Home Blog Page 157

Fantasy Football Week 14

By
Kiev O'Neil
-

Bye Weeks:  Cardinals and Commanders

Key Injuries:

RB Zach Charbonnet with a bruised knee and is week to week.  Walker may be back though.

WR Marquise Brown injured his heel.

WR Christian Kirk with a groin injury and out for the rest of the season.

WR Amari Cooper with a head injury.

WR Christian Watson had a hammy.

WR Tank Tell broke his fibula and out for the season.

TE Tyler Higbee had a concussion and is questionable.

RB Rhamondre Stevenson hurt his ankle.

QB Derek Carr had a concussion.

QB Kenny Pickett hurt his ankle pretty bad.   Maybe out a month or more.

QB Trevor Lawrence hurt his ankle.

RB Brian Robinson hurt his Hammy.

Waiver Wire:

QB Mitch Trubisky will be big for the Steelers.

QB Trevor Siemien is better than Boyle.

QB Jameis Winston is back on again.

QB CJ Beathard for the Trevor Lawrence injury.

RB Tyjae Spears looked good for the Titans.

RB Rocshon Johnson might be the man.

WR Alec Pierce for Indianapolis had a great game.

RB Ezekiel Elliot for the Stevenson injury is key.

WR Noah Brown for the Dell injury is massive.

WR John Mechie III for the Dell injury is also nice.

WR Greg Dotrch could be a good streamer for the Brown injury.

WR Elijah Moore for the Cooper injury and he might do ok with Flacco.

WR Jayden Reed for the last time is doing well for the Pack.

RB Chris Rodriquez if Brian Robinson can’t go is big.

RB Chase Brown will carry the ball more this week vs the Colts.

RB Deejay Dallas for the Charbonnete injury.

Non-Starters trending up for week 14

RB AJ Dillon vs the Giants has a great matchup.

RB Devon Singletary vs the Jets could be big.

RB Ty Chandler vs the Raiders is nice.

TE Kylen Granson vs the Bengals is good.

WR Jerry Jeudy vs the Chargers could ball out some.

WR Drake London vs the Buccaneers could have a good game.

WR Elijah Moore vs the Jaguars could be a nice play.

WR Odell Beckham vs the Rams.

TE Gerald Everette vs the Broncos could be massive.  Broncos have the worst D against tight ends.

TE Isaiah Likely vs the Rams is huge.

Busts:

RB Jahmyr Gibbs vs the Bears is rough.   Montgomery will want all the carries anyways.

RB Kenneth Walker III vs the 49ers is bad.

RB Jerome Ford vs the Jaguars is also bad.

RB Najee Harris vs the Patriots has a rough matchup.

RB Kyren Williams vs the Ravens isn’t good at all.

WR Puku Nakua vs the Ravens is also bad.

WR Nico Collins vs the Jets is a bit rough.

Nasty Sleeper:  RB Zach Moss vs the Bengals.  If not him, then Gerald Everette from the Chargers vs the Broncos.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Podcast 93 – 23 – College & NFL Football Recap – Box Scores & Betting Spots – Fantasy Football Week 13 – Sports Betting

By
Kiev O'Neil
-

We have a great show for you today!  We rail into the College Football Playoff Committee.  First, Kiev recaps and rants about the weekend in college and NFL football with some reactions and some thoughts.  What the heck is going on with the CFB committee?  Next, Kiev talks about the good the bad and the ugly in sports from last weekend.  Then, we get into come college and NFL football misleading final scores and betting spots as well as a Free Play for college football Playoffs.  Finally, Dave comes on to talk some fantasy football Week 15 with key injuries, waivers, booms and busts.  Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com.  Have a wonderful week!

Link to wagering on our best bets from the show:  https://mediaserver.betmgmpartners.com/renderBanner.do?zoneId=1702979

USE PROMO CODE Football2023 TO GET $50 OFF EVERY FOOTBALL PACKAGE AND $50 OFF EVERY MONTHLY MEMBERSHIP FOR THE FIRST MONTH!  Click here:   https://theoddsbreakers.com/premium-plays/
Offer expires December 17th, 2023

Follow our FREE PICKS telegram channel:  https://t.me/TheOddsBreakersFreePicks

Follow Kiev O’Neil’s NEW personal FREE PICKS telegram Channel:  https://t.me/KievONeil

If you want to subscribe to support us and get some very frequent winners please Click Here to become a member of The OddsBreakers and gain access to premium plays BEFORE the line moves!  Or, you can visit theoddsbreakers.com and click shop and pick one of our great handicappers including Kiev O’Neil @OBKiev at only $84 per month on a 1 year subscription!  You could also support us at Patreon.com for only $10 a month to help us out and thank us for some free plays as well as get some extra benefits and merchandise.

