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NHL Preview & Picks – November 8th, 2024

Tonight’s NHL slate is loaded with action, with four games scheduled across the league.

Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or new to the world of NHL wagering, today’s games present numerous enticing angles, including moneylines, puck lines, and prop bets. With teams eager to establish their early-season identities, there’s plenty to consider. Let’s explore the top matchups and uncover the best bets for tonight’s action!

Matchups:

Detroit Red Wings @ Toronto Maple Leafs

  • Puck Drop: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV Information: TSN4, TVAS-D, FDSNDET, ESPN+

Records & Stats:

TeamRecordStandingsHomeAwayATSO/U
Detroit Red Wings6-5-15th Atlantic3-3-13-2-06-6-06-6-0
Toronto Maple Leafs7-5-22nd Atlantic5-2-02-3-29-5-05-7-2

Odds:

TeamOpening MLCurrent MLSpreadTotal
Detroit Red Wings+160+164+1.5 (-155)o6.0 (-108)
Toronto Maple Leafs-192-198-1.5 (+130)u6.0 (-112)
Odds via DraftKings

Starting Goaltenders:

TeamGoalieGames PlayedGoals Saved Above Expected (Rank)Save Percentage (Rank)Goals Against Average (Rank)Status
DETCam Talbot7+6.2 (4th).929 (6th)2.45 (12th)CONFIRMED
TORAnthony Stolarz9+6.0 (5th).928 (7th)2.12 (6th)CONFIRMED
Stats via NHL.com and MoneyPuck.com

Team Stats & Trends:

  • Detroit are 4-8 SU in their last 12 games when playing on the road against Toronto.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto’s last 6 games against Detroit.
  • Toronto are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games at home.

Player Stats & Trends:

TeamPlayerPropOdds (DraftKings)Trend
TORWilliam NylanderAnytime Goal Scorer+120– Hit in 4/5 Overall
– Hit in 6/8 at Home
TORWilliam NylanderOver 3.5 Shots on Goal-135– Hit in 6/6 vs DET
– Hit in 4/5 at Home
TORMorgan RiellyOver 0.5 Points-120– Hit in 5/7 Overall
– Hit in 4/6 vs DET
– Hit in 3/3 at Home
DETAlex DeBrincatOver 0.5 Points-135– Hit in 5/6 Overall
– Hit in 3/3 vs TOR
– Hit in 3/4 on the Road
DETLucas RaymondOver 0.5 Points-142– Hit in 5/6 Overall
– Hit in 5/5 vs TOR
– Hit in 2/2 on the Road
Trends via Linemate.io

Best Bets:

  • William Nylander Over 3.5 Shots on Goal (-135) – DraftKings

Nylander has met his shots-on-goal quota in two of his last four games. He’s averaging 4.0 Shots on Goal and 6.5 Shot Attempts during that span.

Additionally, Nylander has a fantastic track record against Detroit, recording over 3.5 shots on goal in their last six encounters.

This season, Nylander has been much better at home, recording over 3.5 shots on goal in 71.4% of games compared to just 14.3% on the road.

Detroit currently ranks 31st this season for shots on goal allowed per game, averaging 33.70 shots. Breaking down the distribution by position, the Red Wings have conceded the 3rd most shots on goal per game to forwards this season with an average of 24.00.

Pittsburgh Penguins @ Washington Capitals

  • Puck Drop: 7:30 PM ET
  • TV Information: HULU, ESPN+, SN, TVAS

Records & Stats:

TeamRecordStandingsHomeAwayATSO/U
Pittsburgh Penguins5-8-27th Metropolitan3-3-02-5-26-9-08-6-1
Washington Capitals9-3-03rd Metropolitan7-1-02-2-08-4-07-5-0

Odds:

TeamOpening MLCurrent MLSpreadTotal
Pittsburgh Penguins+136+164+1.5 (-155)o6.5 (-115)
Washington Capitals-162-198-1.5 (+130)u6.5 (-105)
Odds via DraftKings

Starting Goaltenders:

TeamGoalieGames PlayedGoals Saved Above Expected (Rank)Save Percentage (Rank)Goals Against Average (Rank)Status
PITJoel Blomqvist6+2.2 (19th).909 (20th)3.46 (54th)EXPECTED
WSHCharlie Lindgren6-2.9 (57th).896 (39th)2.70 (23rd)CONFIRMED
Stats via NHL.com and MoneyPuck.com

Team Stats & Trends:

  • Pittsburgh are 0-6 SU in their last 6 games on the road.
  • Washington are 7-0 SU in their last 7 games at home.

