After a day off the NBA is BACK! I have four plays for everyone today that I love. So good luck and lets build off of last Friday!
Player props to target:
Jalen Smith, Pacers 1+ three’s made (-105) Draft kings
Smith has gone over this number 8 out of his last 10 games at home, and 9 out of 10 overall.
Jalen Smith hit 1+ three in over half of his games last season.
To start the season he has gone over this number in 5 of the first 6 games. 5 of which came at home.
Jalen Smith, Pacers over 9.5 points (+102) Fanduel
In his last 8 out of 10 games, Jalen has hit this over. In the two games he went under, He missed the mark by a combined three points.
In the one game he faced the Jazz last year, he scored 14, which was on the road.
Anthony Edwards, Timberwolves over 24.5 points (-110) Draft kings
Anthony Edwards as been hot to start the year. Averaging 28 points to start the year, and hitting this mark 4 out of the first 6 games of the season.
in the two games this number went under, he scored 19 and 24 points.
last season, Edwards hit this in over half of his games, along with hitting the over 66% of the time at home.
Khris Middleton, Bucks over 3.5 assists (-135) DraftKings
Out of his first 5 games to start the season, Middleton has gone over this number 4 times.
Last season he went over this number in 79% of his games.
In his last 5 games at home, Middleton has gone over in each of those games.
Best of luck to everyone! As always feel free to follow me on Twitter (X) @MileHighScore. If you are wanting an app that not only tracks your bets, but allows you to shop for the best lines on the books you use download Betstamp and use code JOHNNYG! Have a great Wednesday everyone!
The concept for “Quick Nine” is to give golf gamblers a behind-the-scenes look into their favorite personalities backgrounds and strategies.
On this week’s episode of Quick Nine, I talk with Byron Lindeque (@TheModelManiac) about a variety of topics including his start in golf gambling and his job at Roto Baller.
Topics:
You’re a South African Native and played college golf in Iowa. How did you get introduced to gambling and more specifically golf betting?
You’re a Contributor & News Desk Lead at Roto Baller PGA, can you tell me a little about how that came to be?
You’re well-known on Twitter for your graphics and more specifically your models. I’m assuming your degree in finance played a role in your Excel golf model? Do you mind discussing your trials and tribulations while solidifying your model?
You cover a variety of golf betting topics including standard outrights, placements, etc, and also DFS. Do you have a preference for one and which one have you found more success with?
Favorite Tournament/ Course
Major
Outside a Major
Course you personally played
When you’re making your selections each week, how do you approach a tournament?
First thing you look at (Oddsboard or research?)
Website for Stats (Betsperts, Fantasy National, Rick Run Good, DataGolf)
Any content you consume weekly from fellow gamblers?
How do you construct your card?
Do you start with Outrights, Placements, or First Round Leaders?
Congrats to all Erik van Rooyen backers last week at the World Wide Technology Championship! We failed to hit an outright last week but did cash both of our top 40 placements, Matthias Schmid (+120) and Adam Long (+130).
Let’s get into this week’s storylines…
The Butterfield Bermuda Championship is the penultimate event of the inaugural FedExCup Fall, a group of seven tournaments played after the TOUR Championship that finalizes eligibility for the 2024 PGA TOUR Season. Nos. 1-50 in the FedExCup standings through the TOUR Championship are locked in their positions while Nos. 51 and beyond carry their FedExCup points over. Nos. 51-60 through the FedExCup Fall will qualify for two Signature Events in 2024: AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am and The Genesis Invitational. The Top 125 will be exempt into all Full-Field events and THE PLAYERS next season and Nos. 126-150 will earn Korn Ferry Tour status and conditional status on TOUR next season.
Winners of events during the FedExCup Fall receive the same benefits as winners of Full-Field Events during the Regular Season.
Adam Scott, the current favorite at this week’s event will play in his second FedExCup Fall event. This will be his debut at Port Royal Golf Course.
George Byran, brother of PGA TOUR winner Wesley Bryan is set to make his PGA TOUR Debut. The Bryan brothers are mostly known for the YouTube channel “BryanBros”.
