Houston out-gained Oklahoma 318 to 249 yet lost 16-12. A 2-1 turnover ratio didn’t help. Eight penalties as well.
Kansas out-gained Illinois 327 to 271 yet lost 23-17. A 4-1 turnover ratio did them in.
Wake Forest out-gained Virginia 544 to 430 yet lost 31-30. They won the turnover battle but special teams and red zone efficiency hurt the Barrow Wights.
Big one. Nevada out-gained Georgia Southern 498 to 285 yet lost 20-17. A 1-0 turnover ratio and 14 penalties killed the Wolf-Pack
Louisiana Monroe only out-gained UAB 296 to 259 yet won 32-6. A 3-0 turnover ratio killed the Blazers.
Central Michigan out-gained FIU 369 to 309 yet lost 52-16. A massive 6-0 turnover ratio did in the Chippewas.
East Carolina out-gained old dominion 466 to 287 yet only won 20-14. A 4-2 turnover ratio made it a close game.
UMASS out-gained Toledo 384 to 258 yet lost 38-23. Poor red zone defense and a 1-0 turnover ratio burned the Minutemen.
Arkansas out-gained Oklahoma State 648 to 385 yet lost 39-31 in overtime. A 3-1 turnover ratio, poor officiating and bad fourth down efficiency got the Hogs and my +7.5.
Tulane out-gained Kansas State 491 to 396 yet lost 34-27. A 2-0 turnover ratio including a fumble six got the Green Wave.
The Procore Championship takes place this week, the first event of the FedExCup Fall.
The FedExCup Fall, running from the Procore Championship to The RSM Classic, provides players with an opportunity to secure or improve their PGA TOUR status for the 2025 season. These events offer similar perks to those in the FedExCup Regular Season, including points and benefits, allowing competitors to position themselves favorably for the upcoming year. To red more about the FedExCup Fall you can click the following link.
Pre-Tournament Storylines:
Sahith Theegala
Sahith Theegala returns to Napa as the defending champion. Following this event, he will head to Montreal for his debut in the President’s Cup, where he will compete as one of the twelve players representing the United States team.
Luke Clanton
Luke Clanton, the top-ranked amateur golfer, is back on the PGA TOUR after an impressive summer. Over the past three months, Clanton secured three top-10 finishes in six starts, including a tie for second at the John Deere Classic and a solo fifth at the Wyndham Championship. His performance has earned him 14 points in the PGA TOUR University Accelerated program, which awards TOUR cards to college golfers based on their achievements. If Clanton earns six more points before the end of the college golf season next spring, he will be eligible for PGA TOUR membership starting in the summer of 2025.
Mark Hubbard
All's well that ends well 📱💦@HomelessHubbs dropped his phone in a cold plunge last week and missed the committment deadline for @ProcoreChamp as a result.
Mark Hubbard accidentally missed the commitment deadline for the Procore Championship. Rather than sitting out this week, he entered the Monday Qualifier, where he earned his spot in the tournament by posting the lowest score of the day.
President’s Cup Preview
Six competitors from the upcoming Presidents Cup will be teeing off in Napa, along with five individuals holding captaincy roles. Among the U.S. Team members competing are defending Procore Championship winner Sahith Theegala, two-time Procore champion Max Homa, and 2023 U.S. Open winner Wyndham Clark. Joining them are two of Captain Jim Furyk’s assistants, Kevin Kisner and Stewart Cink, the latter being a past champion in Napa. Representing the International Team, Captain Mike Weir (playing on a sponsor exemption) and Assistant Captain Camilo Villegas will also be in the field, along with Australian Min Woo Lee and Canadians Corey Conners and Mackenzie Hughes, all preparing to compete at Royal Montreal.
The Procore Championship, formerly known as the Fortinet Championship and Safeway Open, is a PGA Tour event that takes place annually in Napa, California. Established in 2007 as the Fry’s Electronics Open, the tournament has undergone several name changes due to sponsorship shifts. The event is hosted at the Silverado Resort and Spa, a picturesque venue known for its scenic yet challenging North Course.
In its early years, the tournament moved between various venues before settling at Silverado in 2014. The tournament typically serves as the season-opening event for the PGA Tour’s wraparound schedule, meaning it’s the first official event of the new season. Notable winners include major champions such as Stewart Cink and Jimmy Walker. More recently, Max Homa has captured back-to-back victories in 2021 and 2022, solidifying his presence on the tour. Last season Sahith Theegala won his first PGA Tour event at this tournament.
