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UFC 306 Free Play – Sports Betting –
Sean O’Malley vs Merab Dvalishvili +115
This should be a wonderful fight as the champion Sugar Sean O’Malley faces the Machine Merab Dvalishvili. Look at the age difference, O’Malley has Merab by about 4 years being only 29 years old with Merab at 33. Sean also has the height advantage at this 135 bamtam weight class at 5’11 to 5’6 respectively. You have to give the striking ability to O’Malley with a 72 inch reach and an amazing 7.63 significant strikes per minuite to 4.5 for Merab. For all of these reasons, Sean is the favorite. Why such a low favorite though at -135? I’ll tell you right now. Out of all of the fighters that Sean has beaten, not one has the wrestling skills and the forward pressure that Merab has. At 6.43 takedowns per minute, Dvalishvili has the best skills in the game getting guys to the ground, as well as a heck of a hard ground and pound. I think control will be the big factor in this fight. I see Merab Dvalishvili not letting Sean O’Malley stay on his feat. I suspect this fight goes the distance with Merab crowned the new champion.
Merab Dvalishvili +115 – 2 stars
Bonus Play: Ronaldo Rodriguez by submission +375 – .5 stars – In 16 wins, Ronaldo has subbed his opponents 5 times. His opponent Ode Osbourne has 7 losses with four of them by submission. This is a decent number.
College Football Saturday Super Plays – Sports Betting – Alabama vs Wisconsin
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Alabama vs Wisconsin +16 O/U 50.5
This might be the game of the week even though Wisconsin has looked pretty bad against a Western Michigan team who just got destroyed by Ohio State They also looked incompetent against a FCS South Dakota team. The Badgers only won by 14 points a piece in these games. Alabama on the other hand destroyed a Western Kentucky team who was ranked second in most conference USA rankings and they took care of business against South Florida 42-16. Now Alabama should destroy Wisconsin right? Well I am not so sure about that. That is now how College football works. In Wisconsin’s two wins, they played against some serious motivation. Western Michigan played an almost perfect game against the Badgers and still ended up losing by double digits. South Dakota is ranked higher than 29 other FBS teams on Sagarin, and they won their first game by 40 some points. If you actually watched the Alabama/USF game, you would see that Jalen Milrow wasn’t all that great. This game was literally a one score game until late into the 4th quarter when the Tide finally pulled away after the Bulls gave in. If you look at efficiency, Wisconsin wasn’t all that bad ranking 55th in yards per point on offense and 37th on defense. I could also argue that Wisconsin has faced better defenses than Alabama has thus far. Alabama quarterback Jalen Milrow has some great legs, but he struggles sometimes to pass the ball as we saw last year vs Auburn and Texas A&M. An interesting stat from Gary Segars on the Bet US show. Alabama is only 4-8 as a double digit road favorite since 2021. I think that there are reasons for that. It is hard to go into Camp Randall and play well as a favorite. I have seen it fail so many times. The kids in Wisconsin have been waiting for this game. I have Alabama an 8 point favorite here on the road. I will take the Badgers to keep it close.
Wisconsin +16 – 2 stars
Boston College vs Missouri -14.5 O/U 52
This should actually be a fun game to watch. As we all know, Boston College beat Florida State during week 1. They didn’t just beat them, they slaughtered them. Now they go on the road to face a very very good Missouri team. Now the big question is, how real is Florida State this year? We might find that out this week against Memphis. I didn’t want to get too excited and upgrade Boston College too much until we know more information. In staying that, I am not interested in the side in this game. I like the Total. Bill O’Brien is the new coach this year for the Eagles. He is an offensive mind who likes to play fast football. Missouri on the other hand knows how to play fast football as this team is averaging 83 plays per game at 21.46 seconds per play. Missouri had a good defense last year, but they lost their defensive coordinator Blake Baker to LSU and six starters to graduation and the NFL. I think that we see some points here in this game. I believe that Mizzu can put up 40 on this Boston College defense while I just need 14+ from the Eagles on offense. I could see this game around 42-20. Take the over.