Oliver Betschart at just 15 years old earned a spot in the field via a 54-hole local qualifier. He’s one of three Bermudians to qualify via the event in addition to Scott Roy and Eric West. Betschart is also the second youngest player ever to compete in a PGA TOUR event.
Sunday: Mostly Cloudy 72 F, 17 mp/h N, 73% Humidity, 23% Chance of Rain
Course/ Tournament History:
The inaugural Butterfield Bermuda Championship was held in 2019, however, it was an alternate event back then. In 2020, this event started to offer 500 FedEx Cup points and became an official event on the Tour.
Port Royal Golf Course has played host to this event since its inauguration. It was founded in 1965 but didn’t open until 1970 under the design of Robert Trent Jones. Through the years, the course has undergone several renovations but, the last major renovation was by Roger Rulewich in 2008 in preparation for hosting the 2009 PGA Grand Slam of Golf.
72-Hole Record:
260, Brendon Todd (2019)
18-Hole Record :
61, Taylor Pendrith (second round, 2021)
Course Guide/ Scorecard:
Port Royal Golf Course is a Par 71 that plays 6,828 yards. The layout features four Par 3’s, eleven Par 4’s, and three Par 5’s. It’s one of the shortest courses on Tour with the main defense being the wind.
The four Par 3’s range between 148 yards and 235 yards. At the 2022 Butterfield Bermuda Championship, only one (No. 3), had a scoring average under par.
No. 8, 213 yards, Par 3: “This is a demanding par 3 and the large green perched on the ocean will present the golfer with a challenge. Bunkers surround the target and beware – the ocean awaits the long ball. A par here is a hard-earned achievement.”
No. 16, 235 yards, Par 3: “This is truly one of the most spectacular holes in world golf. The tee shot will require a solidly hit shot across the ocean to a green perched high above the ocean on its own peninsular, A well-bunkered green offers the player a small target to find and, with the prevailing winds, this hole has the ability to fool the strongest of minds. A shot to the right will be safe from the ocean but missing the traps will be a challenge.”
Six of the eleven Par 4’s range between 350 – 400 yards. No. 10 is the shortest Par 4’s listed at 350 yards with the longest being No. 4, at 458 yards.
No. 15, 412 yards, Par 4: “A dogleg to the right, with the ocean on the left and a steep run off to the right, will be the initial issues the golfer faces. Two well-placed traps on the left of the fairway must be avoided, so play for position from this tee. A risk/reward shot is available with a well-struck drive down the right leaving a short iron into a well-protected, undulating green. Achieving a par here is a challenge.”
No. 18, 410 yards, Par 4: “A long, straight, uphill par 4 requiring a well-struck tee shot to a tiered fairway with bunkers left and right – this is a visually excellent hole. The second shot to a raised green will test your skill set and be sure to take an extra club for this shot to the three-tiered front-to-back sloping green. You will face a constant challenge to the end on this hole.”
The three Par 5’s are No. 2, 7, and 17. None of the Par 5’s are listed over 600 yards. All of the Par 5’s had a scoring average below par at the 2022 Butterfield Bermuda Championship.
No. 2, 553 yards, Par 5: “This is a serious par 5, three-shot hole. Water off the tee gives way to a left-to-right sweeping dog leg, trees left and right with bunkers to threaten the off-center shot. You will need to play for position on the 2nd shot. This gives way to a short iron approach to a raised green well protected on all sides by deep bunkers.”
No. 17, 507 yards, Par 5: “The prevailing wind will punish you here and a well positioned tee shot is necessary. The water on the left will make the big hitter think and the well-trapped right side will certainly favor the conservative player. The second shot is all about position and an accurate lay-up is required to leave you with a challenging third shot to a raised green, but beware of the run-off. An undulating green caps off this challenging par 5.”
Featured/ Signature Hole(s): 16
For a hole-by-hole overview of the course, you can click the following link.
Key Statistics:
Strokes Gained: Approach
As with most tournaments on TOUR, strokes gained on approach is a major factor. While this course does have some of the largest greens on Tour, it shouldn’t be a straightforward task this week as the wind is predicted to be around 15 mph.
