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ALLEN PARK, MICHIGAN - JULY 28: Detroit Lions head football coach Dan Campbell speaks with the media before the Detroit Lions Training Camp on July 28, 2021 in Allen Park, Michigan. (Photo by Nic Antaya/Getty Images)
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This should be a fun game in Tampa where the Buccaneers are going to try and avenge their loss to the Falcons. This would be great for them, but the biggest issue with that is injuries. Last Week, Tampa lost their two best wide recievers in Mike Evans and Chris Godwin to injury. To add to that, RB Bucky Irving is banged up along with some of their defense. Speaking of defense, that has been a big problem for the swash bucklers as the Bucs only rank 22nd in defensive EPA and 28th against the pass. To make matters worse, Tampa Bay has a short week as they lost to the Ravens on Monday night football giving them less time to prepare for their division rival. The Falcons rank 23rd in defensive EPA, but they have gotten heathier in their linebacker positions. They are coming off of a bad loss themselves, and will need a big win today on the road. I have seen Baker Mayfield play the game with nobody to throw the ball to before, and it isn’t pretty. Take the Falcons under the three.
Falcons -2.5 – 2 stars
Teaser: Chargers to -1 with the Eagles to +8.5 – 2.5 stars
You can bet these lines right here at MyBookie! https://www.theoddsbreakers.com/mybookieUSE PROMO CODE Football24 TO GET $100 OFF EVERY FOOTBALL PACKAGE For the rest of the 2024/2025 SEASON! ALSO GET 50% FOR YOUR FIRST MONTH FOR ANY MONTHLY SUBSCRIPTION Click here:https://theoddsbreakers.com/premium-plays/ Offer expires december 31st 2024Follow our FREE PICKS telegram channel: https://t.me/TheOddsBreakersFreePicksFollow Kiev O’Neil’s NEW personal FREE PICKS telegram Channel: https://t.me/KievONeilTo get Kiev's premium winners, and to support his hard work at The OddsBreakers, pleaseClick here to get his no obligation membership packages!!! We believe in getting the best of the number and it is the only way that we do business!Kiev O'Neil's Sports Betting Stats and Records! 56% 139-109-5 up 22 units in the 2023 NFL Season!55% 101-82-8 up 10 units in 2024 MLB Thus Far on 8/05/24!2023 MLB Season 146-123-7 up 11U2023/2024 College Basketball up 9U63% for 2022/2023 NBA sides and totals! 22-13 up 6.5 units. 14% ROI55% All Time NFL Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals! 5.21% ROI56% 2022/2023 NFL Season 136-109-11 in Sides/Totals/Teasers/Season props up 38.5U55% All Time College Football Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals! 4.75% ROI63% FOR 2022 COLLEGE BOWL SEASON UP 27 UNITS!54% Lifetime All Plays in College Basketball 3% ROI38% Lifetime UFC On All Plays 3% ROI62% 2022 March Madness College Basketball Plays at 30% ROI!!!
Notre Dame vs Navy +13.5 O/U 50.5
This should be a fun game with two very good teams playing it out on a neutral field at MetLife Stadium in Jersey. No way is Notre Dame only a 13 point favorite here right? Notre Dame smoked this team last year by 39 points right? Hmmm. I am not so sure. Let’s break it down. First, of all, we are starting to see why Brian Newberry is now the head coach of this team. This looks well deserved as Navy is undefeated at 6-0 at 5-1 ATS with a +14.4 ATS margin! Notre Dame has done well this season at 6-1 and 4-2-1 ATS. One might say that Navy hasn’t played anyone, but it’s not like Notre Dame’s schedule was all that since their big win at Texas A&M and their gross loss to Northern Illinois. When the Huskies beat the Irish, it was done on the ground, and that is their weakness this year ranking 73rd in defensive rushing success rate. The Midshipmen rank 8th on offense in rushing success rate and 5th in EPA. Notre Dame was able to stop the triple option last year, but this year Navy’s offense is a little different. Notre Dame was able to stop the triple option last year, but this year Navy’s offense is a little different. OC Drew Cronic moved to some T-wing concepts that will confuse Notre Dame from what they have seen last year. Navy has also mixed in some passing concepts that has landed quarterback Blake Horvath with 10 TDs and only 1 interception. I think Navy covers this. They are the best team in the AAC.
