Yesterday’s Reflection: What We Learned
We only found value in one investment yesterday – I don’t force them, I only take ‘em when I feel there’s value to be had. The good news is our investment paid off for a +3unit profit yesterday! Buffalo and Edmonton hit the over in the second period, so there was no stress in that one. The main takeaway from yesterday is…
- The Leafs and Flames game was pretty disappointing. Expected a great one, got a mediocre one.
We have a busy slate tonight!
Today’s Slate
There are 10 games tonight. A lot of the games, however, have lines that I feel are pretty good. The real value tonight will be in-game wagers. As long as there’s value to be found, I’ll be releasing plays in between periods of the games tonight on my twitter (@jksportsbets). The track record proves that these investments are more profitable than other types of bets – so follow and get that alarm bell on for maximum profit!
We’ll start in Jersey. Call me an optimist, but I know this Blue Jackets team will come together soon enough. Since the trade deadline expectations have been high but results have been low. This is a great spot for the Jackets to start a run. They can build momentum against a weak Devils team and follow it up with two straight against the Pens. While this might seem like a classic “look ahead” spot, I don’t believe so. Columbus knows they need to win and win now. Since the deadline they haven’t had a road game, so this is a great chance to get their feet under themselves away from the distractions at home. The Devils have lost three in a row and four of five, meanwhile the Jackets won four of their last five on the road before the deadline. Look for this unpredictable Columbus team to return to winning ways and predictability tonight at Prudential Center (and the 3-Way line is only -130 at MyBookie).
Columbus -1.5 (+110)
2units
Columbus 3-Way ML (-130) 3units
Out in the desert about 100 miles from where I’m at right now is a battle between average and bad. Anaheim drives out to visit the Coyotes at Gila River Arena. The good news for investors is that these are two of the most UNDER proficient teams in the league. Anaheim has gone under eight in their last 11 as well as 6-1 in the last seven. Arizona is 7-4 to the under in their last 11. Both offenses are terrible – the ‘Yotes are 28th in the league in GF, and the Ducks are dead last. But not only do these teams not score, they don’t give up an insane amount of goals. The Ducks are 16th in GA and the Coyotes allow the 8th fewest goals in the NHL. The UNDER is at 5.5, and deservedly so. Take it for two units. Additionally, Arizona is right in the middle of a seven game homestand, and they’ve won six in a row. Those wins have come against subpar teams (except for one against Winnipeg), and that’s what the Coyotes face tonight. They have a chance (albeit a small one) to make their first trip back to the postseason since they lost to the Kings in the conference finals in 2011-2012. This team is playing very well right now – I’m continually impressed by the hustle shown by Conor Garland. Throw a unit on the ML and put faith in the Desert Dogs tonight. Unfortunately, both investments are juiced up, so make exposure low here.
Arizona ML (-158)
1unit
Anaheim/Arizona UNDER 5.5 (-145) 2units
Southern California is our last stop, again. For most of the year the Kings were an under team. Under, under, under. Bad teams don’t score goals, and therefore the under hits reliably, right? Well, lately not so. The Kings, since their streak of 5 in a row to the under ended on January 17, have been 9-2 to the OVER. They’re still losing games, but the offense has picked it up. When you break it down by division it gets more interesting. In terms of O/U, the Kings have hit the over in eight of their last ten against the Atlantic. With the total at only 5.5, this is a clear OVER bet for me. Additionally, when looking at the side, Los Angeles is 2-9-3 against the Atlantic this year (and have lost the last TWELVE IN A ROW). Yep. The Kings have lost twelve in a row to the Atlantic, including losses to Ottawa (x2), Buffalo (x2), and Detroit. Meanwhile Montreal is a surprising 10-3 SU against the Pacific and have won six in a row, including 4-1 on the road this year. The Canadiens are right in the mix of the playoff race in the East and are playing with lots of motivation. We’re throwing a lot at this matchup.
Montreal -1.5 (+195)
1unit
Montreal 3-Way ML (+115) 1unit
Montreal ML (-137) 3units
Los Angeles/Montreal OVER 5.5 (-111) 3units
Follow me on twitter (@jksportsbets) especially tonight, as I’m hopeful for more value to be found in-game, so our LIVE IN-GAME investments should increase profitability. Make sure you have the alarm bell turned on to get notified of my tweets since I release plays IN-GAME that greatly increase our profitability!
