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2024 College Basketball 53-44 up 11.5U as of January 13th!
146-123-6 up 11 units in 2023 MLB!
63% for 2022/2023 NBA sides and totals! 22-13 up 6.5 units. 14% ROI
55% All Time NFL Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals! 5.21% ROI
56% 2022/2023 NFL Season 136-109-11 in Sides/Totals/Teasers/Season props up 38.5U
55% All Time College Football Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals! 4.75% ROI
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54% Lifetime All Plays in College Basketball – 3% ROI
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Dolphins vs Chiefs -5 O/U 43.5
One would think that this should be a great offensive game here today, but I am not so sure about that. The weather stink today in Kansas City with temperatures at 0 degrees for game-time. What is worse than cold temperatures? Cold temperatures in the wind. The gusts are going to be above 25 MPH with steady winds of 17 MPH. Today, these teams will have to operate their running game. Unfortunately for the fish, they lost 5 linebackers to injury and will be operating on a skeleton crew. The Chiefs should be able to run the ball. The Dolphins won’t be able to put quick points up against the Chiefs being that they rank number three in opponent pass EPA. The Chiefs have a great defense this year and should be able to slow this Miami team down in the cold. I find it hard to think that this goes over under these conditions. These teams played earlier in the year with healthier rosters and the total only went up to 35.
Under 43.5 – 2 stars
Teaser: Texans to +8.5 with the Cowboys to -1 – 3 stars. Texans a nice home dog here while the Cowboys should be able to march down the field against the Packers.
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54% Lifetime All Plays in College Basketball – 3% ROI
38% Lifetime UFC On All Plays 3% ROI
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Xavier vs Providence -3 O/U 142.5
This should be an interesting game in the Big easy and I am not sure why Providence is favored. I know that Xavier doesn’t have good numbers and all, but look who they have played? UCONN, Purdue, Houston, Villanova, Saint Mary’s and Cincinnati. That is sure one hell of a schedule so far. Providence has had a cake walk in the Non-conference with their best win back before thanksgiving vs Wisconsin while losing to Oklahoma by 19 points. Now don’t get me wrong, this team lost their coach last year in Ed Cooley and rebounded well with Kim English from George Mason, but the bigger loss this season is to their best player in Bryce Hopkins to a knee injury. Providence is a favorite here and they can’t seem to shoot free throws well ranking 295th in FT% which we all know is bad for favorites in crunch time. Xavier has size down low and they have an advantage in second chance points. I do not see any advantages here matchup-wise for Providence and I think Xavier wins outright. Take the Points.
Assists, assists, assists, one of my favorite categories in the NBA. Toronto is in the top 5 offensively and Utah is in the top 10. In each of these teams’ last five games, Utah has averaged 29.6 per game and Toronto averaged 31.8. Even better news, each defense is way at the bottom defensively in this category. Toronto 27th at 31.6 per game and Utah 22nd at 28.8 per game. In the Raptors’ last 4 games the teams have combined for 65, 66 and 68 (twice) assists. Look, when you see a sky high of assists in a game, most the time these are easy buckets with very little defense being played. Which is why I landed on the over here in Salt Lake Friday night.
The last 3 head-to-head matchups between these two squads, they have averaged 247 points per game, with one of those just a few weeks ago. The Raptor offense may look a little different, no Anunoby via trade, no Poeltl via injury and the addition of Barrett and Quickley who have made an immediate impact gelling with the current offensive pieces on Toronto. The Raptors are 9-2 to the over in their last 11, have played 5 straight away games and 9 of 10 away from home. With no Poeltl for the time being, the Raptors gave up 126 and 132 points in a back-to-back in LA. The big men in Utah should be in for a field day tonight!
Yes, the Utah defense has been much improved as of late, but they still rank near the bottom in quite a few categories. Ranking 29th in FGAs at 95 per game and 23rd in 3PM at 15 per game. Toronto is shooting over 54% in their last 5 and 43% from downtown, and more importantly 3rd in turnovers. No dead possessions.