Follow us @TheOddsBreakers on social media!

If you want to take ownership of your health, try AG1 and get a FREE 1-yearsupply of Vitamin D AND 5 Free AG1 Travel Packs with your first purchase. Go to drinkAG1.com/oddsbreakers

Monday Night Football Week 13 Prop Play – Sports Betting 17-8

By
Kiev O'Neil
-
@theoddsbreakers

#sportsbetting #props #tiktokbetting #freepicks #freeplays #mondaynightfootball #bengals #jaguarszn

♬ Christmas standard song – 3KTrack

NHL Picks & Player Props to Target – December 4th, 2023

By
Patrick Gates
-

We have six games taking place across the NHL tonight. I’ll break down some sides/totals along with a few player props to take a look at.

 

Picks:

  • Tampa Bay Lightning (+100) – BetMGM

These teams just faced off on Saturday night where Dallas defeated Tampa Bay 8-1. Vasilevskiy had his worst game since his return finishing with a -3.68 Goals Saved Above Expected (GSAx). Tampa Bay has now lost their last four games being outscored 19-5 during that span. However, if there was ever a spot to right the ship, I believe this is it. Over the past few seasons this team has shown they can turn things around and given the extra motivation of being embarrassed in their last game, I like the Bolts at home.

If you’d like to bet this prop at BetMGM as they have the best odds, you can get up to $1500 in Bonus Bets if you don’t win if you’re a first-time user.

Here’s my link to sign up at BetMGM!

 

Late Add:

  • Arizona Coyotes (-125) – DraftKings

 

Player Props:

  • Nikita Kucherov over 4.5 Shots on Goal (+115) – BetMGM
    • Kucherov has gone over this number in four of his last five games. During that span, he’s averaging 5.6 shots on goal and 11.2 shot attempts per game.
    • Dallas currently ranks 24th in shots on goal allowed per game averaging 31.91. On the road, that number jumps up to 34.27. They’ve also given up the 9th most shots on goal per game to Right Wingers this season.
    • On Saturday when they last played, Kucherov recorded 6 SOG’s on 11 SAT’s.

If you’d like to bet this prop at BetMGM as they have the best odds, you can get up to $1500 in Bonus Bets if you don’t win if you’re a first-time user.

Here’s my link to sign up at BetMGM!

 

  • Yanni Gourde over 1.5 Shots on Goal (-140) – DraftKings
    • Gourde has gone over this number in four of his last five games. During that span, he’s averaging 2.4 shots on goal and 3.8 shot attempts per game.
    • Montreal currently ranks 30th in shots on goal allowed per game averaging 33.92. At home, that number jumps up to 34.08. They’ve also given up the 3rd most shots on goal per game to Centers this season.
    • Against Montreal, he’s covered this number is three of the last four matchups.

 

  • Alex Pietrangelo over 2.5 Shots on Goal (+105) – BetMGM
    • Pietrangelo has gone over this number in three of his last five games. During that span, he’s averaging 2.4 shots on goal and 5.0 shot attempts per game.
    • St. Louis currently ranks 26th in shots on goal allowed per game averaging 32.48. They’ve also given up the 9th most shots on goal per game to Defensemen this season.
    • Against St. Louis, he’s covered this number is five of the last six matchups.

If you’d like to bet this prop at BetMGM as they have the best odds, you can get up to $1500 in Bonus Bets if you don’t win if you’re a first-time user.

Here’s my link to sign up at BetMGM!

 

Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting.

 

NFL Week 13 Sunday Fun-day Plays – Sports Betting

By
Kiev O'Neil
-

You can bet these lines right here at BetMGM!  https://affiliates.routy.app/route/58681?affId=10159&ts=5001193

USE PROMO CODE Football2023 TO GET $50 OFF EVERY FOOTBALL PACKAGE AND $50 OFF EVERY MONTHLY MEMBERSHIP FOR THE FIRST MONTH!  Click Here:  https://theoddsbreakers.com/premium-plays/
Offer expires December 17th 2023

Follow our FREE PICKS telegram channel:  https://t.me/TheOddsBreakersFreePicks

Follow Kiev O’Neil’s NEW personal FREE PICKS telegram Channel:  https://t.me/KievONeil

To get Kiev’s premium winners, and to support his hard work at The OddsBreakers, please Click here to get his no obligation membership packages!!!   We believe in getting the best of the number and it is the only way that we do business!

