New customers are probably like: WTF? Same.
More drudgery on Thursday, but we’re not giving up yet. Remember, this is how we did the last two seasons:
- 2020-21: 207-152 (58%), +55 units
- 2021-22: 283-223 (56%), +73.10 units
Regression is coming, eventually. Hang on–
NBA:
Bulls +4 (-110), to win 1.5 units
The 76ers are a great team but the Bulls, holding my breath here, are indeed playing better basketball right now. This line fell with Embiid out and it’s reasonable to think the Bulls could win this game outright. Because of that, gotta love the +4. Chicago has a B2B tomorrow but they should care more about this game. Unless Harden goes off (eye roll), this should be a close game or a Bulls win.
Nets -4.5 (-110), to win 1.5 units
Unless Brooklyn completely shits the bed, the Pelicans will struggle keeping up with Nets; this is where Zion and Ingram’s absence really comes into play.
Raptors -3.5 (-110), to win 1 unit
This line doesn’t make sense at first glance. Toronto has struggled mightily this season and hasn’t seemed as much of a unit as they have in the past. But I really like how they played against Milwaukee the other night. The Knicks have no presence on their team like Giannis, and even though RJ Barrett and Jalen Brunson are playing well, I expect a much healthier Raptors team to limit. They’re on a long home stand, too. Stickin ‘my neck out again for Toronto– this is their spot to win.
Hornets/Bucks 1Q over 59.5 (-105), to win 1 unit
Bucks 1H -6.5 (-110), to win 1 unit
Bucks -10 (-110), to win 1.5 units
We’ve seen a lot of blow outs lately as great teams are starting to find their flow. The NBA Injury Report says Giannis and Jrue will both be available tonight, and that’s all we need to know. I don’t think the Hornets defense can stop Milwaukee for 1 second and the Bucks’ aren’t playing playoff defense yet. Like a fast start, and as long as some crazy NBA injury news doesn’t pull a fast one on us, this is a smash spot for the Bucks.
CBB (2-2, -0.2 units)
Oakland +7 (-110), to win 1.5 units
This checks out as a close game between two pretty evenly matched teams, and I love that Northern Kentucky is a bad 3 point defense and the Grizzlies are an above average team from beyond the arc. This should remain tight throughout.
Columbia ML (+500), to win 2.5 units
Columbia +11.5 (-110) to win 1.25 units
We’ve seen this story before in intra-divisional teams when a home opponent is a big dog. Five of Columbia’s wins have come at home, and while Princeton is clearly the better squad, they haven’t exactly faced the class of college basketball in their non-divisional games. Columbia shoots 3-pointers at a high rate, a rate Princeton might not be ready for, and if they start falling the momentum could build for the Lions at home.