The Silverado Resort and Spa, particularly its North Course, is a historic and renowned golf destination located in Napa Valley, California. The resort was originally established in the 1870s as a private estate before being transformed into a resort in the 1960s. The golf course itself was originally designed by Ben Harmon in 1955. In 1966, Robert Trent Jones Jr. completed the course’s first renovation laying the foundation for what would become a premier golf destination in Napa Valley.
In 2011, the resort underwent significant renovations led by Johnny Miller, a former PGA Tour player and World Golf Hall of Famer. Miller made strategic updates to the North Course, enhancing its playability while maintaining its classic design. His changes included reshaping greens and bunkers and improving course conditions, elevating Silverado’s reputation as a premier golf destination.
Since 2014, the North Course has become the long-term host of the Procore Championship (previously the Fortinet Championship), serving as a challenging venue for PGA Tour players with its narrow fairways, large trees, and elevated greens. The course has been praised for its beauty and technical demands, making it a favorite among professionals and amateurs alike. The resort’s association with wine country adds to its appeal, combining world-class golf with Napa’s renowned hospitality and vineyards.
Tournament Records:
72-Hole Record (Event):
262, Cameron Beckman (2008 at Grayhawk GC), Kevin Sutherland (2008 at Grayhawk GC), Troy Matteson (2009 at Grayhawk GC), Rickie Fowler (2009 at Grayhawk GC), Jamie Lovemark (2009 at Grayhawk GC)
18-Hole Record (Event):
61, Mark Hensby (Round 2, 2007 at Grayhawk GC), Kevin Stadler (Round 2, 2008 at Grayhawk GC), Troy Matteson (Rounds 2 and 3, 2009 at Grayhawk GC), Mike Weir (Round 4, 2009 at Grayhawk GC)
Course Records:
72-Hole Record (Course):
267, Stewart Cink (2020), Sahith Theegala (2023)
18-Hole Record (Course):
61, Chesson Hadley (Round 2, 2017 at Silverado)
Course Guide/ Scorecard:
Originally crafted by Ben Harmon in 1955, the North Course at Silverado Resort features a Par 72 layout, comprising four Par 3s, ten Par 4s, and four Par 5s.
The four Par 3’s range between 182 yards and 212 yards.Last year, every Par 3 had a scoring average over par.
No. 7, 212 Yards, Par 3: The longest par 3 on the North Course will require an accurate shot. Avoiding both bunkers is a must, this hole plays slightly longer and at times plays through a crosswind.
No. 11, 189 Yards, Par 3: This challenging par 3. Hitting with the wrong club may cost players a penalty stroke and missing left of the green will leave players with a nearly impossible up and down. Par is a fantastic score on this very tough hole.
No. 17, 182 Yards, Par 3: This beautiful short par 3 over water is the signature hole on the North Course. Although short, this hole has many difficult pin locations, par on this hole is a good score.
There are ten Par 4’s on the North Course at Silverado Resort. No. 14 is the shortest Par 4 listed at 360 yards with the longest being No. 9, playing 458 yards.In terms of scoring average, the toughest Par 4 on the course last year was No. 9 (+0.116).
No. 3, 424 Yards, Par 4: One of the most difficult tee shots on the front nine, players tee shots on this dogleg left must avoid the large oak trees to give themselves an opening to this green. Player’s approach shots will determine their score here, as the green slopes considerably from left to right. If players leave themselves above the hole, they will have a challenging two-putt ahead.
No. 14, 360 Yards, Par 4: Position off this tee is crucial for players’ approach shots. With a water hazard right and out-of-bounds left, medium to long hitters will generally use a fairway wood from the tee for more accuracy. If they find the fairway, they will likely have a short iron to the green. This green slopes from back to front, one of the toughest greens on the course.
There are four Par 5’s on the North Course at Silverado Resort, No. 5, No. 12, No. 15 & No. 18. They all played under par in 2023, with the easiest hole on the course being No. 5 with a scoring average of 4.66.
No. 12, 571 Yards, Par 5: Players will want to keep their drive right on this straightaway par 5 as a water hazard runs down the entire hole on the left side. A comfortable layup to the left center of the fairway should present them with a good angle and a short iron into this green. This green slopes gently from right to left.
No. 15, 557 Yards, Par 5: This elevated tee gives players the green light for a big drive. A well-placed tee shot that turns from right to left will put them in the best position. This leaves players with a comfortable yardage in the fairway, as this green is slightly elevated, narrow, and protected by a large bunker. If their distance control is right, they will have a putt for birdie, if not, they’ll need a good short game to get up and down.
No. 18, 575 Yards, Par 5: This finishing hole is the longest par 5 on the North Course. Players will want to avoid the fairway bunkers on the right off the tee as that will put them in perfect position to hit this green in regulation. Short left on your approach will make for a difficult par.