Strokes Gained: Tee to Green
Strokes Gained: Putting (Bermuda)
The green complexes at Port Royal Golf Course are Tif Eagle bermudagrass.
Par 3 Scoring: 225 – 250 Yards (x2)
Two of the four Par 3’s range between 225 – 250 Yards
Par 4 Scoring: 350 – 400 Yards (x6)
Six of the eleven Par 4’s range between 350 – 400 Yards
Par 5 Scoring: 500 – 550 Yards (x2)
Two of the three Par 5’s range between 500 – 550 Yards
Birdies or Better Gained
The previous winning scores at this event have been between -15 and -24. Players will need to take advantage of every scoring opportunity if they want to have a chance at winning.
Comparable Courses and Event History
This will be the fifth edition of the Butterfield Bermuda Championship played at Port Royal Golf Course so have a few years of course history that we can go off. Two of the four previous winners had top 15 finishes before winning here while the other two previous winners won in their debut.
The Field/ Odds:
There will be 132 players competing in this year’s Butterfield Bermuda Championship. Only two of the world’s top fifty players are in the field. Here are the current favorites in this week’s event:
Adam Scott (+1400) will play in his first Butterfield Bermuda Championship. This will be his second FedExCup Fall Event as he finished T41 at the ZOZO Championship last month.
Brendon Todd (+1600) finished 6th at the Fortinent Championship in his first FedExCup Fall Event. He has not missed a cut since June at the Travelers Championship. Since then, he has played in seven events with three top-10 finishes. Todd won this event back in 2019 and currently holds the 72-hole record. He did play in his tournament last year and missed the cut.
Lucas Herbert (+1800) won the Butterfield Bermuda Championship back in 2021. Last week at the World Wide Technology Championship he finished T31. Before that, he missed the cut at the Shriners Children’s Open but finished inside the top 30 at both the Sanderson Farms Championship and Fortinent Championship.
Akshay Bhatia (+1800) finished T17 in his debut at this tournament last year. He won his first event on the PGA Tour earlier this year at the Barracuda Championship. Following that victory, he missed the cut twice. However, he’s been in much better form as of late finishing T10 at last week’s event and T21 at the ZOZO Championship.
Thomas Detry (+2000) was the runner-up to Seamus Power at this tournament last year. In his only other appearance at this event, he finished T22 in 2021. He has not missed a cut since July at the Rocket Mortgage Classic. Since then, he has played in six PGA TOUR events with one top-20 finish.
Previous Winners in the Field:
Lucas Herbert (’21), Brian Gay (’20), Brendon Todd (’19)
Notable Withdraws:
Greyson Sigg, Cameron Champ, Tyler Duncan, Nate Lashley, Chad Ramey, K.H. Lee, Will Gordon, Aaron Baddeley, Carson Young, Chesson Hadley, Erik van Rooyen, Mackenzie Hughes
To see the most up-to-date odds, you can click the following link.
To see the full field for this event and how they qualified, you can click the following link.
Horses for Courses:
Butterfield Bermuda Championship
Butterfield Bermuda Championship
Bermuda Championship
Bermuda Championship
Port Royal Golf Course
Port Royal Golf Course
Port Royal Golf Course
Port Royal Golf Course
2022
2021
2020
2019
Brian Gay
T11
T12
1
T3
Thomas Detry
2
T22
–
–
Justin Lower
T8
T17
–
–
Stewart Cink
–
–
T4
4
Alex Smalley
T11
T12
Doc Redman
–
–
T4
T35
Sean O’Hair
T11
T22
–
–
Peter Malnati
–
T7
T21
T22
Donkeys for Courses:
“Horses for Courses” is a phrase that is widely used and describes the best course/tournament fits. These are players that have had success at the particular course/event. “Donkeys for Courses” is something I came up with that highlights the players who have struggled at a specific course/tournament.