146-123-6 up 11 units in 2023 MLB!

63% for 2022/2023 NBA sides and totals!   22-13 up 6.5 units.  14% ROI

55% All Time NFL Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals!  5.21% ROI

56% 2022/2023 NFL Season 136-109-11 in Sides/Totals/Teasers/Season props up 38.5U

55% All Time College Football Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals!  4.75% ROI

63% FOR 2022 COLLEGE BOWL SEASON UP 27 UNITS!

54% Lifetime All Plays in College Basketball – 3% ROI

38% Lifetime UFC On All Plays 3% ROI

62% 2022 March Madness College Basketball Plays at 30% ROI!!!

 

LA Chargers vs the New England Patriots +5.5 O/U 39

Sometimes you have to get a little dirty to find some value.   Bailey Zappe will be starting for the Pats this week.   Does it really matter?   Probably not.   Both him and Mac Jones are both as incompetent, but maybe, just maybe if they can try and not turn the ball over, then this team could make something happen.   The Chargers have a clear advantage on offense ranking 10th in offensive EPA to the Patriots at 30th.   The big issue here is that the Chargers are very very banged up.   From a wide receiver core of studs, LA lost Mike Williams earlier in the year as well as Josh Palmer most recently.   Rookies Quentin Johnston and Darius Davis will have to mother a load while a banged up Keenan Allen will try his best to play injured.   The Chargers offensive line is banged up some as well.  The Patriots aren’t exactly healthy either on offense, but let’s face it.   They never were healthy this season and are quite used to it by now.  From a defensive perspective, believe it or not, the Patriots are better than the Chargers ranking 17th in defensive EPA to the Chargers ranking 27th.  I think as long as the Patriots play smart football, they can win this game outright if not keep it within the number.

Patriots +5.5 – 2 stars

Teaser:   Jets up to +8.5 with the Jaguars to -2.5 – 3 stars.   The Jets will play well today after being embarrassed last week vs a division rival.   The Falcons do not blow out anyone.   The Jaguars should get the easier win today being that the Bengals are toast this season without Joe Burrow.

NFL Week 13 Sharp Money Movement

By
Kiev O'Neil
-
Criminal activity, illegal transaction, crime, mafia. US Currency. Cash. Money.

As of Thursday at 2PM

Sharp Money On:

  • Lions -3 to -4 at the Saints – 84% tickets and 89% of the money.
  • Packers +7.5 to +5.5 hosting the Chiefs – 61% tickets and 67% of the money.

Sharp Totals:

  • Chargers vs Patriots under 42.5 to 40.5 – 84% tickets and 99% of the money.
  • Panthers vs Buccaneers under 40 to 37 – 56% tickets and 96% of the money.
  • 49ers vs Eagles over 45.5 to 47.5 – 82% tickets and 98% of the money.
  • Bengals vs Jaguars under 41 to 39 – 89% tickets and 95% of the money.

NHL Player Props to Target – December 1st, 2023

By
Patrick Gates
-

We only have two games taking place across the NHL tonight. I’ll break down some player props to take a look at.

 

Player Props:

  • Jack Hughes over 4.5 Shots on Goal (-145) – BetMGM
    • Hughes has gone over this number in four of his last five games. During that span, he’s averaging 6.6 shots on goal and 12.2 shot attempts per game.
    • San Jose currently ranks 32nd in shots on goal allowed per game averaging 36.83. On the road, that number jumps up to 37.00. They’ve also given up the 6th most shots on goal per game to Centers this season.

If you’d like to bet this prop at BetMGM as they have the best odds, you can get up to $1500 in Bonus Bets if you don’t win if you’re a first-time user.

Here’s my link to sign up at BetMGM!

 

  • Brady Tkachuk over 4.5 Shots on Goal (+105) – BetRivers
    • Tkachuk has gone over this number in each of his last five games. During that span, he’s averaging 6.8 shots on goal and 10.0 shot attempts per game.
    • Columbus currently ranks 29th in shots on goal allowed per game averaging 33.46. At home, that number jumps up to 33.69. They’ve also given up the 8th most shots on goal per game to Left Wingers this season.
    • Against Columbus, he’s covered this number is three of the last five matchups.

