Premiums, 3.13

125

 

Our first losing night in the NBA all week – we’ve been getting a little spoiled with non-stop wins, so a little regression is expected. Sneaky Sunday is upon us and I have a feeling the dogs will be barking today. Staying away from most games, the lines are sharp, but we found some value. Forgive my brevity in this email but it’s moving day for us and I have very little time this morning. Onto the picks!

NBA Picks:
  • Rockets +5, 1.5 units and ML sprinkle
    • The Rockets have looked good recently, they’re fighting hard, Christian Wood is back in the lineup and New Orleans remains without CJ McCollum and Brandon Ingram. I’ll comfortably play on Houston here and think they may have more talent than the Pels here. Would not be shocked if they won.
  • Grizzlies -13.5, 1.5 units
    • OKC without Dort and Giddey, a different team. Memphis should ROLL in this one.
  • Mavericks/Celtics over 216, 1 unit
    • As gifted as Boston’s defense is, the Mavericks defense can be inconsistent and both Tatum and Luka have been lights out this season. I think this is a surprising over as two talented offenses battle to out-perform the other. Dallas can still win on the perimeter, Boston has a big advantage down low.
CBB Picks:
  • Texas A&M ML (+200), 1 unit
    • A&M has looked unstoppable in the SEC tournament. Why not play on them one more time?
  • Iowa/Purdue over 149.5, 1 unit
    • All these teams do is score and I don’t think either defense can stop the other. This will be a battle of offensive talent.