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NBA player props November 22nd, 2023

By
Johnny Glaze
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HAPPY THANKSGIVING!!!! I hope everyone has a great holiday and arrives to their destination safely! Time to get the fat pants ready!

Player props to target:

  • Bobby Portis, Bucks over 10.5 pts (-104) Fanduel
    • Bobby Has hit this mark 79% of his games in this young season, and 9 out of his last 10 games.
    • on the road, Portis has scored 11 pts or more in has last 6 games. the only one he did not hit was on the road in Toronto.
    • In his last five games, Bobby is averaging 15.6 pts a game.
  • Alpern Sengun, Hou over 19.5 pts (-114) Fanduel
    • Alpern has been doing good as of late! Averaging 24.6 pts in his last 5 games.
    • his last ten games he has hit this mark 50% of the time. The other 5 times have included three games of 19 pts, one of 17, and one of 15.

Best of luck to everyone! Happy Thanksgiving to you all again! As always feel free to follow me on Twitter (X) @MileHighScore. If you are wanting an app that not only tracks your bets, but allows you to shop for the best lines on the books you use download Betstamp and use code JOHNNYG! Have a great Wednesday everyone!

NFL Week 12 Betting Spots

By
Kiev O'Neil
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Let Down Spots

  • Giants hosting the Patriots after beating the Commanders is one.
  • Eagles hosting Buffalo after beating the Chiefs is one

Get Up Spots:

  • Seahawks hosting the 49ers.
  • Buccaneers at the Colts if they want a shot at the division.
  • Chargers better get up vs the Ravens next week.

Look Ahead Spots:

  • 49ers could look past Seattle some to the Eagles.

College Basketball Wonderful Wednesday Free Play – Sports Betting

By
Kiev O'Neil
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I am 18-12 up 10U thus far in college hoops!  Click on Premium Subscribers for my package and use promo-code Basketball24 for $100 off!

SMU vs Wisconsin -7 O/U 140.5

This is the final game of the small Beach Divisional tournament in Fort Meyers Florida.   SMU took care of business easily against West Virginia while Wisconsin took out Virginia in blowout fashion two days ago.   The truth of the matter is that SMU isn’t as good as that West Virginia win.   The Mountaineers shot 39% from two and 31% from three while playing very bad defense.   West Virginia without coach Huggins is off to a very poor start losing to Monmouth at home back on November 10th.  Wisconsin has a few tough losses vs Tennessee and Providence on the road, but we still have to remember that this Badger team has a ton of seniors and a big front court.   Wisconsin has a 7 foot Steven Crowl in the middle as well as a 6’9 Tyler Wahl at power forward.  SMU won’t be able to match up here being that both of their big men are 6’8 and struggle to play big minutes.   SMU will try to find success from three point land, yet Wisconsin last year ranked 57th in defending the three, and after a shaky start, this Badger team held Virginia to 4-14 from the Arc and out-rebounded them 44-23.  I see an easy win with a team full of upperclassman.   Take Bucky.

Wisconsin -7 – 2 stars

 

 

NFL Week 11 Misleading Final Scores

By
Kiev O'Neil
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The Vikings out-gained the Broncos 385 to 295 yet lost 21-20.  A 3-0 turnover ratio got the queens.

The Dolphins out-gained the Raiders 411 to 296 yet only won 20-13.  Equal turnovers at 3 but poor red zone and bad special teams got the Fins.

The Commanders out-gained the Giants 403 to 292 yet lost 31-19.  A massive 6-0 turnover ratio killed Washington.

 

College Football Week 12 Misleading Final Scores and Key Injuries

By
Kiev O'Neil
-

Coastal Carolina out-gained Army 384 to 365 yet lost 28-21.  They won the turnover margin 2-1 but bad special teams and red zone got the Chants.

Purdue out-gained Northwestern 443 to 329 yet lost 23-15.   A 4-1 turnover ratio killed them.

Wyoming only out-gained Hawaii 472 to 345 yet won 42-9.  A 2-1 turnover ratio and horrible red zone killed the Rainbow Warriors.

Utah was only outgained by Arizona 443 to 438 yet lost 42-18.   A 2-0 turnover ratio got the Utes.

Texas State out-gained Arkansas State 539 to 487.  Much of it was garbage time but there was a 4-0 turnover ratio that did in the Bobcats.

