We have a BIG show for you today! Joshua Nunn @StepOnADuck from The Action Network @ActionNetworkHQ comes on to break down some huge college football games! First, Kiev talks about the college football rankings as well as some ATS and O/U trends. Next, Josh comes on and the guys start talking about a few teams that look good now, but may not make the playoffs. Then, the guys talk some buy low/sell high teams for the up coming weeks. After that, Josh and Kiev get into college football week 11 with a bunch of Free Plays! Next, the guys give out some beer bet bangers that could hit for some good + money. Finally, we get into some NCAAF sharp money movement AND recap our plays! Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com. Have a wonderful week!
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Georgia State out-gained UCONN 374 to 346 yet lost 34-27. A 2-1 turnover ratio and bad red zone efficiency got the Panthers.
Memphis out-gained UTSA 516 to 408 yet lost 44-36. A 2-0 turnover ratio and 12 penalties got the Tigers.
Virginia Tech out-gained Syracuse 455-410 yet lost 38-31. Equal turnovers but bad red zone efficiency killed the Hokies.
Auburn out-gained Vanderbilt 327 to 227 yet lost 17-7. A 1-0 turnover ratio and really bad red zone efficiency got those Tigers. Also Diego Pavia got them again as well.
Old Dominion out-gained Appalachian State 498 to 396 yet lost 28-20. A 4-1 turnover ratio got the Monarchs
Iowa State out-gained Texas Tech 432 to 366 yet lost 23-22. Equal turnovers at 2 but bad special teams and red zone killed the Clones.
South Alabama out-gained Georgia Southern 458 to 337 yet lost 34-30. A 2-0 turnover ratio got the Jaguars.
USC out-gained Washington 459 to 375 yet lost 26-21. A 3-0 turnover ratio wrapped the Trojans.
Clemson out-gained Louisville 450 to 366 yet lost 33-21. Equal turnovers at 0 but bad special teams and field position got the Tigers.
Nevada out-gained Colorado State 441 to 327 yet lost 38-21. A 2-0 turnover ratio and bad 3rd down efficiency at 3/11 got the Wolfpack.
Oct 27, 2021; Orlando, Florida, USA; Charlotte Hornets forward Miles Bridges (0) reacts after scoring a basket against the Orlando Magic late in the fourth quarter at Amway Center. Mandatory Credit: Nathan Ray Seebeck-USA TODAY Sports
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The World Wide Technology Championship marks the sixth event of the FedExCup Fall, with only two remaining. At the end of the FedExCup Fall, players ranked 126-150 on the final Points List will earn conditional status for the 2024 PGA TOUR season. Players outside the top 125 can work to improve or regain TOUR status through the PGA TOUR Q-School, presented by Korn Ferry.
Pre-Tournament Storylines:
Erik van Rooyen
Erik van Rooyen returns to El Cardonal at Diamante aiming to defend his title after securing his second career PGA TOUR victory at this course last year.
Cameron Young
Cameron Young is making his first appearance since the BMW Championship. With six top-10 finishes this season, he’s been remarkably consistent, missing only one cut in the past 11 months. He finished T5 in this tournament last year.
El Camaleon became home to the Mayakoba Golf Classic in 2007, but since last year, the El Cardonal Golf Course at Diamante has taken over as host. In 2022, El Camaleon joined the roster for the LIV Golf League, prompting the PGA TOUR to end its partnership with Mayakoba amid ongoing legal disputes. Last year’s World Wide Technology Championship marked the first-ever PGA TOUR event held at a course designed by Tiger Woods.
This year, El Cardonal will host the PGA TOUR for a second consecutive year. Originally opened in 2014, it was the first course completed by Woods’ TGR Design firm. It’s the second course on the property, joining “The Dunes Course” designed by Davis Love III, which opened in 2009. In addition to El Cardonal, Woods also designed The Oasis Short Course, a 12-hole par-three course at Diamante.
The WWT Championship initially served as an alternate event, running alongside the WGC Match Play. It holds the distinction of being the first PGA TOUR event outside the U.S. and Canada. Originally played in February, it moved to November in 2013, becoming a primary event with full FedEx Cup points. World Wide Technology became the title sponsor in 2021 and will retain sponsorship rights through 2027.
Tournament Records:
72-Hole Record (World Wide Technology Championship):
261, Erik van Rooyen (2023 – El Cardonal at Diamante)
Most Wins:
2, Viktor Hovland (2021, 2022)
Largest Margin of Victory:
4 Strokes – Russell Henley (2022), Viktor Hovland (2021), Harris English (2013)
El Cardonal at Diamante is a Par 72 course measuring 7,452 yards. The layout includes four Par 3s, ten Par 4s, and four Par 5s. It features sweeping views of the Pacific Ocean, natural arroyos, mature vegetation, and native dunes. Inspired by the classic Southern California courses Tiger Woods played in his youth, the design emphasizes strategic play. As Woods noted, “I set up the golf strategy to make golfers think and make choices. Regardless of your handicap, there are going to be different ways to play every hole. Angles of approach are going to be very important and will dictate the type of shots you should consider.” Additionally, a new bunker sand has been added to all bunkers ahead of the TOUR’s 2024 return.
