Seton Hall vs Providence -1.5 O/U 139.5
This line came out perfect here at pick-em. At first there was some on the home team steam (Providence) bringing the spread to -1.5 and now you see some towards the dog (Seton Hall). When you dive a little deeper into the match-up, you notice that Seton Hall’s numbers are better than Providence in both offense and defense. You also notice that the Pirate’s have had a much harder schedule ranking 15th in the nation on Kenpom beating teams teams like Maryland, St Johns and Kentucky compared to the Friars ranking 115th who hasn’t beaten anybody good other than Texas. My numbers have this game closer to a pick-m at Providence but since the Friars are off of a double overtime game and emotional loss on Saturday vs Georgetown, I have to think they are a little bit emotionally spent. I also like the fact that Seton Hall lost but outplayed Marquette in the second half on Saturday. Lastly, home court advantage isn’t quite as good until the students all get back from winter break.
Seton Hall +1.5
Quick Hitter: I am taking Marquette -2.5 and over 158 vs Georgetown. Marquette is 10-7 ATS while Georgetown is 6-10-1. Georgetown has one of the worst defenses in the league allowing 80 points per game at home. They also play at one of the fastest paces in the league at 78.9 possessions per game (top 15 in the nation). Marquette plays faster than average as well and knows how to score the ball very well. So if there is any chance that Georgetown beats Marquette it will be because they outscored them so the over should hit easily if that is the case. If the Hoyas get destroyed by the Golden Eagle’s half way decent defense then we cover easily and “might” miss the over. It is highly doubtful that Georgetown both wins and the game goes under. I like both of these plays especially since Georgetown is off their over time game as well and should not be able to beat Marquette and tire out at the end. This is a correlated play.
Marquette -2.5 and over 158