USC out-gained UCLA 387 to 354 yet lost 38-20.  A 3-0 turnover ratio including a scoop and score killed the Trojans.

Nebraska out-gained Wisconsin 364 to 316 yet lost in OT 24-17.  A 1-0 turnover ratio and bad red zone roasted the Corn.

UCF out-gained Texas Tech 487 to 446 yet lost 24-23.  Equal turnovers at 1 but bad special teams got the Knights.

Kansas out-gained Kansas State 396 to 331 yet lost 31-27.  A 3-1 turnover ratio and backup QB hurt Kansas.

Oregon State out-gained Washington 317 to 272 yet lost 22-20.  A 3-1 turnover ratio did them in.

Key Injuries:

QB Jordan Travis from Florida State is out for the season with a leg injury.

QB Max Johnson from Texas A&M is day to day.

QB Black Shapen from Baylor injured his head.

QB Ethan Crawford from Southern Miss came out with an elbow injury.

QB Cooper Legas from Utah State had a shoulder injury.

QB Grayson McCall left the Army game with an injury.

 

 

College Football Week 13 Betting Spots

By
Kiev O'Neil
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Let Down Spots:

  • UCLA vs Cal after beating USC is one.
  • Any team who limped into 6 wins last week who doesn’t play a rival.

Get Up Spots:

  • Oklahoma State better beat BYU to stay in the Big 12 championship game mix.
  • Any team with 5 wins that must become bowl eligible. – Nebraksa, Syracuse, Florida, South Carolina, Utah State, California, Old Dominion, UCF, Minnesota, Illinois, Virginia Tech, TCU, Louisiana, Colorado State, Rice, BYU, Mississippi State, Navy, Central Michigan, Eastern Michigan.

Look Ahead Spots:

  • New Mexico State looking past Jacksonville State to Liberty is huge.
  • Miami Ohio looking past Ball State to Toledo is very possible.
  • Iowa looking past Nebraska to the Big 10 championship game is possible.

Fantasy Football Week 12

By
Kiev O'Neil
-

Bye Weeks:  None

Key Injuries

QB Joe Burrow out for the season with torn ligament in wrist.

TE Mark Andrews broken ankle.

RB Kenneth walker with an oblique injury

RB D’Onta Foreman injured his back and ankle.

RB Aaron Jones with a knee injury.

WR Cooper Kupp with an ankle injury.

RB DeVon Achane hurt his knee.

QB Geno Smith hurt his triceps.

Waiver Wire:

TE Isaiah Likely for the Mark Andrews injury.

QB Tommy Devito is throwing some TDs.

QB Jake Browning for the Burrow injury.

WR Jayden Reed for the Packers.

RB Rochone Johnson for the Foreman injury.

WR Odell Beckham gets a bump with Mark Andrews out. 

RB Ty Johnson was big for Buffalo last week.

RB Ty Chandler is better than Alexander Mattison.

WR Rhondale Moore is the man for the Cardinals.

RB Zach Charbonnet for the Walker injury.

Non-Starters trending up for week 12

DEF Miami looks good at the Jets.

DEF Tennessee looks good vs Carolina.

QB Garner Minshew should be able to throw against Tampa.

WR Brandon Cooks vs Washington looks like a hot commodity.

RB Najee Harris vs the Bengals defense is on.

QB Josh Dobbs vs the Bears is hot.

WR KJ Osborn vs the Bears is also hot.

RB Kareem Hunt vs Denver looks great.  So does RB Jerome Ford.

RB Elijah Mitchell vs the Seahawks.

RB Devery Henderson vs the Cardinals has a nice matchup.

QB Baker Mayfield vs the Colts should be good again.

QB Tommy Devito vs the Patriots could do ok.

RB Ty Chandler vs the Bears is good being that he will get more of a bell cow roll.

Busts:

RB Javonte Williams vs Cleveland’s D looks rough.

RB Brian Robinson vs the Cowboys D is bad.

QB Russell Wilson vs Cleveland’s D.

TE David NJoku vs Cleveland’s D.

QB Justin Herbert vs the Ravens is suspect.

QB Aiden O’Connell vs the Chiefs is scary.

RB Zach Charbonnet vs the 49ers is tough.

