Darius has came close to the over multiple timnes, but has only done so twice in his last 10 games.
in his two meetings with ORL last season he went under both times.
In 22/23, Garland went over only 34% of the time.
Derrick Rose, MEM U 4.5 assists (-115) Draftkings
In Rose’s last 10 games he has gone under. Averaging right around 3.
In his last 20 games, his average drops from 3 assists, to just 2.
In both matchups against Detroit last season, D Rose had only 2 assists in each of those games.
Bismack Biyombo, MEM U 6.5 Ass (+105) Betmgm
Although he has came close, Bismack has not gone over this number since 11/18.
In his only matchup, he managed to grab 5 rebounds.
Bismack is averaging just 5 rebounds in his last 5 outings.
Best of luck to everyone! As always, feel free to follow me on Twitter (X) @MileHighScore. If you are wanting an app that not only tracks your bets, but allows you to shop for the best lines on the books you use download Betstamp and use code JOHNNYG! It truly makes a difference. Why bet it at -130, when a book out there has it at +110! Have a great day everyone!
The Steelers out-gained the Cardinals 317 to 282 yet lost 24-10. A 1-0 turnover ratio, injuries, bad special teams, 9 penalties and bad red zone efficiency on defense got the Steelers.
The Jets out-gained the Falcons 259 to 194 yet lost 13-8. A 3-0 turnover ratio and horrible quarterback play got the Jets.
The Patriots out-gained the Chargers 257 to 241 yet lost 6-0. A 1-0 turnover ratio, poor coaching, and bad quarterback play got the Pats.
We have a great show for you today! We rail into the College Football Playoff Committee. First, Kiev recaps and rants about the weekend in college and NFL football with some reactions and some thoughts. What the heck is going on with the CFB committee? Next, Kiev talks about the good the bad and the ugly in sports from last weekend. Then, we get into come college and NFL football misleading final scores and betting spots as well as a Free Play for college football Playoffs. Finally, Dave comes on to talk some fantasy football Week 15 with key injuries, waivers, booms and busts. Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com. Have a wonderful week!
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We have six games taking place across the NHL tonight. I’ll break down some sides/totals along with a few player props to take a look at.
Picks:
Tampa Bay Lightning (+100) – BetMGM
These teams just faced off on Saturday night where Dallas defeated Tampa Bay 8-1. Vasilevskiy had his worst game since his return finishing with a -3.68 Goals Saved Above Expected (GSAx). Tampa Bay has now lost their last four games being outscored 19-5 during that span. However, if there was ever a spot to right the ship, I believe this is it. Over the past few seasons this team has shown they can turn things around and given the extra motivation of being embarrassed in their last game, I like the Bolts at home.
If you’d like to bet this prop at BetMGM as they have the best odds, you can get up to $1500 in Bonus Bets if you don’t win if you’re a first-time user.
Nikita Kucherov over 4.5 Shots on Goal (+115) – BetMGM
Kucherov has gone over this number in four of his last five games. During that span, he’s averaging 5.6 shots on goal and 11.2 shot attempts per game.
Dallas currently ranks 24th in shots on goal allowed per game averaging 31.91. On the road, that number jumps up to 34.27. They’ve also given up the 9th most shots on goal per game to Right Wingers this season.
On Saturday when they last played, Kucherov recorded 6 SOG’s on 11 SAT’s.
If you’d like to bet this prop at BetMGM as they have the best odds, you can get up to $1500 in Bonus Bets if you don’t win if you’re a first-time user.
Yanni Gourde over 1.5 Shots on Goal (-140) – DraftKings
Gourde has gone over this number in four of his last five games. During that span, he’s averaging 2.4 shots on goal and 3.8 shot attempts per game.
Montreal currently ranks 30th in shots on goal allowed per game averaging 33.92. At home, that number jumps up to 34.08. They’ve also given up the 3rd most shots on goal per game to Centers this season.