The four Par 3’s range between 154 yards and 208 yards.
No. 2, 208 yards, Par 3: This downhill, downwind par 3 leads to a spacious green situated in a depression encircled by dunes. The contours around the punch bowl-style green can guide balls onto the putting surface. However, given the green’s generous size, pin placement will determine the length of the birdie putt. A menacing bunker, a foreshortened bunker looks closer to the green than it is and protects the center of the green.
No. 16, 154 yards, Par 3: As the shortest par 3 on the course, this hole introduces drama near the round’s end. Golfers face an “all or nothing” carry tee shot to a green nestled at the confluence of two arroyo canyons. With three distinct levels, the green requires precision from a short iron to reach the pin.
Most of the ten Par 4’s range between 450-500 yards. No. 10 is the shortest listed at 344 yards with the longest being No. 7, just under 490 yards.
No. 5, 438 yards, Par 4: After a change in direction, playing with the prevailing wind introduces a new challenge: a desert arroyo. Carrying the right fairway bunkers near the arroyo yields an open approach to the green. Shots aimed leftward must carry a bunker short of the green. The sandy arroyo protects the green’s right side, and an elevated pin area at the back demands a precise and bold approach.
No. 8, 474 yards, Par 4: A sandy arroyo splits the tee, landing area, and green, shaping the strategic element of this hole. The “T”-shaped green features challenging pin positions, with bunkering on the back left, back right, and narrow front sections. Favoring the right side of the fairway near the arroyo provides a better angle for attacking back-left pins while targeting the left fairway bunker sets up an approach to back-right pins.
The four Par 5’s are No. 1, 6, 14, and 18. No 6 is the only Par 5 that is greater than 600 yards.
No. 6, 601 yards, Par 5: Ascending from the dunes, this lengthy par 5 requires a strategic approach due to the wide “M” shaped green protected by a large central bunker. Optimal angles for pin placements on the right side of the green are best approached from the right side of the second landing area, accessed from the left side of the first landing area, and vice versa for left pin placements. A large-crowned area in the middle of the fairway adds to the challenge off the tee.
No. 14, 554 yards, Par 5: Designed around a narrow, sandy tributary of a larger arroyo, this hole challenges golfers with a “cape” tee shot. Aggressive players can carry the arroyo on the left for a shorter second shot. Playing to the right leaves a longer approach. The second landing area features a central sand ribbon, dividing it into left and right sections. Opting for the left side sets up a more straightforward approach to the green, while the right section requires negotiating a desert plum guarding the green’s right side.
As the Shriners Children’s Open takes place at TPC Summerlin, here are the key statistics to keep an eye on for this week’s event.
Statistics
PGA Tour Average
El Cardonal at Diamante
Driving Distance (Yards)
283.67
N/A
Driving Accuracy
62%
90%
GIR Percentage
66%
81%
Avg GIR Prox to Hole (Feet)
29.17
N/A
Scrambling Percentage
58%
55%
Avg 3 Putts / Round
0.55
0.66
Per DataGolf, this is the favored skillset at El Cardonal at Diamante Cabo San Lucas.
Good Drives Gained
Success this week will hinge on players’ ability to position themselves effectively off the tee. While the course’s considerable length underscores the significance of distance, precision holds equal importance.
Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
Matthew NeSmith
Austin Smotherman
Ryan Brehm
Neal Shipley
Chez Reavie
Rico Hoey
Patrick Fishburn
Matt Kuchar
Matti Schmid
Beau Hossler
Strokes Gained: Approach
A strong iron game is crucial for success at El Cardonal at Diamante, as demonstrated by recent tournament history.
Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
Lucas Glover
Doug Ghim
J.J. Spaun
Austin Smotherman
Matt Kuchar
Michael Kim
Nick Hardy
Matti Schmid
Harry Hall
Zac Blair
Strokes Gained: Putting (Paspalum)
The Greens at El Cardonal at Diamante are Platinum paspalum .090”.
Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
Brandon Wu
Ben Taylor
Cameron Champ
Aaron Baddeley
Martin Trainer
Kelly Kraft
Wilson Furr
Ben Griffin
Maverick McNealy
Patrick Rodgers
Trace Crowe
Par 3 Scoring: 200-225 Yards (x2)
Two of the four Par 3’s at El Cardonal at Diamante range between 200-225 Yards.
Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
Michael Kim
Sam Ryder
Keith Mitchell
Harry Hall
Nick Hardy
Kelly Kraft
Chez Reavie
Max Greyserman
Rico Hoey
Maverick McNealy
Par 4 Scoring: 450-500 Yards (x6)
Six of the ten Par 4’s at El Cardonal at Diamante range between 450-500 Yards.
Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
Lucas Glover
Henrik Norlander
Trey Mullinax
Maverick McNealy
Rico Hoey
Joe Highsmith
Nick Hardy
Cameron Young
Matthew NeSmith
Doug Ghim
Par 5 Scoring: 550-600 Yards (x4)
Each of the four Par 5’s at El Cardonal at Diamante range between 550-600 Yards.
Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
Paul Barjon
Jhonattan Vegas
Alex Smalley
Kevin Chappell
Troy Merritt
Patrick Rodgers
Patrick Fishburn
Justin Suh
Hayden Springer
Harry Hall
Birdies or Better Gained
To be in contention at El Cardonal at Diamante this week, players must capitalize on every scoring opportunity.
Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
Max Greyserman
Harry Hall
Keith Mitchell
Matti Schmid
Joe Highsmith
Sam Stevens
J.J. Spaun
Jacob Bridgeman
Charley Hoffman
Patrick Fishburn
Comparable Courses and Event History
According to the Data Golf Course History Tool, previous experience at El Cardonal at Diamante Cabo San Lucas has shown to be highly beneficial for players.
Leaders in this category (Last Year):
Erik Van Rooyen
Matt Kuchar
Camilo Villegas
Justin Suh
Ryan Palmer
Chesson Hadley
Carson Young
Sam Ryder
Austin Cook
Nate Lashley
The Field:
This year’s World Wide Technology Championship will feature a total of 120competitors.
Here is the current basis of qualification for each entrant this week:
Top 125 FedExCup Fall Point Lists
Tournament Winner in Past Two Seasons
Top 30 on the FedExCup Playoffs & Eligibility Points List
Top 70 on Prior Year FEC Playoff & Elig List through the Playoffs
DP World Tour / Korn Ferry Tour / Q-School Category – Reordered
Reorder Category – Cat. 37 thru 44
Top 10 and Ties from the Previous Event
Major Medical Extension
Designated Sponsor Exemption
Sponsors Exemptions – PGA TOUR Member not otherwise exempt
Sponsor Exemptions: DPWT / Korn Ferry Tour / Q-School Category
Career Money Exemption
Open Qualifying
Previous Winners in the Field (Event):
Erik Van Rooyen (’23), Matt Kuchar (’18), Patton Kizzire (’17), Charley Hoffman (’14), Harris English (’13)
Debutants in the Field (Event):
Adrien Dumont de Chassart, Alejandro Tosti, Alex Smalley, Andrew Walker, Austin Hitt, Blaine Hale, Jr., Chandler Phillips, David Skinns, Dylan Wu, Emilio Gonzalez, Hayden Springer, Jacob Bridgeman, Joe Highsmith, Kevin Dougherty, Mark Geddes, Max Greyserman, Neal Shipley, Omar Morales, Patrick Fishburn, Paul Barjon, Pierceson Coody, Raul Pereda, Rico Hoey, Ryan McCormick, Santiago De La Fuente, Taylor Moore, Tom Whitney, Trace Crowe, Wilson Furr
Sponsors Exemptions:
Andrew Walker, Austin Hitt, Neal Shipley, Luke Donald, Harry Higgs, Scott Piercy, Ryan Palmer, Billy Andrade
Here are the current favorites for this week’s event, along with a summary of their recent form and course history:
Max Greyserman (+1600): Greyserman finished as the runner-up at the ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP in Japan two weeks ago. This marked his third runner-up finish in his last five starts, with previous second-place finishes at the Wyndham Championship and 3M Open. This will be his first appearance at the World Wide Technology Championship.
Doug Ghim (+2200): Ghim finished T27 at the ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP two weeks ago. Before that, he was the runner-up at the Shriners Children’s Open. This will be his fifth appearance at this event, with his best finish (T15) achieved last year.
Cameron Young (+2000): Returning for the first time since the BMW Championship, Young has shown consistency with six top-10 finishes this season and only one missed cut over the past 11 months. He finished T54 in this tournament last year.
Matti Schmid (+2200): Schmid has been in strong form during the FedExCup Fall, with finishes of T3 at the Shriners Children’s Open, 5th at the Black Desert Championship, and T16 at the Sanderson Farms Championship. This will be his third appearance at this event, where his best finish (T38) was last year.