This game just screams points, which is why I will be backing over 242.5 with a unit upgrade!
Over 242.5 (-110) to win 1.25 units
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We have a Friday Free Pick for everyone this evening as we look at a small slate of games. In January and February last year we went 109-81-8 +25.79 Units. We’ve had a good run to start 2024 gaining just over 8 units. Overall year record here in CBB year is 71-70 dropping 5.83 Units so the big turn around is coming. Free picks record here at TheOddsbreakers.com sits at 4-1 on College Hoops this season. We have 1 CBB selection on the card tonight.
My free play today takes us to Charlotte, NC for some Atlantic Sun Action featuring the Queens Royals (7-10 Overall, 1-1 ASUN) hosting the visiting Stetson Hatters (10-7 Overall, 2-1 ASUN). The line checks in with Stetson as a slight favorite at -1.5 and the over/under sitting at 158.5
The Stetson Hatters are a squad led by upperclassman with only one underclassman averaging more than ten minutes per contest. They lost in their last game 88-70 to Kennesaw State, but have put together some solid efforts so far this season including wins over UCF and Charlotte. On offense they go as Junior Shooting Guard Jalen Blackmon goes. He is averaging 22.4 points per game while shooting it at 45.8% overall and 41.2% from distance. He is also a 93% Free Throw shooter. They are 8-4 when he gets to 20 points and 2-3 when he comes up short. On the defensive end they feature a pair of twin tower rim protectors in 6’11” Aubin Gateretse and 7’0″ Treyton Thompson clogging up the lane.
The Royals enter the game coming off a home win against FGCU 78-75. Prior to that they also fell to Kennesaw State 80-77. Queens likes to play an up tempo pace checking in at 19th in adjusted temp and 21st in average possession length at 15.4 seconds. They run out a deep bench to keep pushing that tempo and keep guys fresh with eleven players averaging at least 10 minutes per game. Junior guard Deyton Albury leads them at 16.6 points per game. The Royals typically will run out a four guard lineup and rely on their pressure and speed to drive their defense and turn it into offense. They are subject to getting in some foul trouble as well especially when playing from behind.
Stetson is 8-6 against the spread and Queens is 6-9. This is going to be a battle of styles as Stetson will look to control the game in the half court and Queens will look to force turnovers and push the pace with getting easy transition points. Both these teams struggle keeping opposing teams off the score sheet. Queens is 307th in defensive efficiency according to Haslametrics while Stetson checks in at 313th.
The difference in this game however isn’t going to be decided at that end of the floor. The difference in this contest will be in how these teams attack those weak defenses. Both of these teams rank high in the percentage of their points coming from distance as Stetson is 23rd in percent of points coming from 3’s while Queens is 47th. First and Most Important, Stetson is rocking an effective field goal percentage of 51.6% while Queens is 335th defensively in that category allowing 54.5%. Stetson should have a distinct advantage there. Both of these teams rank high in the percentage of points coming from distance as Stetson is 23rd in percent of points coming from 3’s while Queens is 47th. Stetson shoots from distance much better at 35.8% while Queens checks in at 31.9%. Queens does defend the three better than Stetson, but in this clash of styles most of the Queens 3-point attempts will come in quick transition and it shouldn’t be as much of a factor as far as how the Hatters defense plays. The final factor in the outcome of this game will be free throws. Stetson is hitting an NCAA best 83.6% of their attempts from the charity stripe, with their top three players in minutes per game all over 90%. Queens is at 70.2% from the line. Stetson only gets to the line 15.3 times per contest, but with a pressure team as their opponent that number should be higher tonight as Queens will likely get them to the bonus in both halves.
Queens has been very good at home holding down a 6-1 record while Stetson is only 2-6 on the road. Stetson has been very inconsistent this season, but when both teams bring their best games Stetson has an advantage that should be more than enough to overcome the home court magic the Royals have enjoyed so far this season. The only way Queens stays relevant in this one is if they shoot the lights out from three, as Stetson should hold and edge in the lane and in the half court on both ends of the floor.
