Week 10: NFL Free Play

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Week 10 is among us and it is time to get back to our winning week norms.  Last week we had an onslaught of wild upsets and massive let downs.  There will be ups and downs and we are now ready to make the climb back up.  Let’s have a huge week 10!

Current Record: 82-51 +35.79 Units on the season

Browns @ Patriots Under 45

We have two stingy defenses squaring up in what I believe will set up for a low scoring affair.  The last 3 games the Patriots have held opponents to a combined 615 yards in the air, including the Chargers with Justin Herbert.  They have been vulnerable in their run defense allowing an average of 113.3 yards per game since week 2.  However, Browns will now be without Nick Chubb and heavily relying on D’Ernest Johnson who we saw on TNF against the Broncos.  This plays well into the hands of Bill Belichick and the chess match type of game we will see come Sunday.

Patriots are now every bit in the playoff hunt (and dare I say division title?).  Their defense has continued to improve weekly.  Now the Browns are going to ask their 3rd string running back to effectively pick up and protect Mayfield from Belichick’s defense schemes and hidden blitz packages.  Good luck.  It is no secret the Browns move the ball most effectively on the ground, but that just melts clock.  Exactly what we want when taking the under.  I do not foresee the quick scores, big strikes, and break out runs this week from either team.

On the other side of the ball the Patriots and Mac Jones are not exactly lighting up through the air.  Last week in the Patriots dominate win Mac Jones went 12/18 122 1 td and 1 int.  He is a game manager at this point in his Rookie career, and a good one at that.  Both of these teams will be jockeying for field position, relying on their run games, and keeping the other side at bay with their stellar defensive play.  Drives will tighten up and fizzle out in the redzone and what normally would be Td’s will turn to Fg’s in this one.  Under 45.

Thanks for your support and good luck!