Over 52 – 2 stars
Saturday Free Play Video:
3 Free Selections:
MLB: Cubs/Rockies
NCAAF: LSU/South Carolina
NCAAF: Indiana/UCLA
NCAAF: Washington St/Washington
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Friday Free Play Video:
3 Free Selections:
NCAAF: KSU/AZ
NCAAF: UNLV/Kansas
WNBA: Mystics/Dream
MLB: Rangers/Mariners
CFL: Argonauts/Lions
College Football Friday Freebie – Sports Betting – Arizona vs Kansas State
You can bet these lines right here at BetMGM! https://affiliates.routy.app/route/58681?affId=10159&ts=5001193 USE PROMO CODE Football24 TO GET $100 OFF EVERY FOOTBALL PACKAGE For the rest of the 2024/2025 SEASON! ALSO GET 50% FOR YOUR FIRST MONTH FOR ANY MONTHLY SUBSCRIPTION Click here: https://theoddsbreakers.com/premium-plays/ Offer expires december 31st 2024 Follow our FREE PICKS telegram channel: https://t.me/TheOddsBreakersFreePicks Follow Kiev O’Neil’s NEW personal FREE PICKS telegram Channel: https://t.me/KievONeil To get Kiev's premium winners, and to support his hard work at The OddsBreakers, please Click here to get his no obligation membership packages!!! We believe in getting the best of the number and it is the only way that we do business! Kiev O'Neil's Sports Betting Stats and Records! 56% 139-109-5 up 22 units in the 2023 NFL Season! 55% 101-82-8 up 10 units in 2024 MLB Thus Far on 8/05/24! 2023 MLB Season 146-123-7 up 11U 2023/2024 College Basketball up 9U 63% for 2022/2023 NBA sides and totals! 22-13 up 6.5 units. 14% ROI 55% All Time NFL Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals! 5.21% ROI 56% 2022/2023 NFL Season 136-109-11 in Sides/Totals/Teasers/Season props up 38.5U 55% All Time College Football Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals! 4.75% ROI 63% FOR 2022 COLLEGE BOWL SEASON UP 27 UNITS! 54% Lifetime All Plays in College Basketball 3% ROI 38% Lifetime UFC On All Plays 3% ROI 62% 2022 March Madness College Basketball Plays at 30% ROI!!!
Arizona vs Kansas State -7.5 O/U 61
This should be a fun game in Manhattan Kansas as the wildcats show up as over seven point dogs. Which Wildcats you ask? Oh, Arizona of course! Is this number correct? I really do not think so. Arizona took care of business with ease against their first opponent in New Mexico, but last week against NIU, they definitely let down some. I am not going to completely overreact to that as Arizona greatly out-gained the Lumberjacks, and should have scored more in the Red Zone. The bigger issue for me is the Kansas State side of things. They got a cake walk against Tennessee Martin in their first game, and then they struggled mightily against a completely rebuilt Tulane team where they were out-gained 491 to 396 and should have not even won that game due to a horrible pass interference call. If Tulane can put up those kind of yards against Kansas State, what do you think Noah Fifita and Tetairioa McMillan will do do this team? Arizona has one of the best offenses in this league, currently at 8.82 yards per play, and I expect them able to back door anyone in the big 10 in a dog role like this. My power number has Arizona +5.5 dogs. Take the red colored Cats and sprinkle the money line.
Arizona +7.5 – 2 stars
College Football Week 3 Sharp Money Movement and Free Play From Docs Sports!
As of Wednesday Sept 11th
Sharp Money On:
- Cincinnati -1.5 to -3.5 at Miami Ohio – 92% tickets and 97% of the money
- Michigan -16.5 to -23 hosting Arkansas State – 26% tickets and 49% of the money
- Tulane +19 to +13.5 at Oklahoma – 87% tickets and 95% of the money.
- Ole Miss -22.5 to -23.5 at Wake Forest – 38% tickets and 97% of the money.
- Texas -29.5 to -35.5 hosting UTSA – 71% tickets and 99% of the money.
- Georgia -18 to -24 at Kentucky – 51% tickets and 97% of the money.
Sharp totals:
- LA Tech vs NC State under 54.5 to 49.5 – 55% tickets and 76% of the money.
- LSU vs South Carolina under 54.5 to 49.5 – 44% tickets and 87% of the money.
- Texas A&M vs Florida under 49.5 to 46.5 – 60% tickets and 95% of the money.
- W Virginia vs Pittsburgh over 54.5 to 64 – 34% tickets and 82% of the money.
- Tulane vs Oklahoma under 54.5 to 46.5 – 74% tickets and 94% of the money.
