564 Mavericks vs Warriors UN 217*
Total on this game has come down from the overnight of 218.5 to 217 in some books despite majority of tickets and money to the over in the market. 217 brings us right to the season average between these two in Dallas on the season, but with the line moving in Dallas’ favor, I believe this game plays more to the Dallas pace of play. Dallas was 23rd in scoring on the season and is 1-5 O/U in these playoff games at home. I like Dallas today at home where their fans have propelled them to a 5-1 SU and ATS record in the playoffs as well. The total coming down despite 74% of the money on the over has me taking a harder look at the under in this one for a small play.
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