Navy +13.5 – 2 stars
Penn State vs Wisconsin +6.5 O/U 47.5
What have you done for me lately is the theme to this handicap. Penn State is coming off of the bye nice, crisp and undefeated. I am not a huge fan of going into the bye without a blemish on the record. Wisconsin started the year pretty bad with close wins vs inferior opponents and bad losses against Alabama and USC, but I will say that it took some time for Brayden Locke to get his feet wet when the Badgers lost their quarterback early against Bama in Tyler Van Dyke, and since the USC choke, Wisconsin has been quite solid. The Badgers had won each of the next three games vs Big 10 opponents by 20 points or more. Two of those games were away. It looks like coach Luke Fickell finally got these guys playing some good football. Penn State on the other hand struggled at home vs Illinois, which is understandable, but they then only beat a bad UCLA team at home by 16 points, and they should have lost to USC on the road. As bad as Wisconsin has been, they do have a nice .8 net yards per play for the season. Wisconsin ranks 30th in offensive success rate and 27th on defense. Penn State ranks 4th in both offensive success rate and defensive success rate, but they haven’t played anyone of note minus USC. I like how the Badgers are playing this year, and I think that they move the ball in a wild night game atmosphere enough to cover the spread at home. Looking at conference only stats, Wisconsin is number 2 in yards per play and number 2 in opponent yards per play. Penn State is 5th in both categories. If you look at how Wisconsin and Penn State have been playing of late, you might think the Badgers could win outright. Take Wisconsin.
You can bet these lines right here at MyBookie! https://www.theoddsbreakers.com/mybookieUSE PROMO CODE Football24 TO GET $100 OFF EVERY FOOTBALL PACKAGE For the rest of the 2024/2025 SEASON! ALSO GET 50% FOR YOUR FIRST MONTH FOR ANY MONTHLY SUBSCRIPTION Click here:https://theoddsbreakers.com/premium-plays/ Offer expires december 31st 2024Follow our FREE PICKS telegram channel: https://t.me/TheOddsBreakersFreePicksFollow Kiev O’Neil’s NEW personal FREE PICKS telegram Channel: https://t.me/KievONeilTo get Kiev's premium winners, and to support his hard work at The OddsBreakers, pleaseClick here to get his no obligation membership packages!!! We believe in getting the best of the number and it is the only way that we do business!Kiev O'Neil's Sports Betting Stats and Records! 56% 139-109-5 up 22 units in the 2023 NFL Season!55% 101-82-8 up 10 units in 2024 MLB Thus Far on 8/05/24!2023 MLB Season 146-123-7 up 11U2023/2024 College Basketball up 9U63% for 2022/2023 NBA sides and totals! 22-13 up 6.5 units. 14% ROI55% All Time NFL Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals! 5.21% ROI56% 2022/2023 NFL Season 136-109-11 in Sides/Totals/Teasers/Season props up 38.5U55% All Time College Football Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals! 4.75% ROI63% FOR 2022 COLLEGE BOWL SEASON UP 27 UNITS!54% Lifetime All Plays in College Basketball 3% ROI38% Lifetime UFC On All Plays 3% ROI62% 2022 March Madness College Basketball Plays at 30% ROI!!!
Boise State vs UNLV +3.5 O/U 63.5
This game is going to be awesome. Boise State has proven to be a serious contender for the college football playoffs. UNLV on the other hand has also proven to be smoking hot, and I think hat we have a good game coming up. The Broncos have the Heisman favorite in Ashton Jeanty and a hell of a rushing attack that is number 1 in rush EPA. It’s not like UNLV isn’t good either as they rank number 19 in offensive EPA, but I think that both defenses are leave less to be desired. UNLV allowed 44 points vs Syracuse, 34 vs Utah State and 25 against a bad Oregon State team. Boise State allowed 45 to Georgia Southern and 30 to UTAH State. I will say that as of late, their defense has improved some, but it is really hard to tell as they played some inferior opponents. I think we see a lot of points today and here is why. Boise State is number 4 in explosive plays and UNLV is number 84 in stopping them. Neither Defense ranks in the top 60 in EPA. Both offenses are top 20 in EPA. Many think that they both will be running the ball a lot, but I expect Boise to be winning which will cause Hajj Malik Williams to have to throw. This will be a fun one and my numbers say over now that it is this low.
CINCINNATI, OHIO - SEPTEMBER 19: Gavin Lux #9 of the Los Angeles Dodgers runs the bases during a game between the Los Angeles Dodgers and Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park on September 19, 2021 in Cincinnati, Ohio. (Photo by Emilee Chinn/Getty Images)
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