If you’d like to bet this prop at BetRivers as they have the best odds, you can get up to $500 in Bonus Bets if you don’t win if you’re a first-time user.

Here’s my link to sign up at BetRivers!

 

  • Thomas Chabot over 2.5 Shots on Goal (+110) – BetRivers
    • Chabot has gone over this number in each of his last four games. During that span, he’s averaging 3.25 shots on goal and 7.0 shot attempts per game.
    • Columbus currently ranks 29th in shots on goal allowed per game averaging 33.46. At home, that number jumps up to 33.69. They’ve also given up the 3rd most shots on goal per game to Defensemen this season.
    • Against Columbus, he’s covered this number is three of the last four matchups.

If you’d like to bet this prop at BetRivers as they have the best odds, you can get up to $500 in Bonus Bets if you don’t win if you’re a first-time user.

Here’s my link to sign up at BetRivers!

 

All Data was provided by Linemate and ShotPropz!

 

Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting.

College Football Championship Week Free Video Play – Sports Betting

By
Kiev O'Neil
-

You can bet these lines right here at BetMGM!  https://affiliates.routy.app/route/58681?affId=10159&ts=5001193

USE PROMO CODE Football2023 TO GET $50 OFF EVERY FOOTBALL PACKAGE AND $50 OFF EVERY MONTHLY MEMBERSHIP FOR THE FIRST MONTH!  Click Here:  https://theoddsbreakers.com/premium-plays/
Offer expires December 17th 2023

Follow our FREE PICKS telegram channel:  https://t.me/TheOddsBreakersFreePicks

Follow Kiev O’Neil’s NEW personal FREE PICKS telegram Channel:  https://t.me/KievONeil

To get Kiev’s premium winners, and to support his hard work at The OddsBreakers, please Click here to get his no obligation membership packages!!!   We believe in getting the best of the number and it is the only way that we do business!

146-123-6 up 11 units in 2023 MLB!

63% for 2022/2023 NBA sides and totals!   22-13 up 6.5 units.  14% ROI

55% All Time NFL Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals!  5.21% ROI

56% 2022/2023 NFL Season 136-109-11 in Sides/Totals/Teasers/Season props up 38.5U

55% All Time College Football Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals!  4.75% ROI

63% FOR 2022 COLLEGE BOWL SEASON UP 27 UNITS!

54% Lifetime All Plays in College Basketball – 3% ROI

38% Lifetime UFC On All Plays 3% ROI

62% 2022 March Madness College Basketball Plays at 30% ROI!!!

If you want to take ownership of your health, try AG1 and get a FREE 1-year supply of Vitamin D AND 5 Free AG1 Travel Packs with your first purchase. Go to drinkAG1.com/oddsbreakers

 

www.TheOddsBreakers.com

 

#sportsbetting #sports #wagering #handicapping #predictions #nfl #ncaa #ncaaf #collegefootball #collegebasketball #ROI #investing #draftkings #fanduel #freepicks #freeplays #plays #sportsplays #SeasonWinTotals #CFB #Futures #Betting #FootballContests

College Football Friday and Championship Week Plays – Sports Betting

By
Kiev O'Neil
-

You can bet these lines right here at BetMGM!  https://affiliates.routy.app/route/58681?affId=10159&ts=5001193

USE PROMO CODE Football2023 TO GET $50 OFF EVERY FOOTBALL PACKAGE AND $50 OFF EVERY MONTHLY MEMBERSHIP FOR THE FIRST MONTH!  Click Here:  https://theoddsbreakers.com/premium-plays/
Offer expires December 17th 2023

Follow our FREE PICKS telegram channel:  https://t.me/TheOddsBreakersFreePicks

Follow Kiev O’Neil’s NEW personal FREE PICKS telegram Channel:  https://t.me/KievONeil

To get Kiev’s premium winners, and to support his hard work at The OddsBreakers, please Click here to get his no obligation membership packages!!!   We believe in getting the best of the number and it is the only way that we do business!

146-123-6 up 11 units in 2023 MLB!

63% for 2022/2023 NBA sides and totals!   22-13 up 6.5 units.  14% ROI

55% All Time NFL Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals!  5.21% ROI

56% 2022/2023 NFL Season 136-109-11 in Sides/Totals/Teasers/Season props up 38.5U

55% All Time College Football Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals!  4.75% ROI

63% FOR 2022 COLLEGE BOWL SEASON UP 27 UNITS!