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56% 2022/2023 NFL Season 136-109-11 in Sides/Totals/Teasers/Season props up 38.5U
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We have a HUGE show for you today! Will Hill @NotTheeWillHill from VSIN and the Gold Boys discord is back to break down a big weekend of NFL Football and college basketball! First, Kiev recaps the college football championship as well as the NFL coaching slaughter that has been going on all week. Next, will comes on and the guys get right into some NFL football. Then, Will and Kiev go through each game with some Free Plays and even some disagreement within the card. After that, Kiev and Will talk come college hoops with some teams that may have some future value from a play on or fade perspective. Then, the guys get into some big games for college basketball Saturday. Finally, Kiev talks some sharp NFL movement from the week. Should you have any questions for the podcast for Monday, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com. Have a wonderful weekend!
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Jrue went well over in his first matchup against his former team. Snagging 8 rebounds.
In his last ten games, jrue has gone over in 7/10. in two of those three that he missed, he was one rebound shy of hitting the over.
This is a homecoming for Jrue. Should be a great opportunity for him to hit the over.
Jaylen Brown, Bos over 1.5 3’s (-170) Fanduel
Jaylen has gone over this number in his last three games against the Bucks.
he has gone over this mark 66% of his games played in the 23/24 season.
he has also gone over 60% of the time in his last 10 games.
Best of luck to everyone! Fanduel always has their TNT no risk promotion, so parlay these together at your own risk as you can find these lines on there as well. As always, feel free to follow me on Twitter (X) @MileHighScore. If you are wanting an app that not only tracks your bets, but allows you to shop for the best lines on the books you use download Betstamp and use code JOHNNYG at sign up! It truly makes a difference. Why bet it at -140, when a book out there has it at +110! Have a great day everyone!
Gonna keep this short. Both teams coming off a bad loss, but Ole Miss hasn’t lost yet at home. Ole miss has an advantage ranking 10th in adjusted 3 point percentage on Haslametrics to Florida’s defense at 81st as seen below.
Florida’s best win is Pittsburg or Michigan. Neither in the top 60 on Kenpom. These two teams are not all that far apart and I think that the wrong team is favored. Take Ole Miss here to cover and maybe win outright.
Congrats to all Chris Kirk backers last week at The Sentry! We failed to hit an outright last week but did cash one of our top 20 placements, Eric Cole (+138).
Let’s get into this week’s storylines…
Will Zalatoris will make his first PGA Tour start since the World Golf Championships-Dell Technologies Match Play last March. He has played once following back surgery which was last month at the Hero World Challenge where he finished 20th.
Gary Woodland will make his return to the PGA Tour following brain surgery in September. His last PGA Tour start was at Wyndham Championship in August. He’s played in this event eight times before with four top-20 finishes.
Chris Kirk, winner of last week’s event, is in the field this week as well. He’ll look to come just the sixth folder to win both Hawaii Tour events in one year.
Several notable players will be making their PGA Tour debut this week. Rintaro Nakano, who won the Japan Amateur in 2023, will make his PGA TOUR debut. Adrien Dumont de Chassart, who finished third on the PGA TOUR U last season, has played in a major (U.S. Open ’22) but has not played in a a regular TOUR event.
The Sony Open was inaugurated in 1965 as the Hawaiian Open. It’s been held at Waialae Country Club ever since. It’s also the third oldest host course on the PGA Tour following only Colonial and Pebble Beach.
Waialae Country Club was founded 96 years ago in 1927. The course was originally built by the Territorial Hotel Company as part of a promotional program to encourage travel to Hawaii. Seth Raynor, the architect, incorporated several aspects from other major courses around the world including St. Andrews, North Berwick Golf Club, and the Biarritz Course.
The typical front and back nines are switched this week for the PGA Tour as the “9th” features a picturesque dog-leg creating a more exciting finish. This was done so to utilize the sun’s power setting in the west.
