UFC 304 Saturday Super Plays – Sports Betting

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Modestas Bukauskas vs Marcin Prachnio +130

It’s going to be a great event this evening in Manchester England with a bunch of UK fighters on the card.   There is a fighter from the British Isles in every fight except one.   That one fight is the one that we are keying in on.   Bukauskas vs Prachnio is a light heavyweight fight that should stay up on the feet.   Modestas is from Lithuania with a solid 15-6 record.  Don’t be fooled by that as he is 3-4 in the UFC.   Modestas best win is probably against a slow moving Tyson Pedro.   Some of his losses include Vitor Petrinio, Khalil Roundtree and Michal Oleksiejczuk.   Prachnio however is 17-7 in his career yet only 4-5 in the UFC.   Marcin’s best win is against  William Knight and Devin Clark.  I have to give the edge here to Marcin.   When you look at his losses, they are more respectable.   They include, Philipe Lins, Mike Rodriguez and Magomed Ankalaev.   Both these fighters are about the same size yet the stats tell a different story than the line.   Marcin lands 5.61 significant strikes to 3.28 for Modestas.   Marcin also absorbs less strikes and is more of an accurate striker.   Neither of these fighters are all that good on the ground, but at least Prachnio has some stats that can back up some take downs.   The wrong guy is favored here in this fight.

Marcin Prachnio +130 – 1.5 stars

Bonus Play:  Molly McCann ITD +155 – 1 star –

Bruna Brasil was basically being ship to England to get the crowd behind a vicious Moly McCann who has 6 knock outs, 1 submission and 7 decisions.  Brasil has been KO’s 3 times in her four losses.  

You can bet these lines right here at BetMGM!  https://affiliates.routy.app/route/58681?affId=10159&ts=5001193

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Kiev O'Neil: 20+ years of sports betting experience. Podcast host since 2017. College Football since 2019 412-367-27 UP 58.7U NFL since 2018 249-228-16 up 40U UFC since 2019 82-74-5 up 34.1U I do not necessarily look at myself as being a so called “sharp” sports bettor. Instead I like to think of myself as a great compiler of information who specializes in the Big 10, but also handicaps all NFL, NCAA football, UFC, Basketball, Horse Racing and more! I encourage people to specialize in a conference or division that will help give them the greatest edge in their sports wagers. I am never against a person betting against their favorite teams when the situation is right.

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