Premium Plays: 72-36-1, +51u
*NFL(1u): Dolphins/Jets UNDER 44.5(-110)–Noon CT
The Jets have been torched each of the past 4 games, but the Dolphins present the perfect “get right” spot for the New York defense. The Dolphins simply cannot establish the run(Myles Gaskin: 3.4 YPC), forcing their QB(s) into predictable passing situations. With that said, I believe the Dolphins defense has turned a corner as they’ve started to get healthier. They forced 4 turnovers against the Texans two weeks ago before yielding just 10 points to Lamar Jackson’s Ravens last week. I’ve always liked Brian Flores’s defensive mind, and his team is starting to gear into solid current form. They get a dream matchup in this one with Joe Flacco filling into a depleted NYJ QB room. Flacco is collecting checks at this point in his career and is simply not equipped to execute at a high level in the NFL. Last season, in a similar scenario, this Miami defense pitched a shutout against the Flacco-led Jets; I wouldn’t be surprised if we see a repeat performance today. I do think there’s a chance the Jets can control how this game is played, but either way, I see quite a bit of value on the Under.
