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Rangers vs Rays -122 O/U 8
Early April baseball usually sets itself up nicely for some unders in the betting market. While this is true across most of the nation, it doesn’t always bode well for warm places like Tampa Florida. In early spring the humidity is usually down and the temperatures are up. Today, two solid pitchers face of in Nathan Eovaldi who had a solid 3.63 ERA last year and a 3.88 FIP for the Rangers. He faces off against Aaron Civale who boasted a 3.47 ERA last year and a 3.57 FIP. There are a few reasons why I like the over today. For one, neither bullpen ranked in the top ten last year in performance. My next issue is that both teams ranked in the top for when it comes to wRC+ which means weighted runs created adjusted for ballparks. They also were top 4 in total runs. Lastly, the wind is blowing towards center field at over 22 miles per hour today. I could see a lot of fly balls that will make it over the fence as well as some stress on the pitching staff. Take the over.
Over 8 -115 – 1 star
