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Buffalo vs Miami +3.5 O/U 47.5
This is an interesting line because I don’t think that either of these teams had gotten worse since last year, I think both teams improved some yet this line says that Buffalo is about 6 point better on a neutral field. Now I know that some of that Steelers score is a bit misleading, but at this time of year, I am not sure who wants to back the Bills going into the heat and humidity this time of year in Miami. know that Buffalo fans Travel well to Miami normally, but they also aren’t exactly escaping winter quite yet. Miami’s defense looked really good in New England and I have to think they will step their game up once again so they aren’t the odd team out of the playoffs at 10 wins. There is some serious motivation here for the fish and Tua knows that he has to show that he is the leader of this team. My Power ratings have this game Buffalo -1.75 points so I am on the Miami side here.
Miami +3.5 for 2.5 stars
Rams vs Indianapolis Colts +4 O/U 48
It’s over-reaction week and there is no more of a perfect game that fits the bill than Indianapolis hosting the LA Rams. I think that this line is an overreaction on both sides. The Colts did look pretty bad vs the Seahawks but even though they lost by 12, they were only about 50 yards different from the Seahawks form the box score, and Russell Wilson is a whole different animal than Matthew the ‘statue’ Stafford. (You like that?) The threat of the run will just not be there. On the other side of the coin, the Bears blew it in the red zone last week in LA with a tipped pass pick and they also were able to march down the field pretty easily against this supposedly great Rams defense. Bears RB David Montgomery had over 100 yards on 16 carries and Henderson only had 70 yards on 16 carries showing some weakness with the Rams run defense similar to last year. Take away those two monster plays against the Bears over the top and we have a very close game. f the Colts can clean up their secondary and get to Stafford some, they could make a game out of this and we also can’t forget the sandwich spot that the Rams are in. LA has Superbowl champion Tampa Bay next week and I think that they might be thinking about that more than destroying this Colts team. I have this game closer to Rams -1 here so I will grab the Colts +4 for a great value.
Colts +4 – 2 stars
OUR REFUSE TO LOSE TEASER IS 1-0 so far! 6PT tease the Packers to -5 with the Jets to +12 – 2 stars
