NFL Week 18 Free Plays

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This may be my most anxiety ridden sports handicapping week for me to date.  A lot is on the line for Chris (@farleybets) and I (@snormsnorm) in our Circa contest, looking to make a run at the top 10!  It has been a grind this week choosing 5 games we really liked.  We will be heading to Atlantic City to watch this final week and win or lose, it was an awesome ride!  

NFL Record through week 17: 139-100 +38.48 Units

Hou +10 (-105)

  • Tennessee are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games against Houston.
  • Houston gives titans trouble
  • Davis mills numbers at home are superior to that on the road 9 tds to 1 int and vs 4 tds and 9 ints on the road
  • This Houston team has proven to be feisty and able to move the ball…. Brandin Cooks has been an absolute monster this year.
  • I think this line is simply too high.

Min -5.5 (-110)

  • Cousins will be back and will start for the Vikings… which I absolutely love there is no pressure on kirk what- so-ever….this is when we get a really good kirk
  • It will (most-likely) be Mike Zimmer’s last game as HC and could be a rallying type of game for the Vikings to put on a show and be that potent high scoring offense we know they are capable of
  • With news of Fields on Covid list and unlikely he has time to test out of protocols now puts Dalton as a starter
  • Specifically speaking Bears got their good win last week….rolling the Giants….Vikings despite their record are a better team, despite their last 6 games are 2-4 ATS…. I like them to go out with a bang in this spot
  • Vikings roll here with Kirk having a stress free 300+ type of day slinging the ball all over the field

Mia +6 (-105)

  • We all know the NE Narrative traveling to Miami and their struggles
  • New England are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games against Miami.
  • Have a team in Mia who got absolutely blown out last week vs a team in NE who destroyed Jax…..looking for a bounce back for Mia and some regression from NE
  • We know Miami is not afraid to stack the box and say beat us with your arm (Saw that in primetime against the Ravens)
  • That could just be enough of a recipe to throw Mac Jones off a little bit
  • Miami will absolutely bring the house, This is Miami’s super bowl at home…. We saw Mac Jones laughing giggling having an absolute blast last week
  • I think he gets hit in the mouth this week has some regression and refocuses for the playoffs
  • Miami +6