Tito’s Saturday Takes

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As we head into another Saturday we look to keep things rolling in College Football finishing 4-2 and hitting a 3 team teaser. This week is not the prettiest card in football history but value can still be found

FAU vs. MTSU.
The Pick FAU -3.5
FAU has losses this year to UCF and Oklahoma who are two of the top teams in the country. FAU is 0-3 ATS this season and I think that is giving us a lot of value against MTSU. I expect them to roll today as they begin conference play. Middle Tenn State hasn’t impressed so far this season and I expect the better athletes and  better coached team to come out on top

Ohio State vs. Penn St.
The Pick Ohio St -3.5
Ohio State has looked impressive all season long without Urban Meyer. There first game back came out and laid the wood down on Tulane who had a nice upset win last night over Memphis. Penn State has started most games slow and needed strong 2nd half’s to close out games and cover. They did it against Illinois, App State and Pitt. However, Ohio State is to good of team to allow you come out and roll them in the 2nd half. The Buckeyes should do really well in this spot and spoil the Whiteout in Happy Valley. I also lean towards the Under in this game. This is not the Big 12. I see this number creeping up higher towards game time has it hit 72 mid week. The public loves the over and will bet it before game time just for action. If it gets above 70.5 jump all over it.

USC vs. Arizona.
The Pick USC -3.5
We go back to well here with USC except this time we will get a better result. Even though we didn’t cash the USC ticket last week I walked away very impressed by how they played in the second half of that game. Arizona has looked bad losing to BYU and Houston. This team has only seen the red-zone 14 times this season and has shown they want Tate to be more of a passer which is not how they win or cover games.

Stanford vs. Notre Dame.
The Pick Over 52.5
The new look Ian Book led Notre Dame offense looked great last week against Wake Forest. I expect Ian Book to look better in his second week settling in at starter. Stanford is averaging over 11 yard per completion as well. Notre Dame is ranked 62nd in the country in rush defense and hasn’t seen a back like Bryce Love all season expect a big game from him since Notre Dame was the only team to keep him out of the end zone last season.

Pitt vs. UCF.
The Pick UCF -13
I truly believe UCF will score a lot and do it quickly. Pitt offense is not strong enough to keep up with McKenzie Milton and company. UCF needs every non conference game to be a highlight tape if they are going to impress the committee for a shot at the National Championship.

WVU vs. Texas Tech.
The Pick Texas Tech +4
Texas Tech has been an impressive team all season. They got a huge win in Stillwater last week. Freshmen Alan Bowman has looked impressive this season and could be the just savior Kliff Kingsbury needed. I will take a home dog getting 4 points at home in a ranked conference matchup. We will also be on sharp side of this one as the Action Network reports 53% of bets on WVU with only 41% of the money.

Temple Vs. Boston College
The Pick Over 54
Temple rush defense hasn’t looked good all season ranked 76th in the country and is averaging over 175 yards per game against them. They are also banged up on the defensive line and not sure if they have depth they need on their above the line (depth chart). Temple haven’t seen a back like AJ Dillon all season either. Last week Temple looked at times like it was unable to keep up when Tulsa was running a high tempo and got lucky with Tulsa mistakes. This Boston College team is much efficient with the ball in their hands and will not play as sloppy. Since turning the offense over to Anthony Russo they have looked much better on offense and he has a very strong arm and can move well in the pocket. With Boston College’s up-tempo offense it should allow them Temple to get on the board.

Hawaii vs. SJSU
The Pick Hawaii -10
San Jose State is not a good team and is catching some love after covering a 41.5 point spread against Oregon in a clear look ahead spot. Oregon had Stanford on deck and knew they could blow past SJSU. Hawaii I expect to put up points fast in this game and not give San Jose a chance to keep up.

 

 

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