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What a day of basketball, I have three plays today that look like good spots for these teams, as well as offer some value. Let’s dive right in!
Texas A+M at Mississippi St. -1.5 (O/U 126.5)
3:30pm Eastern Start
The Aggies visit the Humphrey Coliseum this Saturday afternoon, winners of 6 in a row and a tremendous road record of 7-2 ATS. With 6 of the 7 outright wins. This A+M team has clearly shown the ability to rattle off wins, they’re 14-6 ATS off a win, with a 6-2 away record off a win. Mississippi St comes off a downright disheartening loss, with Mizzou hitting a 3 at the buzzer in OT. A game they certainly had in their hands a few times. Now they head home where to be honest they haven’t fared very well this season, with a record of 7-8 ATS. As I said a few days ago when we had them vs Mizzou, they’re just a better road team for one reason or another.
Both teams are going to hit the glass hard, averaging over 11 rebounds each offensively per game. The free throw line is where A+M will do its damage Saturday, averaging 25.5 a game this season, as well as almost 30 a game in its L5.
This Aggie squad just flat out plays well on the road and finds ways to get it done, in the L2 years, they’re 12-3 ATS away. This season on three days of rest, seems to be their bread and butter. With a record of 12-3 ATS. So I will take Texas A+M Saturday getting the points! This will be a Unit Upgrade play for me.
Texas A+M +1.5 (DraftKings -110) 1.25 units
Our single NBA play today:
Boston at Philadelphia +1.5 (O/U 225.5)
8:30pm Eastern Start
The Celtics head to the Wells Fargo Center Saturday night, off a blown lead vs Indiana where they battled back in OT for a victory. Ironically, the 76ers did a complete 180′. Making a giant comeback vs Memphis, and showing this team has heart!
Home is where the heart is right? Well it is for this Philadelphia squad, where they’re 22-10 ATS, 13-3 ATS at home vs teams over .500, 15-7 ATS at home after a win and winners of 5 in a row, as well as covering. In four of those five wins, they have beaten Memphis, Cleveland, Brooklyn and New York. In my opinion, all quality teams. This stat truly jumped out at me. In short-priced games, -3 to +3, Philadelphia is a whopping 16-4 ATS in their L20 contests.
The Sixers are itching to play Boston again, they had won 6 in a row in this series, until last February where they lost to them by 48 points at home! This season they have played twice in Boston, with the Celtics victorious in each. This is a true revenge spot for Philly, luckily for them, Boston had had trouble defensively as of recently. Giving up 49.9% shooting and 40.1% from three point land.
So this will be a strong UNIT UPGRADE for me!
76ers +1.5 (FanDuel -110) 1.5 units
Bonus PLAY: Youngstown St-IUPUI over 152.5 (DraftKings -110) 1 unit. 6:30pm Eastern Start
For anyone tailing, good luck and let’s cash some winners!