2023: Erik van Rooyen (-27) – El Cardonal at Diamante
Price: 100-1
2022: Russell Henley (-23) – El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba
Price: 55-1
2021: Viktor Hovland (-23) – El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba
Price: 18-1
2020: Viktor Hovland (-20) – El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba
Price: 22-1
2019: Brendon Todd (-20) – El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba
Price: 110-1
Previous Winners Incoming Form (Last 5 Starts):
2023: Erik van Rooyen
T23 – Shriners Children’s Open (PGA)
T16 – Sanderson Farms Championship (PGA)
T30 – Fortinet Championship (PGA)
T16 – Horizon Irish Open (DPWT)
T8 – Omega European Masters (DPWT)
2022: Russell Henley
T45 – THE CJ CUP in South Carolina (PGA)
MC – Sanderson Farms Championship (PGA)
T35 – BMW Championship (PGA)
MC – FedEx St. Jude Championship (PGA)
T5 – Wyndham Championship (PGA)
2021: Viktor Hovland
T18 – THE CJ CUP (PGA)
T44 – Shriners Children’s Open (PGA)
T49 – BMW PGA Championship (DPWT)
T5 – TOUR Championship (PGA)
T17 – BMW Championship (PGA)
2020: Viktor Hovland
T15 – Vivint Houston Open (PGA)
T47 – ZOZO Championship (PGA)
T12 – THE CJ CUP (PGA)
T13 – U.S. Open (MAJ)
T3 – DP World Tour Championship (DPWT)
2019: Brendon Todd
1 – Bermuda Championship (PGA)
T28 – Houston Open (PGA)
MC – Shriners Hospitals for Children Open (PGA)
MC – Safeway Open (PGA)
MC – Sanderson Farms Championship (PGA)
Previous Winners Finishes at Event:
2023: Erik van Rooyen
World Wide Technology Championship
El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba
2022
Erik van Rooyen
MC
2022: Russell Henley
World Wide Technology Championship
Mayakoba Golf Classic
Mayakoba Golf Classic
Mayakoba Golf Classic
El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba
El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba
El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba
El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba
2021
2020
2019
2018
Russell Henley
T56
MC
MC
T29
2021: Viktor Hovland
Mayakoba Golf Classic
Mayakoba Golf Classic
Mayakoba Golf Classic
El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba
El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba
El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba
2020
2019
2018
Viktor Hovland
WON
MC
MC
2020: Viktor Hovland
Mayakoba Golf Classic
Mayakoba Golf Classic
El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba
El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba
2019
2018
Viktor Hovland
MC
MC
2019: Brendon Todd
OHL Classic
OHL Classic
Mayakoba Golf Classic
El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba
El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba
El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba
2015
2013
2009
Brendon Todd
MC
T49
MC
Picks:
Outrights:
Matti Schmid (+2500) – BetMGM
Risk 0.32 to win 8.00 Units
Schmid has been in great form this FedExCup Fall, with finishes of T3 at the Shriners Children’s Open, 5th at the Black Desert Championship, and T16 at the Sanderson Farms Championship. This is his third appearance at this event, with his best result (T38) coming last year.
In the last 24 rounds amongst the field, Schmid ranks 4th in Birdies or Better Gained, 8th in SG: Approach, 9th in Good Drives Gained, 11th in Par 5 Soring 550-600 Yards, and 19th in Par 4 Soring 450-500 Yards.
Matt Kuchar (+3500) – FanDuel
Risk 0.23 to win 8.05 Units
Kuchar finished T37 at the ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP in Japan two weeks ago and has four top-15 finishes in his last five starts, including a T3 at the 3M Open. He won this event in 2018 (at El Camaleón) and placed T2 last year at El Cardonal.
In the last 24 rounds amongst the field, Kuchar ranks 5th in SG: Approach, 8th in Good Drives Gained, 15th in Scrambling, 17th in Birdies or Better Gained, and 17th in Par 4 Soring 450-500 Yards.
Michael Kim (+5000) – BetMGM
Risk 0.16 to win 8.00 Units
Kim finished T5 at the Shriners Children’s Open at TPC Summerlin. Although he has struggled in past appearances here, he turned it around last year at El Cardonal, finishing T23.
In the last 24 rounds amongst the field, Kim ranks 6th in SG: Approach, 13th in Birdies or Better Gained, 16th in Par 4 Soring 450-500 Yards, 20th in SG: Putting (Paspalum), and 40th in Good Drives Gained. He’s struggled on with the flat stick in the past but has been much better on Paspalum surfaces and showed some signs of improvement in his last start. If he’s able to make a few putts he should put himself in contention.
Joe Highsmith (+7000) – FanDuel
Risk 0.12 to win 8.40 Units
Highsmith is coming off a T6 at the Black Desert Championship and a T16 at the Shriners Children’s Open. This is his first appearance at this event, though he performed well at a similar course, finishing T6 at the Puerto Rico Open.
In the last 24 rounds amongst the field, Highsmith ranks 5th in Birdies or Better Gained, 6th in Par 4 Soring 450-500 Yards, 17th in Good Drives Gained, 22nd in SG: Approach, and 28th in Par 5 Soring 550-600 Yards.
