557 Mavs 1Q pk (-110) at Blazers*
In December, Portland is 1-6 ATS at home, averaging a 4.5 deficit in the 1st quarter with only one 1Q ATS win in their L5 at home. With their C Nurkic out for tonight’s game I’m not sure if the Blazers will have an answer for Porzingis at least at first. Mavs looked better than expected at Utah on Christmas day. Taking the Mavs in the 1Q to come out hot while the Blazers are off extended rest and figure out their roster in the beginning.
This game looks like it just got pulled off the board, but was my original write up. I’ll wait to see what the news is and re-assess, but I did make a play in this one…
555/ 556 Grizzlies at Suns UN 220.5*
Total popped up from it’s 218.5 open to 221 but is starting to tick back down at 220.5 in some places now. Looking at the Suns at home off a loss, they are currently 0-3 O/U with an average total of 219.5 and average game score of 207. That average likely explains the 218.5 open. Those three home games off of a loss were against the Kings, Cavs and Spurs. With a veteran PG in Chris Paul, I don’t see him trying to run with the Grizzlies who want to push pace. The best way the Suns have a chance in this one is to slow it down. I’ll stick with the Suns trend at home off a loss, and take the under!
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