Most Wins at Event:
2, Hubert Green (1978, 1979), Corey Pavin (1986, 1987), Lanny Wadkins (1988, 1991), Ernie Els (2003, 2004), Jimmy Walker (2014, 2015)
72-Hole Record:
253, Justin Thomas (2017)
18-Hole Record:
59, Justin Thomas (Round 1, 2017)
Course Guide/ Scorecard:
Waialae is completely different from what we saw last week at Kapalua. The course is about ~400 yards less and puts more emphasis on accuracy. The players will have shorter wedges into greens this week which is an advantage and something they’ll need to excel at as approach play has been a major key to victory here.
Waialae Country Club is one of the shorter courses on tour and plays roughly 7,044 yards. It’s a Par 70 which means Par 4 Scoring will be placed at a premium this week as Waialae only features two Par 5’s. There are four Par 3’s on the course but all of them play roughly 200 yards or less. Last year, this was one of the easiest events in terms of Par 3 and Par 5 Scoring.
The main defense for the course is the wind but we are expected to have more ideal conditions than last week which means it won’t be a major factor.
The four Par 3’s range from 176 to 204 yards. Last year, Hole No. 4 was the only Par 3 to have a scoring average under par.
No. 7, 176 yards, Par 3: The second of the par-3s on the tournament’s front nine, this green is as wide as the par-3 hole #4 is long. Originally, this green was completely surrounded by sand, giving the hole its name. Bunkers still wrap around the entire front side of this green with a lone bunker on the backside. A deep ridge on the front of the green runs laterally front to back.
No. 17, 194 yards, Par 3: The most scenic hole at Waialae bears the name of the Sony Open fire-bird according to Hawaiian lore. Hole #17 is a very difficult par-3 requiring a long or middle iron. The green features the original Seth Raynor design which is a classic Redan-style green with a large bunker on the left and a series of three deep, hidden bunkers guarding the right. Par-3 is a good score here, especially in the final round.
There are twelve Par 4’s at Waialae with the majority of those holes ranging between 400 and 450 yards. In terms of scoring average, the toughest Par 4 last year was No. 13 (+0.218).
No. 1, 480 yards, Par 4: This hole was originally designed in 1927 by Seth Raynor with the famous Road Hole of St. Andrews, Scotland in mind. The forward tee constructed in 1999 makes this former par-5 hole play as a par-4 and 1/2! Depending on the wind, the second shot to a very shallow green guarded in front by a deep bunker and a bunker surrounding
the right half of the green can be played with anything from a 3-wood to a 9-iron.
No. 16, 417 yards, Par 4: Tee it high and let it fly! A finish with the wind at your back. The best place for the drive is on the right side of the fairway. The second shot is a short iron played to a green framed by the Pacific Ocean and several large palm trees. This hole is considered the signature hole at Waialae
There are only two Par 5’s on the course, No. 9 and No. 18. Both of these holes had a scoring average under par in 2023. No. 9 was the easiest hole on the course last year with a scoring average of 0.67 below par.
No. 9, 506 yards, Par 5: Normally played as hole #18 by Waialae members, this par-5 requires accuracy on both the drive and the second shots. O.B. runs down the left side of the fairway and a red penalty area down the right. A strong left-to-right wind makes this hole even tougher. It is reachable in 2 strokes, however, and has given up its share of birdies.
No. 18, 551 yards, Par 5: “A great finishing hole! Isao Aoki proved this in 1983 with a spectacular eagle for his victory. Aoki knocked it in from 128 yards out, but this hole is reachable in 2 strokes. A bunker set in the dog-leg makes the drive off the tee a “thinking shot.” A second shot can be played straight downwind to the green.
Featured/ Signature Hole(s): 16
For a hole-by-hole overview of the course, you can click the following link.
Key Statistics:
Strokes Gained: Approach
As with most tournaments on TOUR, strokes gained on approach is a major factor. While this course does have some of the largest greens on Tour, it shouldn’t be a straightforward task this week as the wind is predicted to play a factor.
