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Quick Nine with Chris Powers

The concept for “Quick Nine” is to give golf gamblers a behind-the-scenes look into their favorite personalities backgrounds and strategies.

On this week’s episode of Quick Nine, I talk with Chris Powers (@CPowers14) about a variety of topics including his start in golf gambling and his job at Golf Digest.

 

Topics:

  1. You went to the University of Rhode Island to study Journalism. Was your goal always to get into golf-related media or, were you hoping to get your start in any sport? 
  2. You got hired by Golf Digest in 2017, can you tell me a little about how that came to be?
  3. At Golf Digest you started as an assistant editor and worked your way up to become a full-time staff writer in 2021. Can walk us through that process? 
  4. Now as a full-time staff writer, you cover a variety of topics across the golf landscape. However, the weekly article I’m most interested in is the Gambling Preview. You and several other prominent figures in the golf gambling space collaborate to offer your best bets. When did these articles start and how did this idea for these articles come to be? 
  5. You’re one of the hosts on The Loop Podcast, along with Alex Meyers and Steve Hennessey. The podcast started in 2020 and was originally a golf gambling-only podcast. Since then, it’s expanded to cover a wide range of topics. How did that podcast start and what made you transition away from only gambling coverage? 
  6. Favorite Tournament/ Course?
    • Major
    • Outside a Major
    • Course You’ve personally played
  7. How do you approach a tournament?
    • First thing you look at (Oddsboard or research?)
    • Website for Stats (Betsperts, Fantasy National, Rick Run Good, DataGolf)
    • Any content you consume weekly from fellow gamblers?
  8. How do you construct your card?
  9. Common Mistake Golf Betters make?

Video Link:

 

Twitter/ X Handles:

 

Any feedback is encouraged whether it’s positive or critical so please give it a listen and let me know what you think!

World Wide Technology Championship – Preview & Picks

After a brief hiatus following the ZOZO Championship, the PGA Tour returns. The World Wide Technology Championship takes place this week at El Cardonal at Diamante. This will be the first PGA Tour event on a Tiger Woods designed course.

Let’s get into this week’s storylines…

The World Wide Technology Championship is the fifth event of the FedExCup Fall, a group of seven tournaments played after the TOUR Championship that finalizes eligibility for the 2024 PGA TOUR Season. Nos. 1-50 in the FedExCup standings through the TOUR Championship are locked in their positions while Nos. 51 and beyond carry their FedExCup points over. Nos. 51-60 through the FedExCup Fall will qualify for two Signature Events in 2024: AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am and The Genesis Invitational. The Top 125 will be exempt into all Full-Field events and THE PLAYERS next season and Nos. 126-150 will earn Korn Ferry Tour status and conditional status on TOUR next season.

Winners of events during the FedExCup Fall receive the same benefits as winners of Full-Field Events during the Regular Season.

Ludvig Aberg is the favorite for this week’s event as he searches for his first PGA Tour victory. In his last two starts, he lost in a five-man playoff at the Sanderson Farms Championship and finished T13 at the Shriners Children’s Open.

Maverick McNealy returns to action on the PGA TOUR for the first time since the RBC Canadian Open. He took some time off as he had missed the cut in three of his last four starts.

Michael Block will also tee it up for the sixth time on TOUR this season. He finished T15 at the PGA Championship, the highest by a club professional since 1986.

 

Tournament Information:

  • Dates: November 2nd, 2023 – November 5th, 2023
  • Location: Cabo San Lucas, Mexico
  • Course: El Cardonal at Diamante
  • Course Type: Resort
  • Par: 72 (4x 3’s / 10x 4’s / 4x 5’s)
  • Length: 7,452 yards
  • Format: 72-hole stroke play
  • Greens: Platinum paspalum .100”
  • Fairways: Platinum paspalum .370”
  • Rough: None
  • Bunkers: 48
  • Water Hazard(s): 1 (In-Play on 1 Holes)
  • Average Green Size: 8,300 sq. ft.
  • Stimpmeter: 11-12 ft.
  • Purse/ Winner: $8,200,000 /$1,476,000
  • FedEx Cup Points: 500
  • Field/ Cut: 132 Pros | Top 65 and Ties – 36 Holes
  • Playoff Format: Sudden Death
  • Course Scoring Average:
    • 2022: N/A
    • 2021: 69.10 (-1.90), Rank 40 of 50 (El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba)
    • 2020: 69.77 (-1.23), Rank 39 of 51 (El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba)
  • Historic Cut Line:
    • 2022: -4 (El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba)
    • 2021: -4 (El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba)
    • 2020: -1 (El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba)

