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Podcast 642 – 87 – 24 – College Basketball 2024/2025 Big 10 Preview – Sports Betting
We have a great show for you today! Kiev O’Neil goes solo to preview the BIG 10 for some college hoops action! We talk ATS and O/U Records, returning players, transfers, rookies and more. Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com. Have a wonderful week!
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Best Weekend in Racing! The 2024 Breeders’ Cup – Saturday Racing Free Picks
Most casual racing fans know about the Triple Crown and the pageantry and prestige that surrounds three Saturdays in late spring. Full time fans and bettors know the best action of the year with the strongest fields happen at The Breeder’s Cup. The event returns to Del Mar for the 41st Edition
Races start at 12:05 Central time, and I am including picks for all 12 races on the card, The Breeders’ Cup races are numbers 4-11. The weather looks great and it should be a fast track this afternoon at Del Mar. I’ll give you my pick to win and at least my top 4 for each race. How you build those Exacts, Trifectas and Multi-Race bets is up to you. Let’s go!
Race 1 Allowance/Claiming – 1 1/16 Miles (Turf)– Purse: $40,000 – Post Time: 12:05 CDT
Win: 4 No Secret
Top 4 if playing Exotics 4-9-2-7
Race 2 Bayakoa Stakes-Grade III 1 Mile (Dirt) Purse: $200,000 Post Time – 12:40 CDT
Win: 4 Alpha Bella
Top 4 if playing Exotics 4-3-7-6
Race 3 Goldikova Stakes – Grade III – 1 Mile (Turf) – Purse: $300,000 Post Time: 1:15 CDT
Win: 2 Sacred Wish
Top 4 if playing Exotics 2-4-9-8
Race 4 – PNC Bank Breeders’ Cup Filly And Mare Sprint – Grade I – 7 Furlongs (DIRT) – Purse: $1,000,000 – Post Time 2:00 CDT
Win: 2 One Magic Philly
Top 4 If Playing Exotics 2-9-6-10
Race 5 Prevagen Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint – Grade I – 5 Furlongs (TURF) – Purse: $1,000,000 – Post Time: – 2:41 CDT
Win: 5 Ag Bullet
Top 4 If Playing Exotics 5-9-2-6
Race 6 The Longines Breeders’ Cup Distaff – Grade I – 1 1/8 Miles (Dirt) – Purse $2,000,000 Post Time 3:21 CDT
Win: 2 Thorpedo Anna
Top 4 If Playing Exotics – 2-5-1-7
Race 7 The Longines Breeders’ Cup Turf – Grade I – 1 1/2 Miles (TURF) – Purse: $,5000,000 Post Time: 4:01 CDT
Win: 11 Rebel’s Romance
Top 4 If playing Exotics – 11-6-10-2
Race 8 The Longines Breeders’ Cup Classic – Grade I -1 1/4 Miles (Dirt) Purse $7,000,000 – Post Time 4:41 CDT
Win: 14 Next
Top 4 If Playing Exotics -14-3-6-11
Race 9 The Maker’s Mark Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Turf – Grade I – 1 3/8 Miles (TURF) – Purse: $2,000,000 Post Time: 5:25 CDT
Win: 3 Cinderella’s Dream
Top 4 If Playing Exotics 3-4-2-7
Race 10 Cygames Breeders’ Cup Sprint – Grade I – 6 Furlongs (Dirt) – Purse: $2,000,000 Post Time 6:05 CDT
Win: 9 Remake
Top 4 If Playing Exotics 9-4-3-8
Race 11 The Fanduel Breeders’ Cup Mile Presented By PDJF – Grade I – 1 Mile (Turf) – Purse: $2,000,000 Post Time: 6:45CDT
Win: 6 Notable Speech
Top 4 If Playing Exotics 6-1-4-8
Race 12 The Big Ass Fans Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile – Grade I – 1 Mile (Dirt) – Purse: $1,000,000 Post Time: 7:25 CDT
Win: 9 Domestic Product
Top 4 If Playing Exotics 9-10-5-12
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2024 Breeders’ Cup Preview & Picks
The Breeders’ Cup World Championships is one of the most prestigious events in horse racing, bringing together the world’s top thoroughbreds, trainers, and jockeys for two days of thrilling competition. Held annually at premier racetracks across North America, the Breeders’ Cup showcases elite talent across a range of distances, surfaces, and divisions.
