College Football Week 13 Friday Freebie – Sports Betting – USC vs UCLA

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USC vs UCLA +4.5 O/U 52

It’s still feels weird to call this a Big 10 matchup, but here we are and these two rivals have not missed a beat.  Over the past ten matchups, these teams are pretty close with USC 6-4 straight up, yet 5-5 ATS.   The Bruins have started out the season as a pretty abysmal team, yet over the past few weeks, they have really turned it on beating teams like Rutgers, Nebraska and Iowa.   Dare I say that this team could still make a bowl game.   The Trojans on the other hand have been pretty ying and yang dropping games that they were leading in against Maryland and Penn State while beating Wisconsin, Nebraska and a banged up Rutgers team at home.   They switched quarterbacks to mid-season from Miller Moss to Jayden Maiava, which worked out for the Nebraksa game, yet still hasn’t proven enough yet to many critics.   I am not going to bore you with a bunch of stats, as these two teams are different from when they started the season.  What I will say is that there are three ways to look at this handicap.   What have you done, what have you done for me lately, and how is your home road splits?   Well this spread is warranted if you ask what UCLA and USC have done, but since week 5, UCLA has been a much better team.   The Big problem with the Trojans is that they are a shell of themselves on the road.  USC is a nice 6.9 yards per play at home, but a mediocre 5.8 yards per play on the road.   As a matter of fact, this team hasn’t won a road game all year!    What I like about UCLA is that these kids are still fighting.  They didn’t have goals in making the playoffs like the Trojans, and instead they just want to beat their rivals and help out their coach DeShaun Foster.   I think UCLA keeps this game close and they might actually win outright.

UCLA +4.5 – 2 stars

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Kiev O'Neil: 20+ years of sports betting experience. Podcast host since 2017. College Football since 2019 412-367-27 UP 58.7U NFL since 2018 249-228-16 up 40U UFC since 2019 82-74-5 up 34.1U I do not necessarily look at myself as being a so called “sharp” sports bettor. Instead I like to think of myself as a great compiler of information who specializes in the Big 10, but also handicaps all NFL, NCAA football, UFC, Basketball, Horse Racing and more! I encourage people to specialize in a conference or division that will help give them the greatest edge in their sports wagers. I am never against a person betting against their favorite teams when the situation is right.

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