UFC London Free Play – Sports Betting

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Marcin Tybura vs Tom Aspinall -425

This should be a good main event in London where Tom Aspinall is coming back almost exactly one year later after his early first round knee injury vs Curtis Blaydes.  If you remember, Aspinall was favored in this fight and was a very big heavyweight contender at the time.   His early finishes of Volkov and Spivak have earned him a big favorite here of over 80% probability.  Tom’s opponent Marcin Tybura isn’t no slouch.  Marcin is durable and has beaten good contenders like Alexander Romanov and Blagoy Ivanov.   He lost to Alexander Volkov by decision.   Let’s look at how this fight will go down.  Marcin Tybura is more of a stand-up fighter who also has skills on the ground if needed.   His takedown defense is at a huge 79%.   Aspinall is good both on his feet and on the ground, but I am not so sure that he will be able to take the big polar bear down so quickly.   I also think that it would not be smart of Aspinall to go directly at Tybura the very next fight after his big knee injury.   Tybura himself will want this fight to last as long as possible to try and wear down the more aggressive Aspinal.   I think this fight is most likley won by Tom being that he is the younger and the more skilled fighter, but I also think that this fight gets past the 1st round.  Take the round prop at a good price.

Fight to start round 2 -105 – 1 star

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Kiev O'Neil: 20+ years of sports betting experience. Podcast host since 2017. College Football since 2019 412-367-27 UP 58.7U NFL since 2018 249-228-16 up 40U UFC since 2019 82-74-5 up 34.1U I do not necessarily look at myself as being a so called “sharp” sports bettor. Instead I like to think of myself as a great compiler of information who specializes in the Big 10, but also handicaps all NFL, NCAA football, UFC, Basketball, Horse Racing and more! I encourage people to specialize in a conference or division that will help give them the greatest edge in their sports wagers. I am never against a person betting against their favorite teams when the situation is right.

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