Course Architect:

  • Course Architect: Tiger Woods (2014)
  • Renovations: N/A

 

Comparable Courses & Greens:

  • Comparable Courses:
    • Vidanta Vallarta – Mexico Open at Vidanta – RESULTS
    • Corales Golf Course – Corales Puntacana Championship – RESULTS
    • Grand Reserve Golf Club (Coco Beach) – Puerto Rico Open – RESULTS
  • Comparable Location (Cabo San Lucas, Mexico):
    • Vidanta Vallarta – Vallarta, Mexico – Mexico Open at Vidanta
  • Comparable Yardage (7,452 Yards):
    • Vidanta Vallarta – 7,456 Yards – Mexico Open at Vidanta
    • The Country Club of Jackson – 7,461 Yards – Sanderson Farms Championship
    • Arnold Palmer’s Bay Hill Club & Lodge – 7,466 Yards – Arnold Palmer Invitational
  • Comparable Greens (Platinum paspalum .100”):
    • Grand Reserve Golf Club (Coco Beach) – Sea Dwarf Paspalum – Puerto Rico Open
    • Corales Golf Course – Supreme paspalum .100” – Corales Puntacana Championship
    • Vidanta Vallarta – Paspalum – Mexico Open at Vidanta
  • Comparable Average Green Size (8,300 sq. ft.):
    • Plantation Course at Kapalua – 8,722 sq. ft. – Sentry Tournament of Champions

 

TV Information:

  • Round 1: Thursday, November 2nd, 2023
    • Golf Channel – 4:30 PM – 7:30 PM ET
  • Round 2: Friday, November 3rd, 2023
    • Golf Channel – 4:30 PM – 7:30 PM ET
  • Round 3: Saturday, November 4th, 2023
    • Golf Channel – 3:00 PM – 6:00 PM ET
  • Round 4: Sunday, November 5th, 2023
    • Golf Channel – 3:00 PM – 6:00 PM ET

 

Weather:

  • Thursday: Mostly Cloudy 83 F, 7 mp/h SSE, 67% Humidity, 4% Chance of Rain
  • Friday: Sunny 83 F, 8 mp/h W, 66% Humidity, 4% Chance of Rain
  • Saturday: Sunny 85 F, 8 mp/h W, 60% Humidity, 3% Chance of Rain
  • Sunday: Sunny 86 F, 8 mp/h W, 55% Humidity, 1% Chance of Rain

 

Course/ Tournament History:

This is the second playing of the World Wide Technology Championship this season, but the first at El Cardonal Golf Course at Diamante. This also is the TOUR’s third stop in Mexico this season, after the Mexico Open at Vidanta, won by Tony Finau, was played in April.

In 2007, El Camaleon became the home of the Mayakoba Golf Classic but as mentioned before the El Cardonal Golf Course at Diamante will play host to the event. In 2022, El Camaleon was added to the roster for the LIV Golf League. Due to the legal battle that was happening back then, the PGA decided to end its relationship with Mayakoba.

El Cardonal opened in 2014, the first course completed by Woods’ TGR design firm. It’s the second course on the property as “The Dunes Course”, designed by Davis Love III, opened in 2009. In addition to designing El Cardonal, Tiger Woods also designed The Oasis Short Course which is a 12-hole par-three course at Diamante.

This WWT Championship was originally an alternate event being held the same week as the WGC Match Play event. It was the first PGA Tour event to ever be held outside the US and Canada. The first six editions of this event were played in February however, in 2013, the event moved to November where it has remained. When it was moved to November this tournament also became a primary event with the full FedEx Cup points offered.

