be a 1u play for me.
*CBB(1u): Duquesne TT UNDER 60(-115) @ Rhode Island–11:30 AM CT
I played Duquesne TT UNDER earlier this week, and my analysis is going to be the exact same as it was on Wednesday. Over their last 12 games, this team is averaging just 55.5 PPG and has reached the 60 point barrier just 3 times. They put up just 50 against Davidson the other night, and now they have to go on the road and face off with a defense that ranks 46th in defensive efficiency. If the oddsmakers keep putting out TT’s this high, we’ll continue to make them pay.
*CBB(1u): East Carolina ML(-125) vs Tulsa–3 PM CT
While these teams match up pretty evenly, ECU has the major travel advantage. This is their second straight home game, while Tulsa will be playing their 4th(!) straight road game. I like ECU at home typically, and I think 4 straight road games is a nearly impossible task for any team.
*CBB(1u): Auburn +3(-110) @ Tennessee–3 PM CT
I was expecting Tennessee to be favored, but only by 1, 1.5 points. Seeing this line over a point higher than I predicted puts me on the Tigers here. I have been adamant about my belief that Tennessee is an overvalued commodity, and I’m once again putting it to the test here. I know playing on the road in conference play is very tough, but I think Auburn got their wake-up call with a loss at Florida last week. I would also understand Tennessee love more if this was a bad spot for Auburn, but they played Ole Miss at home earlier this week and only have Mississippi State to look ahead to. I think the Tigers are legitimate, while Tennessee is not. I’m hoping that’s what we see play out in Knoxville later this afternoon.
*ML Parlay(0.8u): Rhode Island 1H, Marquette, Virginia, LSU 1H(+143)–11:30 PM CT