In 2007, the Breeders’ Cup was expanded from one day to two. Now, the first day of the weekend is called Future Stars Friday, with many of racing’s most promising colts and fillies running on the dirt and the turf. The top finishers of these races usually shape the Road to the Kentucky Derby and may feature the following year’s contenders for the Run for the Roses.
Championship Saturday will give out more than $23 million in purse money over nine races, including the $7 million Longines Breeders’ Cup Classic, which is the centerpiece race of the weekend.
This year’s Breeders’ Cup World Championships will take place at Del Mar Thoroughbred Club in Del Mar, California. This is the second consecutive year that Del Mar will play host to this event marking the first time the event has been held in consecutive years at a single location since Santa Anita held the event in 2012, 2013, and 2014.
Race Schedule & Information:
| Race # | Post Time (ET) | Grade | Distance | Race Name | Purse | TV Information |
| 1 | 1:05 PM | – | 1 1/16 Miles | Allowance Optional Claiming | $150,000 | FanDuel TV |
| 2 | 1:40 PM | Grade 3 | 1 Mile | Bayakoa Stakes | $200,000 | FanDuel TV |
| 3 | 2:15 PM | Grade 3 | 1 Mile | Goldikova Stakes | $300,000 | USA, Peacock, FanDuel TV |
| 4 | 3:00 PM | Grade 1 | 7 Furlongs | Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Sprint | $1,000,000 | USA, Peacock, FanDuel TV |
| 5 | 3:41 PM | Grade 1 | 5 Furlongs | Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint | $1,000,000 | NBC, Peacock, FanDuel TV |
| 6 | 4:21 PM | Grade 1 | 1 1/8 Miles | Breeders’ Cup Distaff | $2,000,000 | NBC, Peacock, FanDuel TV |
| 7 | 5:01 PM | Grade 1 | 1 1/2 Miles | Breeders’ Cup Turf | $5,000,000 | NBC, Peacock, FanDuel TV |
| 8 | 5:41 PM | Grade 1 | 1 1/4 Miles | Breeders’ Cup Classic | $7,000,000 | NBC, Peacock |
| 9 | 6:25 PM | Grade 1 | 1 3/8 Miles | Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Turf | $2,000,000 | USA, Peacock, FanDuel TV |
| 10 | 7:05 PM | Grade 1 | 6 Furlongs | Breeders’ Cup Sprint | $2,000,000 | USA, Peacock, FanDuel TV |
| 11 | 7:45 PM | Grade 1 | 1 Mile | Breeders’ Cup Mile | $2,000,000 | USA, Peacock, FanDuel TV |
| 12 | 8:25 PM | Grade 1 | 1 Mile | Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile | $1,000,000 | Peacock, FanDuel TV |
Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Sprint
Race Description:
The Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Sprint is run around one turn at 7 furlongs for the fastest females, three years old and older, competing for a purse of $1 million. The Filly & Mare Sprint serves as North America’s richest race for female sprinters and often decides the champion in this division each year.
Race Information:
- Race: 4
- Post Time: 3:00 PM ET
- Event Grade: Grade 1
- Length: 7 Furlongs
- Purse: $1,000,000
- Division: Fillies And Mares | Three Years Old and Upward
- Surface: Dirt
- Wagers: Exacta, Trifecta, Superfecta, Pick 3 (Races 4-6), Daily Double, Pick 5 (Races 4-8), Super High 5
Field:
| Post Position | Horse | A/S | Weight | Jockey | Trainer | Morning Line (ML) Odds |
| 1 | Frost At Dawn | 3/F | 122 | Lanfranco Dettori | William Knight | 30-1 |
| 2 | One Magic Philly | 3/F | 122 | Antonio Fresu | Philip D’Amato | 10-1 |
| 3 | Pleasant | 4/F | 124 | Juan J. Hernandez | Bob Baffert | 12-1 |
| 4 | Vahva | 4/F | 124 | Irad Ortiz, Jr. | Cherie DeVaux | 4-1 |
| 5 | Pandora’s Gift | 3/F | 122 | Umberto Rispoli | Stuart C. Williams | 30-1 |
| 6 | Society | 5/M | 124 | Tyler Gaffalione | Steven M. Asmussen | 3-1 |
| 7 | Zeitlos | 4/F | 124 | Jose L. Ortiz | Steven M. Asmussen | 6-1 |
| 8 | Soul of an Angel | 5/M | 124 | Drayden Van Dyke | Saffie A. Joseph, Jr. | 12-1 |
| 9 | Ways and Means | 3/F | 122 | Flavien Prat | Chad C. Brown | 5-2 |
| 10 | Scylla | 4/F | 124 | Mike E. Smith | William I. Mott | 10-1 |
Picks:
WIN: (9) Ways and Means
EXACTA BOX: (9) Ways and Means, (10) Scylla, (4) Vahva
Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint
Race Description:
The Prevagen Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint, for male and female horses three-years of age and older, combines both speed and agility for international competitors at 5 furlongs on the turf course.