Henrik Norlander (+8000) – FanDuel
Risk 0.10 to win 8.00 Units
Although he missed the cut at the Shriners, Norlander has two top-10 finishes in his last four events. He’s played this event six times, with a best finish of T15 in 2022. He’s also played well at several comp courses this year finishing T13 at the Mexico Open, T15 at the Puerto Rico Open, and T36 at the Corales Puntcana Championship.
In the last 24 rounds amongst the field, Norlander ranks 2nd in Par 4 Soring 450-500 Yards, 12th in SG: Approach, 12th in SG: Putting (Paspalum), 23rd in Birdies or Better Gained, 23rd in Scrambling Gained, and 28th in Good Drives Gained.
Trace Crowe (+12500) – BetMGM
Risk 0.07 to win 8.75 Units
Trace Crowe is my longshot selection of the week. He hasn’t necessarily been in great form heading into this event but has shown flashes this season. He played well at a comp course earlier this year finishing T11 at the Corales Puntacana Championship and ranks highly in my model in three key categories this week. In the last 24 rounds amongst the field, Crowe ranks 25th in SG: Approach, 10th in SG: Putting (Paspalum), 11th in Par 4 Soring 450-500 Yards, and 19th in Birdies or Better Gained.
Total Risk on Outrights: 1.02 Units
Top 20 (Including Ties):
Ben Griffin (+125) – DraftKings
Risk 1.00 to win 1.25 Units
Griffin has two top-25 finishes in his last three PGA TOUR starts. This is his third appearance at this tournament, with his best finish (T23) at El Cardonal last year.
In the last 24 rounds amongst the field, Griffin ranks 8th in SG: Putting (Paspalum), 11th in SG: Approach, 14th in Good Drives Gained, and 32nd in Birdies or Better Gained.
Nick Hardy (+275) – BetMGM
Risk 1.00 to win 2.75 Units
Nick Hardy has struggled this season but did show a sign of returning to form finishing T8 at the Black Desert Championship last month. Following that he missed the cut at the Shriners Children’s Open mainly due to his play in the green. His approach play has been terrific in his last few starts but his inconsistency on the green has cost him. However, Hardy has been much better on paspalum surfaces which I’m hoping continues this week.
This will be his third appearance at this tournament having finished T21 in 2022 and T23 in 2023.
In the last 24 rounds amongst the field, Hardy ranks 7th in SG: Approach, 12th in Good Drives Gaines, 5th in Par 3 Scoring 200-225 Yards, 7th in Par 4 Scoring 450-500 Yards, 42nd in Birdies or Better Gaines, and 43rd in SG: Putting (Paspalum).
Total Risk on Top 20s: 2.00 Units
Top 40 (Including Ties):
Trace Crowe (+140) – BetMGM
Risk 1.00 to win 1.40 Units
Total Risk on Top 40s: 1.00 Units
Total Risk on the World Wide Technology Championship: 4.02 Units
Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting. Any feedback whether positive or negative is always encouraged.
We have a GREAT show for you today! Another week in the books and now it’s time to recap and do some analysis! First, Kiev recaps the weekend with the good, the bad, and the ugly. Next, we talk some misleading final scores with brief box score analysis. Then, Kiev talks about the NFL and College Football betting spots for next week. Who could let down? Who has a short week? After that, we give out a Free Play for the upcoming weekend. Finally Dave comes back as we break down some fantasy football. We talk key injuries, waiver wire, sleepers and busts! Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com. Have a wonderful week!
Use Promo Code Football24 TO GET $100 OFF EVERY FOOTBALL OR YEARLY PACKAGE or 50% OFF THE FIRST MONTH OF ANY MONTHLY PACKAGE for the rest of the 2024 season! Click here: https://theoddsbreakers.com/premium-plays/Offer expires December 31st 2024
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Once again, there is a large amount of coaching changes this year for the 2024/2025 college basketball season. As sports bettors, and/or college basketball fans, we all know how important these coaches are to projecting outcomes. Pace is a massive factor when it comes to the point differential as well as the total amount of points that are scored in a game. I categorize each team as Very Fast, Medium Fast, Medium, Medium Slow, Very Slower and NA for not enough information. Keep in mind that these are all projections based on association, and past performance. Here are the coaching changes with my projections for 2024/2025 pace of play. If I put a color on the team name, it means a pretty substantial change. Red means faster and blue means slower. Follow me on twitter for more wagering content @OBKiev.
