UFC on ESPN 41 Vera vs Cruz Free Plays – Sports Betting

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Marlon Vera vs Dominick Cruz +190

Gonna be honest with you.   I am not in love with this card, but I did take this one earlier for members and I still like it at this number.   These are two fighters going in different directions.   Dominick Cruz was a wonderful champion in the earlier years of the UFC.   As competition improved, he started to wear down.  Cruz had to take a few years off due to injuries, and has had some planter facia tendinitis that lingered for quite a while.   His last two losses to Cody Garbrandt, and Henry Cejudo looked ugly.   Dominick can’t seem to stay on his feet.  Since then, he won a split decision vs tier 2 fighter Casey Kinney, and has beaten an aging Pedro Munhoz by decision.  Cruz has seemed to have lost a lot of his power.  Marlon Vera on the other hand is on the way up in the bantam weight class.   He is six years younger than Cruz, and has beaten up some very good tier one fighters vs Frankie Edgar Sean O’Malley, and Rob Font.   Vera has a significant strike advantage of 4.33 at 51% accuracy to Cruz’s 3.88 at 33% accuracy as well as better submission numbers.   I feel that Cruz is in this one for the paycheck and Marlon Vera is in this one to get to a title fight.

Marlon Vera -225 – 2.5 stars
Marlon Vera by KO +285 – .33 stars

Bonus Play:  Devin Clark +140 – 1 star – Fade the hype.   Devin Clark has had a much harder SOS than Azamat Murzakanov.   Clark has some good momentum going after knocking out William Knight.

Best of luck everyone!

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Kiev O'Neil: 20+ years of sports betting experience. Podcast host since 2017. College Football since 2019 412-367-27 UP 58.7U NFL since 2018 249-228-16 up 40U UFC since 2019 82-74-5 up 34.1U I do not necessarily look at myself as being a so called “sharp” sports bettor. Instead I like to think of myself as a great compiler of information who specializes in the Big 10, but also handicaps all NFL, NCAA football, UFC, Basketball, Horse Racing and more! I encourage people to specialize in a conference or division that will help give them the greatest edge in their sports wagers. I am never against a person betting against their favorite teams when the situation is right.