Race Information:
- Race: 5
- Post Time: 3:41 PM ET
- Event Grade: Grade 1
- Length: 5 Furlongs
- Purse: $1,000,000
- Division: Open | Three Years Old and Upward
- Surface: Turf
- Wagers: Exacta, Trifecta, Superfecta, Pick 3 (Races 5-7), Daily Double, Pick 4 (Races 5-8), All Turf Pick 4 (Races 5, 7, 9, 11), Super High 5
Field:
| Post Position | Horse | A/S | Weight | Jockey | Trainer | Morning Line (ML) Odds |
| 1 | Believing | 4/F | 123 | William Knight | George Boughey | 12-1 |
| 2 | Motorious | 6/G | 126 | Antonio Fresu | Philip D’Amato | 8-1 |
| 3 | Arzak | 6/H | 126 | Joel Rosario | Michael J. Trombetta | 30-1 |
| 4 | Starlust | 3/C | 124 | Rossa Ryan | Ralph Beckett | 30-1 |
| 5 | Ag Bullet | 4/F | 123 | Umberto Rispoli | Richard Baltas | 10-1 |
| 6 | Star of Mystery | 3/F | 121 | William Buick | Charles Appleby | 10-1 |
| 7 | Howard Wolowitz | 3/C | 124 | Flavien Prat | Jose Francisco D’Angelo | 30-1 |
| 8 | Big Invasion | 5/H | 126 | Lanfranco Dettori | Christophe Clement | 20-1 |
| 9 | Cogburn | 5/H | 126 | Irad Ortiz, Jr. | Steven M. Asmussen | 7-5 |
| 10 | Isivunguvungu | 6/G | 126 | Manuel Franco | H. Graham Motion | 20-1 |
| 11 | Big Evs | 3/C | 124 | Tom Marquand | Michael Appleby | 12-1 |
| 12 | Bradsell | 4/C | 126 | Hollie Doyle | Archie Watson | 7-2 |
| 13 (AE) | Nothing Better | 7/G | 126 | Paco Lopez | Jorge Duarte, Jr. | 30-1 |
| 14 (AE) | Charcoal | 8/G | 126 | Axel Concepcion | Tracey J. Wisner | 30-1 |
| 15 (AE) | Frost at Dawn | 3/F | 121 | Billy Loughnane | William Knight | 30-1 |
Picks:
WIN: (9) Cogburn
EXACTA: (9) Cogburn / (5) Ag Bullet, (11) Big Evs, (12) Bradsell
Breeders’ Cup Distaff
Race Description:
The Longines Breeders’ Cup Distaff brings together the best female dirt horses for a championship showdown at 1 1/8 miles on the main track. The race is open to three-year old and older females, who compete for a purse of $2 million.
