NHL Preview & Picks – November 8th, 2024

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Tonight’s NHL slate is loaded with action, with four games scheduled across the league.

Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or new to the world of NHL wagering, today’s games present numerous enticing angles, including moneylines, puck lines, and prop bets. With teams eager to establish their early-season identities, there’s plenty to consider. Let’s explore the top matchups and uncover the best bets for tonight’s action!

Matchups:

Detroit Red Wings @ Toronto Maple Leafs

  • Puck Drop: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV Information: TSN4, TVAS-D, FDSNDET, ESPN+

Records & Stats:

TeamRecordStandingsHomeAwayATSO/U
Detroit Red Wings6-5-15th Atlantic3-3-13-2-06-6-06-6-0
Toronto Maple Leafs7-5-22nd Atlantic5-2-02-3-29-5-05-7-2

Odds:

TeamOpening MLCurrent MLSpreadTotal
Detroit Red Wings+160+164+1.5 (-155)o6.0 (-108)
Toronto Maple Leafs-192-198-1.5 (+130)u6.0 (-112)
Odds via DraftKings

Starting Goaltenders:

TeamGoalieGames PlayedGoals Saved Above Expected (Rank)Save Percentage (Rank)Goals Against Average (Rank)Status
DETCam Talbot7+6.2 (4th).929 (6th)2.45 (12th)CONFIRMED
TORAnthony Stolarz9+6.0 (5th).928 (7th)2.12 (6th)CONFIRMED
Stats via NHL.com and MoneyPuck.com

Team Stats & Trends:

  • Detroit are 4-8 SU in their last 12 games when playing on the road against Toronto.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto’s last 6 games against Detroit.
  • Toronto are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games at home.

Player Stats & Trends:

TeamPlayerPropOdds (DraftKings)Trend
TORWilliam NylanderAnytime Goal Scorer+120– Hit in 4/5 Overall
– Hit in 6/8 at Home
TORWilliam NylanderOver 3.5 Shots on Goal-135– Hit in 6/6 vs DET
– Hit in 4/5 at Home
TORMorgan RiellyOver 0.5 Points-120– Hit in 5/7 Overall
– Hit in 4/6 vs DET
– Hit in 3/3 at Home
DETAlex DeBrincatOver 0.5 Points-135– Hit in 5/6 Overall
– Hit in 3/3 vs TOR
– Hit in 3/4 on the Road
DETLucas RaymondOver 0.5 Points-142– Hit in 5/6 Overall
– Hit in 5/5 vs TOR
– Hit in 2/2 on the Road
Trends via Linemate.io

Best Bets:

  • William Nylander Over 3.5 Shots on Goal (-135) – DraftKings

Nylander has met his shots-on-goal quota in two of his last four games. He’s averaging 4.0 Shots on Goal and 6.5 Shot Attempts during that span.

Additionally, Nylander has a fantastic track record against Detroit, recording over 3.5 shots on goal in their last six encounters.

This season, Nylander has been much better at home, recording over 3.5 shots on goal in 71.4% of games compared to just 14.3% on the road.

Detroit currently ranks 31st this season for shots on goal allowed per game, averaging 33.70 shots. Breaking down the distribution by position, the Red Wings have conceded the 3rd most shots on goal per game to forwards this season with an average of 24.00.

Pittsburgh Penguins @ Washington Capitals

  • Puck Drop: 7:30 PM ET
  • TV Information: HULU, ESPN+, SN, TVAS

Records & Stats:

TeamRecordStandingsHomeAwayATSO/U
Pittsburgh Penguins5-8-27th Metropolitan3-3-02-5-26-9-08-6-1
Washington Capitals9-3-03rd Metropolitan7-1-02-2-08-4-07-5-0

Odds:

TeamOpening MLCurrent MLSpreadTotal
Pittsburgh Penguins+136+164+1.5 (-155)o6.5 (-115)
Washington Capitals-162-198-1.5 (+130)u6.5 (-105)
Odds via DraftKings

Starting Goaltenders:

TeamGoalieGames PlayedGoals Saved Above Expected (Rank)Save Percentage (Rank)Goals Against Average (Rank)Status
PITJoel Blomqvist6+2.2 (19th).909 (20th)3.46 (54th)EXPECTED
WSHCharlie Lindgren6-2.9 (57th).896 (39th)2.70 (23rd)CONFIRMED
Stats via NHL.com and MoneyPuck.com

Team Stats & Trends:

  • Pittsburgh are 0-6 SU in their last 6 games on the road.
  • Washington are 7-0 SU in their last 7 games at home.

Player Stats & Trends:

TeamPlayerPropOdds (DraftKings)Trend
WSHConnor McMichaelOver 0.5 Points-148– Hit in 9/12 Overall
– Hit in 6/6 at Home
WSHConnor McMichaelOver 2.5 Shots on Goal-125– Hit in 4/5 Overall
– Hit in 4/4 at Home
WSHAlex OvechkinAnytime Goal Scorer+115– Hit in 5/5 Overall
– Hit in 5/7 vs PIT
– Hit in 5/5 at Home
WSHAlex OvechkinOver 3.5 Shots on Goal-110– Hit in 4/5 Overall
– Hit in 5/7 vs PIT
– Hit in 3/4 at Home
PITKris LetangOver 1.5 Shots on Goal-198– Hit in 11/15 Overall
– Hit in 5/7 vs WSH
– Hit in 8/9 on the Road
PITMichael BuntingOver 1.5 Shots on Goal-162– Hit in 5/6 Overall
– Hit in 3/4 vs WSH
– Hit in 2/3 on the Road
Trends via Linemate.io

Best Bets:

  • Alex Ovechkin Over 3.5 Shots on Goal (-110) – DraftKings

Ovechkin has met his shots-on-goal quota in four of his last five games. He’s averaging 3.8 Shots on Goal and 8.8 Shot Attempts during that span.

Additionally, Ovechkin has a great track record against Pittsburgh, recording over 2.5 shots on goal in five of their last seven encounters.

Pittsburgh currently ranks 29th this season for shots on goal allowed per game, averaging 32.20 shots. Breaking down the distribution by position, the Penguins have conceded the 4th most shots on goal per game to forwards this season with an average of 23.43.

Additional Bets:

  • Vegas Golden Knights (-142) – DraftKings

The Golden Knights are off to a strong start this season with a 9-3-1 record, winning six of their last seven games and scoring at least four goals in all but one of those matchups. Meanwhile, the Kraken are struggling, dropping their last four games and getting outscored 4-15 over that stretch. I expect the Golden Knights to keep their momentum going tonight and capitalize on a Kraken team in a slump.

  • Matt Boldy over 3.5 Shots on Goal (+105) – DraftKings

Boldy has hit his shots-on-goal mark in three of his last five games, averaging 4.0 shots on goal and 7.0 shot attempts in that span. This season, he’s been especially consistent on the road, surpassing 2.5 shots on goal in each of his last four away games.

Boldy also has a solid record against Anaheim, with over 2.5 shots on goal in three of their last five matchups. Anaheim currently ranks last in the league for shots on goal allowed per game, averaging 35.3. Breaking it down further, the Ducks have allowed the most shots on goal per game to forwards this season, averaging 26.08.

Promotions/ Sources:

Linemate – Player/ Team Props

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Shot Propz – Charts

  • Shots on Goal (SOG) Against by Position
  • Shot Attempts (SAT) Against by Position
  • Goals Against (GA) by Position
  • Team Offensive Stat Overview
  • Team Defensive Stat Overview
  • Team Hits and Blocks

Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting. Any feedback whether positive or negative is always encouraged.

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