The routing for the Procore Championship differs from the standard member layout of the North Course at Silverado Resort. The adjustments made for the tournament are reflected in the chart below, showcasing how the course has been altered to accommodate the specific needs and challenges of professional play during the event.
Per DataGolf, this is the favored skillset at Silverado Resort (North Course).
Strokes Gained: Off the Tee
Success this week will hinge on players’ ability to position themselves effectively off the tee. While the course’s considerable length underscores the significance of distance, precision holds equal importance.
Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
Cameron Champ
Kevin Dougherty
Luke Clanton
Patrick Fishburn
Min Woo Lee
Jhonattan Vegas
Carson Young
Rico Hoey
Sam Stevens
Ryan Brehm
Strokes Gained: Approach
Having a strong iron game will be important this week if players want to succeed on the North Course at Silverado Resort.
Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
J.J. Spaun
Luke Clanton
Doug Ghim
Keith Mitchell
Kelly Kraft
Chan Kim
David Lipsky
Chez Reavie
Henrik Norlander
Nick Hardy
Strokes Gained: Putting (Poa annua / bentgrass)
The Greens on the North Course at Silverado Resort are Poa annua / bentgrass .110”.
Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
Brendon Todd
Taylor Montgomery
Wyndham Clark
Kevin Chappell
Mackenzie Hughes
Justin Suh
Eric Cole
Aaron Baddeley
Seonghyeon Kim
Ben Taylor
Par 3 Scoring: 175-200 Yards (x3)
Three of the four Par 3’s on the North Course at Silverado Resort range between 175-200 Yards.
Leaders in Par 3 Scoring: 175-200 Yards in the last 24 Rounds:
Vince Whaley
Kyoung-Hoon Lee
Nate Lashley
Cameron Champ
Eric Cole
David Skinns
Tyson Alexander
Corey Conners
Matti Schmid
Matthew NeSmith
Par 4 Scoring: 400-450 Yards (x6)
Six of the ten Par 4’s on the North Course at Silverado Resort range between 450-500 Yards.
Leaders in Par 4 Scoring: 400-450 Yards in the last 24 Rounds:
Alex Smalley
Adam Svensson
Roger Sloan
Chan Kim
Luke Clanton
Chander Phillips
Taylor Montgomery
Brendon Todd
Tim Wilkinson
Min Woo Lee
Par 5 Scoring: 550-600 Yards (x3)
Three of the four Par 5’s on the North Course at Silverado Resort range between 550-600 Yards.
Leaders in Par 5 Scoring: 550-600 Yards in the last 24 Rounds:
Eric Cole
Sahith Theegala
Jhonattan Vegas
Michael Thorbjornsen
Troy Merritt
Kevin Chappell
Hayden Springer
Adam Svensson
Rico Hoey
J.J. Spaun
Scrambling Gained
A player’s ability to recover and save par after missing the green in regulation will be crucial this week. The ability to recover from these situations and save par can make the difference between maintaining a competitive score and falling behind. High scrambling percentages contribute directly to lower scores.
Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
Wyndham Clark
Aaron Baddeley
Taylor Montgomery
Rico Hoey
Austin Cook
Raul Pereda
Brendon Todd
Ben Silverman
Tim Wilkinson
Patrick Rodgers
Proximity Gained: 75-125 Yards
Most approach shots on the North Course at Silverado Resort come from the 75-125 yard range at a volume much higher than the PGA Tour average.
Leaders in Proximity Gained: 75-100 Yards in the last 24 Rounds:
Nick Watney
Dylan Wu
Hayden Springer
Joel Dahmen
Mac Meissner
Mike Weir
Kevin Streelmen
Maverick McNealy
Doug Ghim
Cody Gribble
Leaders in Proximity Gained: 100-125 Yards in the last 24 Rounds:
Eric Cole
Ryan Moore
Taylor Montgomery
Kevin Streelman
Pierceson Coody
Roger Sloan
Wyndham Clark
Ben Silverman
Cody Gribble
Zac Blair
Birdies or Better Gained
Players will need to take advantage of every scoring opportunity this week if they want to put themselves into contention.
Leaders in this category in the last 24 Rounds:
Luke Clanton
Keith Mitchell
Jhonattan Vegas
J.J. Spaun
Maverick McNealy
Brendon Todd
Chandler Phillips
Chan Kim
Carson Young
Michael Thorbjornsen
Comparable Courses and Event History
Looking at the Data Golf Course History Tool, prior experience at Silverado Resort (North Course) has proven to be slightly advantageous.
The Field:
This year’s Procore Championship will feature a total of 144 competitors.