Race Information:
- Race: 6
- Post Time: 4:21 PM ET
- Event Grade: Grade 1
- Length: 1 1/8 Miles
- Purse: $2,000,000
- Division: Fillies And Mares | Three Years Old and Upward
- Surface: Dirt
- Wagers: Exacta, Trifecta, Superfecta, Pick 3 (Races 6-8), Daily Double, Special Daily Double (Races 6 And 8), Pick 4 (Races 6-9), All Dirt Pick 4 (Races 6, 8, 10, 12), Super High 5
Field:
| Post Position | Horse | A/S | Weight | Jockey | Trainer | Morning Line (ML) Odds |
| 1 | Candied | 3/F | 121 | Irad Ortiz, Jr. | Todd A. Pletcher | 15-1 |
| 2 | Thorpedo Anna | 3/F | 121 | Brian Joseph Hernandez, Jr. | Kenneth G. McPeek | 4-5 |
| 3 | Batucada | 4/F | 124 | Ricardo Santana, Jr. | Saffie A. Joseph, Jr. | 20-1 |
| 4 | Alice Verite | 4/F | 124 | Kyle Frey | Kazuya Nakatake | 30-1 |
| 5 | Sugar Fish | 3/F | 121 | Tyler Baze | Jeff Mullins | 20-1 |
| 6 | Raging Sea | 4/F | 124 | Flavien Prat | Chad C. Brown | 7-2 |
| 7 | Honor D Lady | 4/F | 124 | Tyler Gaffalione | Saffie A. Joseph, Jr. | 30-1 |
| 8 | Miss New York | 4/F | 124 | Umberto Rispoli | Jorge Delgado | 20-1 |
| 9 | Awesome Result | 4/F | 124 | Yutaka Take | Yasutoshi Ikee | 4-1 |
| 10 | Che Evasora | 6/M | 124 | Tiago Josue Pereira | Philip D’Amato | 30-1 |
Picks:
WIN: (9) Awesome Result
Breeders’ Cup Turf
Race Description:
The Longines Breeders’ Cup Turf is run at 1 ½ miles on the turf course, for male and female horses three-years-old and older. The longest race of the World Championships, the Turf annually attracts the top grass talent from Europe and North America to compete for a $5 million purse in a demanding test of both speed and strength. The Breeders’ Cup Turf is limited to 14 starters.
Race Information:
- Race: 7
- Post Time: 5:01 PM ET
- Event Grade: Grade 1
- Length: 1 1/2 Miles
- Purse: $5,000,000
- Division: Open | Three Years Old and Upward
- Surface: Turf
- Wagers: Exacta, Trifecta, Superfecta, Pick 3 (Races 7-9), Daily Double, Pick 4 (Races 7-10), Pick 6 (Races 7-12), Super High 5
Field:
| Post Position | Horse | A/S | Weight | Jockey | Trainer | Morning Line (ML) Odds |
| 1 | Rousham Park | 5/H | 126 | Christophe Lemaire | Hiroyasu Tanaka | 20-1 |
| 2 | Emily Upjohn | 5/M | 123 | Lanfranco Dettori | John H. M. Gosden | 5-1 |
| 3 | Shahryar | 6/H | 126 | Cristian Demuro | Hideaki Fujiwara | 10-1 |
| 4 | Luxembourg | 5/H | 126 | Ryan L. Moore | Aidan P. O’Brien | 12-1 |
| 5 | Jayarebe | 3/C | 122 | Sean M. Levey | Brian Meehan | 4-1 |
| 6 | Far Bridge | 4/C | 126 | Joel Rosario | Christophe Clement | 6-1 |
| 7 | Grand Sonata | 5/H | 126 | Tyler Gaffalione | Todd A. Pletcher | 20-1 |
| 8 | Cabo Spirit | 5/G | 126 | Abel Cedillo | George Papaprodromou | 30-1 |
| 9 | El Encinal | 4/C | 126 | Armando Ayuso | Francisco Garcia | 30-1 |
| 10 | Wingspan | 3/F | 119 | Wayne Lordan | Aidan P. O’Brien | 15-1 |
| 11 | Rebel’s Romance | 6/G | 126 | William Buick | Charles Appleby | 5-2 |
| 12 | Gold Phoenix | 6/G | 126 | Kyle Frey | Philip D’Amato | 15-1 |
| 13 | There Goes Harvard | 6/H | 126 | John R. Velazquez | Michael W. McCarthy | 30-1 |
Picks:
WIN: (3) Shahryar, (6) Far Bridge
Breeders’ Cup Classic
Race Description:
Every sport has a definitive year-ending event to crown its champions. In Thoroughbred racing, the Breeders’ Cup World Championships is the culmination of the horse racing season worldwide, and the $7 million Longines Breeders’ Cup Classic is the defining race of this international event. The Longines Breeders’ Cup Classic, run at 1 1/4 miles on the dirt track, draws the top international Thoroughbreds, including winners of the Triple Crown races, year after year. It is open to male and female horses three-years old and older, and is limited to 14 starters.