Leaders in this category in the last 36 Rounds:
Lucas Glover
Hideki Matsuyama
Gary Woodland
Mark Hubbard
Alex Smalley
Strokes Gained: Putting (Bermudagrass)
The green complexes at Waialae Country Club are Bermudagrass .120”. If you’re going to win this event you’re going to need to putt well. Since 2016, six of the eight winners were 5th or better in SG: Putting for the week.
Leaders in this category in the last 36 Rounds:
Maverick McNealy
Ben Taylor
Taylor Montgomery
Alexander Noren
Justin Suh
Strokes Gained: Around the Green
Based on the Strokes Gained Stats of the Sony winners, SG: Around the Green has shown to be pivotal. Three of the past four winners at this event ranked 13th or better in this category in the field. The only outlier was Hideki Matsuyama in 2022 who was 22nd in SG: Around the Green.
Leaders in this category in the last 36 Rounds:
Aaron Baddeley
Troy Merritt
Brendon Todd
Alexander Noren
Ludvig Aberg
Driving Accuracy
Waialae Country Club has the 11th largest fairways on the Tour with an average fairway width of 35.0 yards. It also features the 8th largest green size. Based on these two stats, driving accuracy isn’t the first key stat that comes to mind. However, players need to be accurate off the tee since this is a “second shot” course. If they’re able to have short wedges into these greens it should allow them to have more birdie opportunities. This course is also the 5th shortest on Tour so distance won’t matter as much as it did last week at Kapalua.
Par 3 Scoring: 175-200 Yards (x3)
Three of the four Par 3’s range between 175-200 Yards.
Leaders in this category in the last 36 Rounds:
Eric Cole
Luke List
Alex Smalley
Lucas Glover
Michael Kim
Par 4 Scoring: 400-450 Yards (x5)
Five of the Twelve Par 4’s range between 400-450 Yards.
Leaders in this category in the last 36 Rounds:
Russell Henley
Justin Rose
Ryan Moore
Ludvig Aberg
Denny McCarthy
Par 4 Scoring: 450-500 Yards (x5)
Five of the Twelve Par 4’s range between 450-500 Yards.
Leaders in this category in the last 36 Rounds:
Ludvig Aberg
Sahith Theegala
Tyrrell Hatton
Denny McCarthy
Martin Laird
Par 5 Scoring: 500-550 Yards (x2)
Both of the Par 5’s range between 500 – 550 Yards.
Leaders in this category in the last 36 Rounds:
Davis Thompson
Jhonattan Vegas
Matthias Schmid
Michal Kim
Chun-an Yu
Proximity: 150-175 Yards
Below is the approach shot distribution chart from last year’s event (via DataGolf). Most approach shots come from the 150-175 yard range at a volume much higher than the PGA Tour average.
Leaders in this category in the last 36 Rounds:
Taylor Pendrith
Ben Martin
Brandon Wu
Chris Krik
Lucas Glover
Birdies or Better Gained
Four of the last five previous winning scores at this event have been -20 or lower. Players will need to take advantage of every scoring opportunity if they want to have a chance at winning.
Leaders in this category in the last 36 Rounds:
Eric Cole
Ludvig Aberg
J. T. Poston
Luke List
Will Zalatoris
Comparable Courses and Event History
The Sony Open in Hawaii has been played at Waialae Country Club since its inception so we have plenty of course history to go off. Seventeen of the eighteen previous winners played in this event before winning. Past performance is key this week as Waialae is the second most predictive course on the Tour only behind Augusta National.
The Field/ Odds:
There will be 144 players competing in this year’s tournament. Fifteen of the top forty players in the Official World Golf Ranking are in the field. This is one of the strongest fields we have seen at this event. 36 of the 59 players from last week’s tournament (The Sentry) will take the short flight and compete in this week’s event. This is also the first event of the year that will have a “cut” after 36 holes (shoutout Full Swing). Here are the current favorites in this week’s event:
Ludvig Aberg (+1200) finished T47 at The Sentry last week. It was the first time he lost strokes off the tee since he played in the 2021 RSM Classic. He’ll be making his tournament debut this week.
