NFL Sharp Action 1/20

2025

So at the current numbers:Saints -3 -110   –   52% of the tickets are on the Saints but 55% of the money is on the Saints.
After the Watson news the line dropped from -3.5 to -3.   Slight correlation there but there are some syndicate groups that like the rams.    Literally split at -3  

Total  56.5:  52% of the tickets are on the over but 71% of the money is on the over.   So this dropped from 57 with some groups and now is being hit on the over.   Most of the sharp action is on the over.   I disagree personally because of the running games of both teams. I Might be a buyer of the under if it gets up there past 57.   


Kansas City -3 (-120)  57% of the tickets are on the Chiefs and 56% of the money.Very mixed but you can see that the line was brought up to -120 with sharper action earlier in the week.    The books didn’t come off 3 due to Patriot money fears.   Numbers say Chiefs especially Home/Road splits but History and experience favor the Patriots.   I think ML is safest.


Total   56.5:  52% of the tickets is on the over but 48% of the money is on the over.   Weather brought this total down to 54.5 and then the forecast became more favorable and it’s back up to 56.5.    I like the under due to the cold and the fact that the wind is starting to show up.   9 MPH isn’t a lot but its not a little either.