54% Lifetime All Plays in College Basketball – 3% ROI

38% Lifetime UFC On All Plays 3% ROI

62% 2022 March Madness College Basketball Plays at 30% ROI!!!

 

Washington vs Oregon -10 O/U 65

This rematch should be fun at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas NV with no wind, no rain and perfect conditions.   As we remember from earlier this year, Washington won this game at home earlier this year by three points.  The Huskies probably should have lost the game had Duck’s coach Danny Lanning made some better decisions, but in saying that, does that constitute a spread of almost 10 points on a neutral field?  I do not think so.  Looking at the numbers, Oregon has the yards per play edge on both offense and defense, but this also doesn’t factor in that Oregon’s schedule has been a bit easier getting Oregon State and USC at home while Washington went to USC and Oregon State.  Oregon also was fortunate enough to to avoid the third best team in the Pac 12 in Arizona while Washington had to go there to secure a win.  Don’t get me wrong.  I think that Oregon is the better team with the better defense, and I have them by almost 7 points in my power ratings, but the big issue with Oregon is that they don’t always show well away from home.  This has been an issue for Bo Nix during his career.  The Ducks away from home average 7.2 yards per play down from 8 YPP while the Huskies average 7.5 away up from 7 YPP respectively.

People can say that Washington finished the season poorly playing two close games against Oregon State and Washington State, but cold, rain, and wind were the main factors there and I can understand a passing team like Washington struggling in those conditions.  Teams with great offenses can usually catch up to anyone.  Washington’s offense ranks 8th in EPA and 3rd in yards per play. This is why I think that this spread is a bit too large.  The final nail in the coffin for me is the coaching.  Kalen Deboer is a better coach right now than Danny Lanning.  This showed up in their last game, and it could show up again.  This should be close and fun game to watch.  I have Oregon by 5.5 points, but I have the total at 72.  Both teams together average over 78 points per game and that counts garbage time.  Take the dog and the over.

Over 65 – 2 stars

Oregon +10 – 2.5 stars

Appalachian State vs Troy -6 O/U 52.5

This is a bit of a home game for the Trojans as they take on a red hot Appalachian State team to attempt to retain the Sun Belt championship title.  Looking at the numbers.  There is a a clear advantage for Troy’s defense ranking 10th in defensive EPA to App state at 72.  On the other side of the ball, App State’s offense has been humming ranking 17th in offensive EPA to Troy at 43rd.  The Trojans have looked very sharp since their losses to Kansas State and James Madison, but I will say that they can be venerable.  Troy doesn’t have the best special teams and only ranks 81st in field position.  They also have been known to give up explosive plays from time to time as they rank 42nd in that category.  The Trojans have a .73 yet yards per play advantage over the Mountaineers, but this handicap is about what have you done for me lately.  Since App State’s loss to Old Dominion, the Mountaineers have racked up five wins in a row including great performances at Georgia State, at James Madison and vs Georgia Southern. This Mountaineers team held James Madison to 1.8 yards per carry and 6.3 yards per pass.  I think that if any team can backdoor a spread, it is the Mountaineers who averages over 35 points per game and who also kept it close at a solid North Carolina team before they had gotten injured.  Take the points.

App State +6 – 2 stars

You can bet these lines right here at BetMGM!  https://affiliates.routy.app/route/58681?affId=10159&ts=5001193

College Football Week 14 Championship Week Sharp Money Movement

By
Kiev O'Neil
-

As Of Wednesday at Noon

Sharp Money On:

  • Oregon -7.5 to -9.5 vs Washington – 55% tickets and 69% of the money.
  • Texas -10.5 to -15 vs Oklahoma State – 50% tickets and 62% of the money.
  • SMU +6 to +3.5 at Tulane – 59% tickets and 77% of the money.
  • Louisville +6.5 to +2.5 vs Florida State – 55% tickets and 83% of the money.

Sharp Totals:

  • Oregon vs Washington under 68.5 to 65.5 – 79% tickets and 88% of the money.
  • Miami OH vs Toledo under 46.5 to 44 – 84% tickets and 98% of the money.
  • Boise State vs UNLV over 57.5 to 59 – 92% tickets and 97% of the money.
  • App State vs Troy over 51.5 to 53 – 91% tickets and 95% of the money.
  • Louisville vs Florida State under 53 to 47.5 – 93% tickets and 99% of the money.
1...156157158...671Page 157 of 671