Player Stats & Trends:

TeamPlayerPropOdds (DraftKings)Trend
WSHConnor McMichaelOver 0.5 Points-148– Hit in 9/12 Overall
– Hit in 6/6 at Home
WSHConnor McMichaelOver 2.5 Shots on Goal-125– Hit in 4/5 Overall
– Hit in 4/4 at Home
WSHAlex OvechkinAnytime Goal Scorer+115– Hit in 5/5 Overall
– Hit in 5/7 vs PIT
– Hit in 5/5 at Home
WSHAlex OvechkinOver 3.5 Shots on Goal-110– Hit in 4/5 Overall
– Hit in 5/7 vs PIT
– Hit in 3/4 at Home
PITKris LetangOver 1.5 Shots on Goal-198– Hit in 11/15 Overall
– Hit in 5/7 vs WSH
– Hit in 8/9 on the Road
PITMichael BuntingOver 1.5 Shots on Goal-162– Hit in 5/6 Overall
– Hit in 3/4 vs WSH
– Hit in 2/3 on the Road
Trends via Linemate.io

Best Bets:

  • Alex Ovechkin Over 3.5 Shots on Goal (-110) – DraftKings

Ovechkin has met his shots-on-goal quota in four of his last five games. He’s averaging 3.8 Shots on Goal and 8.8 Shot Attempts during that span.

Additionally, Ovechkin has a great track record against Pittsburgh, recording over 2.5 shots on goal in five of their last seven encounters.

Pittsburgh currently ranks 29th this season for shots on goal allowed per game, averaging 32.20 shots. Breaking down the distribution by position, the Penguins have conceded the 4th most shots on goal per game to forwards this season with an average of 23.43.

Additional Bets:

  • Vegas Golden Knights (-142) – DraftKings

The Golden Knights are off to a strong start this season with a 9-3-1 record, winning six of their last seven games and scoring at least four goals in all but one of those matchups. Meanwhile, the Kraken are struggling, dropping their last four games and getting outscored 4-15 over that stretch. I expect the Golden Knights to keep their momentum going tonight and capitalize on a Kraken team in a slump.

  • Matt Boldy over 3.5 Shots on Goal (+105) – DraftKings

Boldy has hit his shots-on-goal mark in three of his last five games, averaging 4.0 shots on goal and 7.0 shot attempts in that span. This season, he’s been especially consistent on the road, surpassing 2.5 shots on goal in each of his last four away games.

Boldy also has a solid record against Anaheim, with over 2.5 shots on goal in three of their last five matchups. Anaheim currently ranks last in the league for shots on goal allowed per game, averaging 35.3. Breaking it down further, the Ducks have allowed the most shots on goal per game to forwards this season, averaging 26.08.

Promotions/ Sources:

Linemate – Player/ Team Props

I’ve been using Linemate since the start, and it has proven to be an invaluable resource for NHL betting. One of its standout features is the comprehensive data and analytics that help bettors make informed decisions when placing prop bets. The platform also boasts a user-friendly interface, making it accessible for both experienced bettors and newcomers alike, allowing them to easily navigate and find the best prop bets. By utilizing Linemate’s robust tools and resources, NHL prop betters can significantly enhance their chances of making profitable wagers throughout the season. Beyond NHL betting, Linemate also provides in-depth data on various other sports, including the NFL, MLB, NBA, NCAAF, EPL, and many more leagues and sports.