Tyrrell Hatton (+1600) started off the 2024 season with a good performance at The Sentry finishing T14. In in last five starts, including three on the DP World Tour, Hatton has finished inside the top-15 in four of those events. He’ll be making his tournament debut this week.
Matt Fitzpatrick (+1600) will be making his tournament debut this week. He finished T14 at The Sentry last week with the lone issue being his approach game. He gained strokes in every other category besides that one.
Russell Henley (+2200) finished T52 at The Sentry last week. Before that, he had finished inside the top 15 in each of his last five events. Henley won the Sony Open in Hawaii back in 2013 and finished runner-up in 2022.
Brian Harman (+2500) started the 2024 season off strong with a T5 finish at The Sentry last week. This will be his thirteenth appearance at Waialae Country Club. He had a solid run here from 2015-2018 finishing inside the top 20 in each of those four starts. Since then, he has yet to finish inside the top 30 here in his last five appearances.
Previous Winners in the Field:
Si Woo Kim (’23), Hideki Matsuyama (’22), Matt Kuchar (’19), Patton Kizzire (’18), Russell Henley (’13), Ryan Palmer (’10), Zach Johnson (’09)
Debutants in the Field:
Adrien Dumont de Chassart, Aguri Iwasaki, Akshay Bhatia, Alejandro Tosti, Alexander Bjork, Christopher Gotterup, Garrick Higgo, Hunter Larson, Jacob Bridgeman, Jake Knapp, Jimmy Stanger, Joe Highsmith, Kensei Hirata, Kevin Dougherty, Ludvig Aberg, Mac Meissner, Matt Wallace, Matthew Fitzpatrick, Matthieu Pavon, Max Greyserman, Norman Xiong, Parker Coody, Patrick Fishburn, Phillips Chandler, Pierceson Coody, Rintaro Nakano, Robert MacIntyre, Ryo Hisatsune, Sami Valimaki, Tom Whitney, Tyrrell Hatton, Will Zalatoris, Wilson Furr
Notable Withdraws:
None
To see the most up-to-date odds, you can click the following link.
To see the full field for this event and how they qualified, you can click the following link.
Facts & Figures:
Eight of the last ten winners had played at Kapalua in the Sentry Tournament of Champions the week prior.
Each of the last ten winners had a T13 finish or better in one of their five prior events.
Horses for Courses:
Sony Open in Hawaii
Sony Open in Hawaii
Sony Open in Hawaii
Sony Open in Hawaii
Sony Open in Hawaii
Waialae Country Club
Waialae Country Club
Waialae Country Club
Waialae Country Club
Waialae Country Club
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
Hayden Buckley
2
T12
–
–
–
Maverick McNealy
T7
T27
–
–
–
Corey Conners
T12
11
–
T12
T3
Russell Henley
T32
2
T11
MC
66
Webb Simpson
MC
T61
T4
3
–
Matt Kuchar
T7
T7
MC
MC
1
Hideki Matsuyama
T48
1
T19
T12
T51
Kevin Kisner
–
T3
T32
T4
T69
Ryan Palmer
T32
T12
T41
T4
–
Nick Taylor
T7
–
T11
T32
MC
Donkeys for Courses:
“Horses for Courses” is a phrase that is widely used and describes the best course/tournament fits. These are the players that have had success at the particular course/event. “Donkeys for Courses” is something I came up with that highlights the players who have struggled at a specific course/tournament.
