NFL Week 17

1948

Miami vs Buffalo -3.5

So we know that Miami is trying to be 8-8 and finish .500 this week. This is why you see Ryan Tannehill starting. There is some rumors that are probably true that the Dolphins may move on from Ryan Tannehill so they don’t have to pay him 19 million next year. There is also rumors that Adam Gase will be gone. Now I know that Sean McDermot and the Buffalo Bills want to finish their season strong but do you think that they should be laying over 3 points at home to anybody not named the Cardinals this year? Is Adam Gase just going to sit there and not be motivated to win this game? Now I know that Miami is pretty banged up in the secondary and will be without Xavian Howard and TJ McDonald but should that matter so much vs a rookie QB who mainly runs the ball like Josh Allen? Football outsiders has Buffalo as the 31st best team and Miami is at 25. Most power ratings has Miami by 1.5 on neutral field so that should be a dog by only 1.5 at home. I’ll take the fish +3 and the hook

Miami +3.5

San Francisco vs LA Rams -9.5

Here is another one that I am not quite understanding. The Rams haven’t looked all that great since clinching the division while the Niners have some life left in them. It is pretty clear to me that Sean McVey cares more about being healthy than wooping up on their rivals. Now they did get some things right last week playing the worst team in football but looking at the 49ers, I think that they have some motivational factors coming into this game. I think Kyle Shanahan wants to get a huge W to finish the year and come into next season with momentum motivation. San Francisco is pretty banged up at Wide Receiver and RBs but they still have George Kittle who has shown that he can carry the load all by himself. Matt Breida is out for the year but backup Jeff Wilson looks just as good to me. On the Rams side of things, it is looking like Todd Gurley will be held out once again for CJ Anderson to take the Rock. He is worth 3 points in my book. Safety LeMarcus Joyner may be sitting this one out as well. I like the way the 49ers have been playing their last 3 games against the Seahawks, Broncos and Bears so I will happily take those points in a division game.

San Francisco +9.5

Dallas vs NY Giants -6

So everyone knows that Jason Garrett has been on the hot seat for like 3 years. Some thought he would be fired mid season and he saved his Job by wining the division. At least temporarily saved his job. He has 1 more opportunity to get fired here. He can play Zeke Elliot, Dak Prescott, Zach Martin, Sean Lee and Amari Cooper and let one of them get banged up in a completely meaningless game just to beat the Giants and then he would get fired before the season. Now I have never been a huge Jason Garret fan but I even don’t think that he is this stupid. I also know this could be Eli Manning’s last start as a New York Giant in New York. There should be some motivation there. I know Odell is out and all but Eli was able to topple the redskins without him. Giants will want to finish with a bang here so lay the points.

New York Giants -6

Chicago vs Minnesota -4.5

So in Bears coach Matt Nagy’s mind he is still playing for a first round bye while the Vikings are playing to make the playoffs. In this situation i usually favor the team that is do or die. Power ratings has the Vikings -1 at home but it is -4.5 for motivational questions. Vikings have been playing solid now with Dalvin Cook back and new offensive coordinator Kevin Stefanski who was a Pat Shurmer student. So the big question here is will the Bears be motivated? The answer is YES but only guaranteed for the first half. If the Rams are blowing out the 49ers at the half Matt Nagy said he could pull his starters. This means that there is some obvious value on the first half line here. If you need any more acumen here, Doug Peterson coach of the Eagles may have called his buddy Matt Nagy here and told him to beat the Vikings so the Eagles can make the playoffs 🙂

Bears first half +2.5 +100

Big star Teaser! Philadelphia to -.5 and LA Chargers to -.5 Both teams are playing for something

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Kiev O'Neil: 20+ years of sports betting experience. Podcast host since 2017. College Football since 2019 412-367-27 UP 58.7U NFL since 2018 249-228-16 up 40U UFC since 2019 82-74-5 up 34.1U I do not necessarily look at myself as being a so called “sharp” sports bettor. Instead I like to think of myself as a great compiler of information who specializes in the Big 10, but also handicaps all NFL, NCAA football, UFC, Basketball, Horse Racing and more! I encourage people to specialize in a conference or division that will help give them the greatest edge in their sports wagers. I am never against a person betting against their favorite teams when the situation is right.