Race Information:
- Race: 8
- Post Time: 5:41 PM ET
- Event Grade: Grade 1
- Length: 1 1/4 Miles
- Purse: $7,000,000
- Division: Open | Three Years Old and Upward
- Surface: Dirt
- Wagers: Exacta, Trifecta, Superfecta, Pick 3 (Races 8-10), Daily Double, Pick 5 (Races 8-12), Super High 5
Field:
| Post Position | Horse | A/S | Weight | Jockey | Trainer | Morning Line (ML) Odds |
| 1 | Forever Young | 3/C | 122 | Ryusei Sakai | Yoshito Yahagi | 6-1 |
| 2 | Highland Falls | 4/C | 126 | Luis Saez | Brad H. Cox | 20-1 |
| 3 | City of Troy | 3/C | 122 | Ryan L. Moore | Aidan P. O’Brien | 5-2 |
| 4 | Mixto | 4/C | 126 | Kyle Frey | Doug F. O’Neill | 30-1 |
| 5 | Senor Buscador | 6/H | 126 | Joel Rosario | Todd W. Fincher | 30-1 |
| 6 | Derma Sotogake | 4/C | 126 | Christophe Lemaire | Hidetaka Otonashi | 20-1 |
| 7 | Ushba Tesoro | 7/H | 126 | Yuga Kawada | Noboru Takagi | 12-1 |
| 8 | Pyrenees | 4/C | 126 | Brian Joseph Hernandez, Jr. | Cherie DeVaux | 30-1 |
| 9 | Fierceness | 3/C | 122 | John R. Velazquez | Todd A. Pletcher | 3-1 |
| 10 | Tapit Trice | 4/C | 126 | Irad Ortiz, Jr. | Todd A. Pletcher | 30-1 |
| 11 | Sierra Leone | 3/C | 122 | Flavien Prat | Chad C. Brown | 12-1 |
| 12 | Arthur’s Ride | 4/C | 126 | Junior Alvarado | William I. Mott | 15-1 |
| 13 | Newgate | 4/C | 126 | Lanfranco Dettori | Bob Baffert | 20-1 |
| 14 | Next | 6/G | 126 | Luan Machado | William I. Mott | 8-1 |
| 15 (AE) | Rattle N Roll | 5/H | 126 | Jose L. Ortiz | Kenneth G. McPeek | 30-1 |
Picks:
WIN: (3) City of Troy, (14) Next
EXACTA: (3) City of Troy, (14) Next / (1) Forever Young, (3) City of Troy, (9) Fierceness, (10) Tapit Trice, (11) Sierra Leone, (14) Next
Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Turf
Race Description:
The world’s best female grass horses compete in the Maker’s Mark Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Turf. This race is contested around two turns on the turf course for a $2 million purse.