In 2021, World Wide Technology became the sponsor and will retain rights until 2027.

  • Most Wins at Event:
    • 2 – Viktor Hovland (2021, 2020)
  • 72-Hole Record:
    • 261 – Viktor Hovland (2021), Russell Henley (2022)
  • 18-Hole Record :
    • 61, Roland Thatcher (3rd round, 2008)

 

Course Guide/ Scorecard:

El Cardonal at Diamante is a Par 72 that plays 7,452 yards. The layout is pretty standard with four Par 3’s, ten Par 4’s, and four Par 5’s. The landscape of the course is made up of dramatic long-range views of the Pacific Ocean, natural arroyos, mature vegetation, and native dunes. El Cardonal’s design was influenced by the old-style courses of Southern California Tiger Woods grew up playing. This course is going to place a premium on approach shots this week as he was quoted as saying “I set up the golf strategy to make golfers think and make choices. Regardless of your handicap, there are going to be different ways to play every hole. Angles of approach are going to be very important and will dictate the type of shots you should consider.”

The four Par 3’s range between 154 yards and 208 yards.

No. 2, 208 yards, Par 3: This downhill, downwind par 3 leads to a spacious green situated in a depression encircled by dunes. The contours around the punch bowl-style green can guide balls onto the putting surface. However, given the green’s generous size, pin placement will determine the length of the birdie putt. A menacing bunker, a foreshortened bunker looks closer to the green than it is and protects the center of the green.

No. 16, 154 yards, Par 3: As the shortest par 3 on the course, this hole introduces drama near the round’s end. Golfers face an “all or nothing” carry tee shot to a green nestled at the confluence of two arroyo canyons. With three distinct levels, the green requires precision from a short iron to reach the pin.

Most of the ten Par 4’s range between 450-500 yards. No. 10 is the shortest listed at 344 yards with the longest being No. 7, just under 490 yards.

No. 5, 438 yards, Par 4: After a change in direction, playing with the prevailing wind introduces a new challenge: a desert arroyo. Carrying the right fairway bunkers near the arroyo yields an open approach to the green. Shots aimed leftward must carry a bunker short of the green. The sandy arroyo protects the green’s right side, and an elevated pin area at the back demands a precise and bold approach.

No. 8, 474 yards, Par 4: A sandy arroyo splits the tee, landing area, and green, shaping the strategic element of this hole. The “T”-shaped green features challenging pin positions, with bunkering on the back left, back right, and narrow front sections. Favoring the right side of the fairway near the arroyo provides a better angle for attacking back-left pins while targeting the left fairway bunker sets up an approach to back-right pins.

The four Par 5’s are No. 1, 6, 14, and 18. No 6 is the only Par 5 that is greater than 600 yards.

No. 6, 601 yards, Par 5: Ascending from the dunes, this lengthy par 5 requires a strategic approach due to the wide “M” shaped green protected by a large central bunker. Optimal angles for pin placements on the right side of the green are best approached from the right side of the second landing area, accessed from the left side of the first landing area, and vice versa for left pin placements. A large-crowned area in the middle of the fairway adds to the challenge off the tee.

No. 14, 554 yards, Par 5: Designed around a narrow, sandy tributary of a larger arroyo, this hole challenges golfers with a “cape” tee shot. Aggressive players can carry the arroyo on the left for a shorter second shot. Playing to the right leaves a longer approach. The second landing area features a central sand ribbon, dividing it into left and right sections. Opting for the left side sets up a more straightforward approach to the green, while the right section requires negotiating a desert plum guarding the green’s right side.

Image

Featured/ Signature Hole(s): 5, 8, 14

For a hole-by-hole overview of the course, you can click the following link.