Butterfield Bermuda Championship
Butterfield Bermuda Championship
Bermuda Championship
Bermuda Championship
Port Royal Golf Course
Port Royal Golf Course
Port Royal Golf Course
Port Royal Golf Course
2022
2021
2020
2019
Matthias Schwab
MC
51
–
–
Chris Stroud
MC
MC
–
–
Brian Stuard
T54
MC
MC
T51
Harry Hall
T63
MC
–
–
Martin Trainer
MC
MC
–
–
Ricky Barnes
MC
MC
T63
T53
Bo Van Pelt
MC
–
MC
MC
Charley Hoffman
T29
–
MC
MC
Wesley Bryan
MC
–
MC
MC
Thomas Gainey
WD
MC
MC
MC
Michael Sims
MC
MC
MC
MC
George McNeill
–
–
MC
MC
Kevin Stadler
–
MC
MC
MC
Greg Koch
MC
MC
–
–
Kelly Kraft
–
–
MC
MC
Matt Every
–
WD
MC
MC
Previous Winners Scores & Prices:
2022: Seamus Power (-19)
Price: 22-1
2021: Lucas Herbert (-15)
Price: 80-1
2020: Brian Gay (-15)
Price: 200-1
2019: Brendon Todd (-24)
Price: 100-1
Facts & Figures:
Each of the last four winners had missed a cut in one of their two previous starts on the PGA TOUR before winning the Butterfield Bermuda Championship.
Brian Gay is the only player in the field to have made the cut in all four editions of the Butterfield Bermuda Championship. In addition to Gay, there are three other players (Russell Knox, Denny McCarthy, and Seamus Power) who have accomplished this feat but are not in the field this week.
As always, all of my placement bets are through BetMGM as they’re one of the only books without dead-heat rules. If you’d like to bet these placements at BetMGM, you can get up to $1500 in Bonus Bets if you don’t win if you’re a first-time user.
Total Risk on the Butterfield Bermuda Championship: 5.06 Units
Best of luck, and as always you can find me on Twitter @GatorBetting and Instagram @Gator_Sports_Betting. Any feedback whether positive or negative, is always encouraged.
We have a great show for you today! First, Kiev recaps the weekend in college and NFL football with some reactions and some thoughts. Next, Kiev talks about the good the bad and the ugly in sports from last weekend. Then, we get into come college and NFL football misleading final scores and betting spots as well as a Free Play for college football week 10. After that, Kiev gives you a quick 2023 Big 10 preview in college basketball with a play for the 2023 season. Finally, Dave comes on to talk some fantasy football Week 10 with key injuries, waivers, booms and busts. Should you have any questions for the podcast, or games that you want us to cap during our shows, please message us at Info@TheOddsBreakers.com. Have a wonderful week!
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USE PROMO CODE Football2023 TO GET $50 OFF EVERY FOOTBALL PACKAGE AND $50 OFF EVERY MONTHLY MEMBERSHIP FOR THE FIRST MONTH! Click Here: https://theoddsbreakers.com/premium-plays/ Offer expires December 17th 2023
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Once again, there is a large amount of coaching changes this year for the 2023/2024 college basketball season. As sports bettors, and/or college basketball fans, we all know how important these coaches are to projecting outcomes. Pace is a massive factor when it comes to the point differential as well as the total amount of points that are scored in a game. I categorize each team as Very Fast, Medium Fast, Medium, Medium Slow, Very Slower and NA for not enough information. Keep in mind that these are all projections based on association, and past performance. Here are the coaching changes with my projections for 2023/2024 pace of play. Follow me on twitter for more wagering content @OBKiev.