Race Information:
- Race: 9
- Post Time: 6:25 PM ET
- Event Grade: Grade 1
- Length: 1 3/8 Miles
- Purse: $2,000,000
- Division: Fillies And Mares | Three Years Old and Upward
- Surface: Turf
- Wagers: Exacta, Trifecta, Superfecta, Pick 3 (Races 9-11), Daily Double, Pick 4 (Races 9-12), Super High 5
Field:
| Post Position | Horse | A/S | Weight | Jockey | Trainer | Morning Line (ML) Odds |
| 1 | Beautiful Love | 3/F | 120 | Oisin Murphy | Charles Appleby | 20-1 |
| 2 | Full Count Felicia | 5/M | 124 | Irad Ortiz, Jr. | Kevin Attard | 12-1 |
| 3 | Cinderella’s Dream | 3/F | 120 | William Buick | Charles Appleby | 4-1 |
| 4 | War Like Goddess | 7/M | 124 | Junior Alvarado | William I. Mott | 5-2 |
| 5 | Didia | 6/M | 124 | Jose L. Ortiz | Ignacio Correas IV | 12-1 |
| 6 | Ylang Ylang | 3/F | 120 | Ryan L. Moore | Aidan P. O’Brien | 10-1 |
| 7 | Content | 3/F | 120 | Lanfranco Dettori | Aidan P. O’Brien | 6-1 |
| 8 | Hang the Moon | 4/F | 124 | Kazushi Kimura | Philip D’Amato | 10-1 |
| 9 | Anisette | 4/F | 124 | Umberto Rispoli | Leonard Powell | 15-1 |
| 10 | Moira | 5/M | 124 | Flavien Prat | Kevin Attard | 8-1 |
| 11 | Beach Bomb | 4/F | 124 | Antonio Fresu | H. Graham Motion | 20-1 |
| 12 | Soprano | 3/F | 120 | Billy Loughnane | George Boughey | 20-1 |
| 13 | Sunset Glory | 4/F | 124 | Manuel Franco | Michael W. McCarthy | 30-1 |
Picks:
WIN: (7) Content, (10) Moira
EXACTA: (7) Content, (10) Moira / (1), Beautiful Love, (4) War Like Goddess, (7) Content, (10) Moira
Breeders’ Cup Sprint
Race Description:
The world’s fastest Thoroughbreds compete in the $2 million Breeders’ Cup Sprint, sometimes achieving incredible speeds of nearly 40 MPH in the stretch. This race is contested at 3/4 of a mile for male and female horses, three years old and older.
Race Information:
- Race: 10
- Post Time: 7:05 PM ET
- Event Grade: Grade 1
- Length: 6 Furlongs
- Purse: $2,000,000
- Division: Open | Three Years Old and Upward
- Surface: Dirt
- Wagers: Exacta, Trifecta, Superfecta, Pick 3 (Races 10-12), Daily Double, Super High 5
Field:
| Post Position | Horse | A/S | Weight | Jockey | Trainer | Morning Line (ML) Odds |
| 1 | Raging Torrent | 3/C | 124 | Antonio Fresu | Doug F. O’Neill | 10-1 |
| 2 | Gun Pilot | 4/C | 126 | Cristian A. Torres | Steven M. Asmussen | 20-1 |
| 3 | Federal Judge | 4/G | 126 | Irad Ortiz, Jr. | Brad H. Cox | 3-1 |
| 4 | Nakatomi | 5/G | 126 | Tyler Gaffalione | Wesley A. Ward | 6-1 |
| 5 | Don Frankie | 5/H | 126 | Cristian Demuro | Takashi Saito | 15-1 |
| 6 | Bentornato | 3/R | 124 | Luis Saez | Jose Francisco D’Angelo | 30-1 |
| 7 | Meta Max | 4/C | 126 | Akira Sugawara | Hideyuki Mori | 20-1 |
| 8 | Straight No Chaser | 5/H | 126 | John R. Velazquez | Dan Blacker | 5-1 |
| 9 | Remake | 5/H | 126 | Yuga Kawada | Koichi Shintani | 8-1 |
| 10 | Mullikin | 4/C | 126 | Flavien Prat | Rodolphe Brisset | 7-2 |
| 11 | Skelly | 5/G | 126 | Ricardo Santana, Jr. | Steven M. Asmussen | 8-1 |
Picks:
WIN: (4) Nakatomi
EXACTA BOX: (2) Gun Pilot, (4) Nakatomi, (9) Remake, (10) Mullikin
Breeders’ Cup Mile
Race Description:
The world’s top grass milers compete in the FanDuel Breeders’ Cup Mile presented by Permanently Disabled Jockeys Fund (PDJF), contested around two turns on the turf course for a purse of $2 million. Open to male and female horses three-years old and older.