 

Key Statistics:

  • Strokes Gained: Approach
    • Tiger Woods stated, “Angles of approach are going to be very important and will dictate the type of shots you should consider.”
  • Strokes Gained: Off the Tee
  • Strokes Gained: Putting (Paspalum)
    • There are only a few courses on the PGA Tour rotation that feature Paspalum greens. This type of grass is mainly used in tropical to temperate coastal locations. Hence it’s used at Grand Reserve Golf Club (Puerto Rico Open), Corales Golf Course (Corales Puntacana Championship), and Vidanta Vallarta (Mexico Open at Vidanta). Just like with any putting surface, whether it be Bentgrass, Bermudagrass, Poa annua, or even Fescue, certain players have their preferences and perform better.
  • Par 3 Scoring: 200 – 225 Yards (x2)
    • Two of the four Par 3’s range between 200 – 225 Yards
  • Par 4 Scoring: 450 – 500 Yards (x6)
    • Six of the ten Par 4’s range between 450 – 500 Yards
  • Par 5 Scoring: 550 – 600 Yards (x3)
    • Three of the four Par 5’s range between 550 – 600 Yard
  • Birdies or Better Gained
    • While there are a few challenging holes on this golf course, the setup is pretty straightforward. As we’ve seen with other resort courses in Mexico, the winning score should be around -20. I expect this week’s event to turn into a “birdie-fest” with players needing to take advantage of every scoring opportunity.
  • Driving Distance
    • The course is pretty wide open this week so distance is going to be more important than accuracy off the tee
  • Comparable Courses and Event History
    • Since this is a new course that we’ve never seen before, we’ll have to rely on comparable courses

 

The Field/ Odds:

There will be 132 players competing in this year’s World Wide Technology Championship. Only five of the world’s top fifty players are in the field. Here are the current favorites in this week’s event:

Ludvig Aberg (+900) has been playing some great golf following the Ryder Cup finishing T2 (Sanderson Farms Championship) and T13 (Shriners Children’s Open) in his last two PGA Tour events. This will be his first appearance at the World Wide Technology Championship.

Cameron Young (+1100) will play in his first FedExCup Fall Event. His last start on the PGA Tour was back in August at the BMW Championship. This will be his first appearance at the World Wide Technology Championship.

Sahith Theegala (+1600) will make his first appearance at the World Wide Technology Championship. He recently won his first PGA Tour event in Napa at the Fortinent Championship. In his last four starts, he hasn’t finished outside the top 20.

Stephan Jaeger (+2500) played in the World Wide Technology Championship three times before with his best finish being T16 (2018). Since the Mexico Open, Jaeger has not missed a cut (15 events) including six top 20 finishes during that span.

Lucas Glover (+2500) will play in his first FedExCup Fall Event. His last start on the PGA Tour was back in August at the TOUR Championship. In his last four starts, he hasn’t finished outside the top 25 including two victories. He’s played in the World Wide Technology Championship four times before with his best finish being T5 (2020).

 

  • Previous Winners in the Field:
    • Matt Kuchar (’18), Patton Kizzire (’17), Charley Hoffman (’14), Brian Gay (’08)
  • Notable Withdraws:
    • Kevin Streelman (COVID-19), Joel Dahmen (Undisclosed)

 

To see the most up-to-date odds, you can click the following link.

To see the full field for this event and how they qualified, you can click the following link.

 

Horses for Courses:

World Wide Technology Championship World Wide Technology Championship Mayakoba Golf Classic Mayakoba Golf Classic Mayakoba Golf Classic
El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba
2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Thomas Detry T15 T22
Maverick McNealy T10 T11 T12 T26
Matt Kuchar T27 T22 T14 1
Adam Long MC T22 T3 T2
Joel Dahmen T3 T45 T20 T6 T41
Austin Eckroat T38 T12
Lucas Glover T38 T5
Troy Merritt T3 T15 T40

 

Donkeys for Courses:

“Horses for Courses” is a phrase that is widely used and describes the best course/tournament fits. These are the players that have had success at the particular course/event. “Donkeys for Courses” is something I came up with that highlights the players who have struggled at a specific course/tournament.