Against Montreal, he’s covered this number is three of the last four matchups.
Alex Pietrangelo over 2.5 Shots on Goal (+105) – BetMGM
Pietrangelo has gone over this number in three of his last five games. During that span, he’s averaging 2.4 shots on goal and 5.0 shot attempts per game.
St. Louis currently ranks 26th in shots on goal allowed per game averaging 32.48. They’ve also given up the 9th most shots on goal per game to Defensemen this season.
Against St. Louis, he’s covered this number is five of the last six matchups.
If you’d like to bet this prop at BetMGM as they have the best odds, you can get up to $1500 in Bonus Bets if you don’t win if you’re a first-time user.
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LA Chargers vs the New England Patriots +5.5 O/U 39
Sometimes you have to get a little dirty to find some value. Bailey Zappe will be starting for the Pats this week. Does it really matter? Probably not. Both him and Mac Jones are both as incompetent, but maybe, just maybe if they can try and not turn the ball over, then this team could make something happen. The Chargers have a clear advantage on offense ranking 10th in offensive EPA to the Patriots at 30th. The big issue here is that the Chargers are very very banged up. From a wide receiver core of studs, LA lost Mike Williams earlier in the year as well as Josh Palmer most recently. Rookies Quentin Johnston and Darius Davis will have to mother a load while a banged up Keenan Allen will try his best to play injured. The Chargers offensive line is banged up some as well. The Patriots aren’t exactly healthy either on offense, but let’s face it. They never were healthy this season and are quite used to it by now. From a defensive perspective, believe it or not, the Patriots are better than the Chargers ranking 17th in defensive EPA to the Chargers ranking 27th. I think as long as the Patriots play smart football, they can win this game outright if not keep it within the number.
Patriots +5.5 – 2 stars
Teaser: Jets up to +8.5 with the Jaguars to -2.5 – 3 stars. The Jets will play well today after being embarrassed last week vs a division rival. The Falcons do not blow out anyone. The Jaguars should get the easier win today being that the Bengals are toast this season without Joe Burrow.
We only have two games taking place across the NHL tonight. I’ll break down some player props to take a look at.
Player Props:
Jack Hughes over 4.5 Shots on Goal (-145) – BetMGM
Hughes has gone over this number in four of his last five games. During that span, he’s averaging 6.6 shots on goal and 12.2 shot attempts per game.
San Jose currently ranks 32nd in shots on goal allowed per game averaging 36.83. On the road, that number jumps up to 37.00. They’ve also given up the 6th most shots on goal per game to Centers this season.
If you’d like to bet this prop at BetMGM as they have the best odds, you can get up to $1500 in Bonus Bets if you don’t win if you’re a first-time user.
Brady Tkachuk over 4.5 Shots on Goal (+105) – BetRivers
Tkachuk has gone over this number in each of his last five games. During that span, he’s averaging 6.8 shots on goal and 10.0 shot attempts per game.
Columbus currently ranks 29th in shots on goal allowed per game averaging 33.46. At home, that number jumps up to 33.69. They’ve also given up the 8th most shots on goal per game to Left Wingers this season.
Against Columbus, he’s covered this number is three of the last five matchups.
If you’d like to bet this prop at BetRivers as they have the best odds, you can get up to $500 in Bonus Bets if you don’t win if you’re a first-time user.
Thomas Chabot over 2.5 Shots on Goal (+110) – BetRivers
Chabot has gone over this number in each of his last four games. During that span, he’s averaging 3.25 shots on goal and 7.0 shot attempts per game.
Columbus currently ranks 29th in shots on goal allowed per game averaging 33.46. At home, that number jumps up to 33.69. They’ve also given up the 3rd most shots on goal per game to Defensemen this season.
Against Columbus, he’s covered this number is three of the last four matchups.
If you’d like to bet this prop at BetRivers as they have the best odds, you can get up to $500 in Bonus Bets if you don’t win if you’re a first-time user.