Race Information:
- Race: 11
- Post Time: 7:45 PM ET
- Event Grade: Grade 1
- Length: 1 Mile
- Purse: $2,000,000
- Division: Open | Three Years Old and Upward
- Surface: Turf
- Wagers: Exacta, Trifecta, Superfecta, Daily Double, Super High 5
Field:
| Post Position | Horse | A/S | Weight | Jockey | Trainer | Morning Line (ML) Odds |
| 1 | Ramatuelle | 3/F | 120 | Aurelien Lemaitre | Christopher Head | 5-1 |
| 2 | Chili Flag | 5/M | 123 | Irad Ortiz, Jr. | Chad C. Brown | 20-1 |
| 3 | Geoglyph | 5/H | 126 | Takeshi Yokoyama | Tetsuya Kimura | 20-1 |
| 4 | Diego Velazquez | 3/C | 123 | Ryan L. Moore | Aidan P. O’Brien | 8-1 |
| 5 | Goliad | 7/G | 126 | Flavien Prat | Richard E. Mandella | 20-1 |
| 6 | Notable Speech | 3/C | 123 | William Buick | Charles Appleby | 7-2 |
| 7 | Porta Fortuna | 3/F | 120 | Tom Marquand | Donnacha O’Brien | 4-1 |
| 8 | More Than Looks | 4/C | 126 | Jose L. Ortiz | Cherie DeVaux | 20-1 |
| 9 | Johannes | 4/C | 126 | Umberto Rispoli | Tim Yakteen | 9-2 |
| 10 | Win for the Money | 5/G | 126 | Patrick Husbands | Mark E. Casse | 30-1 |
| 11 | Ten Happy Rose | 6/M | 123 | Akihide Tsumura | Daisuke Takayanagi | 30-1 |
| 12 | Carl Spackler | 4/C | 126 | Tyler Gaffalione | Chad C. Brown | 6-1 |
Picks:
WIN: (6) Notable Speech
EXACTA BOX: (6) Notable Speech, (7) Porta Fortuna, (12) Carl Spackler
Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile
Race Description:
The Big Ass Fans Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile is a race for males and females three-year-old and older that is contested around two turns on the main track for a purse of $1 million.
Race Information:
- Race: 12
- Post Time: 8:25 PM ET
- Event Grade: Grade 1
- Length: 1 Mile
- Purse: $1,000,000
- Division: Open | Three Years Old and Upward
- Surface: Dirt
- Wagers: Exacta, Trifecta, Superfecta, Super High 5
Field:
| Post Position | Horse | A/S | Weight | Jockey | Trainer | Morning Line (ML) Odds |
| 1 | Saudi Crown | 4/C | 126 | Florent Geroux | Brad H. Cox | 5-1 |
| 2 | T O Saint Denis | 5/H | 126 | Ryusei Sakai | Daisuke Takayanagi | 30-1 |
| 3 | Full Serrano | 5/H | 126 | Joel Rosario | John W. Sadler | 15-1 |
| 4 | Katonah | 5/G | 126 | Lanfranco Dettori | Doug F. O’Neill | 30-1 |
| 5 | Three Technique | 7/H | 126 | Rafael Bejarano | Jason G. Cook | 30-1 |
| 6 | Seize the Grey | 3/C | 123 | Jaime A. Torres | D. Wayne Lukas | 10-1 |
| 7 | Tumbarumba | 4/G | 126 | Luis Saez | Brian A. Lynch | 30-1 |
| 8 | Post Time | 4/C | 126 | Sheldon Russell | Brittany T. Russell | 12-1 |
| 9 | Domestic Product | 3/C | 123 | Flavien Prat | Chad C. Brown | 7-2 |
| 10 | Muth | 3/C | 123 | Juan J. Hernandez | Bob Baffert | 9-2 |
| 11 | Cagliostro | 4/C | 126 | Jose L. Ortiz | Cherie DeVaux | 30-1 |
| 12 | Mufasa | 5/H | 126 | Tyler Gaffalione | Ignacio Correas IV | 12-1 |
| 13 | Pipeline | 6/H | 126 | John R. Velazquez | Cherie DeVaux | 30-1 |
| 14 | Skippylongstocking | 5/H | 126 | Irad Ortiz, Jr. | Saffie A. Joseph, Jr. | 4-1 |
Picks:
WIN: (8) Post Time, (9) Domestic Product
EXACTA: (8) Post Time, (9) Domestic Product / (2) T O Saint Denis, (4) Katonah, (8) Post Time, (9) Domestic Product, (11) Cagliostro
Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting. Any feedback whether positive or negative is always encouraged.