Pace Rankings:
0 – 40 Very Fast
41 – 120 Medium Fast
121 – 240 Medium
241 to 320 Medium Slow
321 to 366 Very Slow
College Coaches: Out / In
American University Eagles: Mike Brennan / Duane Simpkins – Duane Simpkins comes from George Mason as an assistant that under Kim English plays a medium pace. Last year, American ranked 352nd in pace while I project in the 210s. Very Slow to Medium Arkansas State Red Wolves: Mike Balado / Bryan Hodgson – This will be massive. Arkansas State ranked 344th in pace while Bryan Hodgson comes from Alabama who ranked 4th last year. Before that he was at Buffalo also under Nate Oats. I project top 10 in pace. Very Slow to Very Fast Army Black Knights: Jimmy Allen / Kevin Kuwik – Army played an above average pace over the last few years but Kevin Kuwik’s history as an assistant at Davidson and Butler show’s tempos in the low 200s and 300s. I project 290s for pace. Medium Fast to Medium slow Austin Peay Governors: Nate James / Corey Gipson – Not hard to see that Corey Gipson was at 213th in pace last year at NW State. Under Nate James the Demons ranked 310th. I think it stays the same in the 310s. – Medium to Medium Slow Bowling Green Falcons: Michael Huger / Todd Simon – Bowling Green’s pace was 56th last year and Todd Simon from Southern Utah averaged around 60th over the past 2 years. I project 60s and no change. – Medium Fast to Medium Fast Bucknell Bison: Nathan Davis / John Griffin III – Bucknell was 200th in pace under Nate Davis last year and John Griffin as an assistant at Saint Josephs ranked 74th last year. I project in the 80s for pace of play. Medium to Medium Fast Buffalo Bulls: Jim Whitesell / George Halcovage III – The pace may be the biggest slow down in all of CBB. George Halcovage came from Villanova at a pace ranking 333rd, while Buffalo ranked 12th last year. I project the pace in the 330s. Very Fast to Very Slow California Golden Bears: Mark Fox / Mark Madsen – Cal was a very slow 343rd pace last year under Fox. Madsen will speed that up ranking 41st last year at Utah Valley. The WAC was a fast paced conference in general so I think that the pace ranks in the 70s. Very Slow to Medium Fast Cal State Northridge Matadors: Trent Johnson / Andy Newman – Northridge ranked 284th in pace, but hard to tell what Andy Newman will do from a lower division, yet their total final scores were mainly well over 150 points. Seinfeld would say “Newman” will speed it up. I project 30s. – Medium Slow to Very Fast Charlotte 49ers: Ron Sanchez / Aaron Fearne – Aarone Fearne was promoted to head coach yet this team was super slow paced at 362nd. I don’t think it remains that low but I would say the 320s is fair. Medium Slow to Medium Slow Coppin State Eagles: Juan Dixon / Larry Stewart – Juan Dixon’s pace ranked 19th at Coppin State while Larry Stewart’s pace was 55th last year as an assistant at Maryland Eastern Shore. Low confidence, but I think not much changes and pace ranked in the 40s makes sense. – Very Fast to Very Fast East Tennessee State Buccaneers: Desmond Oliver / Brooks Savage – The Buccaneers ranked 268th in pace with Oliver. Brooks Savage was an assistant there for 5 years before being an assistant at Wake forest with a faster pace of 66th. I project the pace in the 70s. Medium Slow to Medium Fast Fairleigh Dickinson Knights: Tobin Anderson / Jack Castleberry – King of the Castleberry was promoted to head coach and over the last few years, pace averaged in the 70s. That looks good to me in the 70s. – Medium Slow to Medium Slow George Mason Patriots: Kim English / Tony Skinn – Kim English ranked 225 in pace while Tony Skinn comes from the Big 10 as an assistant from a few schools around 280th. I project pace at the 250s – Medium to Medium Slow Georgetown Hoyas: Patrick Ewing / Ed Cooley – Patrick Ewing did have this team playing faster before his last year ranking 100th in pace. Ed Cooley is around the 200s and that is where I will stay for my projection. Great hire though! – Medium Fast to Medium Georgia Southern Eagles: Brian Burg / Charlie Henry – Brian Burg ranked 208th in