Use my code to receive a one-time 15% discount, which can be applied to your first month of a monthly plan or the total cost of an annual plan. My discount code is always more competitive than any deals from Linemate. While Linemate’s monthly plan costs $9.99, their annual plan is currently priced at $79.99, offering a 33% discount off the regular price. The best part? My 15% code applies to the $79.99 plan, meaning you’ll actually enjoy over 40% OFF!

Shot Propz – Charts

  • Shots on Goal (SOG) Against by Position
  • Shot Attempts (SAT) Against by Position
  • Goals Against (GA) by Position
  • Team Offensive Stat Overview
  • Team Defensive Stat Overview
  • Team Hits and Blocks

Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting. Any feedback whether positive or negative is always encouraged.

College Football Friday Freebie – Sports Betting – Iowa vs UCLA


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Iowa vs UCLA +6.5 O/U 44.5

This is going to be a fun friday night game.   UCLA after a rough start has rolled two big 10 teams in Rutgers and Nebraska.   They are playing with a lot of belief in their coach Deshaun Foster and it really shows.   In saying that, this team is really stepping up here in competition.  Iowa is coming in hot at 6-3 with momentum.  This team has improved their offense this year to 73rd in EPA while their defense ranks 30th.  UCLA ranks 96th in EPA and 86th on defense respectively.  The way to beat Iowa is to run the ball as that this year is the Hawkeye’s weakness, but unfortunatley this is also the Bruin’s weakness on offense ranking 132nd in rushing play success rate and 128th in yards per rush.   Iowa has really improved their stats when they switched quarterback from Cade McNamera to Brendan Sullivan.   His completion percentage is 69% compared to only 60 with Cade who also was able to pad some of that in the early non-conference games.   Iowa wins the turnover battle here at a +10 ratio this year to -5 for the Bruins.   UCLA is in a let down spot after beating Nebraska last week on the road.  Take the Hawkeyes below the 7.

Iowa -6.5 – 2 stars

NFL Week 10 Sharp Money Movement

As Of Thursday 11/7

Sharp Money On:

  • Broncos +9.5 to +7.5 at the Chiefs – 48% tickets and 58% of the money.
  • Vikings -4 to -7 at the Jaguars – 84% tickets and 94% of the money.

Sharp Totals:

  • Steelers vs Commanders over 43.5 to 45 – 81% tickets and 86% of the money.
  • 49ers vs Buccaneers over 46.5 to 50.5 – 68% tickets and 68% of the money.   Buyback now
  • Dolphins vs Rams over 48 to 50.5 – 67% tickets and 73% of the money.

Friday Free Play Video:

Premium Selections over at www.oddsbreakers.com

Get Sniper Wes Premium Selections At The Oddsbreakers

3 Free Selections:
NBA: Pacers/Hornets
NCAAB: UNC/Kansas
NHL: LV/Sea

Go check out @oddsbreakers – Tons of free content!!

College Football Week 11 Sharp Money Movement

As Of Wednesday 11/6

Sharp Money On:

  • Rice +10.5 to +9.5 at Memphis – 40% tickets and 79% of the money.
  • Cincinnati -2.5 to -4.5 hosting West Virginia – 86% tickets and 90% of the money.
  • Clemson -4.5 to -6.5 at Virginia Tech – 80% tickets and 90% of the money.
  • South Carolina -1.5 to -3.5 at Vanderbilt – 45% tickets and 79% of the money.
  • Indiana -11.5 to -14.5 hosting Michigan – 78% tickets and 82% of the money.

Sharp Totals:

  • FAU vs East Carolina over 50.5 to 57 – 51% tickets and 74% of the money.
  • Minnesota vs Rutgers over 45.5 to 46.5 – 94% tickets and 96% of the money.
  • Florida vs Texas under 52.5 to 47.5 – 68% tickets and 79% of the money.
  • Michigan vs Indiana over 45.5 to 49.5 – 96% tickets and 99% of the money.
  • Virginia vs Pitt under 61.5 to 57.5 – 44% tickets and 63% of the money.