Nasty Sleeper:   RB Jerome Ford vs Denver.   I think he balls out here and the Cardinals are bad against the Run.

Podcast 88 – 23 – College & NFL Football Recap – Box Scores & Betting Spots – Fantasy Football Week 12 – Sports Betting

By
Kiev O'Neil
-

We have a great show for you today!   First, Kiev recaps the weekend in college and NFL football with some reactions and some thoughts.  Next, Kiev talks about the good the bad and the ugly in sports from last weekend.  Then, we get into come college and NFL football misleading final scores and betting spots as well as a Free Play for college football week 13.  Finally, Dave comes on to talk some fantasy football Week 12 with key injuries, waivers, booms and busts.  Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com.  Have a wonderful week!

Link to wagering on our best bets from the show:  https://mediaserver.betmgmpartners.com/renderBanner.do?zoneId=1702979

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Monday Night Football Week 11 Prop Play – Sports Betting

By
Kiev O'Neil
-
@theoddsbreakers

#sportsbetting #props #tiktokbetting #freepicks #freeplays #mondaynightfootball #chiefs #eagles

♬ Mashed Potatoes – Blake Rules & Netherfriends

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To get Kiev’s premium winners, and to support his hard work at The OddsBreakers, please Click here to get his no obligation membership packages!!!   We believe in getting the best of the number and it is the only way that we do business!

146-123-6 up 11 units in 2023 MLB!

63% for 2022/2023 NBA sides and totals!   22-13 up 6.5 units.  14% ROI

55% All Time NFL Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals!  5.21% ROI

56% 2022/2023 NFL Season 136-109-11 in Sides/Totals/Teasers/Season props up 38.5U

55% All Time College Football Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals!  4.75% ROI

63% FOR 2022 COLLEGE BOWL SEASON UP 27 UNITS!

54% Lifetime All Plays in College Basketball – 3% ROI

38% Lifetime UFC On All Plays 3% ROI

62% 2022 March Madness College Basketball Plays at 30% ROI!!!

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NFL Week 11 Sunday Funday Plays – Sports Betting

By
Kiev O'Neil
-

Coming off a nice 8-4-1 College Football day yesterday!

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To get Kiev’s premium winners, and to support his hard work at The OddsBreakers, please Click here to get his no obligation membership packages!!!   We believe in getting the best of the number and it is the only way that we do business!

146-123-6 up 11 units in 2023 MLB!

63% for 2022/2023 NBA sides and totals!   22-13 up 6.5 units.  14% ROI

55% All Time NFL Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals!  5.21% ROI

56% 2022/2023 NFL Season 136-109-11 in Sides/Totals/Teasers/Season props up 38.5U

55% All Time College Football Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals!  4.75% ROI

63% FOR 2022 COLLEGE BOWL SEASON UP 27 UNITS!

54% Lifetime All Plays in College Basketball – 3% ROI

38% Lifetime UFC On All Plays 3% ROI

62% 2022 March Madness College Basketball Plays at 30% ROI!!!

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Pittsburgh vs Cleveland -2.5 O/U 33

Sharp money has pushed this line up from PK to -2.5 here.   I think it’s quite obvious to the well rounded sports bettor that the Steelers have massively over-achieved being 6-3 and out-gained in every game.   They definitely have some clutch to them, but I think that this is the spot that their luck runs out.   DeShawn Watson is out for this game, but it really doesn’t affect the handicap all that much.  The Steelers lost two key inside linebackers in Minkah Fitzpatrick and they will have some serious struggles stopping the run.   Pittsburgh already has issues in the run game allowing 4.5 yards per attempt ranking 26th in the nation.  The Browns are a solid rushing team ranking 12th in yards per attempt.  As far as defense is concerned the Browns rank number one in EPA per play while the Steelers rank 10th.   Both offenses are pretty closely ranked and much of these numbers are already baked in with Watson being out most of the season.   If rookie quarterback Dorian Thompston-Robinson can protect the ball, I think that they should be able to game plan their way to an easy victory here.   Take the value below the three.

Browns -2.5 – 2 stars

Teaser:  Packers to +9 with the Bills to -1 – 3 stars.   I think the Packers can hang at home with the Bolts.  I only have about 2.5 points different between the teams.   The Bills are in a win or die situation.   

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