Anyone tracking my MLB leans? Because those are working out pretty well. Too bad they don’t matter for shit. In other news, I guess I should have listened to the many friends and fellow bettors who told me to handicap WNBA in the summer. After talking with Kate Constable, it’s evident there’s plenty to expose in an unproven market – I’ll try my hand at it for the rest of the season before the NFL but tread carefully. Anything more than a 1 unit play is unlikely.
Onto hump day!
MLB Picks:
Braves/Mets over 7.5 (-120), to win 1.5 units
There’s a reason this is juiced to the over. Sharps are moving this up because both of these potent offenses are overdue. Each exchanged sharp defensive outings behind two stud pitchers, but it’s about time the lineups explode. Bassit and Morton, when at the top of their game, are still two very formidable aces in the majors. But they haven’t been at the top of their games this season. This showdown sets up for a battle of bats and we’ll play on the over accordingly.
Dodgers/Padres ML Parlay, 1 unit to win 1.67 units
Remember when I bet the wrong side in the Padres/Rockies series twice? Same. Baseball. I like this situation better. Gonsolin and Musgrove against Wainwright and the Cards and Kuhl and the Rockies? Byeeeee
CFL Picks, Week 6:
Montreal vs. Edmonton (+9), Thursday
Under 50.5 (-105), to win 1.5 units
Edmonton +9 (-105), to win 1 unit
Here’s the thing – not only is Edmonton the worst team in CFL, by far apparently, and Montreal isn’t far behind. The Alhouettes do have one thing going for them, however, and that’s their defense. Montreal is top 3 on defense in two categories that really matter, opponent net offense and yards per play. The pedestrian Edmonton offense shouldn’t be able to do much, but they’re also terribly desperate. They haven’t won a single game so far this season so I expect them to try as hard as humanly possible, but imagining a ton of points seems rather far-fetched. A closer game than people think, I like the under and the underdog.
Calgary vs. Winnipeg (-3), Friday
Total over 48.5 (-105), to win 1 unit
Two of the most explosive offenses in CFL, Winnipeg is the favorite to win it all for good reason and a lot of that is because of their defense. Calgary would love to challenge that Friday. The Blue Bombers are capable of sticking with any team and it’s likely that the Stampeders will show up big time on the ground. Calgary’s Ka’Deem Carey is one of the best rushers in Canada and if the away team can punch Winnipeg in the mouth early and open up the pass, points won’t be limited in this contest. Like the over.
WNBA Pick:
Sun -9.5 (-110), to win 1 unit
The Sun have destroyed the Fever all season, winning 3 straight by an average margin of 16.7 points in those contests. Normally you might pick the underdog in this situation, at home, after the All-Star break, but I think the talent disparity is just too rich. The Sun are bigger, considerably better on offense, and they’re chasing a nice seed in the WNBA playoffs. The Fever are 2-12 in their conference and in last-place in WNBA standings for a reason. Sun put a lickin’ on the Fever tonight and cover by double digits, in our humble opinions. It helps that Kate Constable agrees.