Pace Rankings:
0 – 40 Very Fast
41 – 120 Medium Fast
121 – 240 Medium
241 to 320 Medium Slow
321 to 364 Very Slow
College Coaches: Out / In
School: 68 new coaching changes
Arkansas Razorbacks: Eric Musselman / John Calipari – John Calipari is one of the most well known in college basketball. Last year, his team played lighting fast at Kentucky, but the few years before, he played much slower. Arkansas’s pace ranked 38th last year. Pace in the 60s is a safe bet. Very fast to Medium Fast Bryant Bulldogs: Jared Grasso / Phil Martelli Jr. – Phil coached most of last year and was lighting fast ranking 3rd in the nation. Pace is top 10. Very Fast to Very Fast BYU Cougars: Mark Pope / Kevin Young – Byu played medium fast last season at 84th on Kenpom, but new coach Kevin Young comes from the Suns. I think he stays up there. Projected pace in the 100s. Medium Fast to Medium Fast Cal Poly Mustangs: John Smith / Mike DeGeorge – Mike comes from division two Colorado Mesa, this team ranked 272nd last year in pace, but not enough info to make a prediction. NA Canisius Golden Griffins: Reggie Witherspoon / Jim Christian – Last year, this team ranked 224th in pace. Jim spent tome head coaching Boston College a few years back. He played a pretty fast pace, so I project him to continue that with pace ranking in the 60s. Medium to Medium Fast Central Arkansas Bears: Anthony Boone/John Shulman – The Bears ranked 81st in Tempo last year. John comes from being an assistant coach at Chattanooga, but the pace for this team will remain medium fast. Medium Fast to Medium Fast Charleston Cougars: Pat Kelsey / Chris Mack – From Tempo at 51 last year, return of the Mack will probably slow it down some. Project in the 150s. Medium Fast to Medium Charleston Southern Buccaneers: Barclay Radebaugh / Saah Nimley – The pace ranked 221 under Barclay, but Saah was an assistant there, so I expect the same ion the 220s. Medium to Medium Chicago State Cougars: Gerald Gillion /Scott Spinelli – Chicago State really slowed it down last year to 331. I expect Scott who was an assistant last year to speed it up some. I project 270s. Very Slowto Medium Slow Coastal Carolina Chanticleers: Cliff Ellis / Justin Gray – This team played pretty fast at 73rd in pace. Justin comes from Western Carolina. I expect a slower pace ranking in the 210s. Good jump down. Medium Fast to Medium Slow Cornell Big Red: Brian Earl / Jon Jaques – Cornell played very fast ranking 23rd. Jon Jaques was his assistant, so I project close to the same in the 30s. Very Fast to Very Fast DePaul Blue Demons: Tony Stubblefield / Chris Holtmann – Depaul ranked 167th in pace, but Holtmann will slow them down to the 270s. He doesn’t like getting blown out. Medium to Medium Slow Detroit Mercy Titans: Mike Davis / Mark Montgomery – With pace at 227, I expect Mark Montgomery from Northern Illinois to slow it down a lot. 330s is my projection. Medium to Very Slow Drake Bulldogs: Darian DeVries / Ben McCollum – I mean, I hate the Drake. Their pace was 168. Ben comes in from DII, so I assume the same in the 170s. NA Duquesne Dukes: Keith Dambrot / Dru Joyce III – from pace ranking 264th, I expect Dru to keep it close to the same as he was an assistant last year. I project 230s. Medium Slow to Medium Eastern Washington Eagles: David Riley / Dan Monson – From pace ranking 45th, I expect a monsoon, of speed for Long Beach state ranking in the 10s. Medium Fastto Very Fast Fairfield Stags: Jay Young / Chris Casey – The Stag’s pace was at a not so stagnant 121st last year. I expect the same as he was an assistant to full time coach last year. Pace in the 120s. Medium Fast to Medium Fast Florida A&M Rattlers: Robert McCollum / Patrick Crarey II – From pace at 130th, I can’t project change as Patrick comes from DII. NA Florida Atlantic Owls: Dusty May / John Jakus – Pace was at 149th. John comes in from being an assistant at Baylor, and I expect this pace to significantly slow down. I project 270s. Medium to Medium Slow Fresno State Bulldogs: Justin Hutson / Vance Walberg – From pace ranking 290th, Vance comes in from the NBA and High School. He did coach Pepperdine in the 2000s where his pace was super fast. I expect the same in the 20s.Medium Slow to Very Fast Gardner-Webb Runnin’ Bulldogs: Tim Craft / Jeremy Luther – This team played fast ranking 74th in Tempo. Jeremy should keep it the same coming in from the assistant role with tempo ranking in the 70s. Medium Fast to Medium Fast Green Bay Phoenix: Sundance Wicks / Doug Gottlieb – This was definitely the biggest holy smokes of them all. Green Bay ranked in 345th in pace, but their defense was bad. I assume Doug will be in the middle of the pack in pace in the 180s, but low confidence. Very Slow to Medium Hampton Pirates: Edward “Buck” Joyner / Ivan Thomas – Hampton played fast ranking 69th in pace last year. Ivan comes from an assistant role at