Hell of a way to head into the weekend, going 4-0 (and avoiding some stinkers like the Pelicans) for a +8 unit night. I hope you took full advantage! Check out some of the new NFL picks below as I continue to stack my plays for Sunday. Since it’s just a huge slate of CBB today, I threw in some plays there, too. Remember, I’m no expert in CBB – follow and enlist in Kyle Hunter’s or Kiev O’Neill’s premium picks for a real savant there.
NBA Picks:
- Pacers/Mavs under 216.5 *
- Just a one unit play here, Indiana is still banged up a little (and Brogdon is out) and Dallas plays at a stifling, slow pace as it is. These two teams routinely get unders in their contests (Dallas: 68% ATS under)- I have this game at 209.
- Raptors/Heat 1H under 106.5 **
- This game should be a war. Two teams with long, blue-collar talent in the paint. Both good on defense, both disciplined. I expect a battle and I like the 1H under more than the full game (it’s just too high), BUT – if this game goes over in the 1H, look for a live bet on the total under overall at that point. Both of these defenses are exceptional in the 3rd quarter especially.
CBB Picks:
- Michigan State -4 *
- Baylor/Bama over 150.5 *
- DePaul +8.5 *
- Tenn/Texas under 126.5 *
NFL Conference Picks (new picks in blue):
- Bengals +7 **
- How many times does Burrow have to prove that he’s elite? In case you missed my Tweet, if there’s a rematch between two teams in the conference championship round, the team that won in the regular season has gone 9-2 since 2014. The Bengals beat KC in Week 17 – and I think they could do it again. I’ll be sprinkling on the ML, too – Burrow is special.
- Burrow over 305 passing yards **
- Mahomes over 305 passing yards **
- Bengals over 23.5 points **
- Bengals/Chiefs over 54.5 **
- Do I really need an explanation here?
- 49ers/Rams 1Q under 9.5 **
- 49ers +3.5 *
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- Cautious because the Rams NEED TO beat SF one of these days, and I think they do, but how can this not be a FG game between two divisional rivals?
- Teaser: Chiefs win, Game over 48, Rams +3.5, Game over 38.5 **
If you ever have any questions, message me here, on Twitter, or on Instagram. I will make myself available from 9am to 5pm every day, but please don’t expect an answer outside of those hours. I gotta shut it down sometimes. All picks are 1-5 stars based on unit size and confidence. 3 star picks are rare, 4-5 star picks are VERY rare. -Chris