World Wide Technology Championship World Wide Technology Championship Mayakoba Golf Classic Mayakoba Golf Classic Mayakoba Golf Classic
El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba
2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Kramer Hickok MC MC MC T29
Charley Hoffman T42 MC T46 MC MC
Peter Malnati MC MC T58 MC
Luke List MC MC MC MC
Roberto Diaz T45 MC MC MC
Michael Gligic MC MC MC
Nick Watney MC MC MC
Sebastian Vazquez
MC MC MC
Scott Harrington MC T72
Michael Kim MC MC MC
Mackenzie Hughes MC MC
Isidro Benitez MC MC

 

Previous Winners Scores & Prices:

  • 2022: Russell Henley (-23) – El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba
    • Price: 55-1
  • 2021: Viktor Hovland (-23) – El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba
    • Price: 18-1
  • 2020: Viktor Hovland (-20) – El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba
    • Price: 22-1
  • 2019: Brendon Todd (-20) – El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba
    • Price: 110-1
  • 2018: Matt Kuchar (-22) – El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba
    • Price: 60-1

 

Facts & Figures:

  • Five of the last six winners at the World Wide Technology Championship had recorded a top 5 finish in one of their previous five starts.
  • Nine of the last ten winners had played in this event before winning it.

 

Previous Winners Incoming Form (Last 5 Starts):

  • 2022: Russell Henley
    • T45 – THE CJ CUP in South Carolina (PGA)
    • MC – Sanderson Farms Championship (PGA)
    • T35 – BMW Championship (PGA)
    • MC – FedEx St. Jude Championship (PGA)
    • T5 – Wyndham Championship (PGA)
  • 2021: Viktor Hovland
    • T18 – THE CJ CUP (PGA)
    • T44 – Shriners Children’s Open (PGA)
    • T49 – BMW PGA Championship (DPWT)
    • T5 – TOUR Championship (PGA)
    • T17 – BMW Championship (PGA)
  • 2020: Viktor Hovland
    • T15 – Vivint Houston Open (PGA)
    • T47 – ZOZO Championship (PGA)
    • T12 – THE CJ CUP (PGA)
    • T13 – U.S. Open (MAJ)
    • T3 – DP World Tour Championship (DPWT)
  • 2019: Brendon Todd
    • 1 – Bermuda Championship (PGA)
    • T28 – Houston Open (PGA)
    • MC – Shriners Hospitals for Children Open (PGA)
    • MC – Safeway Open (PGA)
    • MC – Sanderson Farms Championship (PGA)
  • 2018: Matt Kuchar
    • T57 – Shriners Hospitals for Children Open (PGA)
    • T23 – Emirates Australian Open (AUS)
    • T30 – Alfred Dunhill Links Championship (EUR)
    • T43 – Dell Technologies Championship (PGA)
    • T60 – THE NORTHERN TRUST (PGA)

 

Previous Winners Finishes at Event:

  • 2022: Russell Henley
    • 2021 – T56
    • 2020 – MC
    • 2019 – MC
    • 2018 – T29
  • 2021: Viktor Hovland
    • 2020 – 1
    • 2019 – MC
    • 2018 – MC
  • 2020: Viktor Hovland
    • 2019 – MC
    • 2018 – MC
  • 2019: Brendon Todd
    • 2016 – MC
    • 2014 – T49
    • 2009 – MC
  • 2018: Matt Kuchar
    • 2016 – T68
    • 2008 – T3
    • 2007 – T18

 

Picks (Outrights):

  • Beau Hossler (+3000) – FanDuel
    • Risk 0.27 to win 8.10 Units
  • J.J. Spaun (+3500) – DraftKings/ FanDuel
    • Risk 0.23 to win 8.05 Units
  • Mark Hubbard (+5500) – FanDuel
    • Risk 0.15 to win 8.25 Units
  • Taylor Pendrith (+5500) – FanDuel
    • Risk 0.15 to win 8.25 Units
  • Taylor Montgomery (+6500) – FanDuel
    • Risk 0.13 to win 8.45 Units
  • Brandon Wu (+7500) – FanDuel
    • Risk 0.11 to win 8.25 Units
  • Vince Whaley (+10000) – FanDuel
    • Risk 0.08 to win 8.00 Units

Total Risk on Outrights: 1.12 Units

 

Picks (Top 20):

  • Cameron Champ (+200) – BetMGM
    • Risk 1.00 to win 2.00 Units
  • Callum Tarren (+250) – BetMGM
    • Risk 1.00 to win 2.50 Units

Total Risk on Top 20: 2.00 Units

 

Picks (Top 40):

  • Matthias Schmid (+120) – BetMGM
    • Risk 1.00 to win 1.20 Units
  • Adam Long (+130) – BetMGM
    • Risk 1.00 to win 1.30 Units

Total Risk on Top 20: 2.00 Units

 

As always, all of my placement bets are through BetMGM as they’re one of the only books without dead-heat rules. If you’d like to bet these placements at BetMGM, you can get up to $1500 in Bonus Bets if you don’t win if you’re a first-time user.