Free Play from August Young at Doc’s Sports
Take (104) Miami D olphins -130 [MONEYLINE] over Buffalo Bills (9/12 Thursday Night Football @ 8:15p.m. EST) Interesting matchup here. Both teams are coming off wins, and perhaps wins that they did not deserve. This was especially true with the Dolphins. Both teams failed to cover the spread with the Bills -7 winning by 6, and the Dolphins -3.5 winning by 3 (We did cash in with Jacksonville +3.5 there for a premium selections). When it comes to Buffalo; I do believe they had some unfortunate variance in that game. They allowed the Cardinals to score 28, but there was a kick-off returned for a TD, as well as allowing a 53% conversion on third downs. For what it’s worth, the Bills only managed 33% when it came to their 3rd down conversions. They did look good offensively as a whole, especially the one-man show that is Josh Allen (2 Passing TD, 2 Rushing TD). Now, as for Miami – they looked horrible against the Jags in my opinion. The box score showed a better second half, but anyone watching that game would have seen it was just as much Jacksonville shooting themselves in the foot as it was Miami pulling off the win. Having said that; a win is a win and that has to count for something. I was not impressed with the Dolphins as a whole, but I do expect them to clean things up in Week 2 here. They should utilize Jaylen Waddle more early and often to free things up for Tyreek Hill. Waddle was actually 5/5 with his catches in Week 1 and should get more targets here. Tua had a rough performance going 23/37 with his passes for just one touchdown, and we expect him to bounce back extremely well. This is still one of the most potent offenses in the league. Now; the facts are the facts and Miami managed to go a perfect 3-0 last season both SU and ATS when playing a home-home split with no travel in between. The average score differential in those games was 8.3 points per game in those situations. The Bills struggled on the road last season going 4-4 SU, and 3-5 ATS. This included going 1-2 SU and ATS as road dogs. We should also note that they went just 2-4 ATS last season when on a home-road travel spot, and this isn’t the best travel spot for them here on a short week. In my opinion, the market is lower on Miami than it is Buffalo this week, and that is providing us with a solid buy-low opportunity. The spread is a little close for me, but I do see value on the moneyline here at -130.
AUGUST YOUNG is one of the most respected handicappers at Doc’s Sports. He’s coming off a 5-2 football week for +1,200 and is 3-0 to start the NFL season for +1,500! Young has also been great with his MLB selections this season which includes a +11,460 winning long-term run, and a 60% win rate his L/98 premium baseball picks for +7,730. He is also been sharp with his premium UFC selections, which includes a +9,155 winning UFC run. AY will have his usual premium football selections posted for this weekend, which will include a 7-Unit Best Bet, as well as a 7-Unit UFC Best Bet selection at the MASSIVE UFC 306 PPV on Saturday! Here’s the BEST PART! You can get a free trial of August Young’s premium member picks with complimentary $60 account at Doc’s Sports. Get started here.
Podcast 624 – 69 – 24 – With Mike North – NFL Week 2 – NCAAF Week 3 – UFC 306 – Sports Betting
We have a MASSIVE show for you today! It’s over-reaction week! Mike North @North2North from ESPN 1000 and the @barroomNetwork is back to break down some NFL! First, Kiev talks some college football with a few game breakdowns and some picks for the week. Next, Mike comes on and the guys talk some Cubs and some Bears! Will the Cubbies make the playoffs? Then, Mike and Kiev talk some NFL week 2 with some Free Plays and some leans for this week’s football. After that, Kiev talks some UFC 306 with a few plays that he likes for the big event. Finally, we get into some College and NFL sharp money movement and recap the plays from the podcast! Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com. Have a wonderful week!
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NFL Week 2 Betting Spots
Let Down Spots:
- The Patriots could let down hosting the Seahawks after beating the Bengals and ruining lots of survivors.
- The Chiefs could be a little flat against the Bengals after beating the Ravens.
Get Up Spots:
- Packers better train Malik Willis quick against the Colts.
- Bengals got to wake up at the Chiefs.
- Both the Browns and Jaguars were embarrassed last week.
- Panthers better show up some hosting the Chargers next week. Sheesh.
- Titans choked last week and need to show up vs the Jets.
Look ahead spots:
- None
Short Rest:
- Jets at the Titans
- 49ers at the Vikings
Long Rest:
- Chiefs hosting the Bengals
- Ravens hosting the Raiders
- Packers hosting the Colts
- Eagles hosting the Falcons
NFL Week 1 Misleading Final Scores
- The Titans out-gained the Bears 244 to 148 yet lost 24-17. A Brutal 3-1 turnover ratio and poor special teams got Tennessee.
- The Rams out-gained the Lions 387 to 363 and lost in overtime 26-20. Equal turnovers but injuries and poor rushing the football got the Rams.
- Browns yards were mainly garbage yards.
- The Raiders were only out-gained by the Chargers 316 to 296 yet lost 22-10. A 3-0 turnover ratio and poor coaching got Las Vegas.
- The Ravens out-gained the Chiefs 452 to 353 yet lost 27-20. Equal turnovers at one a piece, but poor officiating and quarterback play got Baltimore.