Here is the current basis of qualification for each entrant this week:
U.S. Open winner (five-year exemption)
THE PLAYERS Championship winner (five-year exemption)
The Genesis Invitational winner (three-year exemption)
PGA TOUR tournament winner (two-year exemption)
Career money exemption
Sponsor’s exemption (DP World Tour, Korn Ferry Tour, Q-School category)
Sponsor’s exemption (PGA TOUR member not otherwise exempt)
Sponsor’s exemption (unrestricted)
PGA Section Champion\Player of the Year
Top 30 on prior year’s FedExCup Playoffs & Eligibility Points List
Top 70 on prior year’s FedExCup Playoffs & Eligibility Points List
Top 125 on prior year’s FedExCup Fall Playoffs & Eligibility Points List
Top 125 on prior year’s FedExCup Fall Playoffs & Eligibility Points List (prior season nonmember)
Major medical extension
Leading points winner from Korn Ferry Tour
Top 10 qualifiers from DP World Tour, Korn Ferry Tour graduates and Q-School qualifiers category (reordered)
Reorder categories 37 through 44
Previous Winners in the Field (Event):
Sahith Theegala (’23), Max Homa (’22, ’21), Stewart Cink (’20), Cameron Champ (’19), Kevin Tway (’18), Jimmy Walker (’13), Mike Weir (’07)
Debutants in the Field (Event):
Adrien Dumont de Chassart, Alejandro Tosti, Benjamin James, Blaine Hale, Jr., Chan Kim, Chandler Phillips, Ding Wenyi, Jeffrey Guan, Joe Highsmith, John Keefer, Luke Clanton, Mac Meissner, Michael Thorbjornsen, Min Woo Lee, Neal Shipley, Norman Xiong, Parker Coody, Patrick Fishburn, Pierceson Coody, Raul Pereda, Rico Hoey, Ryan McCormick, Tom Whitney, Trace Crowe, Wilson Furr
Here are the current favorites for this week’s event, along with a summary of their recent form and course history:
Sahith Theegala (+1200): Theegala returns as the defending champion, having claimed his first PGA Tour victory at this event. He’s been close to adding more wins, finishing runner-up at both The Sentry and the RBC Heritage. He enters this week in strong form, having placed 3rd at the TOUR Championship in his most recent start.
Wyndham Clark (+1200): Clark secured one PGA Tour victory this season at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. His recent form is impressive, with an 8th-place finish at the TOUR Championship, T13 at the BMW Championship, and T7 at the FedEx St. Jude Championship. This will be Clark’s sixth appearance at this event, with his best finish being a T30 in 2022.
Corey Conners (+1400): Conners is set to make his fifth appearance at this event, with his best finish being T13 in 2020. He’s in solid form coming into the Procore Championship, having finished inside the top 25 in four of his last five events.
Max Homa (+2000): Homa is a two-time winner of this event, claiming back-to-back titles in 2022 and 2023. In last year’s edition, he finished T7. However, Homa has struggled recently, failing to finish inside the top 30 in his last six tournaments.
Luke Clanton (+2000): The top-ranked amateur golfer is back on the PGA TOUR after a stellar summer stretch. Clanton recorded three top-10 finishes in six starts over the last three months, including a runner-up finish at the John Deere Classic and a solo fifth at the Wyndham Championship.
Will There Be a Playoff at the Procore Championship? (Yes +350 / No -500)
The last playoff to take place at this tournament was in 2018. Kevin Tway won his first PGA Tour title after defeating Ryan Moore and Brandt Snedeker in a three-man playoff.
All three players finished tied at 14-under-par after 72 holes. Tway, Moore, and Snedeker went to a sudden-death playoff, starting on the 18th hole, which was a par-5. After the first playoff hole, Snedeker was eliminated, leaving Tway and Moore to continue. On the second playoff hole, Tway secured the victory with a birdie on the 10th hole, another par-5, while Moore could only manage par.