Here’s my link to sign up at BetMGM!

 

Total Risk on the World Wide Technology Championship: 5.12 Units

 

Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting. Any feedback whether positive or negative, is always encouraged.

Fantasy Football Week 9

Bye weeks:  49ers, Broncos, Lions, Jaguars

Key Injuries:

  • QB Kirk Cousins ruptured his Achilles and out for the year.
  • WR Drake London went out with a groin injury.
  • QB Matt Stafford went out with a thumb injury.
  • WR DeVante Parker left with a head injury.
  • WR Kendrick Bourne tore his ACL and is out for the season.
  • QB Kenny Pickett injured his ribs and is questionable.
  • WR Curtis Samuel injured his toe and didn’t return.

Waiver Wire:

  • QB Jaren Hall, but Vikings might make a trade.
  • QB Will Levis for the Titans did well.
  • WR Jahan Dotson for the Commies will be big.
  • WR Jamison Crowder for the Commies will be a decent one as well.
  • QB Kyler Murray in case he’s out there.
  • TE Jake Ferguson for Dallas was impressive.
  • TE Trey McBride was good for the Cardinals with 10 receptions and 14 targets.
  • QB Daniel Jones is back and will start.
  • QB Mitch Trubisky could be a streamer this week against a bad titans secondary.
  • RB Darrell Henderson JR is the man for the Rams.

Non-Starters trending up 

  • RB Rachaad White vs a bad Houston run D.
  • RB Jamaal Williams vs a bad Bears run D is big.
  • RB Gus Edwards vs a bad Seattle run D.
  • QB Derek Carr vs the Bears D looks good.
  • QB CJ Stroud vs the Buccaneers is solid.
  • WR Tank Dell vs the Buccaneers is nice.
  • RB Chuba Hubbard vs the Colts is good.
  • QB Sam Howell vs the Patriots looks solid.
  • WR Jahan Dotson vs the Patriots.

Busts:

  • RB Kenneth Walker vs Baltimore is bad.
  • QB Geno Smith vs Baltimore is also bad.
  • RB Najee Harris vs the Titans is a bust.
  • RB James Cooke vs the Bengals could bust.
  • RB Raheem Mostert vs the Chiefs isn’t good.
  • RB D’Onta Foreman vs the Saints D.

Nasty Sleeper:  WR Chris Olave vs the Bears D.   

 

 

Podcast 80 – 23 – College & NFL Football Recap – Box Scores & Betting Spots – Fantasy Football Week 9 – Sports Betting

We have a great show for you today!   First, Kiev recaps the weekend in college and NFL football with some reactions and some thoughts.  Next, Kiev talks about the good the bad and the ugly in sports from last weekend.  Then, we get into come college and NFL football misleading final scores and betting spots as well as a Free Play for college football week 10.  Finally, Dave is back as we talk some fantasy football Week 9 with key injuries, waivers, booms and busts.  Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com.  Have a wonderful week!

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NFL Week 8 Monday Night Football Prop Play

@theoddsbreakers

#sportsbetting #props #tiktokbetting #freepicks #freeplays #mondaynightfootball #raiders #lionstour

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145-115-6 up 21units in 2023 MLB Thus Far on 9/7/23!

63% for 2022/2023 NBA sides and totals!   22-13 up 6.5 units.  14% ROI

55% All Time NFL Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals!  5.21% ROI

56% 2022/2023 NFL Season 136-109-11 in Sides/Totals/Teasers/Season props up 38.5U

55% All Time College Football Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals!  4.75% ROI

63% FOR 2022 COLLEGE BOWL SEASON UP 27 UNITS!