Podcast 646 – 91 – 24 – With Sean Higgs – NFL Week 10 – Sports Betting

The OddsBreakers Sports Betting Podcast
The OddsBreakers All Rights Reserved

We have a GREAT show for you today!  First, Kiev talks about some NFL ATS and Totals trends!  Next, Sean comes on and the guys get right into thought on Thursday night football and at which point the Chiefs are finally going to lose a game.  Then, Sean and Kiev talk some buy low/sell high teams for the upcoming weeks.  After that, the guys get into NFL week 10 with a bunch of Free Plays!  Next, it’s time for some beer bet bangers and both Sean and Kiev have a few good ideas for that.  Finally, we get into some NFL sharp money movement and recap our plays!  Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com.  Have a wonderful week!

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Audio Player

NFL Week 10 Betting Spots

Let Down Spots:

  • The Panthers could let down vs the Giants after the Saints win.
  • The Bills could be soft at the Colts after the Miami win.
  • The Falcons could throw up on themselves at the Saints after beating the Cowboys.
  • UCLA could let down hosting Iowa after beating Nebraska.

Get Up Spots:

  • The 49ers better get up at the Buccaneers.
  • The Texans need to do well hosting the Lions.
  • The Cowboys have a last chance hosting the Eagles.

Look Ahead Spots:

  • Bills looking past the Texans to the Chiefs is possible.

Short Rest:

  • Chiefs after Monday Night football hosting the Broncos.
  • Buccaneers after Monday Night football hosting the 49ers.

Long Rest:

  • The Texans after Thursday Night football hosting the Lions.
  • The Jets after Thursday Night football at the Cardinals.
  • The Steelers at the Commanders after the bye.
  • The 49ers at the Buccaneers after the bye.

NFL Week 11 Thursday Night Video Prop Play – Sports Betting – Bengals vs Ravens

Friday Free Play Video:

Joe Borrow pictured on the field.

Premium Selections over at www.oddsbreakers.com

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4 Free Selections:
NFL: Bengals/Ravens
NCAAF: App St/CC
NBA: Min/Chi
NHL: NYI/Ott

Go check out @oddsbreakers – Tons of free content!!

College Football Week 11 Betting Spots

Let Down Spots:

  • Ohio State could be flat hosting Purdue after the Penn State win.
  • Rice at Memphis after beating Navy.
  • Syracuse at Boston College after beating Virginia Tech.
  • Hawaii could be soft after beating Fresno State.
  • Texas Tech hosting Colorado after beating Iowa State.

Get Up Spots:

  • Clemson at Virginia Tech to keep hopes alive.
  • Pitt better get up hosting Virginia after SMU crushed them.
  • Iowa State needs to brush off after losing at home to Texas Tech.

Look Ahead Spots:

  • Tennessee looking past Mississippi State to Georgia is possible.

Long Rest:

  • New Mexico State with an extra five days hosting Western Kentucky.
  • Texas State with an extra five days at Louisiana Monroe.
  • Sam Houston with an extra day of rest at Kennesaw State.
  • Louisiana Tech with an extra day at Jacksonville State.
  • Liberty with an extra three days rest at Middle Tennessee State.
  • Temple coming off the bye with an extra five days rest hosting Tulane.
  • UCONN with an extra two days at UAB.
  • James Madison coming off the bye with an extra six days hosting Georgia State.
  • South Florida with an extra day of rest hosting Navy.
  • East Carolina with an extra five days of rest hosting Florida Atlantic.
  • Boise State with an extra day of rest hosting Nevada.
  • San Diego State with an extra day of rest hosting Nevada.
  • Boston College off the bye hosting Syracuse.
  • Georgia tech off the bye hosting Miami is big.
  • Colorado coming off the bye at Texas Tech is good.
  • Kansas off the bye hosting Iowa State.
  • Maryland off the bye at Oregon.
  • North Texas off the bye hosting Army.
  • Notre Dame off the bye hosting Florida State.
  • Rutgers off the bye hosting Minnesota is big.
  • Southern Miss off the bye hosting Marshall.
  • Texas off the bye hosting Florida is a spot.
  • UNLV off the bye and an extra day to face at Hawaii is big.
  • Virginia coming off of the bye at Pitt.