Nebraska vs Michigan State -13 O/U 139
Nebraska may be the most disappointing team in the big 10 this year. With hopes of tournament birth this team has only won 2 of their last 12 games and much of the reason for this is when they lost their second best player Isaiah Copeland in January. Michigan State has had their own injuries losing Josh Langford and then recently Nick Ward for a few weeks who should be able to come back for the Tournament Madness. Sparty is coming off of another embarrassing lost to an Indiana team who is trying to get back on the bubble with a win against Wisconsin a week ago as well. MSU should be plenty motivated here to finish out their games with wins in order to try and get a piece of that Big 10 regular season. What sticks out like a soar thumb to me is how bad Nebraska is as an away team. Over their last 3 road games they have lost by an average of 23.5 points and now they have to play the best in the Big 10. Michigan State may be pretty injured but their defense is still very good holding opponents to only 61 points per game at home. Both teams play slow in conference at 65.9 plays per game. This Nebraska team is pretty much now out of contention for the NCAA tournament unless they somehow win the Big 10 tournament and I think that they will not be motivated to play hard here in this spot. I like Michigan State to take care of business defensively to keep up with Purdue for the Big 10 regular season title.
Michigan State -13 and under 139
South Carolina vs Texas A&M – 4.5 O/U 142
This game is more of a situational play rather than a spot play. Both of these teams are out of the NCAA tournament and both are going in opposite directions. South Carolina has lost their best player in point guard AJ Lawson to injury a week ago who averaged 14 points per game, 3 assists per game, 1.1 steels per game and even 4.4 rebounds. This injury really stuck its ugly head out on Saturday vs Missouri with SC losing by 15. Now South Carolina has to go on the road again after dropping 3 straight games to face an Aggies team that has a lot of pride. Texas A&M has been relatively hot ripping off wins in 5 of their last 7 games. Now both of these teams play pretty sloppy and turn the ball over plenty but the 2 things that I am banking on here in this handicap is that South Carolina thrives by shooting the 3 point shot with the fact that they lost their best shooter to injury and Texas A&M is a team that defends the 3 very well while having the better defense. Both offenses are pretty much equal if all things are held equal but the big injury to the Gamecocks should once again rear it’s ugly head. I do not see how South Carolina wins this game without their stud and this line should be -6.
Texas A&M -4.5