54% Lifetime All Plays in College Basketball – 3% ROI

38% Lifetime UFC On All Plays 3% ROI

62% 2022 March Madness College Basketball Plays at 30% ROI!!!

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NFL Week 8 Sunday Funday Play – Sports Betting

Saints vs Colts +2 O/U 43.5

So this game is interesting.   The Colts got jobbed last week but the zebras and everyone knows that, but this does not mean that it is a get up spot.  I actually look at it more as a let down.   The Saints are a team that can move the ball, but seem to choke in the Red Zone.  Not today.  The Colts will allow the Saints to score only ranking 23rd in opponent red zone success.   I also do not trust Garner Minshew in a starting roll this year.   I have the Saints Power rated higher than the Colts and we have an official in Craig Wrolstad who tends to favor away teams.

Saints -2 – 2 stars

Teaser:   Giants to +9 with the Lions to -2 – 3 stars

College Football Saturday Super Plays – Sports Betting

 

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55% All Time NFL Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals!  5.21% ROI

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Oregon vs Utah +6.5 O/U 48

This should be a wonderful game that could really set the tone in the Pac 12.  Utah is coming off of a big win at USC while Oregon is coming off of a win but no cover against a meddling Washington State team.  This handicap is interesting because now we know Cam Rising will not come back this year and it’s up to QBs Bryson Barns and Nate Johnson to keep on trucking.  Now the matchup to watch is Oregon’s number 2 passing offense vs Utah’s number 2 passing defense in success rate.   Can Utah slow this Duck’s offense down?   Does a bear crap in the woods?   Yes, I think both.   Oregon’s crutch if they have any is ranking 56 in opponent rushing success rate.  I can see Utah draining clock and moving the ball on the ground.  Most Public Power ratings have Oregon by 7 points or so, but it is missing one key to this handicap, and that is Bo Nix and Danny Lanning on the road.  Oregon has a massive 3.0 net yards per play, but that number goes down to 1.6 on the road.   Utah has a zero in net yards per play, but it goes up to .6 at home.  Utah’s schedule has been MUCH harder as they have played Florida, UCLA, Oregon State and USC while Oregon has only played at Washington while we found out that Washington State was fake news.  Since 2012, Utah is 42-28-1 ATS at home at 60%.  Don’t be scared this Halloween and take the Ute’s at home.

Utah +6.5 – 2.5 stars

Arkansas State vs ULM -2 O/U 56.5

I like the Louisiana Monroe Here.   They have a small net yards per play advantage over Arkansas State of .25.  Neither offense is all that good, but the key here for me is that ULM has had the rougher schedule in my opinion opening up with App State whom they lost to by 1 point, South Alabama who is close to the top of this conference, and some hard fought games at Texas State losing by one and at Georgia Southern.  Arkansas State’s hardest conference game was against Troy losing by over 30.  Monroe’s defense is better against the run and the pass while their offense is much better at running the ball at 4.7 yards per rush to 4.1 respectively.  Lastly the coach, I like Terry Bowden a heck of a lot more than Butch Jones.  ULM needs this conference win.  My power ratings have the Warhawks by 6.25.  I’ll take the -2.5

ULM -2 – 3 stars

 

NHL Player Props to Target – October 27th, 2023

We have six games taking place across the NHL tonight. I’ll break down a few player props to take a look at.

 

Player Props to Target:

  • Jack Eichel over 3.5 Shots on Goal (-130) – PointsBet/ BetRivers
    • Eichel has gone over this number in four of his last five games. During that span, he’s averaging 5.4 shots on goal and 7.0 shot attempts per game.
    • Chicago currently ranks 31st in shots on goal allowed per game averaging 36.29. On the road, that number jumps up to 37.40. They’ve also given up the 5th most shots on goal per game to Centers.
    • In three of his last four matchups against the Blackhawks, Eichel has recorded over 3.5 shots on goal.

 

  • Sebastian Aho over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-155) – BetMGM
    • Aho has gone over this number in four of his last five games. During that span, he’s averaging 3.2 shots on goal and 5.8 shot attempts per game.
    • San Jose currently ranks 32nd in shots on goal allowed per game averaging 37.57. They’ve also given up the most shots on goal per game to Left Wingers.
    • In each of his last three matchups against the Sharks, Aho has recorded over 2.5 shots on goal.