Sony Open in Hawaii
Sony Open in Hawaii
Sony Open in Hawaii
Sony Open in Hawaii
Sony Open in Hawaii
Waialae Country Club
Waialae Country Club
Waialae Country Club
Waialae Country Club
Waialae Country Club
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
Takumi Kanaya
–
MC
MC
–
MC
Alex Smalley
MC
MC
–
–
–
Brandon Wu
MC
MC
–
–
–
Mark Hubbard
MC
MC
T32
MC
–
Troy Merritt
T65
–
T56
MC
MC
Luke List
–
–
MC
MC
–
Ryan Moore
MC
MC
–
–
–
Tyler Duncan
MC
MC
–
MC
T57
Doug Ghim
–
–
MC
MC
–
Tyler McCumber
–
–
MC
MC
–
Previous Winners Scores & Prices:
2023: Si Woo Kim (-18)
Price: 45-1
2022: Hideki Matsuyama (-23)
Price: 20-1
2021: Kevin Na (-21)
Price: 80-1
2020: Cameron Smith (-11)
Price: 55-1
2019: Matt Kuchar (-22)
Price: 40-1
Previous Winners Incoming Form (Last 5 Starts):
2023: Si Woo Kim
T35 – Cadence Bank Houston Open (PGA)
T52 – THE CJ CUP in South Carolina (PGA)
T45 – ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP (PGA)
T8 – Shriners Children’s Open (PGA)
T5 – The 38th Shinhan Donghae Open (ASA)
2022: Hideki Matsuyama
T13 – Sentry Tournament of Champions (PGA)
WON – ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP (PGA)
T59 – THE CJ CUP (PGA)
T67 – Shriners Children’s Open (PGA)
T6 – Fortinent Championship (PGA)
2021: Kevin Na
T38 – Sentry Tournament of Champions (PGA)
T13 – The Masters (MAJ)
T28 – ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP (PGA)
T45 – THE CJ CUP (PGA)
T43 – Shriners Hospital for Children Open (PGA)
2020: Cameron Smith
T10 – Australian PGA Championship (EUR)
T60 – WGC-HSBC Champions (PGA)
T3 – THE CJ CUP (PGA)
T13 – Shriners Hospital for Children Open (PGA)
MC – Sanderson Farms Championship (PGA)
2019: Matt Kuchar
T19 – Sentry Tournament of Champions (PGA)
WON – Mayakoba Golf Classic (PGA)
T57 – Shriners Hospital for Children Open (PGA)
T23 – Emirates Australian Open (ANZ)
T30 – Alfred Dunhill Links Championship (EUR)
Previous Winners Finishes at Event:
2023: Si Woo Kim
2022 – T55
2021 – T25
2019 – MC
2018 – T58
2017 – 4
2022: Hideki Matsuyama
2021 – T19
2020 – T12
2019 – T51
2017 – T27
2015 – T78
2013 – MC
2012 – MC
2011 – MC
2021: Kevin Na
2018 – MC
2017 – T36
2016 – T28
2015 – T64
2014 – T8
2013 – MC
2012 – MC
2011 – T20
2010 – T52
2009 – T5
2008 – T4
2005 – MC
2004 – T41
2020: Cameron Smith
2019 – T22
2018 – T18
2017 – T27
2016 – T81
2019: Matt Kuchar
2016 – T13
2015 – T3
2014 – T8
2013 – T5
2011 – T5
2010 – MC
2009 – MC
2008 – 65
2007 – MC
2004 – MC
Picks (Outrights):
Corey Conners (+2800) – BetMGM
Risk: 0.29 to win 8.12 Units
Sahith Theegala (+3300) – FanDuel
Risk: 0.25 to win 8.25 Units
Byeong Hun An (+3500) – Caesars
Risk: 0.23 to win 8.05 Units
Adam Svensson (+5000) – BetMGM
Risk: 0.16 to win 8.00 Units
Andrew Putnam (+5000) – BetMGM
Risk: 0.16 to win 8.00 Units
Total Risk on Outrights: 1.09 Units
Picks (Top 20):
Eric Cole (+150) – BetMGM
Risk: 1.00 to win 1.50 Units
J.T. Poston (+150) – BetMGM
Risk: 1.00 to win 1.50 Units
Total Risk on Top 20s: 2.00 Units
Picks (Top 40):
Nico Echavarria (+225) – BetMGM
Risk: 1.00 to win 2.25 Units
Total Risk on Top 40s: 1.00 Units
As always, all of my placement bets are through BetMGM as they’re one of the only books without dead-heat rules. If you’d like to bet these placements at BetMGM, you can get up to $1500 in Bonus Bets if you don’t win if you’re a first-time user.
Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting. Any feedback whether positive or negative is always encouraged.