pace last year while Charlie Henry comes from Alabama. I project 20s in pace – Medium to Very Fast Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets: Josh Pastner / Damon Stoudamire – Pastner ranked 212th in pace last year at Tech. Damon Staudamire’s time with Pacific was about 300th in pace. That looks good to me in the 290s – Medium to Medium Slow Green Bay Phoenix: Will Ryan / Sundance Wicks – Will Ryan was at 292nd in pace while Will Ryan as an assistant at Wyoming was around the 280s himself. No change and I will say in the 280s in pace. – Medium Slow to Medium Slow High Point Panthers: GG Smith / Alan Huss – GG Smith ranked 20th in pace at Highpoint while Alan Huss was in the middle as an assistant at Creighton over the past few years, however I believe he goes back to his faster roots in Creighton’s earlier years. I say they rank in the 70s in pace.. – Very fast to Medium Fast Holy Cross Crusaders: Brett Nelson / Dave Paulsen – Coach Nelson was at 89th in pace while Dave Paulson at Fordham last year as an assistant ranked 53rd. Gonna go with 60s this year – Medium Fast to Medium Fast Idaho Vandals: Zac Claus / Alex Pribble – Idaho last year ranked 257th in pace while Alex Pribble at Seattle as an assistant ranked 86th. I am going to say 100s in pace for 2024. – Medium Slow to Medium Fast Incarnate Ward Cardinals: Carson Cunningham / Shane Heirman – Carson Ranked 192nd in pace for the Cardinals while Shane Heirman ranked 179th as an assistant at Central Michigan. I think he goes back closer to his roots as an assistant at Depaul and ranks around 130s in pace. – Medium to Medium Iona Gaels: Rick Pitino / Tobin Anderson – No change here at all. Rick Pitino ranked 103rd while Tobin Anderson ranked 106th last year at Fairleigh Dickinson. 100s is the answer. – Medium Fast to Medium Fast Kennesaw State Owls: Amir Abdur-Rahim / Antoine Pettway – Kennesaw ranked 121st in pace but Antoine Pettway was an assistant at Alabama who plays lighting speed. By the way, how many assistants did Nate Oats have over there last year? I project top 10s. Medium to Very Fast Lafayette Leopards: Mike Jordan / Mike McGarvey – No change here at 349th in pace. Jordan was fired and McGarvey takes over. Tempo in the 340s is a good projection. – Very Slow to Very Slow Manhattan Jaspers: Steve Masiello / John Gallagher – Masiello ranked 186th in pace before he was canned in Manhattan. Gallagher crushed a few watermelons and ranked about the same in Harford who isn’t in the Division 1 anymore. Gonna project 180s. – Medium to Medium McNeese St. Cowboys: John Aiken / Will Wade – A bit of a downgrade from LSU for the Will Wade slowed it down some in his last year at LSU, but this still should be looked at as an upgrade in pace from 232nd. I will say the pace will be 70s. – Medium Slow to Medium Fast Montana State Bobcats: Danny Sprinkle / Matt Logie – This team was 221st in pace under Danny Sprinkle the money-line, but Matt Logie coming from Point Loma is hard to find info on. Their website doesn’t even work. – NA New Hampshire Wildcats: Bill Herrion / Nathan Davis – This team played very slowly ranking 329th in pace. Nathan Davis’s 8 years at Bucknell showed around 200th for pace. I project the pace to rank in the 190s. – Very Slow to Medium NJIT Highlanders: Brian Kennedy / Grant Billmeier – Brian Kennedy’s Highlanders ranked 229 last year in pace while Grant Billmeier as an assistant at Maryland and Seton hall under Kevin Willard before ranked 326th in pace. I however project 310s in pace in this AEC conference. – Medium to Medium Slow New Mexico State Aggies: Greg Heiar / Jason Hooten – Greg Heiar had the Aggies ranked 77th in pace while Jason Hooten at Sam Houston State ranked 314. I expect pace in the 300s. – Medium Fast to Medium Slow Nicholls Colonels: Austin Claunch / Tevon Saddler – Austin Claunch had this team running ranking 36th in pace. Now Tevon Saddler takes over and when he was an assistant at McNeese State, he ranked 232 in pace. I expect him in the 230s. – Very Fast to Medium Slow North Carolina A&T Aggies: Phillip Shumpert / Monte Ross – The Aggies ranked a pretty fast 45th in pace while Monte Ross over at Temple as an assistant under Aaron McKie ranked 251st. I expect pace in the 230s. – Medium Fast to Medium Slow North Texas Mean Green: Grant McCasland / Ross Hodge – The Mean Green have been amazing over the past few years with an amazingly slow pace ranking 363rd. Ross Hodge is promoted with Grant McCasland heading over to Texas Tech and I expect the very same pace in the 360s – Very Slow to Very Slow Northwestern State Demons: Corey Gipson / Rick Cabrera – The Demon’s ranked 213th in pace while Rick Cabrera was at a Tallahassee community college the last two years, but before that he ranked around 170th in pace as an assistant at Arkansas State. I say it stays in the 170s for Rick – Medium to Medium Notre Dame Fighting Irish: Mike Brey / Micah Shrewsberry – Not much of a pace change from Mike Brey slowing down every last few seasons to 304th in pace to Micah Shrewsberry ranking 320th in pace at Penn Sate. I will however say that sometimes they would place fast and efficient. I project 290s. – Medium Slow to Medium Slow Ole Miss Rebels: Kermit Davis / Chris Beard – Leave it up to a desperate Ole Miss to hire the baggage of Chris Beard. Either way, the pace stays the same from 239th to about 236th over his careers. Should be in the 230s. – Medium Slow to Medium Slow Oral Roberts Golden Eagles: Paul Mills / Russell Springmann – This team was awesome and Paul Mills deserves his mid-major job at Witchita State. Pace should remain the same being on top over the past few years averaging about 40th with promoted assistant coach Russell Springmann. Pace should be in the 30s. Very Fast to Very Fast Penn State Nittany Lions: Micah Shrewsberry / Mike Rhoades – As mentioned earlier, Micah Shewsberry was at 304th in tempo last year at Penn State while Mike Rhoades was at 130s over the past few years at VCU. Now Mike Rhoades has his kids playing great defense so be careful. I suspect 200s in pace in the Big 10. Medium Slow to Medium Providence Friars: Ed Cooley / Kim English – Also as discussed earlier, Ed Cooley was too cool for the Friars school and ranked around the 200s for pace while Kim English ranked around 225th at George Mason. I expect 240s in pace in the Big Easy. – Medium to Medium Quinnipiac Bobcats: Baker Dunleavy / Tom Pecora – Out comes baker and in comes Tom Pecora who was his assistant. The Pace ranked 54th for the Bobcats and I expect the same in the 50s. Medium Fast to Medium Fast St. John’s Red Storm: Mike Anderson / Rick Pitino – Mike Anderson wins the pace award at number 1 but too bad that doesn’t hold his Job. Rick Pitino comes in with even more baggage than Chris Beard. He should play a medium fast pace in the 90s. Very Fast to Medium Fast Sam Houston Bearkats: Jason Hooten / Chris Mudge – The Bearkats were a hoot last year and ranked 314th in pace during Hooten’s tenure while Chris Mudge gets promoted to run the show. I expect 310s but please change your last name Chris. Medium Slow to Medium Slow South Florida Bulls: Brian Gregory / Amir Abdur-Rahim – Brian Gregory is out after ranking 133rd in pace at the Bulls while Amir Abdur-Rahim ranked about 121st in pace. I project 120s in this anti-climatic situation. – Medium to Medium Southern Jaguars: Sean Woods / Kevin Johnson – Sean Woods was so fast that he lost fast ranking 27th in pace while Kevin Johnson coms from being an assistant at Tulane who played lightning fast themselves ranking 2nd in pace. I will say their pace will rank in the 10s. – Very Fast to Very Fast Southern Utah Thunderbirds: Todd Simon / Rob Jeter – The Thunderbirds played light the Lightning Birds last year ranking 16th in Tempo while Rob Jeter comes in from Western Illinois ranking 207th. I project pace ranking in the 200s. – Very Fast to Medium Syracuse Orange: Jim Boeheim / Adrian Autry – Jim Boeheim finally hung up his many final 4 nets to walk off into the sunset. Assistant Adrian Autry gets promoted and should play at a faster pace. He will abandon the 2-3 zone. I project pace in the 80s – Medium to Medium Fast Temple Owls: Aaron McKie / Adam Fisher – So Aaron ranked 251st in pace last year while Adam was an assistant at Penn State that ranked 304th in tempo. I think the Tempo stays close to the same in the 240s. The Big 10 is just slower. – Medium Slow to Medium Slow Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders: Steve Lutz / Jim Shaw – Pretty easy here. Jim Shaw was promoted from assistant while the Islanders ranked 88th in pace. I project 80s. Medium Fast to Medium Fast Texas Longhorns: Chris Beard / Rodney Terry – Not much change here as Rodney Terry holds on to the starting job after winning the Big 12 tournament keeping pace in the 90s. – Medium Fast to Medium Fast Texas Tech Red Raiders: Mark Adams / Grant McCasland – This team was all kinds of Medium with Mark Adams ranking 180th in pace. Grant McCasland from North Texas is slower than Molasses in January. Projection is 360s and the slowest team in basketball. Medium to Very Slow UT Arlington Mavericks: Greg Young / K.T. Turner – Turner has hopped around as an assistant but this team ranked 260th with Greg Young and Turner may not change that. Projection is 250s. Medium Slow to Medium Slow Utah State Aggies: Ryan Odom / Danny Sprinkle – Danny Sprinkle the Money-line should slow this team down some from 111th in pace. I project 220s. Medium Fast to Medium Slow Utah Valley Wolverines: Mark Madsen / Todd Phillips – Ranking at 41st in Pace with the Mad man Mark Madsen, Todd Phillips is promoted to play a pace ranking about the same in the 40s. Medium Fast to Medium Fast Valparaiso Beacons: Matt Lottich / Roger Powell – Matt Lottich ranked 150th in pace last year with the Beacon’s while Roger Powell comes from the Zags. Pace should move up to the 30s. – Medium to Very Fast VCU Rams: Mike Rhoades / Ryan Odom – Mike Ranked 130th in pace at VCU with Ryan Odem was 111th at Utah State. I think this team trends up in the 90s. – Medium to Medium Fast Western Illinois Leathernecks: Rob Jeter / Chad Boudreau – Rob Jeter ranked 207th in pace with the Leathernecks (awesome name by the way), while Bordreau got promoted from assistant here and should rank about the same. I project 200s in Pace. – Medium to Medium Western Kentucky Hilltoppers: Rick Stansbury / Steve Lutz – While Rick Stansbury worn out his welcome at Western Kentucky with a medium pace at 165th, Steve Lutz should speed it up some to the 110s from his tenure at Corpus Christi. – Medium to Medium Fast West Virginia Mountaineers: Bob Huggins / Josh Eilert (interim) – Huggy Bear is gone while Josh Eilert gets a temporary promotion to prove himself. Pace was at 116th last year and I think that stays the same with the full court press. – Medium Fast to Medium Fast Wichita State Shockers: Isaac Brown / Paul Mills – It wasn’t a shocker to see Isaac Brown fired who ranked 230th in pace. Paul Mills from Oral Roberts will really speed it up here into the 30s. – Medium Slow to Very Fast Wofford Terriers: Jay McAuley / Dwight Perry – I do not expect a ton of change here with Jay McAuley’s assistant moving in to take the reigns. the Terriers ranked 291st in pace and I project pace in the 260s. – Medium Slow to Medium Slow
Thoughts from Kyle Hunter @KyleHunterSports
I think Charlotte will play a little faster than you have them at. I would guess 250 (obviously just a guess)
For Notre Dame I know some are speculating based on being at a talent disadvantage they will play very slow to start (their unders will get hit early in season)
Georgia Tech Stoudamire is saying they will shoot a ton of 3’s and the talk is they will play faster (he said this at Pacific early on too though so I want to see it)
I have Idaho projected a little quicker than that
Biggest difference I have is Lafayette- McGarvey said in a quote that he would expect a faster pace this year and even a worse defense than a year ago (shocking he would say that honestly)
*** Coaching changes credit to Jeff Borzello https://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/story/_/id/35814663/men-college-basketball-coaching-changes-2023-24