 

  • Mats Zuccarello over 2.5 Shots on Goal (+105) – BetMGM
    • Zuccarello has gone over this number in three of his last five games. During that span, he’s averaging 2.5 shots on goal and 5.2 shot attempts per game.
    • Washington currently ranks 8th in shots on goal allowed per game averaging 28.50. However, at home, that number jumps up to 30.67. They’ve also given up the 4th most shots on goal per game to Right Wingers.
    • In three of his last four matchups against the Capitals, Zuccarello has recorded over 2.5 shots on goal.

 

  • Pierre-Luc Dubois over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-135) – DraftKings
    • Dubois has gone over this number in four of his last five games. During that span, he’s averaging 3.0 shots on goal and 4.6 shot attempts per game.
    • Arizona currently ranks 20th in shots on goal allowed per game averaging 30.83. However, at home, that number jumps up to 33.00. They’ve also given up the 12th most shots on goal per game to Centers.
    • In each of his last eight matchups against the Coyotes, Dubois has recorded over 2.5 shots on goal.

 

  • Quinn Hughes over 2.5 Shots on Goal (+108) – Caesars
    • Hughes has gone over this number in four of his last five games. During that span, he’s averaging 3.6 shots on goal and 8.8 shot attempts per game.
    • St. Louis currently ranks 25th in shots on goal allowed per game averaging 32.83. They’ve also given up the 4th most shots on goal per game to Defensemen.
    • In two of his last three matchups against the Blues, Hughes has recorded over 2.5 shots on goal.

 

Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting.

Alan Cashman Week 9 CFB: Wyoming at Boise St

Alan Cashman’s Page at the OddsBreakers

Wyoming at Boise St 5:30 pm

PICK: Wyoming +5 / 2 stars

I like Wyoming more now that I am reading that Waylee at HB appears to be playing.

Boise St does run the ball well. Wyoming has not been great against the run. But Green at QB for Boise is a better runner than he is a passer. Green completes just 53% of his passes.

Wyoming’s defense #17 in yards per pass allowed and and Boise St offenses is #110 in completion %.

BSU is -4 in turnover margin while Wyoming is +5 (+7 last 4 games)

Boise St does not run away from teams on the scoreboard.

2 road games for Wyoming, at Texas and at Air Force, 2 good teams. Wyoming held Texas to 316 yards, but only 113 yards passing, and trailed 10-7 at halftime without their starting QB, Peasley, playing. Wyoming lost 31-10 with the backup.

At Air Force, Wyoming lost 34-27 but did not have Waylee at HB who is easily the best Back on the team. Wyoming could not stop the rush.

Boise will likely get some rush yards but I am not sure they can stop Wyoming.

Just don’t see BSU pulling away here

Week 9 College Football from Alan Cashman: UConn at Boston College

Alan Cashman’s OddsBreakers Page

College Football Saturday

UConn +14 at Boston College 12 pm

PICK: UConn +14.5 / star

Both teams with sound run games and not great at defending the run.

Boston College has not been a team that wins by a big margin until last week at Georgia Tech but they picked off Haynes King 3 times, one for a Pick 6. BC still allowed GT 250 yards rushing and over 450 total yards in the game. BC had 14 points off of turnovers

A slow start to the season for UConn but they’ve played better lately. Since the 41-7 loss to Duke, UConn is 1-2 with the 2 losses to Utah St and USF by a total of 4 points combined.

I thought UConn would be a dog team to bet coming into the season, but they were a little slow to start. I think maybe they’ve reached that point now.

Teams are combining to gain and allow around 800 yards the past 3 games.
Teams combining for 60 ppg last 3 games
Teams combining to allow 53.4 ppg last 3 games
UConn #47 Strength of Schedule
BC #84 Strength of Schedule

Both offenses in the top 30 best in sack% allowed, also reflected in below average def pass rush grade, Both offenses should have some time to pass to go with good run offenses and bad run defenses.