Nice day yesterday on the bases and a 1-0 outing in the NHL. Let’s see if we can snag that Chinese Taipei b-ball win this morning (not looking great, eye roll) and let’s have another winning day. Happy Thirsty Thurzzz!
MLB Picks:
Rockies/Marlins NRFI (-120), to win 1 unit
NRFI = No Run in First Inning, for those who don’t know. The Rockies are pedestrian on the road because they don’t have the altitude of Denver to assist their lineup. Miami’s Braxton Garrett had a rough start to his season but seems to be settling into his command. Why not take an early NRFI in a game that feels like it’ll be sleepy? It’s unlikely the Marlins’ offense, which is very average, will continue hitting at the rhythm they are, even with Colorado’s sub-average pitching.
Dodgers -2.5 (+118), to win 1.18 units
It feels very square, again, but I think you know why we’re playing on a LAD alt line here. Kershaw is on the mound, Greene is ready and willing to sacrifice huge hits from a loaded LAD lineup (even without Betts), and again the Reds’ offense should struggle big-time to keep up. All LA for me.
Guardians/Twins over 10.5 (+110), to win 1.1 units
I’m taking another alternate line here because it’s just too good (or too bad, should I say) of a pitching matchup with two offenses that are rolling right now. Nothing about Plesac (4.53 xFIP) or Smeltzer (5.04 xFIP) scares me away from this wager.
Yankees (-132), to win 1.5 units
Should we just take the Yankees every time they’re under a -150 favorite? Probably. NYY is on a 14-game home winning streak, the Astros suffer in hostile environments on the road, and New York is 16-7 against lefties this season. Just taking it, not overthinking.
Foreign Basketball:
Greece A1
Ermis Agias (Larisa) +5, 1 unit
Their opponent has owned them as of late but previous meetings were a different story. This is too many points to give the away team, in this case, especially since it’s a battle for seeding in this league.
If you ever have any questions, message me here, on Twitter, or on Instagram. I will make myself available from 9am to 5pm every day, but please don’t expect an answer outside of those hours. I gotta shut it down sometimes. All picks are 1-5 stars based on unit size and confidence. 3 star picks are rare, 4-5 star picks are VERY rare. All plays listed are TO WIN that amount. In other words, if I say Bucks -3 for 1 unit, we’re betting 1.1 units at -110 or 1.15 units at -115 to win 1 unit.
Always appreciate all of you! -Chris