Previous Winners Scores, Prices, and Strokes Gained (Rank at Tournament):
2023: Sahith Theegala (-21)
Price: 22-1
SG: Off the Tee
SG: Tee to Green
SG: Approach
SG: Around the Green
SG: Putting
Sahith Theegala
40th
6th
18th
3rd
2nd
2022: Max Homa (-16)
Price: 16-1
SG: Off the Tee
SG: Tee to Green
SG: Approach
SG: Around the Green
SG: Putting
Max Homa
9th
1st
18th
7th
15th
2021: Max Homa (-19)
Price: 60-1
SG: Off the Tee
SG: Tee to Green
SG: Approach
SG: Around the Green
SG: Putting
Max Homa
6th
2nd
12th
15th
14th
2020: Stewart Cink (-21)
Price: 200-1
SG: Off the Tee
SG: Tee to Green
SG: Approach
SG: Around the Green
SG: Putting
Stewart Cink
18th
2nd
8th
23rd
13th
2019: Cameron Champ (-17)
Price: 150-1
SG: Off the Tee
SG: Tee to Green
SG: Approach
SG: Around the Green
SG: Putting
Cameron Champ
1st
1st
13th
19th
28th
Previous Winners Incoming Form (Last 5 Starts):
2023: Sahith Theegala
T15 – BMW Championship (PGA)
T13 – FedEx St. Jude Championship (PGA)
MC – 3M Open (PGA)
MC – The Open Championship (MAJ)
MC – Genesis Scottish Open (PGA)
2022: Max Homa
T5 – TOUR Championship (PGA)
T23 – BMW Championship (PGA)
T42 – FedEx St. Jude Championship (PGA)
T24 – Rocket Mortgage Classic (PGA)
MC – The Open Championship (MAJ)
2021: Max Homa
T63 – BMW Championship (PGA)
T47 – THE NORTHERN TRUST (PGA)
T51 – WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational (PGA)
T40 – The Open Championship (MAJ)
T25 – Rocket Mortgage Classic (PGA)
2020: Stewart Cink
MC – Wyndham Championship (PGA)
T46 – WM Open (PGA)
T62 – the Memorial Tournament (PGA)
T17 – Workday Charity Open (PGA)
MC – Travelers Championship (PGA)
2019: Cameron Champ
T28 – Sanderson Farms Championship (PGA)
T8 – Dunlop Phoenix (JPN)
T65 – BMW Championship (PGA)
T21 – THE NORTHERN TRUST (PGA)
MC – Wyndham Championship (PGA)
Previous Winners Finishes at Event:
2023: Sahith Theegala
Fortinet Championship
Fortinet Championship
Fortinet Championship
Safeway Open
Silverado Country Club (North Course)
Silverado Country Club (North Course)
Silverado Country Club (North Course)
Silverado Country Club (North Course)
2023
2022
2021
2020
Sahith Theegala
WON
T6
T47
T14
2022: Max Homa
Fortinet Championship
Safeway Open
Safeway Open
Safeway Open
Frys.com Open
Frys.com Open
Silverado Country Club (North Course)
Silverado Country Club (North Course)
Silverado Country Club (North Course)
Silverado Country Club (North Course)
Silverado Country Club (North Course)
CordeValle Golf Club
2021
2019
2018
2016
2014
2013
Max Homa
WON
T62
T60
MC
T39
T9
2021: Max Homa
Safeway Open
Safeway Open
Safeway Open
Frys.com Open
Frys.com Open
Silverado Country Club (North Course)
Silverado Country Club (North Course)
Silverado Country Club (North Course)
Silverado Country Club (North Course)
CordeValle Golf Club
2019
2018
2016
2014
2013
Max Homa
T62
T60
MC
T39
T9
2020: Stewart Cink
Safeway Open
Frys.com Open
Frys.com Open
Silverado Country Club (North Course)
Silverado Country Club (North Course)
CordeValle Golf Club
2017
2014
2007
Stewart Cink
MC
T77
MC
2019: Cameron Champ
Safeway Open
Frys.com Open
Silverado Country Club (North Course)
Silverado Country Club (North Course)
2019
2018
Cameron Champ
T25
MC
Picks:
Outrights:
Maverick McNealy (+2200) – FanDuel
Risk 0.37 to win 8.14 Units
The Stanford graduate has experienced an up-and-down season but enters the Procore Championship in solid form. In his last three events, he secured a T3 finish at the 3M Open, T45 at the Wyndham Championship, and T12 at the FedEx St. Jude Championship. This week will mark his seventh appearance in this event, with his best result coming in 2022 when he finished runner-up, just one stroke behind Max Homa.
McNealy’s inconsistency this season can largely be attributed to his approach play, but he’s shown recent improvement with his irons—an essential factor this week. Beyond his iron game, McNealy has excelled, particularly with his putting. He also performs well on poa annua/bentgrass greens, ranking 20th in Strokes Gained: Putting on this surface over the last 24 rounds. His driving distance should help him set up his approach shots from the 75-125 yard range, where he ranks 8th in proximity from 75-100 yards and 39th from 100-125 yards.
J.J. Spaun (+4000) – FanDuel
Risk 0.20 to win 8.00 Units
California native J.J. Spaun struggled early in the 2024 season, missing the cut in five of his first six events. However, he found his form at the Rocket Mortgage Classic, where he earned his first top-10 finish of the season. Since then, Spaun has been more consistent, making the cut in every event and finishing T9 at the 3M Open and T3 at the Wyndham Championship in his last two starts.
