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145-115-6 up 21units in 2023 MLB Thus Far on 9/7/23!
63% for 2022/2023 NBA sides and totals! 22-13 up 6.5 units. 14% ROI
55% All Time NFL Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals! 5.21% ROI
56% 2022/2023 NFL Season 136-109-11 in Sides/Totals/Teasers/Season props up 38.5U
55% All Time College Football Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals! 4.75% ROI
63% FOR 2022 COLLEGE BOWL SEASON UP 27 UNITS!
54% Lifetime All Plays in College Basketball – 3% ROI
38% Lifetime UFC On All Plays 3% ROI
62% 2022 March Madness College Basketball Plays at 30% ROI!!!
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The World Series is upon us. Series Prices: Texas -170, Arizona +150
The likely duo we were all expecting at the start of the MLB playoffs right? Texas vs Arizona. I can’t say I predicted it in any way shape or form. I thought the Rangers were done when Degrom went down. Then I thought they were done again with Scherzer getting hurt. The right pieces stepped up and their offense with their 3rd best MLB OPS has led the way to get to this point. Arizona has been led this post-season by the pitching staff and their 3.23 ERA. That being said I just don’t trust either of these teams enough to take a full series side at current prices, and hey it’s baseball anything can happen. What I don’t believe will happen is a pitcher winning World Series MVP. Neither team seems destined to shorten the rotation so far. The Snakes ran out a bullpen crew in Game 4 against the Phillies in a must win game, and the Rangers went Heaney into Dunning as Andrew exploded early in game 4 against the Astros. I just don’t think we see Gallen or Eovaldi in Game 4 unless one team is down 3-0.
So if pitchers aren’t getting the MVP and I’ve got a lean to a side, how can I bet the World Series to maximize value? I’m placing MVP bets on some key bats on the side I like. Feel free to message me on Twitter @TheGreatKnoche if you want to know which side I’m betting. Below are the bets I’d make depending on who you like. Use a Dutching tool to maximize value and get some plus money on whatever side is your lean. Is it possible someone else wins MVP? Sure, but my money is on one of the guys below. Remember you’re only betting one grouping. Let’s get a winner!
[All plays are to win 1 Unit unless otherwise noted]
Colorado Avalanche (-141) – Caesars
Colorado has started the season off strong winning their first six games. They’re 2nd in GF/GP and 3rd in GA/GP. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh has had a slow start to the season going 2-4 through their first six games. They’ve been mediocre on both offense and defense. The biggest advantage for Colorado tonight is their goaltender. Alexandar Georgiev currently leads the NHL in Goals Saved Above Expected (GSAx) with a +8.2. Tristan Jarry, the expected starter for Pittsburgh tonight ranks 54th with a -1.6 GSAx.
William Nylander over 3.5 Shots on Goal (-112) – BetRivers
Nylander has gone over this number in four of his last six games. During that span, he’s averaging 4.0 shots on goal and 7.3 shot attempts per game.
Dallas currently ranks 26th in shots on goal allowed per game averaging 33.20. They’ve also given up the most shots on goal per game to Right Wingers.
In three of his last four matchups against the Stars, Nylander has recorded over 3.5 shots on goal.
San Jose Sharks/ Tampa Bay Lightning over 6.5 (-110) – FanDuel
While I expect the Lightning to provide the majority of scoring in this matchup, the Sharks should be able to contribute 2-3 to the total. Tampa Bay ranks 21st in GA/Gp averaging 3.43. Jonas Johansson, who’s the expected start for the Bolts tonight has allowed three or more goals in three of his last four starts. The Shark’s defense, which ranks 26th in GA/GP averaging 3.67 should be no match for Tampa Bay’s offense who’s been red hot as of late. San Jose’s expected starter, Mackenzie Blackwood has also allowed three or more goals in three of his last four starts.
[JOEL HOFER HAS BEEN CONFIRMED AS THE STARTER FOR ST. LOUIS, IGNORE THIS PLAY]
St. Louis Blues/ Calgary Flames Under 6.5 (-134) – FanDuel
Calgary has struggled to start the season with a 2-4-1 record. They have 8th highest Expected Goals For (13.34) but have only scored 11. Opposite of that they rank 16th in Expected Goals Against (11.3) but have given up 19, which is the worst Goal differential in the NHL. The good news is Markstrom is expected to get the start tonight for Calgary who’s been the better goalie of the two. St. Louis has also had a slow start to the season with a 2-2-1 record. The Blues have been great defensively this season, but they have struggled on offense. They have the worst Expected Goals For (8.16) in the NHL and have only scored 8. While Calgary has struggled defensively, the Blues haven’t shown any signs of improving on offense. The Blues should also be able to shut down the Flames up front, especially with Binnington in net who ranks 7th in GSAx with a +4.2.
Player Props to Target:
Brayden Point over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-145) – DraftKings
Point has gone over this number in three of his last five games. During that span, he’s averaging 2.6 shots on goal and 4.8 shot attempts per game.