Georgetown, but even though the Hoyas slowed it down last year, I think he still plays fast like they used to with pace in the 90s. Medium Fast to Medium Fast Houston Christian Huskies: Ron Cottrell / Craig Doty – Houston Christian lost at light speed last year ranking 26th in pace. Craig comes from division II, so I do not know. NA Indiana State Sycamores: Josh Schertz / Matthew Graves – This team was awesome last year and fun to watch with Very fast pace at 35th in the nation. I expect the same pace from Matthew Graves coming in from being an assistant. Very Fast to Very Fast IUPUI Jaguars: Matt Crenshaw / Paul Corsaro – Pace was dead set in the middle at 183rd last year. I probably expect no changes from Paul Corsaro, but not enough info for me. NA James Madison Dukes: Mark Byington / Preston Spradlin – JMU was fun last year as they bounced my Badgers in the NCAA tournament. They played up-tempo ranking 70th in pace. Preston Spradlin comes in from super slow Morehead State and will bring this pace to a crawl in the 330s. Medium Fastto Very Slow Kentucky Wildcats: John Calipari /Mark Pope – Kentucky was 12th in pace last year. When they were on, they blew teams away. Mark Pope comes in from BYU and will slow it down a tad to the 60s. Very Fast to Medium Fast Long Beach State Beach: Dan Monson / Chris Acker – Long Beach played super fast ranking 24th in pace. Chris Acker comes in from an assistant role at San Diego State and will greatly slow this thing down. I project the 240s for pace ranking. Very Fastto Medium Slow Louisville Cardinals: Kenny Payne / Pat Kelsey – The Cardinals ranked 60th in pace last year. Pat Kelsey comes in from Charleston with the same speed of play into the 50s. Medium Fast to Medium Fast Loyola Maryland Greyhounds: Tavaras Hardy / Josh Loeffler – From ranking 280th in pace, Josh Loeffler comes in from being a good assistant at Cincinnati. Pace will speed up some to the 180s. Medium Slow to Medium Marshall Thundering Herd: Dan D’Antoni / Cornelius Jackson – Marshall played borderline very fast ranking 46th in pace. I expect no changes with the assistant being promoted with pace in the 40s. Medium Fast to Medium Fast Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks: Jason Crafton / Cleo Hill Jr. – Pace last year ranked 202nd, but not enough info for Cleo Hill that comes from DII. NA Mercer Bears: Greg Gary / Ryan Ridder – Huge change alert. Mercer was slow at 268th in Pace. The Riddler comes in from Tennessee Martin that will bring pace into the top 10! Medium Slowto Very Fast Michigan Wolverines: Juwan Howard / Dusty May – Pace ranked 180 which was fast for the Big 10, but Dusty May will speed it up some into the 150s coming from FAU. Great hire! Medium to Medium Missouri State Bears: Dana Ford / Cuonzo Martin – The Pace ranked 157th last year. Cuonzo Martin was coach at Missouri for a while ranking around 260th. I will slow some to the 260s. Medium to Medium Slow Morehead State Eagles: Preston Spradlin / Jonathan Mattox – Morehead was very slow at 337th in pace. Jon Mattox was an assistant there before Murray State who played more medium slow. I think he will still go pretty slow in the 290s.Very Slow to Medium Slow Mount Saint Mary’s Mountaineers: Dan Engelstad / Donny Lind – With the pace at 89th last year, Donny Lind comes in from an assistant role at UNC Greensboro and that team played slow. I project pace ranking in the 300s. Medium Fastto Medium Slow New Orleans Privateers: Mark Slessinger / Stacy Hollowell Ohio State Buckeyes: Chris Holtmann / Jake Diebler – Jake took over last year with pace ranking 203. I think it stays close in the 190s. Medium to Medium Oklahoma State Cowboys: Mike Boynton / Steve Lutz – Mike had this team slower last year at 205th in pace. Steve Lutz plays at a crazy pace and Western Kentucky was 1st last year. I project top 10. Medium to Very Fast Old Dominion Monarchs:Jeff Jones / Mike Jones – Jeff Jones upped the pace last year to 55th ranked. Mike Jones (not the rapper who says his own name a lot) was an assistant at Maryland. I expect a slow pace ranking in the 300s. Medium Fastto Medium Slow Pacific Tigers: Leonard Perry /Dave Smart – Pace ranked at 129th last year for the Tigers. Dave Smart coming in from Texas Tech might slow it down some, but not much ranking in the 170s. Medium to Medium Pepperdine Waves: Lorenzo Romar / Ed Schilling – With pace ranking 189th, Ed Schilling comes in from being an assistant at Grand Canyon. I see about the same pace in the 160s. Medium to Medium Rice Owls: Scott Pera / Rob Lanier – Rice really slowed down pace to 274th last year. Rob Lanier comes in from SMU and will spice it up a bit to the 150s. Medium Slow to Medium Sacramento State Hornets: David Patrick / Michael Czepil – This school played slow with tempo ranking 341st. I expect it a little faster with the assistant coming in, but not by much in