Spaun has competed in this tournament eight times, with two top-15 finishes, including a T11 last year. His game has been on the rise since Detroit, gaining strokes on approach in each of his last five starts, improving his putting in four of his last six, and gaining strokes off the tee in his last three events. His recent increase in driving distance could give him an edge at Silverado Resort.
Brendon Todd (+4000) – FanDuel
Risk 0.20 to win 8.00 Units
Backing Brendon Todd this week, as his current form and course history are hard to overlook. He finished T12 at the Wyndham Championship and T22 at the FedEx St. Jude Championship in his last two starts. Todd has also consistently performed well at Silverado Resort, placing T22 in 2021, T9 in 2022, and 6th last year.
Eric Cole (+4000) – DraftKings
Risk 0.20 to win 8.00 Units
Eric Cole is still searching for his first PGA Tour win, and with his recent form, he appears close to breaking through. He finished T7 at the Wyndham Championship, T18 at the FedEx St. Jude Championship, and T46 at the BMW Championship in his last few starts. Having played this tournament twice before, he missed the cut in his debut but finished 4th last year.
Since his T6 finish at the Rocket Mortgage Classic, Cole’s overall game has improved, particularly in putting and approach play. He also performed well during last year’s FedExCup Fall, which could bode well for his chances this week.
Mac Meissner (+6000) – FanDuel
Risk 0.14 to win 8.40 Units
Mac Meissner has been playing excellent golf recently, finishing inside the top 20 in four of his last five starts. This will be his first appearance in this tournament, but he showed promise at a comparable course earlier this season, finishing T5 at Colonial Country Club.
In the last 24 rounds, Meissner ranks 21st in Strokes Gained: Approach, 13th in Strokes Gained: Off the Tee, 12th in Birdies or Better Gained, and 24th in Par 4 Scoring on holes ranging from 400-450 yards.
Pierceson Coody (+12000) – FanDuel
Risk 0.07 to win 8.40 Units
Taking a chance on Pierceson Coody this week, as his driving distance could be an advantage at Silverado Resort. Coody has shown flashes of potential this season, including a T5 finish at the Charles Schwab Challenge and a T2 at the ISCO Championship. Although his approach play has been inconsistent, his ability to drive the ball long could set him up for success.
Total Risk on Outrights: 1.18 Units
Top 20 (including ties):
Matt Kuchar (+190) – DraftKings
Risk 1.00 to win 1.90 Units
After a rough start to the season, where he missed the cut in six of his first seven tournaments, the 46-year-old veteran has shown signs of resurgence. In his last two outings, Kuchar finished T3 at the 3M Open and T12 at the Wyndham Championship. His history at Silverado Resort is also promising, with a T12 finish in 2022 and T7 in 2023, suggesting a strong affinity for the course.
Jacob Bridgeman (+250) – DraftKings
Risk 1.00 to win 2.50 Units
In his debut PGA Tour season, Bridgeman has already notched four top-20 finishes, two of which came in his last two starts (T19 at the 3M Open and T12 at the Wyndham Championship). Although his accuracy off the tee has been inconsistent, he has shown improvements lately. His putting has been solid all season, and his iron play has recently elevated, ranking 23rd in Strokes Gained: Approach over the last 24 rounds.
Total Risk on Top 20s: 2.00 Units
Total Risk on the Procore Championship: 3.18 Units
Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting. Any feedback whether positive or negative is always encouraged.
We have a GREAT show for you today! Another week in the books and now it’s time to recap and do some analysis! First, Kiev recaps the weekend with the good, the bad, and the ugly. Next, we talk some misleading final scores with brief box score analysis. Then, Kiev talks about the NFL and College Football betting spots for next week. Who could let down? Who has a short week? After that, we give out a Free Play for the upcoming weekend. Finally, Dave (D-Nasty) come back to break down some fantasy football. We talk key injuries, waiver wire, Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com. Have a wonderful week!