San Jose currently ranks 32nd in shots on goal allowed per game averaging 38.5. They’ve also given up the 6th most shots on goal per game to Centers.
In three of his last four matchups against the Sharks, Point has recorded over 2.5 shots on goal.
Reilly Smith over 1.5 Shots on Goal (-166) – DraftKings
Smith has gone over this number in four of his last six games. During that span, he’s averaging 2.7 shots on goal and 4.0 shot attempts per game.
Colorado currently ranks 11th in shots on goal allowed per game averaging 28.67. However, that number increases to 31.75 on the road. They’ve also given up the 4th most shots on goal per game to Left Wingers.
In five of his last six matchups against the Avalanche, Smith has recorded over 1.5 shots on goal.
Mike Matheson over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-140) – DraftKings/ PointsBet
Matheson has gone over this number in four of his last six games. During that span, he’s averaging 3.3 shots on goal and 4.67 shot attempts per game.
Columbus currently ranks 25th in shots on goal allowed per game averaging 33.17. They’ve also given up the 3rd most shots on goal per game to Defensemen.
In four of his last five matchups against the Blue Jackets, Matheson has recorded over 2.5 shots on goal.
Scott Laughton over 1.5 Shots on Goal (-175) – DraftKings/ BetMGM
Laughton has gone over this number in five of his last six games. During that span, he’s averaging 3.7 shots on goal and 5.0 shot attempts per game.
Minnesota currently ranks 28th in shots on goal allowed per game averaging 35.17. They’ve also given up the 4th most shots on goal per game to Centers.
In each of his last three matchups against the Wild, Laughton has recorded over 1.5 shots on goal.
Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting.
USE PROMO CODE Football2023 TO GET $50 OFF EVERY FOOTBALL PACKAGE AND $50 OFF EVERY MONTHLY MEMBERSHIP FOR THE FIRST MONTH! Click Here: https://theoddsbreakers.com/premium-plays/ Offer expires December 17th 2023
To get Kiev’s premium winners, and to support his hard work at The OddsBreakers, pleaseClick here to get his no obligation membership packages!!! We believe in getting the best of the number and it is the only way that we do business!
145-115-6 up 21units in 2023 MLB Thus Far on 9/7/23!
63% for 2022/2023 NBA sides and totals! 22-13 up 6.5 units. 14% ROI
55% All Time NFL Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals! 5.21% ROI
56% 2022/2023 NFL Season 136-109-11 in Sides/Totals/Teasers/Season props up 38.5U
55% All Time College Football Sides, Teasers, Parlays, Props and Totals! 4.75% ROI
63% FOR 2022 COLLEGE BOWL SEASON UP 27 UNITS!
54% Lifetime All Plays in College Basketball – 3% ROI
38% Lifetime UFC On All Plays 3% ROI
62% 2022 March Madness College Basketball Plays at 30% ROI!!!
If you want to take ownership of your health, try AG1 and get a FREE 1-year supply of Vitamin D AND 5 Free AG1 Travel Packs with your first purchase. Go to drinkAG1.com/oddsbreakers
The concept for “Quick Nine” is to give golf gamblers a behind-the-scenes look into their favorite personalities backgrounds and strategies.
On this week’s episode of Quick Nine, I talk with Geoff Ulrich (@thefantasygrind) about a variety of topics including his start in golf gambling and his job at DraftKings Network.
Topics:
I won’t ask any personal questions but can you tell me about your introduction to gambling and more specifically golf betting?
Off that, how did you get into sports gambling writing?
For golf betting, you focus on the Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) aspect of things? There are obviously several ways to bet on golf but how did DFS capture your attention?
You’re a contributor/ writer for the DraftKings Network, can you tell me a little about how that came to be?
Favorite Tournament/ Course
Major
Outside a Major
Course you personally played
How do you approach a tournament?
First thing you look at (Oddsboard or research?)
Website for Stats (Betsperts, Fantasy National, Rick Run Good, DataGolf)
Any content you consume weekly from fellow gamblers?
Articles, Podcasts, Twitter
In terms of constructing your DFS lineup for each event, is there a specific process you follow or does it vary each week?
Common Mistake Golf Betters make?
Maybe a personal experience or one you’ve seen consistently
Time captioned below: We have a freakishly great show for you today! Brad Powers @BradPowers7 from Brad Powers Sports comes on to break down a spooky week of college football. First, Kiev discusses a saying that you should distant yourself from in sports betting. Next, Kiev gets into NFL week 8 with some Free Plays and some leans. After that, Kiev gives out his refuse to lose teaser that is 6-1 thus far for the 2023 season! Then, Brad comes on and the guys get right into some market questions and some teams that might have some value over the next few weeks. After that, the guys get into some of the best value as well as the biggest games in college football week 9! Finally, we get into some college and NFL sharp money movement. Should you have any questions for the podcast for Monday, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com. Have a wonderful week!
0 – 5:35 intro and info
5:36 – 39:30 – NFL Week 9
39:31 – 1:44:20 – College Football Week 9
1:44:21 – 1:47:00 – Sharp Money
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