the 310s. Very Slow to Medium Slow Saint Louis Billikens: Travis Ford / Josh Schertz – With pace ranking 75th last year, Saint Louis is serious about their basketball. They paid good money for Josh Schertz from Indiana State who will up the pace to the 30s. Medium Fastto Very Fast Siena Saints:Carmen Maciariello / Gerry McNamara – With pace ranking 270th last season, Gerry’s world comes in to spice it up. He was an assistant at Syracuse and will bring this bunch into the 30s. Medium Slow to Very Fast SMU Mustangs: Rob Lanier /Andy Enfield – the Mustangs pace ranking 165th last season. Andy Enfield comes in from USC and I expect him tp pace it up some ranking in the 100s. Medium to Medium Fast South Carolina Upstate Spartans: Dave Dickerson /Marty Richter – Last year pace ranked 203rd. I don’t expect much change as Marty was an assistant at Drake with the same type of pace results. I project 220s. Medium to Medium Southern Illinois Salukis: Bryan Mullins / Scott Nagy – The Salukis played super slow at 333rd in pace. Scott Nagy comes in and will light this team up like a firecracker ranking in the 20s. Very Slowto Very Fast Stanford Cardinal: Jerod Haase / Kyle Smith – Stanford was pretty fast at 71st in pace last season. Kyle Smith comes in from Washington state and will greatly slow this thing down to the 320s. Medium Fastto Medium Slow UIC Flames: Luke Yaklich / Rob Ehsan – The Flames pace ranked 135th last year. I expect this to slow down with Rob Ehsan to the 280s as he coached UAB a few years back. Medium to Medium Slow USC Trojans: Andy Enfield / Eric Musselman – The Trojan’s pace ranked 138th last year. Musselman will speed this up for sure with pace ranking in the 40s. Medium to Medium Fast UT Martin Skyhawks: Ryan Ridder / Jeremy Shulman – This team was lighting fast ranking 7th in pace last year. Jeremy Shulman comes from division II so not completely sure how to rank it. NA UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros: Matt Figger / Kahil Fennell – A hot pace ranking 28th last year, I think that Kahil Fennell keeps it fast coming from BYU. I think pace will rank in the 30s. Very Fast to Very Fast UTSA Roadrunners: Steve Henson / Austin Claunch – A roadrunner tyope race ranking 44th last year stays the same with Austin Claunch coming from Nichols State. I project once again the 30s. Very Fast to Very Fast Utah State Aggies: Danny Sprinkle /Jerrod Calhoun – With Danny Sprinkle gone, Jarrod comes in to slow down the pace from 99th to the 140s. Medium Fast to Medium Vanderbilt Commodores:Jerry Stackhouse /Mark Byington – Jerry ran this team slow last year ranking 285th in pace. Mark Byington comes in from James Madison to speed this thing up into the 60s. Medium Slowto Medium Fast Virginia Cavaliers: Tony Bennett / Ron Sanchez – Virginia loves their slow snail like game who ranked 362nd in tempo. Assistant Ron Sanchez will continue that trend with pace in the 350s. Very Slow to Very Slow Washington Huskies: Mike Hopkins / Danny Sprinkle – With pace ranked 30th, Danny Sprinkle the money line will not be much slower. I project tempo ranking in the 70s. Very Fast to Medium Fast Washington State Cougars: Kyle Smith / David Riley – From pace ranking at 322nd, David Riley will greatly speed this up like he did at Eastern Washington. I project pace in the 70s. Medium Slow to Medium Fast West Virginia Mountaineers: Josh Eilert / Darian DeVries – The Mountaineers ranked 123rd in pace. Darian Devries from Drake will keep it the same in the 130s. Medium to Medium Western Carolina Catamounts: Justin Gray / Tim Craft – The Catamounts ranked 225th in tempo last year. Tim Craft from Gardner Webb as been inconsistent. I still see pace around the 150s. Medium to Medium Western Kentucky Hilltoppers: Steve Lutz / Hank Plona – From a lighting fast 1st in pace last year, hank will step right in with the same offense. I see top 10 in pace. Very Fast to Very Fast William & Mary Tribe: Dane Fischer / Brian Earl – From 273rd in tempo last year, Brian Earl comes from Cornell and will heat things up in the 20s! Medium Slow to Very Fast Wright State Raiders: Scott Nagy /Clint Sargent – This team was a burner ranking 22nd in pace. Clint comes in from the assistant role and won’t miss a beat continuing pace ranking in the 20s. Very Fast to Very Fast Wyoming Cowboys: Jeff Linder / Sundance Wicks – The Cowboys ranked 197th in pace from 2023/2024. Sundance comes in (perfect name for this team by the way), and he will slow this thing down to a crawl like he did in Green Bay. I project pace in the 340s. Medium to Very Slow Youngstown State Penguins: Jerrod Calhoun /Ethan Faulkner – this team ranked 94th in pace last year. Ethan was an assistant here last year so I project pace in the 90s. Medium Fast to Medium Fast
* Credit for pace numbers from http://www.kenpom.com
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