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You can bet these lines right here at BetMGM! https://affiliates.routy.app/route/58681?affId=10159&ts=5001193Get into 12 football contests for 50% off for only $60! Win a Guaranteed $50,000 in big survivor with a minimum $215,000 of total prizes! https://www.theSZN.com/OB is the link and you will also get entry into our The OddsBreakers +EV survivor contest guaranteeing a minimum $250 payout to the winner! USE PROMO CODE Football24 TO GET $100 OFF EVERY FOOTBALL PACKAGE For the rest of the 2024/2025 SEASON! ALSO GET 50% FOR YOUR FIRST MONTH FOR ANY MONTHLY SUBSCRIPTION Click here:https://theoddsbreakers.com/premium-plays/ Offer expires August 15th 2024Follow our FREE PICKS telegram channel: https://t.me/TheOddsBreakersFreePicksFollow Kiev O’Neil’s NEW personal FREE PICKS telegram Channel: https://t.me/KievONeilTo get Kiev's premium winners, and to support his hard work at The OddsBreakers, pleaseClick here to get his no obligation membership packages!!! We believe in getting the best of the number and it is the only way that we do business!Kiev O'Neil's Sports Betting Stats and Records! 56% 139-109-5 up 22 units in the 2023 NFL Season!55% 101-82-8 up 10 units in 2024 MLB Thus Far on 8/05/24!2023 MLB Season 146-123-7 up 11U2023/2024 College Basketball up 9U63% for 2022/2023 NBA sides and totals! 22-13 up 6.5 units. 14% ROI55% All Time NFL Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals! 5.21% ROI56% 2022/2023 NFL Season 136-109-11 in Sides/Totals/Teasers/Season props up 38.5U55% All Time College Football Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals! 4.75% ROI63% FOR 2022 COLLEGE BOWL SEASON UP 27 UNITS!54% Lifetime All Plays in College Basketball 3% ROI38% Lifetime UFC On All Plays 3% ROI62% 2022 March Madness College Basketball Plays at 30% ROI!!!
Titans vs Bears -3.5 O/U 43.5
Some say that you always take the +3.5 in a football game. I beg to differ in many spots. There is a reason a line is 3.5 and you do not have to look far to see that. The Titans have a new coach in Brian Callahan. He was an offensive coordinator at the Cincinnati Bengals. The very same Bengals team that crapped the bed last year. I am not sure if he will become a great head coach, but he certainly has work to do. Last season, the Titans were poor on offense and Will Levis was a big part of that. This team ranked 20th in pass EPA on a pretty easy schedule. Will only completed 58.4% of his passes in his 9 games with 8 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. Now he has to learn a brand new offense that will involve a lot of passing. The defense should improve as this team signed some big names like Chidobe Awuzie at corner, and Sebastian Joseph at defensive tackle, but going from ranking 28th in defensive EPA last year leaves lots of room for improvement. The Bears on the other hand have a brand new high flying offense under new OC Shane Waldron. You saw some of his schemes in the pre-season, and rookie QB and number 1 draft pick Caleb Williams looks very poised. The Bears defense was quite solid last year ranking 16th in defensive EPA. Over the last eight weeks of the season, the Bears defense ranked 3rd in defensive EPA. I think that the Bears win by margin here and I will lay the points.
You can bet these lines right here at BetMGM! https://affiliates.routy.app/route/58681?affId=10159&ts=5001193Get into 12 football contests for 50% off for only $60! Win a Guaranteed $50,000 in big survivor with a minimum $215,000 of total prizes! https://www.theSZN.com/OB is the link and you will also get entry into our The OddsBreakers +EV survivor contest guaranteeing a minimum $250 payout to the winner! USE PROMO CODE Football24 TO GET $100 OFF EVERY FOOTBALL PACKAGE For the rest of the 2024/2025 SEASON! ALSO GET 50% FOR YOUR FIRST MONTH FOR ANY MONTHLY SUBSCRIPTION Click here:https://theoddsbreakers.com/premium-plays/ Offer expires August 15th 2024Follow our FREE PICKS telegram channel: https://t.me/TheOddsBreakersFreePicksFollow Kiev O’Neil’s NEW personal FREE PICKS telegram Channel: https://t.me/KievONeilTo get Kiev's premium winners, and to support his hard work at The OddsBreakers, pleaseClick here to get his no obligation membership packages!!! We believe in getting the best of the number and it is the only way that we do business!Kiev O'Neil's Sports Betting Stats and Records! 56% 139-109-5 up 22 units in the 2023 NFL Season!55% 101-82-8 up 10 units in 2024 MLB Thus Far on 8/05/24!2023 MLB Season 146-123-7 up 11U2023/2024 College Basketball up 9U63% for 2022/2023 NBA sides and totals! 22-13 up 6.5 units. 14% ROI55% All Time NFL Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals! 5.21% ROI56% 2022/2023 NFL Season 136-109-11 in Sides/Totals/Teasers/Season props up 38.5U55% All Time College Football Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals! 4.75% ROI63% FOR 2022 COLLEGE BOWL SEASON UP 27 UNITS!54% Lifetime All Plays in College Basketball 3% ROI38% Lifetime UFC On All Plays 3% ROI62% 2022 March Madness College Basketball Plays at 30% ROI!!!