College Football Week 10 Saturday Super Plays – Ole Miss vs Arkansas – Sports Betting
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Ole Miss vs Arkansas +7.5 O/U 54
This is an underrated game this week in SEC land. Both teams are trying to keep their conference and playoff hopes alive. Ole Miss is a very good team and the numbers show it. They rank 5th in offensive EPA and 3rd in defensive EPA. A Massive net 3.47 yards per play is number 1 in the nation. It’s a wonder how they have two losses. Arkansas on the other hand might also be better than their record with three losses as they are a positive +1.37 yards per play ranking 24th in offensive EPA and 27th on defense. Looking at pure metrics, one would think that Ole Miss would be the right side in this game, but there is a glaring reason why the number isn’t double digits. The Rebels have had one of the easiest schedule’s in the SEC playing a cake non-conference with only one ranked opponent thus far after nine weeks in college football. Whenever they weren’t playing a tomato can, they struggled losing at LSU by three points, and home against Kentucky also losing by three. Arkansas has played three ranked teams with one big win against Tennessee. Ya know, the team that beat Alabama. Bobby Petrino is doing a very solid job with the Hogs, as they crushed Mississippi State last week by over 30 points, while Ole Miss only out-gained Oklahoma by 51 yards. Over the last 10 games between these two teams, Arkansas is 9-1 against the spread. This team knows how to play the Lane train. Take the hogs. Woo pig sooie!
Arkansas +7.5 – 2.5 stars
Northwestern vs Purdue -1.5 O/U 47
Ok, this game is gross, but I think that there may be some value here. What do you do when two bad teams play each other? You take the points. As bad as Purdue has been, we have to at least acknowledge that they had a pretty good effort at Illinois scoring 49 points a few weeks back. The Boilers have played two top 10 teams this year in Notre Dame and Oregon. Northwestern has only one top 15 game against Indiana where they were bounced 41-24. Looking at net yards per play, these teams are very close with the Wildcats at -.63 and the Boilers at -.71. Purdue ranks 100th in offensive EPA while Northwestern ranks 131st. Another issue is that Northwestern has been without their starting kicker over the past month or so. The backup is just ok making four out of seven. Purdue is coming off their bye week, and I believe they had a lot of time to get some things fixed. Ryan Brown will probably be the quarterback. He certainly isn’t a downgrade from Hudson Card. Purdue will show up this game. Take the Boilers to win.
Purdue +1.5 – 1.5 stars
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College Football Week 10 Friday Freebie – Ohio State vs Penn State
Ohio State vs Penn State +3 O/U 46.5
Sometimes, not knowing is best. This is the biggest game of the weekend, and I think that it deserves to be at night. Wait, but why is this game at 9:00AM? Oh, that’s right, Coach Ryan day cried about playing in the white out. Anyways, we definitely do not know which quarterback is playing for Penn State. Will it be 3 year starter Drew Allar who went out with a knee injury against Wisconsin? Will it be Beau Pribula who came in for Allar last week at Sconnie in the second half and did a fantastic Job? Like the Rock says, it doesn’t matter which quarterback is coming in! We are playing the 1st half under. Ohio State knows that this game will greatly affect their chances of making the playoffs. They also know that this game will greatly affect their seeding. I do not think that Ryan Day is going to sling that ball around from the start. The Nittney Lion’s defense is fantastic this year ranking 2nd in success rate and 12th in defensive EPA. Ohio State’s defense ranks 9th in success rate and 5th in defensive EPA. I just do not see a lot of touchdowns happening at least until the halftime adjustments are made. If Allar starts, then good for him, but he definitely did not get a full week of practice in. If Beau starts, then Penn State offensive coordinator Andy Kotelnicki will certainly play it safe. Take that 1st half under at 23.5
1st half under 23.5 – 2 stars
NFL Week 9 Sharp Money Movement
As Of Wednesday Oct 20th
Sharp Money On:
- Bills -5 to -6 hosting the Dolphins – 73% tickets and 85% of the money.
Sharp Totals:
- Broncos vs Ravens over 43 to 46 – 88% tickets and 93% of the money.
- Raiders vs Bengals over 45 to 46.5 – 79% tickets and 96% of the money.
- Cowboys vs Falcons over 48 to 51.5 – 76% tickets and 79% of the money.
- Bears vs Cardinals under 46.5 to 44.5 – 14% tickets and 30% of the money.