Mississippi State vs Arizona State -6.5 O/U 59
This should be a much more exciting game that the total is leading us on to believe. New head coach Jeff Lebby comes in to the Bulldogs after being an offensive coordinator for Oklahoma and for Lane Kiffen at Ole miss before that. Speed is what he knows, and I expect a lot of offense this year from this group. Kenny Dillingham had a rough first year at Arizona State, but his team looked pretty motivated last week against Wyoming putting up over 40 points in the first half. Even though the Sun Devils were not good last year, they still were in the top 45 in plays per game, and I expect that to increase this year. I do not expect either of these defense to be good as the Bulldogs only returned one starter from 2023, while the Sun Devils only return three starters and allowed six yards per play last year. I peg both of these teams as “over” teams for 2024 until I see something different. I see both of these teams playing very fast, and I expect a lot of points.
Over 59 – 2 stars
Bowling Green vs Penn State -34.5 O/U 48.5
There is a lot of momentum for Penn State after a nice win against West Virginia, but is Bowling Green that much of a push over for a 5 TD spread? I am not so sure. The Falcons solid team last year winning 5 of their last 6 regular season games. They only lost to Mac Champion Toledo by 1 point and did well in their bowl game vs the Gophers. This team returns 73% of their offense and 58% of their defensive production. They were a decent .2 net yards per play. Penn State is a team that definitely improved last year with a much better offensive coordinator in Andy Kotelnicki from Kansas. In saying that, I could see Penn State dogging it some this game. They literally have three weeks before they play the big 10. I think this number is also very back doorable if needed, and if Penn State comes out a bit flat. Maybe we see a Penn State 2nd string at some point. Play the Falcons
Get into 12 football contests for 50% off for only $60! Win a Guaranteed $50,000 in big survivor with a minimum $215,000 of total prizes! https://www.theSZN.com/OB is the link and you will also get entry into our The OddsBreakers +EV survivor contest guaranteeing a minimum $250 payout to the winner!
USE PROMO CODE Football24 TO GET $100 OFF EVERY FOOTBALL PACKAGE For the rest of the 2024/2025 SEASON! ALSO GET 50% FOR YOUR FIRST MONTH FOR ANY MONTHLY SUBSCRIPTION Click here:https://theoddsbreakers.com/premium-plays/ Offer expires August 15th 2024
To get Kiev's premium winners, and to support his hard work at The OddsBreakers, pleaseClick here to get his no obligation membership packages!!! We believe in getting the best of the number and it is the only way that we do business!
Kiev O'Neil's Sports Betting Stats and Records!
56% 139-109-5 up 22 units in the 2023 NFL Season!
55% 101-82-8 up 10 units in 2024 MLB Thus Far on 8/05/24!
2023 MLB Season 146-123-7 up 11U
2023/2024 College Basketball up 9U
63% for 2022/2023 NBA sides and totals! 22-13 up 6.5 units. 14% ROI
55% All Time NFL Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals! 5.21% ROI
56% 2022/2023 NFL Season 136-109-11 in Sides/Totals/Teasers/Season props up 38.5U
55% All Time College Football Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals! 4.75% ROI
63% FOR 2022 COLLEGE BOWL SEASON UP 27 UNITS!
54% Lifetime All Plays in College Basketball 3% ROI
38% Lifetime UFC On All Plays 3% ROI
62% 2022 March Madness College Basketball Plays at 30% ROI!!!
BYU vs SMU -12 O/U 56
This should be a fun friday night game between the newcomers of the Big 12 and the ACC. These are two teams that finished out quite different than each other last season. SMU was a team that ranked top 11 both offensively and defensively. They had an amazing passing game ranking 22nd in yards per attempt and 12th in sacks. They also could run the ball quite well averaging 176. Preston Stone led this team to an amazing 1.8 net yards per play. The key here for the Mustangs is that they return a ton of their talent ranking 10th in returning production at 82%. BYU on the other hand wasn’t quite so pretty. They ranked 102nd in scoring offense and 99th in scoring defense. This netted them a net negative -1 yard per play. This season, they are hoping to rebound some, but how do we know that they can do this when they lack good talent. QB Kedon Slovis is gone and Jake Retzlaff steps in where he played backup last year completing only 50% of his passes at a measly 5.2 yards per attempt. My power ratings have these teams pretty far apart this year. They also haven’t been tested, being that they played Southern Illinois. SMU did not look good against Nevada last week, but when Nevada went to Troy, the champion of the Sun belt last year and beat them outright, the spot doesn’t look quite as bad as it did. I have this game SMU -14.5. Take the favorite.
